Sign in

Amund Vik

@amundvik.bsky.social
2.6K followers 545 following 65 posts

Energy policy, campaigns, elections and geopolitics. open.substack.com/pub/amundvik Eurasiagroup | Data Sciences

PostsRepliesMedia
Amund Vik @amundvik.bsky.social · 21/06/2026
Very interesting times in Uk politics! One thing that I struggle with, is how the Burnham result can be used as indicative of party results under him, when he was effectively also running against core aspects of Labour itself? Surely this particular coalition must be hard to replicate as incumbent?
020
Amund Vik @amundvik.bsky.social · 07/06/2026
Stadt skipstunnel er budsjettforhandlingenes Bent Leikvoll.
2436
Amund Vik @amundvik.bsky.social · 09/04/2026
Ny @altinget.bsky.social spalte ute i dag! www.altinget.no/artikkel/rak...
000
Reposted by Amund Vik
Henning Gloystein @hgloy.bsky.social · 31/03/2026
Kuwaiti supertanker ‘Al Salmi’ was hit by #Iran, sitting fully laden offshore Dubai. No one was hurt and no #oil spilt. The incident confirms worries Iran would target the dozens of tankers sitting in the Gulf (most of them full of oil and chemicals), not just vessels exiting the #StraitOfHormuz
002
Amund Vik @amundvik.bsky.social · 13/03/2026
Må si jeg er overrasket over at de som er primus motor for Stadt skipstunnel enda ikke har kjent sin besøkelsestid i gulfen. Skulle tro betalingsvilligheten for skipstunnel er vel så stor i Hormuz nå som på Vestlandet.
010
Reposted by Amund Vik
Henning Gloystein @hgloy.bsky.social · 05/02/2026
#China + #India #oil imports flatlined in 2025 (14.78 mbpd/'25 vs 14.75 mbpd/'24). China imports even dipped, from an average of 10.06 mbpd in '24 to 9.98 mbpd in '25. With output growing, a supply overhang has been building. That helps explain why crude hasn't jumped more even amid #Iran risks.
021
Reposted by Amund Vik
ian bremmer @ianbremmer.com · 21/01/2026
davos wasn’t about trump’s speech. it was about allies concluding they can’t rely on the united states anymore. that’s not anti-american. it’s strategic reality. @gzeromedia.com
youtube.com
Has the US-led world order ended? | ask ian
YouTube video by GZERO Media
1119253
Amund Vik @amundvik.bsky.social · 09/01/2026
Would be fun to show this to someone in 2015, and ask them to describe a sequence of events that could bring about this world.
030
Reposted by Amund Vik
Henning Gloystein @hgloy.bsky.social · 09/01/2026
#Europe's #energy remains costly because of Russia's invasion of #Ukraine. Yet it's worth aknowledging how much has been achieved since the start of this war in early 2022. #Power & #gas prices have dropped substaantially. #Reneswables have expanded, #fossilfuel use has declined. That's progress.
011
Reposted by Amund Vik
Henning Gloystein @hgloy.bsky.social · 05/01/2026
Check out Eurasia Group's #TopRisks2026 out just now. Risk #2: Overpowered is related to #energy and regards #electrification: #China has mastered it. The #US is ceding it. That will become impossible to ignore, globally. You can download the full report here: www.eurasiagroup.net/issues/Top-R...
001
Amund Vik @amundvik.bsky.social · 11/12/2025
Ny spalte i @altinget.bsky.social i dag! www.altinget.no/artikkel/sto...
altinget.no
Stortinget peker i alle retninger i energi- og industripolitikken - Altinget
Budsjettforhandlingene viser stort sprik mellom budsjettpartnerne i energi- og klimapolitikken, men splittelsen i Stortinget gjelder på begge sider i politikken. Mens forhandlingene pågikk holdt Stort...
041
Reposted by Amund Vik
Henning Gloystein @hgloy.bsky.social · 11/12/2025
Natural gas is no longer expensive in Europe. That should also soon feed into lower wholesale electricity prices. See below a few details from my briefings. Let me know if you'd like to receive it.
011
Amund Vik @amundvik.bsky.social · 20/11/2025
What a timeline!
021
Reposted by Amund Vik
Henning Gloystein @hgloy.bsky.social · 11/11/2025
#Ukraine has suffered what may be the biggest attacks on its #energy infrastructure that any country has ever endured. #Russia has struck every power station plus its gas production, bringing available capacity to virtually zero–which to my knowledge has never happened to a nation.
121
Amund Vik @amundvik.bsky.social · 28/10/2025
Ny spalte ute i @altinget.bsky.social ! www.altinget.no/artikkel/sto...
