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Anselm Küsters

@anselmkuesters.bsky.social
1.4K followers 412 following 210 posts

Head of Department Digitalization and New Technologies, Centre for European Policy (cep), Berlin | Postdoctoral Researcher, Humboldt University of Berlin | Associated Researcher, Max Planck Institute for Legal History and Legal Theory, Frankfurt am Main

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Anselm Küsters @anselmkuesters.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
This week’s small signals help thinking about "scaling laws" & the potential for an AI bubble: 📈 Scale-dependent progress: the steady march that was mostly capex 🕯️ Losing my religion 2.0: Julian Togelius roots for the problems 📋 The silicon sample anselmkuesters.substack.com/p/the-small-...
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Anselm Küsters @anselmkuesters.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
This week’s issue of "The Small Signal" covers: 🦞 The mud lobster data center: infrastructure that can leave 🛰️ Chinese Sputnik moments: four percent & other surprises 🧪 3D-printed labs: when the instrument is a file Read here: anselmkuesters.substack.com/p/the-small-...
anselmkuesters.substack.com
The Small Signal #39
Mud lobster datacenter - Chinese Sputnik moments - Printed labs
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Anselm Küsters @anselmkuesters.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
This week's "small signals" in my newsletter cover: 🧩 The openness stack: sixteen rivals agree on a vocabulary 🎭 Decentralised alignment, stress-tested by Bittensor 👻 Ghost workers and risk scores: AI enters the treasury anselmkuesters.substack.com/p/the-small-...
anselmkuesters.substack.com
The Small Signal #38
The openness stack - Alignment, stress-tested - Ghost workers
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Anselm Küsters @anselmkuesters.bsky.social · 11/09/2026
Last Sunday, I queued at Helsinki’s historic amusement park, waiting to ride a wooden roller coaster that is still braked by hand. The Small Signal #37 is about the thoughts I had on AGI and our human potential for fun while I was standing there. anselmkuesters.substack.com/p/the-small-...
anselmkuesters.substack.com
The Small Signal #37
On OpenAI’s Astra, and the ride that still needs a human
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Anselm Küsters @anselmkuesters.bsky.social · 04/09/2026
This week’s "small signals" in my newsletter cover: 🤝 An embedded equilibrium? AI agents cooperate with their own kind 🦆 The licence is not the strategy: DuckDB, HF, and the price of maintenance 📜 Human rights as an alignment target in AI training anselmkuesters.substack.com/p/the-small-...
anselmkuesters.substack.com
The Small Signal #36
Agentic cooperation - Price of maintenance - Human rights as alignment target
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Anselm Küsters @anselmkuesters.bsky.social · 28/08/2026
This week’s small signals in my newsletter: 🔥 The sand battery & the economics of delay 🎵 Spotify’s 1,000-stream threshold and the $40 million transfer ⚖️ Disinformation as a competition law problem Find the full issue here: anselmkuesters.substack.com/p/the-small-...
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Anselm Küsters @anselmkuesters.bsky.social · 21/08/2026
This week’s small signals in my newsletter cover: 🗣️ The machine that out-talks human champions 🏘️ Ideology at the end of the street 🗂️ Municipal data gaps and the missing bidders (plus a newsletter recommendation) Find the full issue here: anselmkuesters.substack.com/p/the-small-...
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Anselm Küsters @anselmkuesters.bsky.social · 14/08/2026
This week's issue of my weekly newsletter covers these "small signals": 🔒 Acemoglu’s theorem: automation and the logic of repression 🎬 12 states versus the Ellison media empire 📊 The diversification myth: concentration in the portfolio Read here: anselmkuesters.substack.com/p/the-small-...
anselmkuesters.substack.com
The Small Signal #33
Acemoglu's automation theorem - Hollywood's antitrust fight - Portfolio diversification
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Anselm Küsters @anselmkuesters.bsky.social · 07/08/2026
This week’s small signals cover: 📉 The 25 percent firm: AI-native startups and the end of headcount growth 🇨🇳 Involution with AI agents: China’s one-person company boom 🍴 Open by necessity: export controls and the fork-count gap anselmkuesters.substack.com/p/the-small-...
