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Andy Kowalczyk

@ascottkoala.bsky.social
172 followers 170 following 105 posts

Transmission Director for the Southern Renewable Energy Association

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Andy Kowalczyk @ascottkoala.bsky.social · 13/02/2026
Here comes the sun in MISO....
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Reposted by Andy Kowalczyk
athada.bsky.social @athada.bsky.social · 07/02/2026
Big jump in the record solar production for MISO today. Hit 20% of total demand, besting wind. I've not seen it surpass fossil gas yet, but I'm betting that happens this spring. #EnergySky
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Reposted by Andy Kowalczyk
John Hanger @jrfhanger.bsky.social · 03/02/2026
US utility-scale wind & solar is on track to reach 430 GW by November 2028. That's up 28%! Small solar is ~58 GW now and will add another ~21 GW by 11/2028. So, total W&S capacity will be ~509 GW by 11/2028! Petrostate politicos are losing the war on W&S. cms.ferc.gov/media/energy... #energysky
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Andy Kowalczyk @ascottkoala.bsky.social · 31/01/2026
A silver lining is that at least it appears we won't have any forced outages in MISO. Boy howdy the gap between wind / solar with only ~600MW's of storage is rough to look at in MISO. #energysky
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Andy Kowalczyk @ascottkoala.bsky.social · 31/01/2026
Temps are going to be even lower tonight than last week in the South, getting down to 18F in Northern MS, where currently outages from ice last week are leaving over 60k people without power still with little more than blankets to keep them warm💔. #energysky
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Andy Kowalczyk @ascottkoala.bsky.social · 31/01/2026
Interesting intertie stuff: ERCOT: Welsh Eastern DC Tie into NW LA has been dispatching at max (600MW's) into SPP all day. MISO: About 5GWs - SPP 900MWs at peak - Manitoba Hydro - SOCO ~1GW all day - PJM looks like they get wind, but not solar from MISO looking at the shape #energysky
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Andy Kowalczyk @ascottkoala.bsky.social · 31/01/2026
MISO - 10% solar before sunset, ~12% wind and climbing tonight SPP - ~30% wind and climbing tonight #energysky
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Andy Kowalczyk @ascottkoala.bsky.social · 31/01/2026
Temps in the low 20's-30's in the South and renewables holding it down again today: Texas (ERCOT) - ~50% solar! v. ~30% gas, with batteries dispatching earlier at ~ 6GWs #energysky
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Andy Kowalczyk @ascottkoala.bsky.social · 27/01/2026
How desperate 🤦
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Andy Kowalczyk @ascottkoala.bsky.social · 27/01/2026
However, LMP's show constraints related to getting this power where it needs to go, and in MISO, price separation continues to show there's a MISO South market and a MISO North Market, but not really a MISO Market... #energysky
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Andy Kowalczyk @ascottkoala.bsky.social · 27/01/2026
Aside from the persistent outages in LA, MS and TN, things were mostly back to normal today on the grid, with another big showing from solar and storage in ERCOT (once again solar outperformed nat gas for a good chunk today), great wind and solar in MISO, and lower wind in SPP. #energysky
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Andy Kowalczyk @ascottkoala.bsky.social · 27/01/2026
It could be that since the May 25th loadshed event, ops is prioritizing MISO South to a greater extent and reducing imports from MISO South - but this is speculation #energysky Interesting flows going south over the last day in any case. ~1k to SOCO from MISO ~600 to SPP from ERCOT (to N LA)
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Andy Kowalczyk @ascottkoala.bsky.social · 27/01/2026
Tuesday, and outages still number close to half a million in TX, LA, MS and TN as temps start to thaw. Temps will plummet this weekend too however, and MISO has already declared a Capacity Advisory for this Friday in the North of the footprint. www.misoenergy.org/markets-and-... #energysky
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Reposted by Andy Kowalczyk
Tor "SolarFred" Valenza @torsolarfred.bsky.social · 27/01/2026
Spanish electricity grid reaches 85.7% saturation after losing 2.8 GW of capacity in two months #energysky -- via pv magazine global:
pv-magazine.com
Spanish electricity grid reaches 85.7% saturation after 2.8 GW loss
Spain’s electricity grid has lost nearly 2.8 GW of available capacity in two months, lifting substation saturation to 85.7% and leaving more than 5,200 facilities without spare capacity, according to new analysis.
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Andy Kowalczyk @ascottkoala.bsky.social · 27/01/2026
I get the sense we’re missing out on something or somethings in the EU 🤔
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Andy Kowalczyk @ascottkoala.bsky.social · 26/01/2026
The efforts of 'More than 65,000 mutual assistance workers from at least 43 states and Canada' engaged in utility mutual assistance has helped to stem the tide of outages, but much work lies ahead. www.eei.org/mutual-assis...
eei.org
Fern
Fern
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Andy Kowalczyk @ascottkoala.bsky.social · 26/01/2026
In North Louisiana it's also proved fatal with 5 lost to the storm weather.com/news/weather...
weather.com
Winter Storm Fern Turns Deadly | Weather.com
Impacts from this storm are expanding. Here's what we know right now.
