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george

@beatingthetide.com
67 followers 16 following 3K posts

Full-time stock investor (+53% in 2024, +30% annually since 2012). This is not legal or financial advice.

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george @beatingthetide.com · 01/10/2026
The best investment conversations happen when you're honest about what's working and what isn't. Up 62%. One pillar challenged. Target unchanged. I wrote through all of it. If you want the full breakdown, it's at beatingthetide.… www.beatingthetide.com/p/q4-2026-ea…
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george @beatingthetide.com · 01/10/2026
Sold SYF to fund the September pick. The new bank trades at a valuation gap I can trace directly to an overlooked cost-of-equity assumption. Trimmed DELL to close the rest. Capital goes where it works hardest. #PortfolioUpdate www.beatingthetide.com/p/synchrony-…
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george @beatingthetide.com · 01/10/2026
Concerned about slower rate cuts? Lower rates still provide support. The trend matters more than the pace. $SPY #Investing #Fed #InterestRates www.beatingthetide.com/p/weekly-12-…
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george @beatingthetide.com · 30/09/2026
Client wins confirmed. Cash generation evolving. AI case study evolving. Valuation confirmed with less cushion. One pillar challenged. That's the scorecard after Q4. Not every quarter gives you clean answers. This one gave me be… www.beatingthetide.com/p/q4-2026-ea…
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george @beatingthetide.com · 30/09/2026
DeepSeek's Mixture-of-Experts framework + reinforcement learning = cutting-edge AI for a fraction of the cost. Disruption doesn't always require billions. $SPY #AI #Investing #Innovation www.beatingthetide.com/p/agi-global…
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george @beatingthetide.com · 30/09/2026
A $1.3 billion backlog ensures revenue visibility into 2027. That's the kind of clarity long-term investors dream about. $POWL is expanding capacity and capturing demand from utilities, data centers, and LNG. Quality businesses compound q… www.beatingthetide.com/p/the-fast-a…
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george @beatingthetide.com · 30/09/2026
Huawei's sanctions response: revenue down 30% in 2021, then a 7nm domestic chip by 2023. The Mate 60 Pro proved China's semiconductor progress. Export controls created a new competitor. The US accelerated the very outcome it tried to prevent. www.beatingthetide.com/p/the-tariff…
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george @beatingthetide.com · 30/09/2026
Cut my SYF target from $130 to $100. Updated DCF assumes slower receivable growth, less buyback benefit as capital normalizes, higher return requirement for credit risk. That's ~10.7x the midpoint of 2026 EPS and 2.4x Q2 tangible… www.beatingthetide.com/p/synchrony-…
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george @beatingthetide.com · 30/09/2026
Banco Internacional grows where it counts: loans +9.6% y/y in 6M26 vs 4.8% for the industry, retail deposits +30.6%, CET1 at 17%. 1H profit nearly doubled to CLP 44,862M. ILC's bank is taking shar… www.beatingthetide.com/p/ilc-invers…
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george @beatingthetide.com · 30/09/2026
STRT spiked to $89, then $75 on FY27 guidance. We sold Aug 17 at $81.56. Don't confuse beat with outlook. #stocks #ValueInvesting www.beatingthetide.com/p/blockchain…
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george @beatingthetide.com · 28/09/2026
Bought Inversiones La Construcción (ILC) in Chile today. Target CLP 38,300, +50% from reference. Market worries 1H26 profits aren't sustainable. I think the portfolio change is structural. #ValueI… www.beatingthetide.com/p/ilc-invers…
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george @beatingthetide.com · 28/09/2026
Seven mines, three metals, one thesis. A clear, focused investment thesis is invaluable. What's the core belief driving your biggest positions? $SPY #InvestmentThesis #FocusedInvesting #MarketClarity www.beatingthetide.com/p/coeur-mini…
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george @beatingthetide.com · 25/09/2026
$POWL's acquisition of Remsdaq, a SCADA/automation asset, strategically extends its utility offering. This bolt-on allows Powell to sell a more complete "all-Powell" solution to clients, boost… www.beatingthetide.com/p/stop-fight…
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george @beatingthetide.com · 25/09/2026
Quality companies deliver positive surprises over time. Quarterly earnings shouldn't dictate your strategy—they reinforce that you own something worth holding. Focus on the long term. $POWL #Investing #LongTerm #QualityStocks www.beatingthetide.com/p/the-fast-a…
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george @beatingthetide.com · 23/09/2026
Mistakes are tuition. Buying $TSM higher at $196 taught us to add more at $145. Learn from the market and adjust. #Investing #Lessons #GrowthMindset www.beatingthetide.com/p/tsm-q2-202…
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george @beatingthetide.com · 23/09/2026
