iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Alexander Clarkson @aphclarkson.bsky.social · 2h

www.blackhistorymonth.org.uk/article/sect...

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Alexander Clarkson @aphclarkson.bsky.social · 16/10/2026

And in a wonderfully NRW twist, the AfD sword duels between Burschenschaften are also a Köln vs Düsseldorf derby

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Alexander Clarkson @aphclarkson.bsky.social · 16/10/2026

The German Far Right deciding factional disagreements at swordpoint in duels between rival student Burschenschaften makes you wonder if the US would be a better place if American fraternities worked out their disputes through pistols at dawn

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Alexander Clarkson @aphclarkson.bsky.social · 16/10/2026

1. Trump's brain is paranoid mush 2. Trump's paranoid mush-brain is looking for scapegoats to blame when it comes to the impending collapse of his position in US politics after the mid-terms 3. Trump's desperate search for scapegoats will focus on Ukraine, Canada and Europe

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Alexander Clarkson @aphclarkson.bsky.social · 15/10/2026

The Eritrean regime is the kind of authoritarian dictatorship that doesn't give a damn about the welfare of its citizens. As long as it has access to Riyadh and Cairo it will ignore demands from London. And when London needs something from Asmara, this goes out the window anyway

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Alexander Clarkson @aphclarkson.bsky.social · 15/10/2026

Just found this while sorting through powerpoint presentations from my first year of teaching at King's

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Alexander Clarkson @aphclarkson.bsky.social · 15/10/2026

In a society where pretty much everyone knows someone who could be exposed to this kind of blackmail by an out of control state elite

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Alexander Clarkson @aphclarkson.bsky.social · 15/10/2026

A terminally online US government remains obsessed with a bomb that is more meme than effective instrument of real power

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Alexander Clarkson @aphclarkson.bsky.social · 14/10/2026

More datapoints concerning how far the EU, UK and Canada can rely on the US government for the foreseeable future

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Alexander Clarkson @aphclarkson.bsky.social · 14/10/2026

Since EU and UK partners are likely to continue sharing intelligence with Ukraine this would probably flow into a wider American cut off of information sharing through the UK's 5 Eyes and similar frameworks with France, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands and Poland

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Alexander Clarkson @aphclarkson.bsky.social · 14/10/2026

Apart from Ukraine, the other society experiencing the worst fallout from Trump's strategic incompetence is Saudi Arabia. Worth wondering what the impact on the global system would be if existential wars reshape Saudi state and society as much as they have Ukrainians.

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Alexander Clarkson @aphclarkson.bsky.social · 14/10/2026

How Saudi Arabia evolves as a state and society from here on in might become another case study for unintended consequences of Trump's strategic vandalism

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Alexander Clarkson @aphclarkson.bsky.social · 14/10/2026

A good reminder that the US has a long track record of losing badly planned wars of imperial intervention #QueenstonHeights via @magnuscanis.bsky.social

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Alexander Clarkson @aphclarkson.bsky.social · 13/10/2026

On that note, I have never in 25 years of doing this stuff seen such a divergence in analysis between scholars focused on a state's domestic political economy and colleagues focused on its impact on global geopolitics and trade as with scholarship focused on China over the last five years

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Alexander Clarkson @aphclarkson.bsky.social · 12/10/2026

Closely followed by a pitch for my Seldon Crisis model of European integration www.worldpoliticsreview.com/migration-eu...

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Alexander Clarkson @aphclarkson.bsky.social · 12/10/2026

Another opportunity to pitch my Warhammer vs Deep Space Nine paradigm of the future of European politics www.worldpoliticsreview.com/europe-far-r...

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Alexander Clarkson @aphclarkson.bsky.social · 11/10/2026

Ukraine and Russia already blowing up each other's data centres. IRGC and Houthis savaged data centres in UAE and Saudi Arabia. I'd bet Altman and Amodei are too insanely blinkered to comprehend how some domestic or foreign threat could pull an Op Spiderweb against their data infrastructure

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Alexander Clarkson @aphclarkson.bsky.social · 10/10/2026

Or an alternate possibility is that as with every previous supposed breakthrough between Russia and the US it eventually falls apart due to Trump's mush-brained ineptitude and binds Russia closely to a US President who is reaching Yeltsin levels of unpopularity among Americans

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Alexander Clarkson @aphclarkson.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

What exactly is about a certain kind of conservative radicalisation that leads people who view themselves to be defenders of civilisation to end up posting the most decadently weird shit possible on a daily basis?

