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Audrey Dorelien

@audreydorelien.bsky.social
3K followers 763 following 54 posts

Associate Professor at University of Washington, Seattle. Demographer who studies Pop Health, Pop Environment, and Infectious disease dynamics. Data Visualization Enthusiast. 🇭🇹

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Audrey Dorelien @audreydorelien.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
Good luck to all those submitting abstracts to #PAA2027. Looking forward to seeing you in Seattle.
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Audrey Dorelien @audreydorelien.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
Are you interested in presenting in @uwcsde.bsky.social Computational Demography Working Group (CDWG)? CDWG meets weekly to provide an interdisciplinary forum for discussions of digital and computational approaches to demographic research. csde.washington.edu/computationa... #demography
csde.washington.edu
Computational Demography Working Group
About The Computational Demography Working Group (CDWG) at the University of Washington meets weekly to provide an interdi
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Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research (MPIDR) @mpidr.bsky.social · 23/04/2026
🆕📰 𝗠𝗲𝗻 𝗛𝗮𝘃𝗲 𝗙𝗲𝘄𝗲𝗿 𝗖𝗵𝗶𝗹𝗱𝗿𝗲𝗻 𝗧𝗵𝗮𝗻 𝗪𝗼𝗺𝗲𝗻 Henrik Schubert, Thomas Spoorenberg, Christian Dudel & Vegard Skirbekk found that while men used to have higher fertility than women globally, this has reversed, & women have & will have a higher fertility rate than men. www.demogr.mpg.de/go/reverseTFR
A father carries his child on his shoulders before sunset, symbolising demographic research into birth rates.
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Audrey Dorelien @audreydorelien.bsky.social · 10/02/2026
This week in my infectious disease/ sociology course the focus was on the sociology of vaccine hesitancy. Students loved the assigned articles by @jenniferreich.bsky.social. Thanks so much for your work.
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Audrey Dorelien @audreydorelien.bsky.social · 09/09/2025
Excited to be in Pittsburgh for @iaphs.bsky.social conference!
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Audrey Dorelien @audreydorelien.bsky.social · 14/07/2025
Missing the @ipums.bsky.social booth at #IPC2025 conference this year.
Image of exhibiter booths at IPC 2025 conference. There are fewer booths than in the past.
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Audrey Dorelien @audreydorelien.bsky.social · 13/07/2025
Hope folks can stop by to #IPC2025 session 8 this morning . I am presenting joint work with @jkerwin.bsky.social and Divya Pandey.
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Audrey Dorelien @audreydorelien.bsky.social · 13/07/2025
So happy to be at #IPC2025
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Audrey Dorelien @audreydorelien.bsky.social · 11/04/2025
The #PAA2025 Karaoke session is no joke! @jkerwin.bsky.social you would have loved this.
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Audrey Dorelien @audreydorelien.bsky.social · 11/04/2025
So grateful for the work of @uwcsde.bsky.social affiliate Kyle Crowder (@popassocamerica.bsky.social vice president) in organizing the #PAA2025 conference. I am proud to have served on the organizing committee.
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Audrey Dorelien @audreydorelien.bsky.social · 10/04/2025
Hi fellow #demography folks. Be sure to follow @uwcsde.bsky.social ! They are new to Bluesky . @sarahquinn.bsky.social @petercatron.bsky.social @zalmquist.bsky.social @readdemography.bsky.social @popassocamerica.bsky.social @iaphs.bsky.social @iussp.bsky.social @berkeleypopcenter.bsky.social
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Audrey Dorelien @audreydorelien.bsky.social · 10/04/2025
So excited to be at #PAA2025 with all of my @uwcsde.bsky.social colleagues and students. Also excited to reconnect with my former @minnpop.bsky.social and @ipums.bsky.social colleagues.
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Jason Kerwin @jkerwin.bsky.social · 06/03/2025
USAID is an incredible brand and source of soft power. Killing it off would be a disaster for US foreign policy and for millions of the world’s poorest people.
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Karen Benjamin Guzzo @karenguzzo.bsky.social · 04/03/2025
The Census Scientific Advisory Committee, which advises the Census Bureau on research and methodology across various Census programs and activities, has been terminated as of 2/28/25. This is another blow against federal data collection.
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Apoorva Mandavilli @apoorvanyt.bsky.social · 26/02/2025
An influential program that gave detailed public health information to about half of the world’s nations has folded as a result of the Trump administration’s freeze on foreign aid. www.nytimes.com/2025/02/26/h...
nytimes.com
Trump Administration Ends Global Health Research Program (Gift Article)
The Demographic and Health Surveys were the only sources of reliable information in many countries on metrics such as mortality, nutrition and education.
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Stéphane Helleringer @shelleringer.bsky.social · 26/02/2025
Surreal read of the day: a paper using USAID-funded and now terminated Demographic & Health Surveys to count the huge number of lives saved by the now frozen US PEPFAR program to fight HIV, co-authored by current US admin’s nominee to lead cuts in health research jamanetwork.com/journals/jam...
jamanetwork.com
HIV Development Assistance and Adult Mortality in Africa
To determine the effects of the US President’s Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief (PEPFAR), Bendavid and coauthors conducted analyses of adult mortality using person-level data from the Demographic and He...
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Seema Jayachandran @seema.bsky.social · 26/02/2025
Such a travesty that the Demographic and Health Survey program was terminated this week. I realize the Gates Foundation can't pick up all the pieces, but this one seems like a natural one for them to pick up given that the DHS is the go-to data source for many of their focus areas.
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Audrey Dorelien @audreydorelien.bsky.social · 26/02/2025
Really enjoyed meeting with @vluck89.bsky.social and learning more about his book. One highlight was learning that some of his research was powered by @ipums.bsky.social !
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Audrey Dorelien @audreydorelien.bsky.social · 15/01/2025
Help spread the word. The @minnpop.bsky.social is a great place to work. @popassocamerica.bsky.social @iaphs.bsky.social #Demography #PublicHealth #Sociology
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Audrey Dorelien @audreydorelien.bsky.social · 05/12/2024
I am looking for a guest lecturer for a Data Viz class on the morning of March 6 at the University of Washington. Do you have any suggestions of people to reach out to? #dataviz
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Audrey Dorelien @audreydorelien.bsky.social · 30/11/2024