I ask two questions before selling a winner. For DELL at $524, the answers are: 'Has the thesis played out?' Mostly. 'Is risk/reward still in my favor?' Narrowing. Trim list. #PortfolioUpdate www.beatingthetide.com/p/dell-q2-fy…
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george @beatingthetide.com · 22/09/2026
Elliott Waves made me money in forex in the early 2000s. Then I gave it all back and then some. Technicals never worked for me in stocks. Graham's Intelligent Investor is what finally stuck. #ValueInvesting www.beatingthetide.com/p/investment…
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george @beatingthetide.com · 17/09/2026
Air compressors: a boring business that keeps growing. Sometimes boring is beautiful. $SPY $DXPE #BoringIsBeautiful #Industrial #SteadyGrowth www.beatingthetide.com/p/weekly-71-…
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george @beatingthetide.com · 16/09/2026
Two numbers moved this stock after a record quarter — and neither was revenue or margin. Guidance told a quieter sto… www.beatingthetide.com/p/ai-connect…
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george @beatingthetide.com · 15/09/2026
Every thesis needs a bear case that scares you. Mine gets this one down to a level most holders would rather not thi… www.beatingthetide.com/p/ai-connect…
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george @beatingthetide.com · 15/09/2026
Process improvement culture is invisible on a balance sheet. But it's often the most valuable asset. DQ's culture of getting better every day was worth more than any factory. $DQ $SPY #CorporateCulture #IntangibleAssets #Investing www.beatingthetide.com/p/investment…
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george @beatingthetide.com · 15/09/2026
Best performer YTD: DELL +325% since Feb. Stock at $524, all-time high. My new target: $601. Bear case: $450. Asking 'is there enough left to pay for the risk?' Answer: less than before. Trim list. www.beatingthetide.com/p/dell-q2-fy…
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george @beatingthetide.com · 15/09/2026
Is $CDE still a buy after a 42% drop? It's about what changed with the company vs. what changed with the market. Understand the drivers. #BuyOrSell #InvestmentDecision #MarketVsCompany www.beatingthetide.com/p/coeur-mini…
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george @beatingthetide.com · 15/09/2026
RankedStocks.com expands to Chile next, then Latam. US, Canada, UK done. Building a global equity hub. Traveling Aug 28 to close a property too. #CapitalAllocation www.beatingthetide.com/p/bessent-pu…
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george @beatingthetide.com · 15/09/2026
Portfolio crossed 100% return — 3.4x the S&P 500. Strong week for the sharks. Full numbers in the weekly update. #PortfolioUpdate #Investing #SharkInvesting www.beatingthetide.com/p/ai-bubble-…
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george @beatingthetide.com · 15/09/2026
The Huawei ban worked—in reverse. Revenue dropped 30%, but Huawei spent on R&D and produced a 7nm chip. Now China has its own advanced semiconductor path. US export controls accelerated China's independence. That's the real trade-off. www.beatingthetide.com/p/the-tariff…
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george @beatingthetide.com · 15/09/2026
U.S. Safety Services posted strength. Safety is a growing need across industries. $SPY $DXPE #Safety #IndustrialSafety #GrowthTrends www.beatingthetide.com/p/weekly-71-…
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george @beatingthetide.com · 15/09/2026
Pricing might be stable, but operational execution does the heavy lifting for profitability. Companies that can consistently deliver on large projects and manage costs effectively drive margin… www.beatingthetide.com/p/stop-fight…
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george @beatingthetide.com · 15/09/2026
Patience and process pay off. $CLS dropped 12% on a bad translation. Google isn't leaving—it's expanding. Fundamentals over fear. $SPY #ValueInvesting #WealthManagement #StockAnalysis www.beatingthetide.com/p/celestica-…
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george @beatingthetide.com · 14/09/2026
Operating margin held steady at 8.7% in the segment that declined. Discipline during downturns separates winners from losers. $SPY #OperationalDiscipline #Winners www.beatingthetide.com/p/weekly-71-…
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george @beatingthetide.com · 14/09/2026
Don't ignore companies in unglamorous industries. Often, they are the 'quiet operators' delivering consistent, strong results without much fanfare. $SPY #HiddenGems #IndustryAnalysis #ConsistentGrowth www.beatingthetide.com/p/80-20-rule…
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george @beatingthetide.com · 14/09/2026
What matters isn't just growth, but *sustainable* growth. Pay attention to management's cadence and long-term outlook for realistic expectations. $SPY #SustainableGrowth #LongTermView #ManagementInsight www.beatingthetide.com/p/80-20-rule…
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george @beatingthetide.com · 14/09/2026
US tariffs created a solar monster: China, not the US, dominates global supply at 80%. Panel prices fell 42% in 2023. The strategy to protect domestic industry failed. This is a case study in unintended consequences. #ValueInvesting www.beatingthetide.com/p/the-tariff…
