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Ben Alamar

@benalamar.bsky.social
1.7K followers 660 following 187 posts

Sports Analytics, formerly ESPN, Thunder, Cavs. Author of Sports Analytics: A Guide for Managers, Coaches, and Other Decision Makers (amzn.to/Y4mvzL). he/him

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Ben Alamar @benalamar.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
Schools can't give kids tylenol without the parent's approval. This is just bizarre
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Ben Alamar @benalamar.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
Every school in the SEC spends more than $20M on football. The PCSA caps spending for all sports at $20M. Pretty clear who wins and loses with this bill.
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Right Time with Bomani Jones @righttimebomani.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
The “Protect College Sports Act” doesn’t really protect the athletes at all
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Ben Alamar @benalamar.bsky.social · 24/07/2026
On his pod this week, @bomani-jones.bsky.social asked an interesting question: Was the '96 US Men's BBall team better than the dream team. So I took a look at all 9 Olympic rosters since the dream team and ranked them by Win Shares/48. By this measure, both '96 and '12 were better than '92
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Ben Alamar @benalamar.bsky.social · 24/07/2026
On his pod this week, @bomani-jones.bsky.social asked an interesting question: Was the '96 US Men's BBall team better than the dream team. So I took a look at all 9 Olympic rosters since the dream team and ranked them by Win Shares/48. By this measure, both '96 and '12 were better than '92
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Ben Alamar @benalamar.bsky.social · 23/06/2026
Great point from @davedufour.bsky.social on the pod this morning about Bam and Giannis sharing the floor. The response seemed to be that the Heat have Norm Powell, but that isn't really a solution to the core issue.
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Ben Alamar @benalamar.bsky.social · 01/06/2026
The shots not taken: When Wemby was on the floor this season, OKC took 35% fewer shots in the restricted area per 100 possessions than when he was not on the floor.
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Ben Alamar @benalamar.bsky.social · 29/05/2026
If you like sports data, be sure to check out espnanalytics.com @deanolytics.bsky.social @sethwalder.bsky.social and the entire ESPN Analytics team have put together some very cool and insightful data products.
espnanalytics.com
ESPN Analytics
Models and data visualization from ESPN Analytics. NBA & NFL Draft, schedule analysis, receiver scores and more.
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Ben Alamar @benalamar.bsky.social · 27/05/2026
The 2018 Rockets Game 7 is even more revealing. They took fewer 3s than usual. But pace cratered: 90 poss/48 vs. 98 regular season. 3PT rate effect: −0.6% variance (it reduced variance) Pace effect: +4.8% variance Their 3PT strategy wasn't the problem. The brutal slowdown was.
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Ben Alamar @benalamar.bsky.social · 27/05/2026
For the Celtics Game 7. They shot 53% of their shots from 3 (47% regular season) and played at 95 poss/48 min (98 reg season). 3Pr: +1.1% variance Pace: +2.4% variance The slow pace had more than twice the magnifying effect. They lost because they shot badly and the pace made it far worse.
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Ben Alamar @benalamar.bsky.social · 27/05/2026
Analyzing the last 10 seasons of NBA game-level ortg, its clear that more 3s does increase variance, but the effect is small. Pace has 6× the impact of 3PT rate. And playoff pace is 3–5 possessions slower than the regular season. +1% in 3Pr → +0.1% ORTG variance -1% in pace → +0.6% ORTG variance
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Ben Alamar @benalamar.bsky.social · 27/05/2026
The Celtics shot 13-of-49 from three in their Game 7 loss. The Rockets went 7-of-44 in 2018 — including 0-of-14 in the third quarter. Everyone says: high 3PT volume = high variance = this is why they lost. But what does the data actually say? 🧵
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Ben Alamar @benalamar.bsky.social · 27/05/2026
Got to talk NBA playoffs, draft and defense on the Wharton Moneyball podcast. shows.acast.com/wharton-mone...?
shows.acast.com
Breaking Down NBA Playoff Matchups Through Advanced Analytics | Wharton Moneyball
Former ESPN analytics expert discusses Victor Wembanyama’s historic playoff impact, NBA roster construction, and the evolving role of analytics in basketball decision-making.