010
Amund Vik @amundvik.bsky.social · 18/10/2025
New piece out now! Looking at political capital and how it is influenced by spcial media and hyper active news cycles open.substack.com/pub/amundvik...
open.substack.com
A Theory of Political capital
A key question for private sector leaders is why the quality of political decision-making seems to be declining.
020
Reposted by Amund Vik
Henning Gloystein @hgloy.bsky.social · 14/10/2025
#EU #coal prices have plunged to around $90/t, the lowest level since May'21 amid a shift to #cleanpower & #renewables. Coal's power share in the EU has plunged from 40% in 1985 to just over 10%. It'll take some time to feed through, but lower fuel import reliance will bring down power costs too.
011
Amund Vik @amundvik.bsky.social · 24/09/2025
The combination of high inflation, low growth and relatively feeble centrist political response has been devastating for politics in many places. Cause for optimism with Carneys win in Canada and Jonas in Norway though.
030
Reposted by Amund Vik
Henning Gloystein @hgloy.bsky.social · 08/09/2025
#Oil intensity is falling in big economies (incl #China). It explains why oil demand growth is flatlining. Though there's a big outlier in #SouthKorea, which has taken on petrochemical/refining capacity as others have cut back, overal oil intensity has been declining for 20 years in big economies.
031
Amund Vik @amundvik.bsky.social · 05/09/2025
Ny pod ute nå med @tarjeiskirbekk.bsky.social! Spennende valg i Bolivia og Moldova. podcasts.apple.com/no/podcast/p...
podcasts.apple.com
Bolivia! Moldova!
Podkastepisode · PoliTickr · 04.09.2025 · 39 min
011
Amund Vik @amundvik.bsky.social · 05/09/2025
Very likely. Trying desperately to make him stop believing it when it gets out of hand will probably be much harder.
media.tenor.com
a man with long hair is standing in front of a sign that says his cells
ALT: a man with long hair is standing in front of a sign that says his cells
010
Reposted by Amund Vik
Henning Gloystein @hgloy.bsky.social · 22/08/2025
The global share of combustion engines has plunged from 90% in 2019 to not much more than 50% in 2025. With #EV sales (incl. hybrids) to hit 20+ mln in 2025 we’ve reached levels forecast by the IEA’s most bullish scenario for 2030 in 2019-which was largely dismissed esp by the #oil industry.
04613
Reposted by Amund Vik
Henning Gloystein @hgloy.bsky.social · 05/08/2025
One reason why #Europe's growth has lagged is that the #EU is the most trade-reliant of all major economies - which is tricky given #trade as share of global GDP is in decline, not least amid Trump's #tariff sprees. Ping me if you'd like to receive my daily #energy, #resources & #industry briefing.
011
Amund Vik @amundvik.bsky.social · 04/08/2025
Americans with no access to healthcare and social safety net must look at this news with some bewilderment about the nations priorities.
040
Reposted by Amund Vik
Henning Gloystein @hgloy.bsky.social · 14/07/2025
EU #gas stocks will be 90% full by 1 Nov - assuming similar daily injections btw 1Jul-1Aug & btw 1Jun-1Jul and then half current avg daily injection btw 1 Sep-1 Nov. That would support EU move to allow loosening of pre-winter storage mandates and instead let normal market conditions ensure supply.
001
Amund Vik @amundvik.bsky.social · 23/06/2025
What a timeline this is!
020
Reposted by Amund Vik
Mujtaba Rahman @mijrahman.bsky.social · 01/06/2025
‼️ First official exit polls from 🇵🇱 presidential election Rafal Trzaskowski (Tusk's candidate, PO): 50.3% Karol Nawrocki (Law and Justice, PiS): 49.7%
810126
Amund Vik @amundvik.bsky.social · 25/05/2025
This is a timely piece by the @financialtimes.com editorial board. If centrist governments do not deliver, it will be very hard to stop the rise of the far right. And «Moderate parties need bolder policymaking, visible delivery and more compelling personalities to counter them.» on.ft.com/44VsvHq
on.ft.com
Europe’s far right is hammering at the door of power
Moderate parties are running out of time to find ways to satisfy voters’ concerns
000
Amund Vik @amundvik.bsky.social · 24/05/2025
Rolig helg? Trenger noe å lytte til? Hør meg og @tarjeiskirbekk.bsky.social diskutere valgene i Romania, Albania, Portugal og Polen i denne podcasten!
021
Amund Vik @amundvik.bsky.social · 23/05/2025
The internet is a strange and fun place. I’m having a coffee and reading what at first glance appears to be two dogs discussing a tv show. @abbeythelab.bsky.social
010
Amund Vik @amundvik.bsky.social · 23/05/2025
I think the lessons of recent campaigns is that facing populist messaging on economics and immigration with moral accusations is the political equivalent of showing up with a knife to a gunfight.