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Andy Kowalczyk @ascottkoala.bsky.social · 26/01/2026
Really dangerous situation for residents throughout these areas. FEMA has arrived in MS where the storm has claimed two lives www.clarionledger.com/live-story/w...
clarionledger.com
Live updates. Winter storm claims 2 lives, FEMA arrives to help MS recovery
Winter storm Fern may be gone but conditions remain dangerous in Mississippi and more than 150,000 are without power.
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Andy Kowalczyk @ascottkoala.bsky.social · 26/01/2026
Entergy LA and MS's system got really hard by Fern, as did TVA's. At this time I have not heard of loadshed in either territory so it seems likely that this is probably heavy distribution damage from ice loading. #energysky
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Andy Kowalczyk @ascottkoala.bsky.social · 26/01/2026
www.eenews.net/articles/win... #winterstormfern #energysky
eenews.net
Winter storm batters electric utilities in the Southeast
Bitter cold in the coming days could affect Appalachian natural gas producers as a broad swath of the U.S. shivers in the blast of Arctic air.
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Reposted by Andy Kowalczyk
Tor "SolarFred" Valenza @torsolarfred.bsky.social · 26/01/2026
A Million Households Face Outages During Winter Storm #energysky -- via Heatmap News heatmap.news/am/wint...
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Andy Kowalczyk @ascottkoala.bsky.social · 26/01/2026
Temps mostly under 40F degrees and solar serving almost 40% of demand, while batteries are charging at about 3.5GW's in ERCOT. #energysky
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Andy Kowalczyk @ascottkoala.bsky.social · 26/01/2026
Currently ERCOT is serving more load with solar than natural gas 25,207MW's of solar vs. 23,787MW's of gas The average price in ERCOT is currently ~$23 #energysky
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Andy Kowalczyk @ascottkoala.bsky.social · 26/01/2026
media.tenor.com
homer simpson from the simpsons is driving a car and says d' oh
ALT: homer simpson from the simpsons is driving a car and says d' oh
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Andy Kowalczyk @ascottkoala.bsky.social · 26/01/2026
ERCOT is putting up some interesting numbers on storage! Earlier Today: 7.5GWs! around 8am Yesterday: just shy of 2GW dispatch in the AM, and about 1.5 in the evening and charging overnight Big numbers for solar and wind later today. Currently solar @17,812 MW(24.0% of the mix) #energysky
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Andy Kowalczyk @ascottkoala.bsky.social · 26/01/2026
LMP maps in SPP and MISO show price separation between the North and South. Both footprints show wind picking up, but also a lot of solar in MISO. SPP - ~10GW's MISO - 14.1GW wind, 9GWs solar #energysky
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Andy Kowalczyk @ascottkoala.bsky.social · 26/01/2026
TVA is doing what they to restore power, but report that there have been issues with ice loading on transmission. Otherwise they are saying that the system is functioning well. www.youtube.com/watch?v=mqA-... #energysky
youtube.com
TVA crews working to restore power across the state
YouTube video by WKRN News 2
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Andy Kowalczyk @ascottkoala.bsky.social · 26/01/2026
With subzero temps as far south as Jefferson, MO, and freezing temps all the way down to NOLA, outages are still around 800k in the South. SWEPCO and Entergy maps show a lot of the same outages, likely from ice + sustained freezing temps. #energysky
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Andy Kowalczyk @ascottkoala.bsky.social · 26/01/2026
MISO is only pulling about 1GW total across all interties, mostly with PJM currently. ERCOT's DC ties are pulling about 500MW's from the east, mostly from SPP after doing the opposite while the sun was out (duck-curve related?) #energysky
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Andy Kowalczyk @ascottkoala.bsky.social · 26/01/2026
Another bright spot is that wind is forecast to be up later this evening into tomorrow, and solar as well (almost double what it was today). Same deal in ERCOT (already starting to see the strain there though on the LMP map) #energysky
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Andy Kowalczyk @ascottkoala.bsky.social · 26/01/2026
However, as mentioned MISO will be implementing EEA1 from 9pmCT-midnight.
