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Alinea Analytics

@alineaanalytics.bsky.social
72 followers 8 following 14 posts

Games Market Data Our mission is to equip game studios and financial institutions with accurate data and powerful tools. Data-driven decisions with confidence. Website: www.alineaanalytics.com Newsletter: alineaanalytics.substack.com

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Rhys Elliott @superhys.bsky.social · 09/07/2026
Here's our estimates for the top-grossing Steam games released this year. Full analysis with a bunch of data: alineaanalytics.substack.com/p/steam-is-h...
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Rhys Elliott @superhys.bsky.social · 01/07/2026
This year's top games by copies sold so far (Alinea Analytics estimates) open.substack.com/pub/alineaan...
open.substack.com
2026’s top games by copies sold (so far)
We dig into our estimates for H1 2026’s top games across Steam, Xbox, and PlayStation. Spoiler: the #1 game came out three weeks ago, but there’s more to it… Also, Sony is done with dis
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Rhys Elliott @superhys.bsky.social · 04/06/2026
007 First Light has sold 2.2M+ copies across platforms ( Alinea estimates), mostly via PS5. It's at $150M in gross revenue. What a result for an absolutely fantastic game. Likely going to have a long tail, too, this one. More data on Substack: alineaanalytics.substack.com/p/mays-top-p...
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Rhys Elliott @superhys.bsky.social · 14/05/2026
Roguelikes have generated almost $500M on Steam so far this year, as per our estimates. And it turns out the 2026 roguelike DLC is selling pretty damn good, too! New free Substack: alineaanalytics.substack.com/p/steam-dlc-...
alineaanalytics.substack.com
Steam DLC data: High attach rates for 2026 roguelike DLC
Roguelike fans are OBSESSED, so it's no surprise we're happy to fork out for DLC (it helps that the DLC is cheap!) Keep reading to learn which four 2026 roguelike DLCs sold over 100K copies on Steam.
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Rhys Elliott @superhys.bsky.social · 14/04/2026
Starfield has sold 140K copies on PS5 (Alinea estimates). Big data deep dive in the new free Substack: alineaanalytics.substack.com/p/starfield-...
alineaanalytics.substack.com
Starfield has sold 140K copies on PS5
The high-profile port has had a middling start, raising questions about the long-term viability of delayed multiplatform releases and the true cost of exclusivity and subscriptions.
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Rhys Elliott @superhys.bsky.social · 27/03/2026
One of the more fascinating data points from Death Stranding 2’s PC launch is the halo effect it triggered on PS5. Noticeably boosted copies sold, even accounting for the 29% discount on PS5 (same discount had far lower spikes previously). More here: alineaanalytics.substack.com/p/death-stra...
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Rhys Elliott @superhys.bsky.social · 24/02/2026
January had a lot of neat Game Pass additions. Here's how many new players they brought in via the service (Alinea Analytics estimates): alineaanalytics.substack.com/p/game-pass-...
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Rhys Elliott @superhys.bsky.social · 02/02/2026
Games with co-op modes generated $8.2B in gross revenue on Steam last year (Alinea estimates). This is up 9% over 2024 and marks the highest revenue ever recorded for co-op games on Steam. 2024 and 2025 even beat the COVID-accelerated high from 2021. Bigger opportunity here than PvP, I reckon.
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Rhys Elliott @superhys.bsky.social · 29/01/2026
Helldivers 2 has sold 20M copies and made $700M+ in revenues. WILD. Our estimates also show that over 250K gamers have played Helldivers 2 for over 500 hours. Super Earth is in dedicated hands. Big deep dive: alineaanalytics.substack.com/p/helldivers...
alineaanalytics.substack.com
Helldivers 2 sells 20M copies
We look at our estimates for Helldivers 2 – as well as how much revenue co-op games generated on Steam last year. Democracy managed?
