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Dr Andreas Krieg @andreaskrieg.bsky.social · 10/02/2026

"The #UAE have a long history of delegating statecraft to surrogates and intermediaries, working through networks and creating interdependencies they can weaponize" #Libya #Sudan #Ethiopia #Somalia #Yemen Listen here www.youtube.com/watch?v=9Hff...

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Dr Andreas Krieg @andreaskrieg.bsky.social · 23/01/2026

"The Saudis have a unique moment right now to lead the region, especially at a time when many actors feel increasingly alienated by the Emirates....the mindset and strategic culture of Abu Dhabi is fundamentally different. Under pressure, they push back — they don’t fold..." youtu.be/bEBROI1f6NQ

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Dr Andreas Krieg @andreaskrieg.bsky.social · 24/11/2025

"We might not like what the UAE are doing, how they're doing it. But they have made themselves indispensable in all these conflicts. I call it weaponized interdependence. They've created a web that is so all encompassing that you'll have to eventually speak to them" www.patreon.com/posts/radio-...

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Dr Andreas Krieg @andreaskrieg.bsky.social · 11/10/2025

Citing Sarajevo, Grozny, and Mosul, @andreaskrieg.bsky.social said: “There are precedents, but #Gaza is totally different. There it was one single city — here it is four times that — one massive strip of land.” www.thetimes.com/world/middle...

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Dr Andreas Krieg @andreaskrieg.bsky.social · 09/10/2025

"Negotiators are still working through the order of steps on a first phase that ties a ceasefire to an initial Israeli pullback and a hostage-prisoner exchange. If either side questions who moves first, or if names on the exchange lists cannot be verified in time, implementation will slip.”

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Dr Andreas Krieg @andreaskrieg.bsky.social · 25/08/2025

«Au #Soudan Abou Dhabi fournit des armes, des fonds et un soutien logistique aux #FSR, utilisant ce groupe paramilitaire comme intermédiaire pour renforcer son influence sur les routes commerciales de l’or, l’accès à la mer Rouge et contrer les acteurs islamistes » souligne @andreaskrieg.bsky.social

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Dr Andreas Krieg @andreaskrieg.bsky.social · 23/06/2025

"The Iranians don't want to escalate this further than they need to, as in they don't want to get the US involved in an all out, long lasting, protracted conflict...They want to keep this within certain boundaries...after all, the number one priority is regime security and regime survival."

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Dr Andreas Krieg @andreaskrieg.bsky.social · 16/05/2025

"You have two lobbies now in Washington when it comes to the Middle East, the Gulf and the Israel lobby. For MAGA, the Gulf is a net contributor to US power adding bandwidth, while Israel is a net consumer of US power taking up bandwidth"

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Dr Andreas Krieg @andreaskrieg.bsky.social · 16/05/2025

"The Trump visit signals a significant shift in the regional order as the centre of gravity moves to the Gulf, where interdependence and interconnectivity are key, where Iran and the Gulf move closer together and Netanyahu's Israel is ostracized."

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Dr Andreas Krieg @andreaskrieg.bsky.social · 22/04/2025

"The #UAE is playing a very complex game in East Africa," @andreaskrieg.bsky.social tells MEES, adding that Abu Dhabi "is playing a long game of divide and rule" in conflicts like #Sudan, #Yemen and #Libya." www.mees.com/2025/4/18/ge...

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Dr Andreas Krieg @andreaskrieg.bsky.social · 28/03/2025

Oman has sustained an onslaught of weaponized narratives this month Like in 2017 when Qatar was on the receiving end, information networks are trying to smear Oman as another essential American force multiplier to Trump’s “4D chess deal of a century”🧵

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Dr Andreas Krieg @andreaskrieg.bsky.social · 22/03/2025

"Hamas is based on the idea of resistance. It is an insurgency movement. Engaging this idea only militarily will allow you to maybe win battles or skirmishes. But you cannot win the war... More from this documentary "العبور" on AJ 360 youtu.be/9hQAh9yCxRA

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Dr Andreas Krieg @andreaskrieg.bsky.social · 21/03/2025

"The IDF is engaging in a policy of territory for hostages. It is compartmentalizing Gaza territory undermining freedom of movement and then moving in. For the IDF it's about desperately going after a newly populated target list and for Netanyahu it is a war to cement his political survival"

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Dr Andreas Krieg @andreaskrieg.bsky.social · 06/03/2025

The UAE's 'Axis of Secessionists' is starting to crumble as Abu Dhabi's 12 year-long adventurism curating and orchestrating networks in and above the greyzone of international law has finally hit a brick wall in Sudan

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Dr Andreas Krieg @andreaskrieg.bsky.social · 27/02/2025

I am very pleased to see the first draft of my new book "Webs of Power - Orchestrating Network-Centric Statecraft" completed It looks at how states can strategically orchestrate financial, trade, tech, information and security networks to advance national interests

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Dr Andreas Krieg @andreaskrieg.bsky.social · 25/02/2025