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Ben Alamar @benalamar.bsky.social · 25/04/2026
All draft telecasts should get rid of “consensus big boards” and cultivate a set of smart commentators that are willing to think differently as well as criticize each other and teams.
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Ben Alamar @benalamar.bsky.social · 18/02/2026
Got to join the Wharton Moneyball podcast yesterday to talk about the state of the NBA and why @deanolytics.bsky.social belongs in the basketball hall of fame. podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/w...
podcasts.apple.com
NBA Analytics, Tanking, and the Future of Team Building
Podcast Episode · Wharton Moneyball · 02/18/2026 · 1h 4m
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Lindsay Gibbs @lindsaygibbs.bsky.social · 04/02/2026
We are so close to our goal!!! Help us get there now!! Overwhelmed by the support.
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Dean Oliver @deanolytics.bsky.social · 02/02/2026
Syracuse plays UNC tonight and you can get a statistical preview from our Net Pts metrics. For example, here are the ACC's top transition players - Cuse has Donnie Freeman in the top 10 - UNC has Trimble and Wilson espnanalytics.com/mcbb-award-l...
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Ben Alamar @benalamar.bsky.social · 26/01/2026
Interesting to compare the NFL not being at all concerned about this to the constant hand wringing about the NBA all-star game.
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Ben Alamar @benalamar.bsky.social · 18/01/2026
My older son is a 49ers fan. My younger son is a Seahawks fan. The family chat is a little tense today.
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Ben Alamar @benalamar.bsky.social · 12/01/2026
They spent 50 years of playoff success to win this one: youtu.be/Y06M_BxQBDE?...
youtu.be
Epic In Miami/Kellen Winslow Game Chargers vs Dolphins 1981 Divisional Playoffs | NFL Full Game
YouTube video by NFL
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Ben Alamar @benalamar.bsky.social · 12/01/2026
The Harbaugh v McDaniel vibes would be epic
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Ben Alamar @benalamar.bsky.social · 12/01/2026
Just a reminder that luck/randomness is a big factor in who actually wins in the NFL
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Ben Alamar @benalamar.bsky.social · 12/01/2026
The way this is going, that FG might have just put this game out of reach for the Chargers
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Sarah Langs @slangsonsports.bsky.social · 11/01/2026
in baseball, we call this a wheeeeeeeee!
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Ben Alamar @benalamar.bsky.social · 18/12/2025
I’m old enough to remember when Republicans didn’t want the government to get between a patient and their doctor.
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Katelyn Burns @katelynburns.com · 18/12/2025
Another disaster. This one has actual harmful consequences for trans kids and their families.
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Ben Alamar @benalamar.bsky.social · 17/12/2025
This is great!
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Ben Alamar @benalamar.bsky.social · 12/12/2025
Christopher Meloni from SVU to Veep
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Ben Alamar @benalamar.bsky.social · 11/12/2025
Great work here by @mikevorkunov.bsky.social @johnhollinger.bsky.social @amirarose.bsky.social @fredkatz.bsky.social and @davidaldridgedc.bsky.social Proud to see my first 2 NBA hires (Jesse Gould (OKC) and Jon Nichols (CLE)) rise to VPs and mentioned as impactful. www.nytimes.com/athletic/686...
nytimes.com
Which NBA teams have the best front offices? Here’s how 36 executives voted
Three dozen decision-makers across the league weighed in on their peers, what they admire and who stands above the rest.
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Ben Alamar @benalamar.bsky.social · 10/12/2025
Exactly how I feel
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Ben Alamar @benalamar.bsky.social · 10/12/2025
Any chance the CFP Committee moved Miami over Notre Dame because they were threatened by the Secretary of State? www.usatoday.com/story/sports...
usatoday.com
Marco Rubio says CFP should be 'scrapped' if Miami football doesn't make playoff
Marco Rubio said the College Football Playoff should be 'scrapped' if Miami doesn't make the 12-team field and that Donald Trump should take it over
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Seth Wickersham @sethwickersham.bsky.social · 10/12/2025
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Ben Alamar @benalamar.bsky.social · 09/12/2025
media.tenor.com
a man in a suit and tie is covering his eyes with his hands
ALT: a man in a suit and tie is covering his eyes with his hands
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Ben Alamar @benalamar.bsky.social · 09/12/2025
media.tenor.com
a man is holding a small white dog and says it rubs the lotion on its skin or else it gets the hose again .