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Andy Kowalczyk @ascottkoala.bsky.social · 26/01/2026
It's cold comfort for folks in MISO who are currently enduring brutal freezing temperatures without power, but currently LMP's are elevated, but capacity margins seem to be in a good spot, which means that there's no imminent threat of load shed at the moment. #energysky
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Andy Kowalczyk @ascottkoala.bsky.social · 26/01/2026
Wild drone footage of the devastation www.youtube.com/shorts/xZNPP...
youtube.com
Ice Storm Collapses Power Poles in Mississippi | Thousands Without Power
YouTube video by AccuWeather
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Andy Kowalczyk @ascottkoala.bsky.social · 26/01/2026
A lot of outages with the amount of ice loading throughout TX, LA, AR, MS, TN and already a lot of others in the Southeast. #energytwitter
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Andy Kowalczyk @ascottkoala.bsky.social · 25/01/2026
Another look at the LMP map with a weather overlay thanks to GridStatus. #energytwitter
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Andy Kowalczyk @ascottkoala.bsky.social · 25/01/2026
Right when things get heavy in ERCOT according to their forecast (h/t @conorwaldock.bsky.social). It'll be interesting to see how storage and solar perform in ERCOT tomorrow given the generous amount of capacity in their footprint. Also, will be interesting to see flow on the DC ties #energysky
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Andy Kowalczyk @ascottkoala.bsky.social · 25/01/2026
Wind and solar are forecast to show up big in ERCOT tomorrow as well as in MISO, with a healthy serving of wind around 8amCT in SPP as well. #energysky
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Andy Kowalczyk @ascottkoala.bsky.social · 25/01/2026
Later this evening MISO will be implementing EEA1 Max Gen for MISO North. Currently, imports from PJM and SPP are doing a lot for the footprint with 5-7GW's of imports at peak from both over the last day / night. Now SPP is providing about 3.75GW's #energysky www.misoenergy.org/markets-and-...
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Andy Kowalczyk @ascottkoala.bsky.social · 25/01/2026
Already seeing some outages in the South with Winter Storm Fern. Around 900k are without power currently. Simultaneously, TVA is importing about 2GW's from SOCO, while simultaneously exporting ~ 2GW's to MISO. #energytwitter
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Andy Kowalczyk @ascottkoala.bsky.social · 25/01/2026
I remember hearing at recent MISO Board Meetings that due to drought conditions Manitoba Hydro was also set to be in a pinch - hoping for the best for our neighbors to the North! #energytwitter
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Andy Kowalczyk @ascottkoala.bsky.social · 24/01/2026
MISO will be one to watch tonight and all three of these footprints might be in white knuckle mode the next 48 hours #energysky
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Andy Kowalczyk @ascottkoala.bsky.social · 24/01/2026
Wind is at 21% but declining in SPP, around 3% in MISO, and 14% in ERCOT. It looks like SPP is in a lull until it picks up bigtime around noon Monday #energysky
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Andy Kowalczyk @ascottkoala.bsky.social · 24/01/2026
Clearly ALOT of congestion in SPP and South Texas - perhaps a lot of wind stuck in OK, North TX and KS. Gee those ITP projects can't get here fast enough can they? #energysky
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Andy Kowalczyk @ascottkoala.bsky.social · 24/01/2026
In MISO EEA2 has already been called, and the N/S constraint has flipped to importing ~1GW. Also, MISO is pulling from SPP as of about noon to the tune of ~2GW's. Meanwhile forced outages remain down at the moment, but the LMP map looks a bit irritable. #energysky
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Andy Kowalczyk @ascottkoala.bsky.social · 24/01/2026
As the sun sets in Central Timezone, here's a couple energy trends as precipitation is at a lull in Eastern TX and AR (where there's currently sleet and snowfall already), but building towards a second round later this evening. weather.com/storms/winte... #energysky
weather.com
Winter Storm Slams South With Ice, Snow As Midwest, Northeast Wait | Weather.com
This historic storm is already hitting the South, and will spread destructive ice and heavy snow over 34 states through Monday including the Midwest and Northeast. Here is the very latest forecast.
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Andy Kowalczyk @ascottkoala.bsky.social · 12/11/2025
www.douglewin.com/p/its-going-...
douglewin.com
It's Going to Happen First in Texas with Nat Bullard (Part 2)
In Part 2 of my conversation with Nat Bullard, we talk about the rise of batteries in Texas, the Texas Energy Fund, the value of distributed energy, demand flexibility & more
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Andy Kowalczyk @ascottkoala.bsky.social · 07/11/2025
Great content from ESIG 😄
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Reposted by Andy Kowalczyk
Jeremy Hoffman @380vdc.bsky.social · 22/08/2025
🔌💡
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Reposted by Andy Kowalczyk
RTO Insider @rtoinsider.bsky.social · 21/08/2025
The United States is on track for a record increase in power generation capacity in 2025, the U.S. Energy Information Administration reports. #energysky 🔌💡 See Full Story: ow.ly/igHP50WJfPE Writer: John Cropley
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Andy Kowalczyk @ascottkoala.bsky.social · 21/08/2025
It looks like MISO's routine price separation is supporting Ukraine today. #energysky #transmissionwouldfixthis
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