anselmkuesters.substack.com
The Small Signal #32
AI-native startups - Involution with AI agents - Open by necessity
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Anselm Küsters @anselmkuesters.bsky.social · 31/07/2026
This week’s "small signals" in my Substack newsletter: 🌐 Building the open metaverse browser before proprietary platforms lock it in 🍠 When AI mistakes pounded yam for mashed potato 🌎 Latin America chooses a regulatory lane: rights-based & risk-tiered anselmkuesters.substack.com/p/the-small-...
anselmkuesters.substack.com
The Small Signal #31
Open Metaverse Browser - AI Mistakes - Brussels Effect in Latin America
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Anselm Küsters @anselmkuesters.bsky.social · 24/07/2026
Issue #30 of the "The Small Signal" looks upstream: at how we train large AI models, how we govern openness, and what that does to human rights. 📐 Item Response Scaling Laws 📚 The politics of digital infrastructure ⚖️ Amnesty on human rights and AI anselmkuesters.substack.com/p/the-small-...
anselmkuesters.substack.com
The Small Signal #30
Item Response Scaling Laws - The Politics of Open Infrastructures - Unlawful by Design
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Anselm Küsters @anselmkuesters.bsky.social · 17/07/2026
Issue #29 of The Small Signal: 🦀 OpenClaw and the modular agent: separability as a design choice 🌐 State media in LLM training data: the language you use shapes the answer you get 🛠️ Citizen hackathon as civic infrastructure or participation theatre? anselmkuesters.substack.com/p/the-small-...
anselmkuesters.substack.com
The Small Signal #29
Modular agents - State media and LLMs - Citizen hackathons
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Anselm Küsters @anselmkuesters.bsky.social · 10/07/2026
This week’s small signals: 🔑 Digital freedom beyond the consent box 🔬 Foucault and the government of patterns ₿ Unmasking Satoshi: myth, authority, and the limits of trustless systems Read the full issue here: open.substack.com/pub/anselmku...
open.substack.com
The Small Signal #28
Digital Freedom as Networked Autonomy - Foucault and AI - Satoshi
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Anselm Küsters @anselmkuesters.bsky.social · 26/06/2026
This week’s "small signals" in my newsletter: 🚫 The politics of technological refusal 🧬 Population ethics and the monoculture problem 🌿 What ecosystem resilience tells us about AI infrastructure anselmkuesters.substack.com/p/the-small-...
anselmkuesters.substack.com
The Small Signal #26
Techno‑Negative - AI Monoculture and Ethics - How to Spread Risk
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Anselm Küsters @anselmkuesters.bsky.social · 19/06/2026
Your feed sounds different now: same hedges, same rhythms. A paper this month says that is not accidental, it is what AI safety training produces. New issue: AI monoculture, Japan's industrial policy, and why the salaryman might be the job of the future. anselmkuesters.substack.com/p/the-small-...
anselmkuesters.substack.com
The Small Signal #25
Japan and Chips - Salarymen in the Age of AI - Alignment as Monoculture
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Marius Strubenhoff @mstrubenhoff.bsky.social · 16/06/2026
2027 wird in vier der fünf größten EU-Mitgliedsstaaten gewählt. Worauf Europa sich einstellen sollte, haben Professor Andrea De Petris und ich mir mit Blick auf Frankreich und Italien genauer angeschaut. 👇👇👇 www.cep.eu/de/eu-themen...
cep.eu
Schicksalsjahr 2027: Das Superwahljahr und die Zukunft der Europäischen Union | cep - Centrum für europäische Politik
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Anselm Küsters @anselmkuesters.bsky.social · 12/06/2026
Issue #24 of The Small Signal: 🏛 Reading AOC's MSC speech when OpenAI, Anthropic, and SpaceX are heading for IPO 💰 IMF on tokenisation 🚆 Zero-knowledge proofs for ticketing 📋 Paper: EU digital rules are centralised on paper, fragmented in practice anselmkuesters.substack.com/p/the-small-...
