Alternate Elections UK @altelectionsuk.bsky.social · 11/05/2026This project has been on the backburner while I catch-up on marking (!!!) but in the meantime, on my personal account I went over how the 2026 local election results translate to constituencies in Sheffield! 👇 040
Alternate Elections UK @altelectionsuk.bsky.social · 10/04/2026Onwards to the South West! Cornwall was 6 MPs, in FPTP, 4 Labour, 2 LD. Here - with almost perfectly balanced vote %s for the top 3 parties! - Labour win 2, Tories 2, LDs 1, Reform 1. LDs may feel "cheated" of a seat here - this is why I aimed for larger constituencies, to avoid this. 040
Alternate Elections UK @altelectionsuk.bsky.social · 10/04/2026And that brings us to the South East summary! In FPTP, Labour won 36, Tories 30, Lib Dems 24, Greens 1. Here, the Tories still have 30 seats! But Labour has dropped to 21, with 15 of their FPTP seats instead going to Reform (on 13) and the Greens (on 6). The Lib Dems also go slightly down to 21. 150
Alternate Elections UK @altelectionsuk.bsky.social · 10/04/2026East Sussex has 8 MPs. In FPTP, 3 went Labour, 2 Tory, 2 Lib Dem, and 1 Green. Here, well - things are pretty similar! The only change is Labour down 1 and Reform up 1 Labour on 2, Tories 2, Lib Dems 2, Greens 1, Reform 1. 240
Alternate Elections UK @altelectionsuk.bsky.social · 10/04/2026West Sussex has has 9 MPs. In FPTP, 3 went Labour, 3 Lib Dems, 2 Tories. Here, 3 Tories, 2 Labour, 2 Lib Dems, 1 Reform and 1 Green. 230
Alternate Elections UK @altelectionsuk.bsky.social · 10/04/2026Kent has 18 MPs. In FPTP, 11 went Labour, 6 Tory, 1 Lib Dem. Here, 6 again go Tory, while only 5 go Labour, 4 go Reform, 2 to Lib Dem and 1 goes Green. 130
Alternate Elections UK @altelectionsuk.bsky.social · 10/04/2026Hampshire and the Isle of Wight has 20 MPs. In FPTP, 10 went Tory, 7 Labour, 3 Lib Dem. Here, Tories win 7, Labour 5, LDs 4, Reform 3, Greens 1. There's an argument that the Isle of Wight could be its own 2-seat constituency instead - it would have elected 1 Lab, 1 Tory if that were the case. 130
Alternate Elections UK @altelectionsuk.bsky.social · 10/04/2026Next to Surrey, which has 12 MPs. In FPTP, 6 each went to the Lib Dems and Tories. Here, the Lib Dems and Tories both pick up 4, with Labour on 2, Reform 1, Greens 1. This is another case where the Lib Dems FPTP targeted tactical voting delivers them fewer seats under this PR system. 150
Alternate Elections UK @altelectionsuk.bsky.social · 02/04/2026Berkshire has 9 MPs. In FPTP, Labour won 5, Lib Dems 3, Tories 1. Here, again, the Tories enter first with 3 seats, with Labour and the Lib Dems on 2 each, and Reform and the Greens on 1 each. 130
Alternate Elections UK @altelectionsuk.bsky.social · 02/04/2026Buckinghamshire has 8 MPs. In FPTP, Labour won 5, Tories 2, Lib Dems 1. Here, its the Tories with the most seats on 3, with Labour on 2, Lib Dems 2, Reform 1. 130
Alternate Elections UK @altelectionsuk.bsky.social · 02/04/2026Lets head to Oxfordshire, which has 7 MPs. In FPTP, 5 went Lib Dem and 2 went Labour. Here, the Lib Dems win a solid 3, followed by Tories on 2, Labour on 1, and Reform on 1. This is another case where the LDs concentrated tactical votes mean they won more under FPTP than they would under PR. 130
Alternate Elections UK @altelectionsuk.bsky.social · 01/04/2026We're now over halfway (~60%) through our election results. Let's have a look at how they're shaping up so far! Labour 157 (-148), Tories 100 (+22), Reform 67 (+62), Lib Dems 36 (+17), Greens 30 (+27), Workers 4 (+4), Inds 1 (-4). Half as many seats for Labour - far more in line with % vote! 171