292
Reposted by Amund Vik
Tarjei Skirbekk @tarjeiskirbekk.bsky.social · 21/05/2025
Vil høyrepopulistene vinne presidentvalg i Polen 1.juni? Hva var dramatikken valgkvelden i Romania? Hvordan gikk det 3 valget på 3 år i Portugal? Og hva var dynamikken i valget i Albania? Finn ut ved høre på podkast! open.spotify.com/episode/6xNZ...
open.spotify.com
Romania, Polen, Albania and Portugal!
PoliTickr · Episode
131
Amund Vik @amundvik.bsky.social · 21/05/2025
Interested in energy policy, climate and resources? You absolutely should follow my good friend and colleague @hgloy.bsky.social. He runs @eurasiagroup.net global energy, climate and resources practice!
010
Reposted by Amund Vik
Henning Gloystein @hgloy.bsky.social · 21/05/2025
@amundvik.bsky.social and I hosted the 1st informal #SvalbardRetreat this week, discussing all things #energy, #climate & #security with gvt officials, business leaders, and friends. What an amazing place, and inspiring discussions. Look out for the 2nd retreat in 2026!
021
Amund Vik @amundvik.bsky.social · 13/05/2025
Svaret er vel ikke så komplisert. Om du tar velgerne for gitt, så går de andre steder.
000
Reposted by Amund Vik
Liberal Party • Parti libéral @liberalca.bsky.social · 26/04/2025
Election Day is Monday. This is the most consequential election in our lifetimes — and Mark Carney is ready to lead. Make your plan to vote #CanadaStrong: how2vote.ca
how2vote.ca
How To Vote | Liberal Party of Canada
Voting is fast and easy. Find out more about the ways to vote in this election.
39231
Amund Vik @amundvik.bsky.social · 26/04/2025
Very exiting to be in Ottawa for the last stretch of a very important campaign!
020
Amund Vik @amundvik.bsky.social · 09/04/2025
I’m looking for book recommendations for Easter! Naturally, crime novels would be a hit, but open to any suggestions!
530
Reposted by Amund Vik
Tarjei Skirbekk @tarjeiskirbekk.bsky.social · 29/03/2025
Hva skjer med de kommende valg i Polen, Canada og Australia? Og hvordan går det med regjeringsbygging i Tyskland og Østerrike? Dette og mer i podkast med @amundvik.bsky.social. open.spotify.com/episode/4eia...
open.spotify.com
Oh Canada
PoliTickr · Episode
041
Reposted by Amund Vik
Gerald Butts @gmbutts.bsky.social · 22/03/2025
Mike Myers has entered the Mark Carney chat. bsky.app/profile/mark...
2034754
Amund Vik @amundvik.bsky.social · 20/03/2025
Tenker stemningen er god på Høyres hus nå. www.nettavisen.no/erna-solberg...
nettavisen.no
Laila Goody og Anders Baasmo spiller Erna Solberg og Sindre Finnes i ny film
Rett før valget kommer en ny film inspirert av Sindre Finnes' aksjehandel på kino. Nå er det klart at Laila Goody og Anders Baasmo får hovedrollene.
000
Amund Vik @amundvik.bsky.social · 10/03/2025
Maybe it was a grass roots project after all..
010
Amund Vik @amundvik.bsky.social · 10/03/2025
Translated version of todays column on European energy security in the new geopolitical landscape. open.substack.com/pub/amundvik...
000
Amund Vik @amundvik.bsky.social · 10/03/2025
Ny spalte i @altinget.bsky.social ute nå. Selv om overgangen fra ett energisystem til et annet er krevende og innebærer kostnader på kort og mellomlang sikt, er det åpenbart at EU ikke kan leve med en situasjon med stor importavhengighet av energi permanent. www.altinget.no/artikkel/nok...
altinget.no
011
Amund Vik @amundvik.bsky.social · 07/03/2025
Excellent thread on current events in Europe by my great colleague @mijrahman.bsky.social
092
Amund Vik @amundvik.bsky.social · 07/03/2025
👀
010
Amund Vik @amundvik.bsky.social · 07/03/2025
This @financialtimes.com article by @jburnmurdoch.ft.com is incredibly fascinating! Operative conclusion for rest of world: it’s very hard to understand and predict the behaviour and actions of the US right using the values of the democratic west. on.ft.com/41xPi8G
063
Amund Vik @amundvik.bsky.social · 06/03/2025
Italians not liking anyone of these guys.
051
Amund Vik @amundvik.bsky.social · 06/03/2025
Im going to go ahead and say that Americans already should be quite worried..
0192
Amund Vik @amundvik.bsky.social · 24/02/2025
Very interesting!
031