anselmkuesters.substack.com
The Small Signal #24
Antitrust as Security - Tokenised finance - Decentralised identity & enforcement
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Anselm Küsters @anselmkuesters.bsky.social · 05/06/2026
Issue #23 of The Small Signal considers digital democracy at human scale: 🏘 Digital citizen participation in East Germany 🇯🇵 Japan's Team Mirai uses open-source tech to make policy formation legible 👍 The engineer behind Facebook's like button on AI anselmkuesters.substack.com/p/the-small-...
anselmkuesters.substack.com
The Small Signal #23
How digital democracy looks like in Saxony, in Japan, and in Silicon Valley
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Anselm Küsters @anselmkuesters.bsky.social · 29/05/2026
The Small Signal #22 🗣 Benefit-sharing: A community in Kenya chose NOODL over CC0 for their language data 🇪🇺 Europe has 23% of open source contributors but not the institutions to turn that into sovereign infrastructure 💾 On SciOp & Google DiLoCo anselmkuesters.substack.com/p/the-small-...
anselmkuesters.substack.com
The Small Signal #22
Our Language, our Data - Open Source Talent - Distributed by Design
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Anselm Küsters @anselmkuesters.bsky.social · 22/05/2026
New issue of The Small Signal. Three signals on what "open" AI actually enables: 📊 Open-weight models coding texts 🇮🇳 India's Digital Futures Lab built a matrix for thinking about AI openness by layer 💾 What is local-first software? anselmkuesters.substack.com/p/the-small-...
anselmkuesters.substack.com
The Small Signal #21
Replication (in political science) - Sovereignty (in India) - Ownership (in software)
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Anselm Küsters @anselmkuesters.bsky.social · 15/05/2026
New issue of The Small Signal, covering: 🛰 TinyIceNet runs on a satellite chip, no cloud required 🏭 Germany's environment ministry notes that industrial AI is already specialized and embedded 🤖 AI agents that design their own edge models Read here: anselmkuesters.substack.com/p/the-small-...
anselmkuesters.substack.com
The Small Signal #20
TinyIceNet - German GPTs - AI Agents and Von Neumann Constructors
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Joanna Bryson @j2bryson.bsky.social · 08/05/2026
I mean, speeches can help, but yeah, this.
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Anselm Küsters @anselmkuesters.bsky.social · 08/05/2026
European tech sovereignty is not about speeches; it's mainly about mundane things like vulnerability databases. This week's "The Small Signal" covers: 🔐 Luxembourg's GCVE goes live 📉 Europe and open source talent ⚖️ Germany's sovereign cloud tender anselmkuesters.substack.com/p/the-small-...
anselmkuesters.substack.com
The Small Signal #19
European CVE - Open Source Plumbing - Cloud Tenders
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Anselm Küsters @anselmkuesters.bsky.social · 01/05/2026
May Day. New issue of "The Small Signal" covers: gig workers whose employers exist only in court proceedings, a century of rising firm concentration across 10 economies & AI swarms designed to manufacture consensus. Also: 60 years of basic income research. anselmkuesters.substack.com/p/the-small-...
anselmkuesters.substack.com
The Small Signal #18
Swarms of Parasitic AI - Gig Work - Tales of Concentration
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Anselm Küsters @anselmkuesters.bsky.social · 24/04/2026
AI chip manufacturing emissions rose 7% in 2024, after a 30% decline in 2023. The driver is HBM demand. New issue of "The Small Signal" looks at that, plus the EU's DMA review, and Sara Hooker's essay on why the scaling era is losing reliability. anselmkuesters.substack.com/p/the-small-...