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george @beatingthetide.com · 14/09/2026
Three weeks ago this position was up 276%. By the time I added to it, it was up 127%. Same company, same thesis, hal… www.beatingthetide.com/p/ai-connect…
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george @beatingthetide.com · 14/09/2026
DELL Q2 2027: Rev +58% y/y. AI orders $60.9B. Backlog $95B. FY guide +$25B. Raised target to $601. At $524, I'm not buying more. Trim list. Discipline over hope. $DELL www.beatingthetide.com/p/dell-q2-fy…
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george @beatingthetide.com · 14/09/2026
When the market panics, look for the source. $CLS dropped 12% on a translation error. Google is adding help. ASIC demand surges. $SPY #InvestingTips #StockMarket #Finance www.beatingthetide.com/p/celestica-…
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george @beatingthetide.com · 14/09/2026
The best time to analyze a stock is when nobody wants to talk about it. DQ wasn't a cocktail party topic. That's exactly when the work matters most. Ignore the crowd. $DQ $SPY #Contrarian #InvestingResearch #StockMarket www.beatingthetide.com/p/investment…
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george @beatingthetide.com · 14/09/2026
DCF targets don't matter if management signals a weak FY27. STRT fell to $75 despite Q3 beat. We sold at $81.56. Trust the signals. #PortfolioUpdate www.beatingthetide.com/p/blockchain…
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george @beatingthetide.com · 11/09/2026
I don't chase momentum. I buy fear. Sometimes that means buying into a war zone. But the market price adapts before the news does. With records set and a dividend initiated, the valuation gap is closing. I see 34% more… www.beatingthetide.com/p/mena-oilfi…
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george @beatingthetide.com · 11/09/2026
RYAM: First-half net loss $114M, $13M impairment—but Q2 EBITDA $40M proves the turn. Score at 58, Sentiment stable. Target $14.90. The worst numbers are behind, the catalyst is ahead. #Capital… www.beatingthetide.com/p/ryam-rayon…
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george @beatingthetide.com · 11/09/2026
Portfolio crossed 100% return — 3.4x the S&P 500. Strong week for the sharks. Full numbers in the weekly update. #PortfolioUpdate #Investing #SharkInvesting www.beatingthetide.com/p/ai-bubble-…
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george @beatingthetide.com · 11/09/2026
Weekly wrap: underperformed index Friday. But STRT exit at $81.56 saved us from FY27 warning drop to $75. Long-term discipline pays. #ValueInvesting www.beatingthetide.com/p/blockchain…
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george @beatingthetide.com · 11/09/2026
AI and HPC are not buzzwords—they are secular tailwinds shifting the economy. $TSM sits at the center of that transformation. Focus on the backbone. #AI #Investing #Growth www.beatingthetide.com/p/tsm-q2-202…
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george @beatingthetide.com · 11/09/2026
Portfolio ahead of the S&P 500 for the week. DXPE the biggest contributor, up 105.6% since entry. Fair value now $225. The earnings scorecard across 12 names: 10 beats on revenue, 9 on EPS. The process is working. #ValueInvesti… www.beatingthetide.com/p/dxpe-q2-20…
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george @beatingthetide.com · 11/09/2026
STRL's adjusted EBITDA grew 104%, EPS 116%. Full-year guidance raised for revenue, EPS, and EBITDA. At midpoints: +64%/+84%/+79%. Stock at $552. Forward EV/EBITDA 13.2x. Compounders don't stay this cheap. www.beatingthetide.com/p/sterling-i…
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george @beatingthetide.com · 11/09/2026
STRT: +75.7% closed. Target cut to $95 post-Q2. 2029 awards decide growth. Negative skew at exit. Recycled into August pick. Repeatable framework. www.beatingthetide.com/p/bessent-pu…
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george @beatingthetide.com · 11/09/2026
Not every cheap stock is a good investment. The absence of a moat and loose capital allocation made $KT a pass despite its low valuation. #InvestWisely #CapitalAllocation #KT www.beatingthetide.com/p/every-stoc…
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george @beatingthetide.com · 11/09/2026
Evaluating the hardware industry through a single lens (revenue growth, multiple, or market share) is a recipe for disaster. It misses the plot entirely. Look deeper at the operating architecture. #TechInvesting #Hardware #MarketAn… www.beatingthetide.com/p/deep-dive-…
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george @beatingthetide.com · 11/09/2026
What constitutes a 'gift' from Mr. Market? It's when quality companies are sold off for transient reasons, offering a chance to buy low. $SPY #MarketOpportunities #SmartMoneyMoves www.beatingthetide.com/p/every-stoc…
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george @beatingthetide.com · 11/09/2026
DELL: purchased at $123 in Feb. Now $524, +325%. Q2 AI backlog $95B. When price approaches target and bear case moves up, it's time to trim, not cling. Moved to HOLD. $DELL #ValueInvesting www.beatingthetide.com/p/dell-q2-fy…
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