Alternate Elections UK @altelectionsuk.bsky.social · 31/03/2026That brings us to our London summary: Labour in first with 33 (-26 from FPTP 2024), Tories 16 (+7), Lib Dems 8 (+2), Greens 8 (+8), Reform 8 (+8), Workers 2 (+2), Independents 1 (n/c). Some things (like Corbyn) quite similar; others (like Labour on half as many seats) very different! 140
Alternate Elections UK @altelectionsuk.bsky.social · 31/03/2026London East (Barking & Dag, Bexley, Greenwich, Hackney, Havering, Lewisham, Newham, Redbridge, Tower Hamlets, & Waltham) has 24 MPs. Labour won all but 3 (Tories) in FPTP. Here, Labour win 12, Tories 4, Greens 3, Reform 3, LDem 1, Workers 1. If Ind vote wasnt counted separately, would win >2 seats. 130
Alternate Elections UK @altelectionsuk.bsky.social · 31/03/2026London South (Bromley, Croydon, Kingston, Merton, Sutton, & Wandsworth) has 17 MPs. In FPTP, Labour won 7, Lib Dems 6, Tories 3. Here Labour wins 6, Tories 4, Lib Dems 4 (their highly efficient tactical votes working against them here compared to FPTP), Reform 2, and Greens 1. 140
Alternate Elections UK @altelectionsuk.bsky.social · 31/03/2026London West (Brent, Ealing, Hammersmith & Fulham, Harrow, Richmond, Hillingdon, & Hounslow) has 14 MPs. In FPTP, all but 3 (won by Tories) were won by Labour. Here, Labour win 6, Tories 4, Reform, Greens and Lib Dems all 1, and Workers picks up seat, bringing it to 3 nationally. 140
Alternate Elections UK @altelectionsuk.bsky.social · 31/03/2026Next up is London Central (comprising Camden, City, Kensington & Chelsea, Islington, Lambeth, Southwark, & Westminster) with 13 MPs. In FPTP, Labour won 12/13. Here, Labour win 6, Tories & Greens both 2, Lib Dems and Reform both 1 - the final seat going to Independent Jeremy Corbyn. 130
Alternate Elections UK @altelectionsuk.bsky.social · 31/03/2026Let's head to London! As a reminder, London is split based on the 2011 London Plan sub-regions. First up is London North (comprising Barnet, Enfield & Haringey), with 8 MPs. All 8 went Labour in FPTP. Here, Labour still wins a solid 3, followed by 2 Tories, 1 Green, 1 Lib Dem and 1 Reform. 130
Alternate Elections UK @altelectionsuk.bsky.social · 30/03/2026I think so! I'm planning to release a national Gallagher index at the end, but if I have time maybe I'll calculate for the other results as well, or at least by nation & region? 010
Alternate Elections UK @altelectionsuk.bsky.social · 30/03/2026Thank you! Yes, d'Hondt would favour larger parties in that way. I think there is an argument for it, but it would likely necessitate some of the smaller constituencies (Herefordshire, N&NE Lincs) to be merged to achieve a similar level of proportionality. 010
Alternate Elections UK @altelectionsuk.bsky.social · 29/03/2026And that brings us to our East of England summary! In FPTP, the 61 MPs were dominated by Labour (27) and the Tories (23), who won 80% of seats on 60% of vote. Here, they retain a strong lead of 18 (Con) and 17 (Lab), but Reform (12), Lib Dems (9) and Greens (5) all win seats in line with % vote. 140
Alternate Elections UK @altelectionsuk.bsky.social · 29/03/2026Essex has 18 MPs. In FPTP, the Tories won 10, Labour 5, Reform 2 and Lib Dems 1. Here, the Tories lose 4 seats winning 6, Labour again win 5, Reform win 4, Lib Dems win 2, and the Greens win the final seat. 130
Alternate Elections UK @altelectionsuk.bsky.social · 29/03/2026Hertfordshire has 12 MPs. In FPTP (including 1 cross-county), Labour won 7, Tories 3, Lib Dems 2. Here, Tories win 4, Labour 3 (-4!), Lib Dems win 2 again, 2 seats go to Reform and the final seat goes to the Greens. 130
Alternate Elections UK @altelectionsuk.bsky.social · 29/03/2026Bedfordshire has 6 MPs. In FPTP (excluding 1 cross-county), Labour won 4, Tories 2. Here, both Labour and Tories win 2, with the other 2 seats going 1 to Reform and 1 to Lib Dems. 130