anselmkuesters.substack.com
The Small Signal #17
AI’s Material Costs - DMA Review - Europe After Scaling
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Anselm Küsters @anselmkuesters.bsky.social · 17/04/2026
New issue of "The Small Signal": AI renegotiates Coase's theory of the firm. China's internet, told through six lives. And a German study puts a number on what choice is worth: 8.9%. Three signals. One thread connecting them: agency. Full issue: anselmkuesters.substack.com/p/the-small-...
anselmkuesters.substack.com
The Small Signal #16
New Coasean Bargain - China’s Internet - Choice
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Marius Strubenhoff @mstrubenhoff.bsky.social · 14/04/2026
Freue mich, dass mein neuestes CEP-Briefing heute veröffentlicht wurde, das sich aus EU-Perspektive mit den sicherheitspolitischen Herausforderungen in der Region von der Arktis bis in die Nordsee beschäftigt. Freue mich auf Reaktionen und Feedback. www.cep.eu/de/eu-themen...
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Anselm Küsters @anselmkuesters.bsky.social · 10/04/2026
Kafka's theatre director had to father his own actors. He ended up changing nappies. The one-person unicorn follows the same logic. New issue of "The Small Signal" on AI, total control & why Google's Gemma 4 being open is not the same as it being usable: anselmkuesters.substack.com/p/the-small-...
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Leonhard Dobusch @leonido.bsky.social · 09/04/2026
"Doch Unicorns heißen nicht umsonst so: mythische Wesen, selten und wunderlich. Ein-Personen-Unicorns wären mythische Wesen zweiter Ordnung." @anselmkuesters.bsky.social in seinem überaus lesenswerten Kurz-Essay zu Kafka und KI bei @netzpolitik.org - check it out: netzpolitik.org/2026/kafka-u...
netzpolitik.org
Kafka und Künstliche Intelligenz: Die Sehnsucht nach totaler Souveränität
Mit Hilfe von KI-Agenten sollen Einzelpersonen schon bald Unternehmen mit Milliardenbewertung aufbauen. Das klingt verführerisch, weil es einer prometheischen Sehnsucht nach totaler Souveränität schmeichelt. Allerdings wusste schon Franz Kafka, dass Ein-Personen-Unicorns mythische Wesen sind.
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Anselm Küsters @anselmkuesters.bsky.social · 03/04/2026
What keeps power distributed? Not good laws, but structural facts: no country above 25% of world GDP, no company above 1%. Rose Hadshar argues advanced AI could dissolve both. I discuss her thesis in this week's Small Signal: anselmkuesters.substack.com/p/the-small-...
anselmkuesters.substack.com
The Small Signal #14
Power Concentration - Ideology as Infrastructure - Physical Edge AI - TurboQuant
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Anselm Küsters @anselmkuesters.bsky.social · 27/03/2026
The Strait of Hormuz is 21 miles wide. A fifth of the world's oil. Solar has no equivalent chokepoint: its costs fall & no one can close it. In "The Small Signal" #13, I discuss what that means. Plus: why AI adoption may encourage more office mandates. anselmkuesters.substack.com/p/the-small-...
anselmkuesters.substack.com
The Small Signal #13
The learning curve doesn't negotiate
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Anselm Küsters @anselmkuesters.bsky.social · 20/03/2026
A Swiss art duo has been placing fabricated images of a Trump-haired moth on scrapeable platforms since 2024. The moth is real. The hair is not. I ran 100 queries per model across seven local LLMs to see how much had gotten in. Full newsletter issue: anselmkuesters.substack.com/p/the-small-...
