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Bill Hare

@billhare.bsky.social
1.4K followers 308 following 212 posts

Climate science, impacts, policy and 1.5C

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Reposted by Bill Hare
Gavin Schmidt @climateofgavin.bsky.social · 12/08/2026
2027, on the other hand, is going to blow apart the record for the warmest year. 🤷
GISTEMP data from 1980, with predictions for 2026 and 2027 (phew wot a scorcher...)
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Bill Hare @billhare.bsky.social · 24/07/2026
It’s quite a scandal when Adelaide airport cancels advertisements calling for a gas export tax when major shareholders have big interests in oil, gas, LNG, and support new gas such as Betaloo against all available climate science. How democratic is that? www.theguardian.com/australia-ne...
theguardian.com
Adelaide airport pulls ads from conservation groups but keeps gas and mining ads during ALP conference
Digital billboards from environmental groups, targeting Labor MPs attending national conference, cancelled with airport stating they are ‘too political’
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David Ho @davidho.bsky.social · 24/07/2026
This isn’t tens of thousands of poor people losing their homes in the global south, but tens of thousands of rich people fleeing a popular vacation spot in the south of France, so maybe the rich countries will finally care about climate change.
theguardian.com
France orders total evacuation of Cap Ferret peninsula as wildfire spreads
‘Intense and highly unpredictable’ blaze forces more than 40,000 people to flee popular holiday spot
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Bill Hare @billhare.bsky.social · 21/06/2026
Very good article on solar Geoengineering is too dangerous. It’s a distraction from doing what needs to be done - phasing out fossil fuels. And it would leave the other CO2 problem, ocean acidification to run rampant. www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
theguardian.com
‘Termination shock’: trust our expert warnings on geoengineering’s planetary risks | Raymond Pierrehumbert, Julia Slingo, Michael Mann and Valerie Masson-Delmotte
Do we really want to play dice with our planet?
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Climate Action Tracker @climateactiontracker.org · 11/06/2026
1/ The US–Israel war on Iran has once again put #EnergySecurity at the centre of geopolitical tensions. It is the third major shock to the global energy system this decade, exposing the vulnerabilities of fossil fuel-dependent economies. But this crisis is different.
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Climate Analytics @climateanalytics.org · 10/06/2026
New op-ed from @billhare.bsky.social in @climatechangenews.com: an exclusive focus on implementing countries’ existing commitments in climate negotiations, rather than also looking at increasing ambition, is dangerously wrong. www.climatechangenews.com/2026/06/09/t...
climatechangenews.com
The UN climate process needs ambition - the law demands it
With a growing focus on implementation, there is a risk that governments will stop raising their emissions-cutting goals, as is urgently required
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Reposted by Bill Hare
The Australia Institute @australiainstitute.org.au · 14/05/2026
Albanese was asked about a gas tax on SBS, and a few of his answers sounded more like gas company spin than a government making sure Australians get a fair return for their resources! @grogsgamut.bsky.social #auspol
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Bill Hare @billhare.bsky.social · 05/05/2026
Our submission to Australian Senate Select Committee on the Taxation on Gas Resources focussed on the importance of taxing export fossil gas in the need for Australia to decarbonise its economy to meet the Paris Agreement's 1.5˚C limit. 🧵/n #auspol climateanalytics.org/publications...
climateanalytics.org
Submission to the Australian Senate Select Committee on the Taxation…
This submission mainly considers the climate implications of prospective changes to Australia’s gas and LNG taxation regime. It notes opportunities for Australia to achieve ambitious climate action wh...
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Reposted by Bill Hare
Australian Conservation Foundation @ausconservation.bsky.social · 05/05/2026
"If you can't get emissions down, you're not dealing with climate change." @billhare.bsky.social @climateanalytics.org www.abc.net.au/news/2026-05...
abc.net.au
WA government preparing to abandon its emissions reduction targets
The WA government is preparing to walk away from its own greenhouse gas emissions reduction targets and dramatically reshape how the state addresses climate change, the ABC can reveal.
