We have a new paper out led by the exceptional Simon De Jong in our group: While mobility-driven competition leads to highly structured spread of influenza viruses, predictability of national epidemics is limited by variability in short-term epidemiological processes.
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
nature.com
Competition between transmission lineages mediated by human mobility shapes seasonal influenza epidemics in the US - Nature Communications
Leveraging genomic and epidemiological surveillance data, the authors show that flu epidemics in the US arise from independent outbreaks in different states that spread from state to state through com...