Alternate Elections UK @altelectionsuk.bsky.social · 29/03/2026Cambridgeshire has 8 MPs. In FPTP, Labour and LDs both won 3, while Tories won 2. Here, the Tories keep 2, while Labour and the Lib Dems win 2 as well, with the final 2 seats going 1 Reform and 1 Green. 130
Alternate Elections UK @altelectionsuk.bsky.social · 29/03/2026Suffolk has 8 MPs. In FPTP, Labour won 4, Tories 3, Greens 1. Here, Tories, Labour and Reform all pick up 2, while Greens keep 1 (so that's Adrian Ramsay in Parliament still!) and the Lib Dems pick up the final seat. 130
Alternate Elections UK @altelectionsuk.bsky.social · 29/03/2026Let's get back into it! Next up we have Norfolk, with 9 MPs. In FPTP, Labour won 4/8 (excluding cross-county Waveney Valley), Tories 3/8, Reform 1 and LDs 1. Here, things are not /too/ different, but Labour and Tories are brought a little down - Labour 3, Tories 2, Reform 2, LDs 1, Greens 1. 230
Alternate Elections UK @altelectionsuk.bsky.social · 23/03/2026And here's our West Midlands (the region this time!) summary. Labour on 21 (-17!), Tories on 17 (+2), Reform on 10 (+10), Lib Dems on 4 (+2), Greens on 4 (+3), Workers on 1 (+1). This is one of the more proportional regions, with every party in the right order based on % for their seats! 130
Alternate Elections UK @altelectionsuk.bsky.social · 23/03/2026Herefordshire is our smallest constituency with only 2 MPs. Here again, we actually see the same result as FPTP! 1 Tory, 1 Green - so that's Ellie Chowns in Parliament! There's an argument that Herefordshire should be merged with another constituency - but /which/ one is a another kettle of fish! 130
Alternate Elections UK @altelectionsuk.bsky.social · 23/03/2026Oh yes, I have heard it... but didn't want to put anything in print that might be taken as libel! 😅 010
Alternate Elections UK @altelectionsuk.bsky.social · 23/03/2026Shropshire has 5 MPs. In FPTP, the seats were... actually fairly similar to these results! The only change being that 1 Tory seat has instead here gone to Reform. That's the English Democrats in sixth, but as you can see, there are very few minor parties actually in play here! 130
Alternate Elections UK @altelectionsuk.bsky.social · 23/03/2026Staffordshire has 11 MPs. In FPTP, Labour won all but 3 won by Tories. Here, Labour wins 4, Tories 4, Reform 2 and Greens 1. Yes - that's UKIP in sixth here. This is because Reform did not stand in Gavin Williamson's constituency, leading to a UKIP bounce there! Not enough for a seat, mind! 230
Alternate Elections UK @altelectionsuk.bsky.social · 23/03/2026Worcestershire also has 6 MPs. In FPTP, Tories won 4, Labour 2. Here, Tories and Labour both win 2, Reform 1, and Lib Dems 1. 130
Alternate Elections UK @altelectionsuk.bsky.social · 23/03/2026Warwickshire has 6 MPs. In FPTP, Labour won 4, Tories 1, Lib Dems 1. Here, Labour wins 2, Tories 2, Reform 1, Lib Dems 1. 230
Alternate Elections UK @altelectionsuk.bsky.social · 23/03/2026The West Midlands (the county!) has 27 MPs. In FPTP (with 1 cross county), Labour won 21, Tories 4, Inds 1. Here, Labour wins 11, Tories 7, Reform 5, Greens 2, Lib Dems 1, and Workers 1. Here again, had the Inds run as one list, they likely would have won 1 or 2 of these seats. 130
Alternate Elections UK @altelectionsuk.bsky.social · 23/03/2026But, again personally, I think national proportionality is more important than proportionality by constituency, as long as said constituencies are based on geographic units that voters can feel represented by, which I hope this system achieves! 010
Alternate Elections UK @altelectionsuk.bsky.social · 23/03/2026In terms of constituency size, anything less than 3 under this system is too small. Arguably, anything under 5. There's an argument to be made that some of the counties should be merge to create 10+ MP constituencies, which would be much more proportional individually than even an 8-seater. 100