The best Christmas present I received as kid was GeoSafari. I loved it so much. I would love to get my kids one but can't find something similar. Did anyone else play with this in the 90s? In addition to being fun, I swear it helped me get the best social studies grade in middle school.
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Audrey Dorelien @audreydorelien.bsky.social · 26/11/2024
@elenakriegerphd.bsky.social can you help spread the word to your network?
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Audrey Dorelien @audreydorelien.bsky.social · 22/11/2024
I am so excited about this good news about Haiti from @earthspark.bsky.social. Jason (@jkerwin.bsky.social) and I had the pleasure to visit the first microgrid they built in Haiti and were very impressed. #microgrid
Image of solar panels that make up the Les Anglais micro grid
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Audrey Dorelien @audreydorelien.bsky.social · 19/11/2024
Excited about the 2025 PAA conference. I had the opportunity to read through fantastic sets of extended abstracts and organize two sessions under the Mortality & Morbidity theme. Unfortunately there were many great papers I was not able to accept. #Demography @popassocamerica.bsky.social
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Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research (MPIDR) @mpidr.bsky.social · 14/11/2024
Are you a #student who is interested in #Demography and #DataScience & you have no plans for ☀️☀️☀️#summer 2025☀️☀️☀️☀️ yet? Look no more! @mpidr.bsky.social has just the program for you: Population and Social Data Science Summer Incubator Program! Apply until Jan 8, 2025 demogr.mpg.de/go/Incubator...
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Audrey Dorelien @audreydorelien.bsky.social · 27/08/2024
Two job openings at the assistant level this fall at UW Seattle. Spread the word! Sex/Gender/Sexuality position is at apply.interfolio.com/151038 Health/Health Inequality/Medical Sociology is at apply.interfolio.com/151028 I will be part of the Health Search Committee. @iaphs.bsky.social #sociology
apply.interfolio.com
Apply - Interfolio {{$ctrl.$state.data.pageTitle}} - Apply - Interfolio
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Audrey Dorelien @audreydorelien.bsky.social · 23/07/2024
Some personal news: we’re moving to Seattle! We will both be starting new tenured positions at UW Seattle in the fall—I’ll be in Sociology and @jkerwin.bsky.social will be in Econ. I am so excited to join a great group of demographers and sociologists at UW. Thankful for an amazing 10 years at UMN.
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Audrey Dorelien @audreydorelien.bsky.social · 08/07/2024
Do you have recommendations for a good organizer for a #PAA2025 flash session titled “Small area estimation of morbidity and mortality trends”? Feel free to self nominate. You must not have organized in the past two years. Organizers also need to have an active PAA membership. #Demography
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Interdisciplinary Association for Population Health Science @iaphs.bsky.social · 28/05/2024
Join us for an exciting IAPHS Online Event: "Bridging The Gap: Communicating Research To Policymakers & Beyond" on May 30, 2024 at 12-1PM EST. Visit iaphs.org/tools-for-su... to learn more. #episky #econsky #scisky
iaphs.org
Online Events – IAPHS – Interdisciplinary Association for Population Health Science
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Audrey Dorelien @audreydorelien.bsky.social · 09/05/2024
Join us for an exciting @iaphs.bsky.social cial Online Event: "Bridging The Gap: Communicating Research To Policymakers & Beyond" on May 30, 2024 at 12:00PM-1:00PM EST. Visit iaphs.org/tools-for-su... to learn more! **This webinar is open to everyone and free! (plz sign up for the online account)
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Audrey Dorelien @audreydorelien.bsky.social · 02/05/2024
Have you ever wondered how to get your research into the hands of policymakers, or wished your findings were known by a wider audience? Check out the @iaphs.bsky.social and PRB webinar featuring @datageekb.bsky.social. May 30th at 12pm EST. Be sure to register! #demography
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Audrey Dorelien @audreydorelien.bsky.social · 25/04/2024
Do people have examples of course syllabi that focus on infectious diseases and social dynamics? I am thinking of developing a related course and wanted to see what was out there. www.nature.com/articles/s41... #demography #epidemiology
nature.com
Thinking clearly about social aspects of infectious disease transmission - Nature
The use of new datastreams and local knowledge to shed light on social aspects of disease transmission will allow more accurate modelling and prediction of epidemics.
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Audrey Dorelien @audreydorelien.bsky.social · 11/03/2024
#Demography @popassocamerica.bsky.social Has anyone received any updates about the UAPS/UEPA conference?
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Audrey Dorelien @audreydorelien.bsky.social · 08/03/2024
Happy to share this blog post I wrote with Molly E Brown. #Demography #Sociology
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Matthew Salganik @msalganik.bsky.social · 25/02/2024
You can participate in a new scientific mass collaboration. The aim of the challenge is to measure current predictability of fertility outcomes in the Netherlands to advance understanding of fertility. Apply by March 24 at preferdatachallenge.nl
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Audrey Dorelien @audreydorelien.bsky.social · 14/02/2024
Interested in learning how to add environmental context to your population health research? Check out the new IPUMS DHS blog, where we introduce spatial data concepts & R tutorials to help get you started! #GlobalHealth #RStats #tidyverse #quarto #demography #EconSky tech.popdata.org/dhs-research...
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Audrey Dorelien @audreydorelien.bsky.social · 03/11/2023
Can someone point me to a figure in a journal or website showing age-adjusted COVID-19 cases by year from 2020-2022? Some thing like the first panel in the figure below but instead of cumulative data, I would love to see the figure by year. Thanks.
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Audrey Dorelien @audreydorelien.bsky.social · 05/10/2023
I had a fantastic time at Penn State this week. I was sorry to miss IAPHS conference but had the opportunity to reconnect with colleagues and meet some new potential collaborators. The ice cream at the creamery was an added bonus.
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Audrey Dorelien @audreydorelien.bsky.social · 28/09/2023
Is there a demography or population feed?
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Jason Kerwin @jkerwin.bsky.social · 26/09/2023
Think about the chance that you will die within the next decade. Got a probability in mind? Okay—how *sure* are you about it? In a new paper, we show that people express this kind of “ambiguity” or “imprecision”, and that it matters if we want to change their minds. A 🧵 👇 (1/N) #econsky 📈📉
Navigating Ambiguity: Imprecise Probabilities and the Updating of Disease Risk Beliefs