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Climate Analytics @climateanalytics.org · 01/05/2026
Santa Marta has opened a new front for fossil fuel phase-out. If the process initiated there can catalyse greater political momentum to implement the Global Stocktake energy package, it would be a breakthrough. Read our full analysis: climateanalytics.org/comment/sant...
climateanalytics.org
Santa Marta opens a new front for fossil fuel phase out
A willing coalition has begun to test how countries can move faster
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Reposted by Bill Hare
Climate Action Tracker @climateactiontracker.org · 22/04/2026
ANALYSIS: The upcoming Intl Maritime Org will discuss the Net Zero Framework that, if passed, will be a major milestone in decarbonising intl shipping, introducing a global fuel emissions standard & a market-based mechanism to reduce the sector’s emissions 🔗 climateactiontracker.org/blog/rescuin...
climateactiontracker.org
Blog: Rescuing shipping's Net Zero Framework
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Climate Action Tracker @climateactiontracker.org · 16/03/2026
If the EU wants a chance of reaching net zero emissions by 2050 and staying on track with the 1.5°C limit, it needs to ramp up ambition: it needs to at least ensure its 2040 target of 90% net reductions is reached domestically and ideally increase it to 95% 🔗 climateactiontracker.org/press/respon...
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Climate Action Tracker @climateactiontracker.org · 06/03/2026
China released its 15th Five-Year Plan (FYP). The plan reinforces the rapid expansion of clean energy, but it does not translate this momentum into stronger binding emissions targets. Read our full reaction here 🔗 climateactiontracker.org/press/reacti...
White text on blue background with CAT logo. Text is a quote saying "China's 15th five year plan is a missed opportunity. 

While it continues to strongly  emphasise clean energy development, it could have gone further. 
 
A 17% reduction in carbon-intensity target would actually allow China's emission to increase by 3% under a conservative GDP growth.”
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Reposted by Bill Hare
Climate Analytics @climateanalytics.org · 04/03/2026
We need to start including #overshoot in #adaptation planning. This way we’ll know which impacts can be avoided by high mitigation ambition – including which are reversible and which are irreversible. New blog outlines how👇: climateanalytics.org/comment/adap...
climateanalytics.org
Adaptation planning must include 1.5°C overshoot scenarios
Adaptation planning should include the impacts that can be avoided by high mitigation ambition – including which impacts are reversible from overshooting the 1.5°C limit and which are irreversible. Th...
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Bill Hare @billhare.bsky.social · 26/02/2026
Excellent piece in @us.theguardian.com by Adam Morton on massive fossil fuel subsidies in Australia to diesel. “Thanks to fuel tax credits, big companies are allowed to pay significantly less to burn dirty fuels than households” www.theguardian.com/environment/...
theguardian.com
Australia’s most costly anti-climate policy hits taxpayers for $30m a day as calls mount to wind back fuel tax credits | Adam Morton
The government will hand over $10.8bn this financial year under the scheme that makes it cheaper for miners and other industries to use diesel and petrol
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Bill Hare @billhare.bsky.social · 04/02/2026
What fossil fuel companies paid to Australia’s political parties in 2025 federal election and what they seem have gotten in return. cheekmedia.substack.com/p/dirty-data...
cheekmedia.substack.com
Dirty data: How coal and gas money fuelled 2025 election campaigns
By Claire Snyder
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Bill Hare @billhare.bsky.social · 30/01/2026
A commentary in @nature.com argues the 1.5°C temperature limit has “outlived its usefulness” because we’re headed towards overshoot and should be replaced by a “clean-energy shift” metric. That’s the wrong diagnosis. Here is why. www.nature.com/articles/d41...
nature.com
As we breach 1.5 °C, we must replace temperature limits with clean-energy targets
Actionable goals are needed to guide the world towards what needs to happen most quickly: shifting economies to clean energy sources.
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Bill Hare @billhare.bsky.social · 28/01/2026
Extreme heat is blasting eastern Australia. It’s driven by fossil fuels, development of which the Albanese government continues to support. The Guardian Australia’s climate/environment journalist calls it out @adammorton.bsky.social @theguardian.com www.theguardian.com/environment/...
theguardian.com
Through the heatwave haze, the hypocrisy of Australia’s fossil fuel policy shines bright | Clean Air
The heatwave in Melbourne and Adelaide this week is likely to become the norm. We should prepare now
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Bill Hare @billhare.bsky.social · 20/01/2026
It's difficult to fathom what the WA Envtl "Protection" Agency doesn’t understand abt the climate problem. Wilfully & deliberately authorising a massive gas development in this pristine environment must only be viewed as institutionalised climate denial. reneweconomy.com.au/massive-new-...
reneweconomy.com.au
Massive new Kimberley fracking industry could keep Woodside gas plant going until 2070
Federal Labor's light touch environmental review of a massive new fracking industry threatens one of Australia’s most iconic wild places – and blows out national emissions.