Very pleased to talk about a networked regional order in the Middle East at @IEMed_ in Barcelona this evening and how states need to learn how to reengineer statecraft to work with, alongside or compete with networks in the region

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Dr Andreas Krieg @andreaskrieg.bsky.social · 13/02/2025

#UAE ambassador supports #Trump's plan for ethnically cleaning #Gaza stating there is 'no alternative' Easy for the UAE to suck up to Trump and supporters on this, as they can rely on Saudi, Qatar, Egypt, Jordan and others fighting the proposal

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Dr Andreas Krieg @andreaskrieg.bsky.social · 07/02/2025

Netanyahu suggests to his base that if Saudi Arabia insists on a Palestinian state as a prerequisite for normalisation, Saudi should create a Palestinian state on its own territory US suggestions that a breakthrough in normalisation was imminent appear premature

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Dr Andreas Krieg @andreaskrieg.bsky.social · 05/02/2025

Palestinians will not leave Gaza - this is a red line But in absence of an Arab/Gulf-led solution to governance in Gaza, the US becoming the protector of the territory might be a solution to eventual Palestinian self-governance

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Dr Andreas Krieg @andreaskrieg.bsky.social · 05/02/2025

Journalist asking whether Qatar is part of the problem or part of the solution in Gaza: "Qatar, they are absolutely trying to help...they are doing everything they can, a very tough situation, but they are absolutely trying to help"

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Dr Andreas Krieg @andreaskrieg.bsky.social · 03/02/2025

The US doesn't want to send troops, Israel doesn't trust UN troops, Arab states have no capacity or willpower US contractors are not providing static security in Gaza's Netzarim corridor manning checkpoints

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Dr Andreas Krieg @andreaskrieg.bsky.social · 30/01/2025

🎙️Listen to me speak to the Guns for Hire Podcast about outsourcing stabilization in #Gaza to private military contractors It's a novel approach to get a force that might be more restrained than the IDF and more palatable to the Israelis than UN peacekeepers podcasts.apple.com/gb/podcast/g...

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Dr Andreas Krieg @andreaskrieg.bsky.social · 30/01/2025

Qatar’s Emir first foreign leader to visit Syria after the fall of the Assad regime The ‘Syria trauma’ of 2011-2014 makes Qatar a careful player in this new environment, closely coordinating with the US, Gulf partners and Turkey Qatar could help mediate between Syrian factions

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Dr Andreas Krieg @andreaskrieg.bsky.social · 13/01/2025

At least Trump is contained within a system of checks and balances where narrative cannot be translated into action by a one man's decision

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Dr Andreas Krieg @andreaskrieg.bsky.social · 04/01/2025

Quite excited about the new book chapter on the #UAE's market for force as a tool to weaponize interdependence and boost the UAE's extra-regional relevance as a small state Coming in February 2025 www.taylorfrancis.com/books/edit/1...

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Dr Andreas Krieg @andreaskrieg.bsky.social · 29/12/2024

The War over Narratives in #Syria will determine the outcome of the socio-political transition as they shape and dictate activities on the ground For more on how #subversion functions, check out my 2023 Georgetown University book 13/ press.georgetown.edu/Book/Subvers...

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Dr Andreas Krieg @andreaskrieg.bsky.social · 29/12/2024

Counter-revolutionary calls to resist what has been framed "a US-Zionist" conspiracy by #Iran come from the very top a desperate attempt by Iran to regain lost popular ground 5/

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Dr Andreas Krieg @andreaskrieg.bsky.social · 29/12/2024

#Subversion relies on different levels of orchestration and mobilization, starting from online discourse, spilling into the physical domain where riots break out, ultimately altering attitudes and behaviours on the ground, affecting policy 2/

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Dr Andreas Krieg @andreaskrieg.bsky.social · 29/12/2024

The greatest threat to #Syria’s socio-political transition are #subversion campaigns trying to sow discord, polarize and mobilize the public via weaponized narratives 🧵A thread on the external information warriors wanting to see #HTS fail in building a national consensus 1/

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Dr Andreas Krieg @andreaskrieg.bsky.social · 08/12/2024

Game over for Assad. Game over for the myth of 'authoritarian stability' Game over for the counterrevolutionaries in Russia, UAE and Iran. Long live a Free Syria! Maybe this most painful of revolutions against the most repressive of regimes in the region be a warning to the authoritarians!

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Dr Andreas Krieg @andreaskrieg.bsky.social · 07/12/2024

And I thought Assad had 95% of the people behind him...