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Anselm Küsters @anselmkuesters.bsky.social · 13/03/2026
The Small Signal #11: edge AI that processes data locally but reports to the police. A digital euro that claims sovereignty but may crowd out its alternatives. And Heckscher's 1939 network theory, translated in 2026 by the thing it warned about. Link: anselmkuesters.substack.com/p/the-small-...
anselmkuesters.substack.com
The Small Signal #11
Distributed AI - Ethics of Financial Decentralization - Heckscher's Network Theorem
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Anselm Küsters @anselmkuesters.bsky.social · 06/03/2026
The Small Signal #10 ➡️Doctorow: "There is no alternative" in tech is politics, not engineering ➡️Bertelsmann on interoperability; Linux Foundation's Agentic AI Foundation ➡️Japan's smartphone act is live; the DMA uses fairness without defining it Link: anselmkuesters.substack.com/p/the-small-...
anselmkuesters.substack.com
The Small Signal #10
TINA in Tech - Standards as Infrastructure - "Fairness" as Legal Concept
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Anselm Küsters @anselmkuesters.bsky.social · 05/03/2026
Podcast-Hinweis: Digitale Souveränität In der aktuellen Folge von „Das Ohr am Netz“, dem Podcast von eco – Verband der Internetwirtschaft, spreche ich über mein neues Buch „Small is Beautiful 2.0“ und die Frage, wie Europa technologisch handlungsfähig werden kann. open.spotify.com/show/5rlnSMJ...
open.spotify.com
Digitale Souveränität - Wie gehen Deutschland und Europa mit digitalen Abhängigkeiten um?
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Anselm Küsters @anselmkuesters.bsky.social · 27/02/2026
The Small Signal #9: Oxford researchers say mid-sized economies must pool resources or accept dependency. I think the compute gap matters less than they claim, and the political will for a CERN for AI is not there yet. Plus 2 additional signals! Link: anselmkuesters.substack.com/p/the-small-...
anselmkuesters.substack.com
The Small Signal #9
Pooling AI Resources - Lowering Barriers - Disability and Avatars
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Daniel Brumund @danbru8.bsky.social · 21/02/2026
Wie kann (digitale) Wirtschaft nachhaltiger, gerechter und resilienter werden? Indem wir mit #OpenSource, kleinen KI-Modellen und dezentralen Ansätzen lokale Wirtschaft, KMU & Gemeinschaften stärken Mehr dazu im großartigen neuen Buch von @anselmkuesters.bsky.social www.herder.de/geschichte-p...
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Anselm Küsters @anselmkuesters.bsky.social · 13/02/2026
My newsletter, "The Small Signal" #7, is out: - Why Mars visions serve incumbent power - Digital twins as "appropriate technology" for SMEs - How spatial economics limits platform dominance Three angles on infrastructure control. anselmkuesters.substack.com/p/the-small-... @cepger.bsky.social
anselmkuesters.substack.com
The Small Signal #7
Adam Becker on Mars - Thomas Hampel on Digital Twins - August Lösch on Geography
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Anselm Küsters @anselmkuesters.bsky.social · 06/02/2026
The Small Signal #6 is live: Technical AI decentralization advances, but market concentration persists. This week's 3 signals cover: > Local AI vs switching costs > Sovereignty & compliance as service > Speech & few-sample adaptation Read the issue: anselmkuesters.substack.com/p/the-small-...
anselmkuesters.substack.com
The Small Signal #6
Local AI Efficiency - Sovereignty as Service - Few-Sample Speech Recognition
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Marius Strubenhoff @mstrubenhoff.bsky.social · 02/02/2026
Trump doesn’t speak for the US. At least not if you read current polls on key issues of joint European and US interest. What does this mean for the transatlantic alliance in the wake of Greenland and Davos? Read my take here👇 commongroundeurope.eu/blog/the-tra...
commongroundeurope.eu
The Transatlantic Partnership Is Not Dead But...
The transatlantic partnership is changing, but not collapsing. A closer look at EU–US relations, public opinion and Europe’s remaining leverage.