ALT: a man is holding a small white dog and says it rubs the lotion on its skin or else it gets the hose again .
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Kevin Pelton @kpelton.bsky.social · 03/12/2025
Wrote today about how novel research from @benalamar.bsky.social and @deanolytics.bsky.social on the impact of teammate chemistry helps explain why Desmond Bane and other high-profile newcomers got off to slow starts, as well as the implications going forward: www.espn.com/nba/story/_/...
espn.com
Newcomer slump? Why Bane, Turner and others were off to slow starts on new teams
New research by Ben Alamar and ESPN's Dean Oliver helps explain why players get off to such slow starts after swapping teams.
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Ben Alamar @benalamar.bsky.social · 03/12/2025
Teams above avg on both run and pass blocking are DEN, SEA, LAR, CHI, JAX, BUF and PIT.
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Ben Alamar @benalamar.bsky.social · 03/12/2025
How important is it to have a strong offensive line in the NFL? 7 Teams have lines that are above average in pass and run blocking according to ESPN Block Win Rate stats. None of those teams has a losing record and they have an avgwin% of 70%. The remaining 25 teams have an avg win% of 44%.
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Ben Alamar @benalamar.bsky.social · 19/11/2025
Top 10 Net Points/100 Possessions according to ESPN Analytics & @deanolytics.bsky.social Interesting to see Victor 10th overall, but dominating on the defensive end. espnanalytics.com/nba-net-pts100
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Ben Alamar @benalamar.bsky.social · 18/11/2025
Went to see Evita with a friend. 20 minutes in he leaned over and asked “when are they going to start talking?”
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Ben Alamar @benalamar.bsky.social · 16/11/2025
Seemed like an odd decision for sure
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Ben Alamar @benalamar.bsky.social · 15/11/2025
Spurs rushed that possession and it cost them
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Ben Alamar @benalamar.bsky.social · 15/11/2025
Curry was incredible, but the Spurs gave the game away by not using more of the Shot Clock in their 2nd to last possession. Didn’t need to shoot with that much time left.
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Julie Kliegman @juliekliegman.com · 13/11/2025
Hi! I wrote a thing about swimming and trans athletes and [*checks notes*] Santana for @defector.com, would mean a lot if you give it a read
defector.com
What Does A Great Trans Athlete Deserve? | Defector
Once every week or two, I swim molasses-slow laps at the YMCA. I’ve been on something of a fitness journey this year, testing out different forms of exercise to see what sticks—what feels the least to...
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Ben Alamar @benalamar.bsky.social · 30/10/2025
3 of the top 4 active scorers drafted by Sam Presti.
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Shea Serrano @sheaserrano.bsky.social · 29/10/2025
BANGGGGGGGGGGG www.amazon.com/Expensive-Ba...
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Ben Alamar @benalamar.bsky.social · 29/10/2025
Wizards had this one put away several times — but not quite.
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Ben Alamar @benalamar.bsky.social · 28/10/2025
One more crazy early season Wemby stat: Wemby is creating more shots for his teammates per 100 possessions (14.3) than Steph (14.1). Both are significantly outpaced of course by Jokic (35.5) and CP3 (37.5) min 30 shots created
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Dean Oliver @deanolytics.bsky.social · 23/10/2025
Obscured by Wemby's magical performance, Stephon Castle had the third best game of his career last night, adding +5.8 net points despite going 5/10 from the line. It becomes his best game if he makes 7/10. espnanalytics.com/nba-box?id=2...
espnanalytics.com
Advanced Box - ESPN Analytics
Models and data visualization from ESPN Analytics. NBA & NFL Draft, schedule analysis, receiver scores and more.
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Ben Alamar @benalamar.bsky.social · 23/10/2025
At 39 yrs old, Chris Paul led the NBA last season in passes to shooters per 100 possession at 32.6 (min 1000 shots created). He starts off this season defending his crown, creating 13 shots in 15 min or 44.8 shots per 100. (Harden not far behind with 43.1 shots/100).
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