Jason T. Kerwin and Divya Pandey

September 26, 2023

Abstract
Probabilistic risk beliefs are key drivers of economic and health decisions, but people are not always certain about their beliefs. We study these "imprecise probabilities", also known as ambiguous beliefs. We show that imprecision is measurable separately from the levels of risk beliefs. People with higher levels of imprecision update their beliefs more in response to a randomized information treatment, and new information also causes changes in imprecision levels. We show that we can map our data onto both a standard Bayesian model and a version that is designed to handle imprecise probabilities; these models can match some features of our data but not all of them. Imprecise probabilities have important implications for our understanding of decisionmaking and for the design of programs intended to change people's minds.
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Audrey Dorelien @audreydorelien.bsky.social · 21/09/2023
This is the motivation that I needed today.
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Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham @paulgp.com · 21/09/2023
I have done this on professionally important papers and I am lucky to not have been burned by it. Avoidance is so common and it's particularly bad because so many of us are perfectionists (and naturally anxious about our work)
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Audrey Dorelien @audreydorelien.bsky.social · 19/09/2023
If you are a fan of IPUMS Global Health data like IPUMS-DHS be sure to check out IPUMS-MICS. The extract system has over 900 variables from 88 countries, drawn from over 200 samples and 1000+ datasets! mics.ipums.org/mics/ Please share widely.
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Jason Kerwin @jkerwin.bsky.social · 07/09/2023
Got an extra slot for a seminar speaker this year? I’m on sabbatical in the fall & not teaching in the spring, so I’d love to come give a talk! I’ve got exciting new work on education, health, labor, and finance in developing countries. Let me know if you want to bring me out!
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Evan Roberts @evanrobertsnz.bsky.social · 24/07/2023
IPUMS is hiring for a senior data analyst to work on creating more linked US census data. Great opportunity to contribute to the future of large scale life course data for social science research. Join us. Share the word www.ipums.org/about/jobs
ipums.org
Employment Opportunities | IPUMS
IPUMS recruits candidates who are enthusiastic about creating data that fuels social science and health research around the world. We are seeking smart, technically-minded people to join our growing t...
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