iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Ben Walker @benwalker.org.uk · 05/10/2026

New post: The Burnham Bounce betrays what's happening in London, and why Holborn may still be a tight(er) fight (and other, less ideal, things for the Greens) www.newstatesman.com/politics/uk-...

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Ben Walker @benwalker.org.uk · 09/08/2026

A very geeky post but important for the discourse britainelects.substack.com/p/what-the-p...

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Ben Walker @benwalker.org.uk · 08/08/2026

I have a pretty geeky post out tomorrow morning on what forecasters might be getting wrong about where the parties are. Something good and bad for everyone. BritainElects.com

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Ben Walker @benwalker.org.uk · 04/08/2026

New post: www.newstatesman.com/politics/pol...

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Ben Walker @benwalker.org.uk · 03/08/2026

Brand Burnham at 35% positive, 24% negative according to Britain Elects poll tracker britainelects.substack.com/p/how-popula...

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Ben Walker @benwalker.org.uk · 02/08/2026

Putting Brand Badenoch into perspective, staved the Tories from oblivion, but... www.newstatesman.com/politics/uk-...

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Ben Walker @benwalker.org.uk · 26/02/2026

Well it's happening all the same on here lad, so don't play dumb. You confused BE for someone else, that's ok

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Ben Walker @benwalker.org.uk · 26/02/2026

Gorton and Denton by-election forecast. The three charts you need to know: www.newstatesman.com/politics/uk-...

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Ben Walker @benwalker.org.uk · 26/02/2026

Rapidly discovering you're not best keen on me here, but I do post turnout?

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Ben Walker @benwalker.org.uk · 05/11/2025

A likely 75 per cent of votes have already been counted and Mamdani's on course to win with half the vote. If the figs stay then Silwa has undergone some extensive squeezing to Cuomo's benefit. But Mamdani has outperformed the polls too.

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Ben Walker @benwalker.org.uk · 05/11/2025

Well there we are www.nytimes.com/interactive/...

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Ben Walker @benwalker.org.uk · 03/11/2025

An election petition is being heard because the last placed candidate of the Runcorn by-election regards it as a statistical impossibility he could have got 50 votes in two separate elections.

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Ben Walker @benwalker.org.uk · 01/11/2025

£4bn raised from 4 per cent of households

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Ben Walker @benwalker.org.uk · 15/08/2025

Spot the election campaign britainelects.substack.com/p/who-do-you...

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Ben Walker @benwalker.org.uk · 14/05/2025

Reform opens up a 4pt lead; Tories below 20%. Britain Elects poll tracker britainelects.substack.com/p/whos-ahead...

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Ben Walker @benwalker.org.uk · 04/05/2025

*looking at divisions which changed hands* Oh, there's a Labour one over there. What happened? *looks* ah

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Ben Walker @benwalker.org.uk · 30/04/2025

Reviewing our local election forecast

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Ben Walker @benwalker.org.uk · 16/04/2025

New post: what's up and where #LE2025 www.newstatesman.com/politics/pol...

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Ben Walker @benwalker.org.uk · 13/04/2025

Small additions, but important additions, to this year's local election service @britainelects.com

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Ben Walker @benwalker.org.uk · 12/04/2025

New post: Australia! Here is a country where the opposition Liberals (conservatives) have abandoned precision attacks on the cost of living to tack right on culture wars. It may have cost them the election. Read: www.newstatesman.com/internationa...

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Ben Walker @benwalker.org.uk · 10/04/2025

This will be put to the test in Runcorn and Helsby. Will Grn and Con voters move to Labour to stop Reform? Or is a Farage win not quite so toxic as people think? www.newstatesman.com/politics/uk-...

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Ben Walker @benwalker.org.uk · 07/02/2025

Last night's council by-elections, this morning's write up. Reform and Labour do as well as the national polls imply. Tories outperform in Hyndburn: britainelects.substack.com/p/labour-rou...

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Ben Walker @benwalker.org.uk · 25/12/2024

Cash strapped councils pay a premium to buy up land for development. Rooted in a Con gov decision made in the 1950s: www.spectator.co.uk/article/we-s...

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Ben Walker @benwalker.org.uk · 19/12/2024

I've started modelling my general election forecast onto wards, and seeing how they compare to recent council by-elections. And it's not... terrible? www.newstatesman.com/politics/202...

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Ben Walker @benwalker.org.uk · 29/11/2024

How the votes for assisted dying split by party

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Ben Walker @benwalker.org.uk · 26/11/2024

I think claims by the way that Americans / untoward sorts are swamping the petition with fake names and addresses would at least show up in the changes since the weekend. They're not. Some v interesting growth in the most rural of England, though. www.newstatesman.com/politics/202...

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Ben Walker @benwalker.org.uk · 26/11/2024

This is a Reform petition, not a public petition. www.newstatesman.com/politics/202...

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Ben Walker @benwalker.org.uk · 25/11/2024

So to summarise - the first 150 days for Labour in the council by-elections: Worst drop-off in support we've seen for quite some time Masks how big a rise Reform is making Worse loss of seats when compared to 1997 But not guaranteed indication of long term feeling. Cons lost more in 2010! Fin

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Ben Walker @benwalker.org.uk · 25/11/2024

But look at this. The average shift in support for parties is more dramatic than previous. Labour is losing on average 10pts in the council by-elections it stands in. Compares to... 2017: +7 2010: +4 2005: -2 1997: -6 www.newstatesman.com/politics/pol...

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Ben Walker @benwalker.org.uk · 25/11/2024

In historic terms it's one of the worse starts. Compared to 1997 it's bad. But it's not a telltale sign that you're going to do badly at the next general election. www.newstatesman.com/politics/pol...

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Ben Walker @benwalker.org.uk · 24/11/2024

"General Election Now" petition signatures vs Reform vote by parliamentary constituency

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Ben Walker @benwalker.org.uk · 24/11/2024

Design code consultation in Chester y'day. About as you would expect. Planning app architects should err closer to the designs with overwhelming favourability, not the ones which divide opinion.

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Ben Walker @benwalker.org.uk · 20/11/2024

It did the opposite. Its directors literally recoiled at the prospect of accommodating the news. It took far too long to introduce a chronological timeline. It wanted to be FB/Insta... but as a twitter timeline? The hell was the point in that?

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Ben Walker @benwalker.org.uk · 20/11/2024

Yes, yes okay. You cope in your way.

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Ben Walker @benwalker.org.uk · 15/11/2024

Unfortunately I can't think of This Place without thinking about

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Ben Walker @benwalker.org.uk · 14/11/2024

The polls systemically understated Trump, but hardly a massive miss. www.newstatesman.com/internationa...

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