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Adam Morton @adammorton.bsky.social · 30/11/2025
Rising Tide protest: climate activists stop three ships from entering world’s largest coal port in Newcastle NSW police arrest 141 as campaigners demand govt cancel planned fossil fuel projects + tax existing operations at 78% By @jordynbeazley.bsky.social www.theguardian.com/environment/...
theguardian.com
Rising Tide protest: climate activists stop three ships from entering world’s largest coal port in Newcastle
NSW police arrest 141 people as campaigners demand federal government cancel planned fossil fuel projects and tax existing operations at 78%
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Dr Paul Dorfman @drpauldorfman.bsky.social · 30/11/2025
Last year, the world added a record 582GW of #renewables energy capacity. That’s over 91% of all new power – with #nuclear nowhere. In fact, each year, nuclear adds as much net global power capacity as renewables add every two days.
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Malte Kreutzfeldt @mkreutzfeldt.bsky.social · 27/11/2025
Vor fast genau zehn Jahren begann die historische Klimakonferenz von Paris. Ein guter Anlass, mal zu schauen, was sich seitdem in Deutschland verändert hat. (1/10)
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Climate Analytics @climateanalytics.org · 24/11/2025
"Australia cannot continue to develop and expand fossil fuel exports and pretend it’s going to be a renewable superpower supporting a 1.5C limit" @billhare.bsky.social in @australia.theguardian.com #auspol #COP30 #fossilfuels #climate www.theguardian.com/australia-ne...
theguardian.com
How can Australia convince the world to give up fossil fuels if Anthony Albanese is contradicting himself on gas expansion? | Bill Hare
Getting to net zero CO2 emissions globally means we can halt global warming. This requires a rapid phase-out. It’s physics
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Guardian Australia @australia.theguardian.com · 24/11/2025
How can Australia convince the world to give up fossil fuels if Anthony Albanese is contradicting himself on gas expansion? | Bill Hare
theguardian.com
How can Australia convince the world to give up fossil fuels if Anthony Albanese is contradicting himself on gas expansion? | Bill Hare
Getting to net zero CO2 emissions globally means we can halt global warming. This requires a rapid phase-out. It’s physics With another set of global climate talks behind us, the Australian government faces some tricky tasks before it takes over negotiations at the next round of talks next year in Turkey. Cop30 in Belém, Brazil, did not deliver the bold fossil fuel phase-out roadmap we needed, but it did nudge the system forward with more scrutiny of fossil fuel producers. And despite the weakness of the outcome, one can gain some important comfort by the fact that Bélem – and the G20 in Johannesburg at the weekend – both solidly endorsed the Paris agreement, its central goal of keeping warming to 1.5C and the importance of net zero emissions. Cop30 agreed that an “ambition accelerator” will be needed to fill the gap between what governments are planning (projected to warm the world by 2.6C) and the agreed guardrails of the Paris agreement: a limit of 1.5C. It also, crucially, began the momentum for developing a roadmap for a just transition away from fossil fuels, with more than 80 countries – including Australia – signing the “Belém declaration” on a transition away from fossil fuels. While this declaration didn’t get support from the whole conference, Brazil’s president, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, has promised to move forward on its implementation during the course of this year, until he hands over to Cop31 in Turkey. Continue reading...
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Climate Analytics @climateanalytics.org · 22/11/2025
As COP30 comes to a close, read the statement from CA CEO @billhare.bsky.social. This COP did not deliver the bold fossil fuel phaseout roadmap needed, but it did nudge other goals forward. National leaders must now close the gap between promises and reality. climateanalytics.org/press-releas...
climateanalytics.org
Bill Hare, CEO of Climate Analytics, comments at the end of COP30
After COP30, it is now up to national leaders to close the gap between promises and reality.