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Alexander Clarkson @aphclarkson.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

This description of Poschardt in May 2000 could just as well be about him today taz.de/Endgueltig-S...

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Alexander Clarkson @aphclarkson.bsky.social · 08/10/2026

German national media: "Krise, Krise... AfD, Krise, Krise, Katastrophe...Linke, Krise, Debakel...Trump, ohgottohgott...China..." HAZ:

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Alexander Clarkson @aphclarkson.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

Though this does not mention who Baku might have passed these BND files to www.spiegel.de/panorama/jus...

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Alexander Clarkson @aphclarkson.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

Titanic provides insights into what is probably going on in Paul Ziemiak's Whatsapp chat

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Alexander Clarkson @aphclarkson.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

Especially this on Merz and the CDU's death spiral🎯👇

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Alexander Clarkson @aphclarkson.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

Eine Partei, die nicht mehr die Disziplin aufbringt, ihr Wort zu halten, ist auch nicht mehr fähig, die Grundwerte einer bürgerlichen Ordnung zu vertreten

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Alexander Clarkson @aphclarkson.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

Failure to maintain party discipline needed to prevent CDU Sachsen Anhalt MPs from lending votes to the AfD almost guarantees a Linke-led coalition government in Berlin SPD, Green or Linke dealmaking aren't putting German democracy at risk. But the CDU leadership's weakness is

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Alexander Clarkson @aphclarkson.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

Any discussion about the options the AfD has as a party of government in Sachsen Anhalt also needs to take the impact its policy preferences will have on the region's economy into account www.arbeitsagentur.de/vor-ort/rd-s...

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Alexander Clarkson @aphclarkson.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

The BND's reputation has long been so...mixed...that I doubt even close French, Italian, Dutch, Polish or British partners were sharing the entirety of information flows they might exchange amongst each other with it anyway

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Alexander Clarkson @aphclarkson.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

A caveat with the Block case everyone is leaping on to as proof of Israeli state involvement (which is entirely possible). These were ex-Mossad working for a private contractor. Hanning could well have also been paid off by private security corporations www.theguardian.com/world/2025/j...

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Alexander Clarkson @aphclarkson.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

If it wasn't Russia, I initially thought it might be the US or Israel out of misplaced ideological affinity. But this would still be Biden-era and that sort of thing would not have involved payment. Which leaves China and quite a few other worrying possibilities www.tagesschau.de/investigativ...

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Alexander Clarkson @aphclarkson.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

Perhaps growing recognition that the Houthis might have absorbed enough standalone capabilities from the IRGC to continue escalating even if the Iranian regime eventually falters might now have forced the Saudis to widen their involvement

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Alexander Clarkson @aphclarkson.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

Or rather, the Saudi government has decided that the Yemen President now has to take back all territory in country

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Alexander Clarkson @aphclarkson.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

If Labour and Centre Right figures however "One Nation" they are want to succeed in defeating the Far Right they might want to consider whether it is a good idea to use terms like "Boriswave" or other discourse that echoes extremist agendas

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Alexander Clarkson @aphclarkson.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

On the other hand a good way of keeping the AfD below 20% in Niedersachsen and other West-Bundesländer would be to circulate clips of Steimle's show to a big Wessi audience. The "Ostalgie" Partei model is an electoral trap for the AfD as much as it was for the PDS

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Alexander Clarkson @aphclarkson.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

An effective EU/UK strategy also requires thinking about the next possible dynamics beyond today's challenges, and in this case the possibility of how far the Russians might escalate further against the rest of Europe if Moscow's current tactics towards Ukraine fail

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Alexander Clarkson @aphclarkson.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

Die Radikalisierung der Springermilieus um Döpfner, wo sich jetzt gewisse Denkmuster entfalten die in extremistische Netzwerke zu finden sind, sollte endlich Gegenstand von politikwissenschaftlicher Forschung werden

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Alexander Clarkson @aphclarkson.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

I am really baffled by how many colleagues, analysts and journalists didn't see this coming

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Alexander Clarkson @aphclarkson.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

The Brestoration and Glorious Brevolution

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