Alternate Elections UK @altelectionsuk.bsky.social · 23/03/2026STV can be a bit harder to explain (ranking) and tends to require smaller and more changing constituencies which I think is less desirable. This system under d'Hondt would produce similar results to Spain's - which are less proportional but again still far more than FPTP. 120
Alternate Elections UK @altelectionsuk.bsky.social · 23/03/2026Well, first - basically any system is better than FPTP at this point! Second, I think this system of Sainte-Lague PR list is elegant as it provides both proportionality* and local representation and can be understood by voters intuitively, which I think is crucial for a voting system. 120
Alternate Elections UK @altelectionsuk.bsky.social · 21/03/2026In many of these cases, its actually fairly concentrated - its second places in urban seats. Its just that in FPTP, these "second place" votes are wasted, whereas here, they add up! 020
Alternate Elections UK @altelectionsuk.bsky.social · 21/03/2026That brings us to our East Midlands summary - where this time its the Tory delegation that would stay the same! 16 Labour, 15 Tories, 9 Reform, 4 Green, 3 Lib Dem. We also see that here an inversion of Yorkshire - with the Greens wining 1 more seat than Lib Dems, despite a slightly lower % vote. 250
Alternate Elections UK @altelectionsuk.bsky.social · 21/03/2026Further 11 MPs in Nottinghamshire - East Midlands are Perfectly Balanced! In FPTP, Labour won all but 1 which was won by Reform. Here, Labour wins 4, Tories 3, Reform 2, Greens 1, Lib Dems 1. So, after Jenrick's defection, Notts' current Reform delegation is actually fairly proportional! 350
Alternate Elections UK @altelectionsuk.bsky.social · 21/03/2026Derbyshire also has 11 MPs. Labour won every seat in FPTP. Here, Labour wins 4, Tories 3, Reform 2, Greens 1, Lib Dems 1. 140
Alternate Elections UK @altelectionsuk.bsky.social · 21/03/2026Leicestershire and Rutland has 11 MPs. Tories won 7 of these in FPTP, Labour 3, Independent 1. Here, Tories win 4, Labour 3, Reform 2, Lib Dems 1, Greens 1. Again, here, the Independents might have won a seat if they ran as a single party... well, other than One Leicester, anyway. 130
Alternate Elections UK @altelectionsuk.bsky.social · 21/03/2026Northamptonshire has 7 MPs too. Labour won all but 2 in FPTP. Here, Labour still wins 3, Tories 2, Reform 1, and Greens win the final seat - though as you can see, it was very close between Greens and Lib Dems! 130
Alternate Elections UK @altelectionsuk.bsky.social · 21/03/2026We're back! Lincolnshire has 7 MPs. This is our first result where Labour benefits under this system - in FPTP all but 2 (1 Lab, 1 Reform) were won by Tories. Here, Tories win 3, Labour 2, and Reform 2. No seats for Lib Dems, Greens or the Lincolnshire Independents. 230
Alternate Elections UK @altelectionsuk.bsky.social · 18/03/2026And that's all of our North West results, so its time for a regional summary! Once again we see that these results add up - Labour still has an impressive 33 MPs, but 32 less than in FPTP! Those MPs are instead distributed among Tories (14), Reform (13), Lib Dems (7), Greens (5) and Workers (1). 160
Alternate Elections UK @altelectionsuk.bsky.social · 18/03/2026Cheshire has 11 MPs. In FPTP, 12 (2 cross-county). All but 2 (won by Tories) were won by Labour. Here, Labour wins 5, Tories 2, Reform 2, Lib Dems 1, Greens 1. 130
Alternate Elections UK @altelectionsuk.bsky.social · 18/03/2026Merseyside has 14 seats. In FPTP, 16 (2 cross-county) all won by Labour, and this is the only county where any party won 50+%! Nevertheless; here, Labour win 8 (still more than half!), Reform 2, Tories 2, Greens 1, Lib Dems 1. And yes - that's the Liberals in sixth. They're a thing in Liverpool! 250