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Climate Action Tracker @climateactiontracker.org · 19/11/2025
REPORT: If governments were to implement the promises they made in 2023, to triple renewables, double energy efficiency, reduce methane by 2030 & beyond, they could ✅ significantly cut projected warming - by 0.9˚C ✅ cut warming rate by a third by 2035 and halve it by 2040 🔗 bit.ly/CAT_COP30_GST
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Adam Morton @adammorton.bsky.social · 19/11/2025
‘Deathly silent’: two out of three corals in world heritage-listed Ningaloo reef have been killed, scientists confirm - by @readfearn.bsky.social www.theguardian.com/environment/...
theguardian.com
‘Deathly silent’: two out of three corals in world heritage-listed Ningaloo reef have been killed, scientists confirm
One expert says he is ‘starting to visualise the point where all we have left of corals and reefs is memories’
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ARC Tracker @arc-tracker.bsky.social · 19/11/2025
Where to start, with a statement like this? "Tim Ayres said the cuts were aimed at refocusing … CSIRO towards research priorities, such as critical minerals, iron & steel production in Australia." From some rando down the bus stop, one would brush it off. But this is from our Science Minister 🤯
abc.net.au
CSIRO to cut up to 350 research jobs in major overhaul
After 440 positions were slashed last year, the CSIRO has announced more staff cuts across the country in a bid to remain financially viable.
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Dr Paul Dorfman @drpauldorfman.bsky.social · 19/11/2025
International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) says solar the only technology where current investment levels are approaching the annual average needed through to 2030 to align with 1.5 C pathway. www.pv-magazine.com/2025/11/18/i...
pv-magazine.com
IRENA says $554 billion invested in solar technologies in 2024
The International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) says solar is the only renewable energy technology where current investment levels are approaching the annual average needed through to 2030 to align ...
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Climate Action Tracker @climateactiontracker.org · 13/11/2025
CAT Global Update 2025 🚨 Ten years after the #ParisAgreement we see little to no measurable progress in warming projections - for the fourth consecutive year. The 2035 #NDCs have made no difference to our warming outlook. 🔗 bit.ly/CAT_Global_2...
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Bill Hare @billhare.bsky.social · 09/11/2025
IPCC input into Paris Agreement 2nd Global Stocktake, due in 2028, is under threat. This is critical. The IPCC input to first Stocktake was vital to call to transition away from fossil fuels, tripling renewables, reductions in methane and deforestation. climateanalytics.org/comment/ipcc...
climateanalytics.org
IPCC input into the second Global Stocktake still on the table – but…
No certainty on delivery of key reports for the second Global Stocktake as IPCC fails to agree on dates for AR7 at IPCC-63 in Lima
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Bill Hare @billhare.bsky.social · 09/11/2025
There is increasing evidence that the Albanese government proposed changes to Australia’s in environmental assessment legislation could go backwards rather than forwards, in terms of environment, biodiversity and climate protection. www.theguardian.com/australia-ne...
theguardian.com
Will Labor’s environment laws actually address Australia’s biodiversity crisis? Five reasons to be concerned
Experts say the proposed legislation is full of problems, including excessive ministerial discretion and relaxing like-for-like offset rules
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Climate Analytics @climateanalytics.org · 07/11/2025
New research out today demonstrates that reaching #realzero is achievable and economically competitive in many major emitting sectors. EU road freight could reach real zero by 2040, while global steel and shipping could reach real zero by 2050. climateanalytics.org/publications...
climateanalytics.org
Real zero is within reach
This analysis explores the technical feasibility and economic benefits of real zero. Our analysis demonstrates that reaching real zero is achievable in many sectors and identifies the economic benefit...
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Climate Analytics @climateanalytics.org · 06/11/2025
After years of political failure, the world can still rescue 1.5°C – if countries pursue the “highest possible ambition”, starting now. New report from Climate Analytics and @pik-potsdam.bsky.social shows how it’s possible. Read more: climateanalytics.org/publications...
climateanalytics.org
Rescuing 1.5°C: new evidence on the highest possible ambition to…
This study shows that, even after years of insufficient action, the world can still return to well below 1.5°C of warming this century if countries pursue the “highest possible ambition” in climate ac...