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Centrum für Europäische Politik @cepger.bsky.social · 04/02/2026
Chinesische Open-Source-KI wird derzeit als pragmatische Option für Europa diskutiert. Anselm Küsters sieht das deutlich kritischer: www.cep.eu/de/eu-themen... @anselmkuesters.bsky.social
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Anselm Küsters @anselmkuesters.bsky.social · 30/01/2026
The Small Signal #5: When digital governance ideals meet implementation constraints. This week's issue of my newsletter covers: 🇹🇼 Taiwan's deepfake counterstrike 📚 Coalition S retreats 🇪🇺 EU standardizes VR... before it exists Read the analysis here: anselmkuesters.substack.com/p/the-small-...
anselmkuesters.substack.com
The Small Signal #5
Taiwan's Deepfake Counterstrike - Open Web - VR Rules
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Anselm Küsters @anselmkuesters.bsky.social · 23/01/2026
The Small Signal #4 is live! This issue delivers 3 signals on the maturation of decentralized digital infrastructure - and the tensions that come with it. ➡️ Wikipedia's paradox ➡️ AI's "middle field" ➡️ NFT utility beyond speculation Read the full issue: anselmkuesters.substack.com/p/the-small-...
anselmkuesters.substack.com
The Small Signal #4
Wikipedia at 25 - the “Middle Field” of AI - NFT Utility
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Anselm Küsters @anselmkuesters.bsky.social · 16/01/2026
The Small Signal #3 is live: AI's environmental debate shifts from panic to precision. Three key signals in this week's edition: - AI water usage claims corrected - decentralized training grids now viable, - an emerging digital ESG divide Full analysis: anselmkuesters.substack.com/p/the-small-...
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Anselm Küsters @anselmkuesters.bsky.social · 09/01/2026
Are we building digital democracies or just renting them? In The Small Signal #2, I look at a divergence: While cities like Buenos Aires are building transparent, human-in-the-loop AI systems, the German government is reinforcing its dependence on US tech giants. open.substack.com/pub/anselmku...
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Anselm Küsters @anselmkuesters.bsky.social · 05/01/2026
🎯 First edition of "The Small Signal" is live! Three signals worth watching: → Why tiny recursive models might beat massive LLMs → China's open-source AI swarm strategy → The emerging vertical data moat advantage Read on Substack: anselmkuesters.substack.com/p/the-small-...
anselmkuesters.substack.com
The Small Signal #1
Tiny Recursive Models - China’s Open Source Swarm - Vertical Data Moats
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Anselm Küsters @anselmkuesters.bsky.social · 05/01/2026
Launching "The Small Signal" – a Substack newsletter on human-scale digital economies. Each week: 2-3 signals (new research, policies, etc) that tell us something deeper about decentralizing tech power. Issue #1 this afternoon, then weekly Fridays. Subscripe: anselmkuesters.substack.com/subscribe
anselmkuesters.substack.com
Subscribe to The Small Signal
A weekly note on how digital decentralization can make our economies more human – inspired by my book "Small is beautiful 2.0". Click to read The Small Signal, by Anselm Küsters, a Substack publicatio...
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Anselm Küsters @anselmkuesters.bsky.social · 10/11/2025
Europa diskutiert gerade intensiv über digitale Souveränität. Das ist wichtig. Aber wir tun es in der Sprache der Abwehr. Wir wollen uns schützen vor Big Tech, vor Abhängigkeiten, vor Kontrollverlust. Was uns fehlt, ist die positive Vision: Was wollen wir eigentlich erschaffen? Wofür stehen wir? /1
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Anselm Küsters @anselmkuesters.bsky.social · 03/11/2025
What if the Luddites had won? Not with hammers, but with policy. On Tuesday, I will be using counterfactual historiography at Stuttgart University to address a key issue in the governance of AI: how can computational power be redistributed effectively? www.igma.uni-stuttgart.de/institut/new...
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Anselm Küsters @anselmkuesters.bsky.social · 31/10/2025
If you ask Google’s AI “Which rum goes best with an Espresso Martini?”, you won’t get 10 blue links; you’ll get 1 convincing-sounding answer. This is key for brand visibility. Yesterday, I spoke at the 24. German Spirits Industry Forum in Bonn about how AI is reshaping competition in this sector.
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