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Dr Andreas Krieg @andreaskrieg.bsky.social · 06/12/2024

Syria is where the revolutions divided the Gulf between revolutionaries and counterrevolutionaries The counterrevolutionaries thought they had won wasting considerable effort to normalise Assad Developments in Syria must send shockwaves to those obsessed with regime security

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Dr Andreas Krieg @andreaskrieg.bsky.social · 03/12/2024

🇶🇦🇬🇧 Nobody rolls out the red carpet like the UK does No effort was spared by Britain to demonstrate how important Qatar is as a force multiplier for Global Britain in these uncertain times Absolute privilege to attend King Charles III reception of Qatar's Emir

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Dr Andreas Krieg @andreaskrieg.bsky.social · 30/11/2024

Assad calls his key Arab crony MbZ The #UAE's policy in #Syria isn't wedded to Assad, but the regime - should there be signs of a shift against him from within the regime, Abu Dhabi will abandon him

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Dr Andreas Krieg @andreaskrieg.bsky.social · 30/11/2024

Looking at #Aleppo and #Hama falling in Syria, my thesis of an immensely fragile, network-centric, regional order where singular tactical actions can upend the strategic equilibrium, appears confirmed t.co/srwkGe4EmD

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Dr Andreas Krieg @andreaskrieg.bsky.social · 29/11/2024

Israel's interpretation of a ceasefire suggests an extremely low threshold for resuming hostilities Neither side is effectively deterred and red lines will be set by current behaviour #Lebanon

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Dr Andreas Krieg @andreaskrieg.bsky.social · 27/11/2024

𝐑𝐞𝐚𝐬𝐨𝐧𝐬 𝐭𝐨 𝐀𝐠𝐫𝐞𝐞 𝐭𝐨 𝐂𝐞𝐚𝐬𝐞𝐟𝐢𝐫𝐞 ISRAEL - Pyrrhic stalemate on the battlefield - Military targets exhausted - Decoupling Hezbollah from Gaza - “Goodie” for Trump to buy time in Gaza - Victory Narrative: “Citizens can return to their homes and ‘lawn has been mowed’”

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Dr Andreas Krieg @andreaskrieg.bsky.social · 25/11/2024

It looks like the IDF is creating another physical corridor in northern Gaza to slice the territory into ever smaller slices chunks Ethnic cleansing becomes a more permanent reality formalized by physical infrastructure #Westbankinization 31°30'25.5"N 34°32'04.4"E

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Dr Andreas Krieg @andreaskrieg.bsky.social · 22/11/2024

International law is the only objective metric to judge state/non-state actor behaviour How we respond to the ICC decision will determine whether the rules-based international order will survive The credibility of the West is on the line vis-à-vis rogue regimes in China/Russia

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Dr Andreas Krieg @andreaskrieg.bsky.social · 19/11/2024

The images Israel has been producing on a daily basis for over 13 months will haunt the "liberal world" for decades

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Dr Andreas Krieg @andreaskrieg.bsky.social · 19/11/2024

Some Hamas officials have arrived in Turkey but "not clear if permanent or temporary" A Turkish official denies that the Hamas office was to relocate to Turkey and that "Hamas officials occasionally visit Turkey" www.ft.com/content/66a2...

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Dr Andreas Krieg @andreaskrieg.bsky.social · 18/11/2024

Head of Saudi Public Investment Fund (PIF) Al-Rumayyan hanging out with Trump Transactional Trump torn between the pro-Israel ideologues he appointed for his MENA policy and the appeal of Gulf money A true test to the strategic depth of Gulf lobbying networks

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Dr Andreas Krieg @andreaskrieg.bsky.social · 16/11/2024

Hezbollah dials up the intensity of attacks on Israel in terms of weapons used in recent days showing there is still significant capability available despite Israel's degradation campaign The hope for Hezbollah might be to pressure Israel into a diplomatic settlement as Trump inauguration nears

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Dr Andreas Krieg @andreaskrieg.bsky.social · 15/11/2024

It looks like another Israeli #subversion campaign is underway smearing European activists in the Netherlands as Hamas affiliates The weaponization of narratives by the already discredited Ministry of Diaspora Affairs should be rejected by European politicians

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Dr Andreas Krieg @andreaskrieg.bsky.social · 17/09/2024

This is a new form of #Israel's network-centric cyber sabotage of phones causing them to explode hitting several allegedly Hezbollah-affiliated individuals in a de-centralized attack in southern #Lebanon It might one element of pushing #Hezbollah north of the Litani River

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Dr Andreas Krieg @andreaskrieg.bsky.social · 01/09/2024

Massive strikes in Israel to force Bibi's hand Everyone still bowing to Netanyahu's subversive information networks (e.g. Germany and the US), is actively working against Israeli interests Diaspora networks and Christian kahanites have become the constituency that determines the path ahead

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Dr Andreas Krieg @andreaskrieg.bsky.social · 28/08/2024

Al Qassam brigades claim they will expand in the West Bank One of Iran's major investments (so far disrupted by the IDF since 7/10) has been material/arms support to new operational cells in the West Bank in recent years

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Dr Andreas Krieg @andreaskrieg.bsky.social · 25/08/2024

Five Egyptian ports used to aid Israel during war on Gaza Egyptian ports have been transformed into major hubs for shipments to Israel, according to a report by Arabi Post released on 22 August.

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Dr Andreas Krieg @andreaskrieg.bsky.social · 24/08/2024

The tragic European history of Jews links the burning of Jewish books with pogroms, expulsions, inquisitions, and the Holocaust Now Israeli soldiers are burning holy scriptures in a campaign in Gaza that often amounts to ethnic cleansing

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