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Ketan Joshi @ketanjoshi.co · 05/11/2025
Okay, yes, humanity did not enact the single best possible outcome in response to the single worst problem we have ever faced as a species In no way was it wrong to try, and in no way is it wrong to continue trying to jam a wrench in the greedy fossil fuel economy. Everything is still on the table
aljazeera.com
World ‘very likely’ to exceed 1.5C climate goal in next decade: UN
Despite Paris Agreement pledges, countries 'have landed off target' on climate goals multiple times, the UN warns.
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Climate Analytics @climateanalytics.org · 04/11/2025
Ten years on, the Paris Agreement is working—just not fast enough. Our new report tracks 22 ways it’s changing the world: uniting countries behind 1.5°C and net zero, and cutting projected 2100 warming by ~1°C (≈3.6°C → ≈2.7°C). climateanalytics.org/publications...
climateanalytics.org
What has the Paris Agreement done for us?
Ten years on, the Paris Agreement is working, but not nearly fast enough. Since 2015 it has become the essential organising framework for global climate action: uniting countries behind the 1.5°C temp...
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Rex Patrick @mrrexpatrick.bsky.social · 04/11/2025
The duopoly just joined forces in the Senate to vote down an #AUKUS inquiry. Never mind the political, technical & management risks associated with the program, or the $365B price tag - the two major parties are happy sleepwalking with your national security and money. #auspol
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Dr Paul Dorfman @drpauldorfman.bsky.social · 04/11/2025
Michael Mann to Bill Gates: You can’t reboot the planet if you crash it #climate thebulletin.org/2025/10/you-...
thebulletin.org
Michael Mann to Bill Gates: You can’t reboot the planet if you crash it
What Gates is putting forward aren’t legitimate arguments that can be made in good faith. They are shopworn fossil fuel industry talking points.
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Bill Hare @billhare.bsky.social · 29/10/2025
Yesterday, the UN SG António Guterres said the world has failed to prevent overshoot of 1.5°C of warming, the Paris Agreement limit. This is a massive political failure. Urgent action is needed now to limit the magnitude and duration of overshoot. www.theguardian.com/environment/...
theguardian.com
‘Change course now’: humanity has missed 1.5C climate target, says UN head
Exclusive: ‘Devastating consequences’ now inevitable but emissions cuts still vital, says António Guterres in sole interview before Cop30
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Climate Analytics @climateanalytics.org · 24/10/2025
Labelling heavy industry like steel as “hard-to-abate” allows them to argue against reducing emissions now, or to justify using CCS or offsets to meet climate goals. But existing tech and demand reduction can cut emissions in these sectors, writes @billhare.bsky.social on @climatechangenews.com
climatechangenews.com
Is "hard-to-abate" really that hard - or is it a justification for delay?
Labelling heavy industry like steel as "hard-to-abate" has shaped policy and business action in ways that risk undermining global efforts to cut emissions
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Climate Analytics @climateanalytics.org · 25/10/2025
"Australia has the know-how and the opportunity to help lead the global energy transition to a clean energy future... But first we need to take our foot off the gas." @billhare.bsky.social in today's Guardian #auspol
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Ketan Joshi @ketanjoshi.co · 07/10/2025
There's a very nice new report from @climateanalytics.org on precisely this: "Hard to abate" has become its own form of subtle climate delay --->> @billhare.bsky.social @cindybax.bsky.social ca1-clm.edcdn.com/assets/Clima...
Conclusion
The persistent classification of iron and steel and cement as “hard-to-abate” sectors has
shaped both policy and industrial responses in ways that risk undermining the urgency
and effectiveness of global climate mitigation efforts.
While the technical and process-related challenges in these sectors are non-trivial, the
evidence presented in this report demonstrates that their decarbonisation is not only
possible but highly achievable with existing and emerging technologies—especially
when guided by integrated, whole-of-system approaches and supported by robust
policy frameworks.
A narrow focus on production-side constraints—such as process emissions in clinker
production or the fossil fuel dependence of BF-BOF steelmaking—has encouraged
decarbonization strategies put forward by the industry to rely heavily on CCUS and
offsetting as core mitigation strategies. This framing assumes that a substantial portion
of sectoral emissions are unavoidable, which justifies delayed action and continued
operation of high-emissions infrastructure. However, our analysis shows that much of
what is labelled “residual” or “unavoidable” emissions can, in fact, be abated at source
through a combination of clean technology deployment, material efficiency, and
demand-side reductions.
In the iron and steel sector, commercially available technologies—particularly electric arc
furnaces (EAFs) coupled with high scrap availability and direct reduced iron (DRI) using
green hydrogen—can replace the BF-BOF pathway. While steel production capacity is
long-lived and capital-intensive, studies show that aligning investment timelines with
early retrofit and decommissioning schedules could reduce cumulative emissions by up
to 66% over 2020–2050, compared to just 47% if low-carbon measures are delayed by
five years.
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Climate Analytics @climateanalytics.org · 15/10/2025
Our CEO @billhare.bsky.social called the new data “alarming and worrying.” “Let there be no mistake, this is a very clear warning sign that the world is heading into an extremely dangerous state – and this is driven by the continued expansion of fossil fuel development, globally.”
apnews.com
UN agency says C02 levels hit record high last year, causing more extreme weather
The United Nations weather agency reports that carbon dioxide levels in the atmosphere reached record highs last year, intensifying climate change and extreme weather.
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Climate Analytics @climateanalytics.org · 08/10/2025
"Asia is at a crossroads: while these countries haven't yet gone down a high carbon capture and storage (CCS) route, many have tailored their CCS policies to protect their fossil fuel industry, especially in Japan, South Korea and Australia," @billhare.bsky.social told The Times of India.
timesofindia.indiatimes.com
Asia’s CCS plans could add 25 billion tonnes of extra emissions by 2050, risking the Paris Agreement’s warming limit goal: Report - The Times of India
Environment News: A Climate Analytics report warns that deploying carbon capture and storage (CCS) in Asian countries could add 25 billion tonnes of extra GHG emissions
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Climate Analytics @climateanalytics.org · 06/10/2025
REPORT: If Asian economies were to carry out their plans to deploy risky and expensive carbon capture & storage (CCS) to address fossil fuel emissions, they could add an extra 25 billion tonnes of emissions to the atmosphere by 2050. Their economies would suffer. climateanalytics.org/publications...
climateanalytics.org
The global climate risks of Asia’s expansive carbon capture and…
This report looks at the climate and economic implications of Asia’s promotion of carbon capture and storage (CCS) to reduce fossil fuel emissions.
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All Our Yesterdays @allouryesterdays.bsky.social · 25/09/2025
55 yrs ago today (Sept 26, 1970), the Medical Journal of Australia runs “Notes on Some Aspects of Pollution”. More C02 build-up risks "turning the tropics into hothouses, making the temperate zones tropical, and beginning to melt the polar ice caps." allouryesterdays.info/2025/09/25/s...
allouryesterdays.info
September 26, 1970 - Medical Journal of Australia - All Our Yesterdays
Fifty five years ago, on this day, September 26th, 1970, the Medical Journal of Australia runs an article on “Notes on Some Aspects of Pollution”. “The carbon dioxide content of the atmosphere has inc...
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Climate Analytics @climateanalytics.org · 24/09/2025
Wonderful turnout for our #ClimateWeekNYC event last night featuring a keynote by Dr Piers Forster on the latest climate science and a panel discussion on how the ICJ opinion can shape politics and how to align global action with 1.5°C. Missed the event? Watch the recording:
youtube.com
New York Climate Week 2025: Holding the line: 1.5°C, overshoot, and the urgency of now
YouTube video by Climate Analytics
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Robert Reich @rbreich.bsky.social · 24/09/2025
The richest man on earth owns X. The second richest man on earth is about to be a major owner of TikTok. The third richest man owns Facebook, Instagram, and WhatsApp. The fourth richest man owns The Washington Post. See the problem here?
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Climate Action Tracker @climateactiontracker.org · 25/09/2025
#China's new #climate target is unlikely to drive down emissions: the country will already achieve it under its current policies. It's a net target that includes land use & forestry; an absolute target wld be more transparent It's a shift from emissions & energy intensity to absolute emissions
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All Our Yesterdays @allouryesterdays.bsky.social · 20/09/2025
Australia and its dismal, criminal, history of climate targets (1988-2025) In which Groundhog Day happens again and again, but somehow it’s just not funny or enlightening. 1/7 allouryesterdays.info/2025/09/20/a...
David Pope cartoon "You are now leaving the Holocene"
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