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Rhys Elliott @superhys.bsky.social · 15/01/2026
We already covered Forza, but here's a list of the other 2025 Xbox-published games that sold over 100K on PlayStation. This list doesn't include Forza or CoD. Full write-up on the free Substack here: alineaanalytics.substack.com/p/how-2025s-...
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Rhys Elliott @superhys.bsky.social · 24/11/2025
Here's the top 5 Steam games by copies sold last week (Alinea estimates) INDIES <3 ARC was #1 for the 4th week in a row, selling almost 750K copies last week. This brings its total on Steam to 4M. It's quickly approaching 7M across all platforms. Full wee analysis of the top 5:
alineaanalytics.substack.com
ARC Raiders dominated Steam again last week, but indies also crushed it
An update on our Arc Raiders numbers, as well as metrics for last week's other top sellers, including a bunch of co-op, Dispatch, and a DLC. Great stuff.
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Rhys Elliott @superhys.bsky.social · 21/11/2025
Sony has made over $1.2 billion on Steam via selling over 43M copies of PlayStation Studios games (Alinea estimates) Here's the top five PlayStation games on Steam by copies sold, and a full analysis: alineaanalytics.substack.com/p/the-top-se...
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Rhys Elliott @superhys.bsky.social · 13/11/2025
Just published a big analysis of the Steam Machine, including the audience, Valve's angle, pricing, value propositions versus console, challenges, and eating Xbox's lunch. alineaanalytics.substack.com/p/valves-bol...
alineaanalytics.substack.com
Valve’s bold, expected return to the living room
Valve has already made an estimated $4B+ on Steam this year. The Steam Machine is a strategy to boost its revenues and ecosystem further. Here's our take on Valve's upcoming console-like PC.
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Rhys Elliott @superhys.bsky.social · 06/11/2025
We have ARC Raiders at 2.5M sold, with 69.2% on Steam (1.7M), 17.3% on PlayStation (400K), and 13.5% on Xbox (300K+). Full analysis in the Alinea Insight Substack: alineaanalytics.substack.com/p/arc-raider...
alineaanalytics.substack.com
ARC Raiders has sold 2.5M copies
Also, co-op games already made $7B+ on Steam this year. We use Alinea estimates to dive into these topics and explore the pros and cons of extraction shooters.
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Rhys Elliott @superhys.bsky.social · 04/11/2025
October's top 10 PlayStation games by copies sold (Alinea estimates) So much variety. Blockbusters, small games, old games, and new ones are selling. Sports games dominated and perform best on consoles. ‘‘CoNsOlE iS DeAd’’ arguments are getting silly. alineaanalytics.substack.com/p/octobers-t...
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Rhys Elliott @superhys.bsky.social · 23/10/2025
After seven months on the market, Assassin’s Creed Shadows has sold less on PS5 (2.4M) than Ghost of Yotei did (2.5M) in under three weeks (Alinea estimates) This samurai showdown is just about settled, I reckon. Full analysis in the new free Substack:
alineaanalytics.substack.com
Ghost of Yotei outsold Assassin’s Creed Shadows on PS5 in under three weeks
Analysing why Yotei has already sold 2.5M copies, but it Shadows took seven months to sell 2.4M on PS5. Plus, another look at our Helldivers 2 estimates (almost 20M sold!)
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Giant Bomb @giantbomb.com · 17/10/2025
We've got @superhys.bsky.social joining Grubb to end the week on Game Mess Mornings! We're talking about new Nintendo patents, The Crew 2 getting updates, Silent Hill 2 Remake, and more stories for your Friday. twitch.tv/giantbomb youtube.com/live/bCCYOYy...
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Rhys Elliott @superhys.bsky.social · 16/10/2025
Valve’s upcoming hero shooter, Deadlock, has 5.5M wishlists (Alinea Analytics estimates) Players are continuing to find (and wishlist) it despite the lack of marketing. Over 1.2M people did the past three months alone. Wishlist data deep dive here: alineaanalytics.substack.com/p/deadlock-i...
alineaanalytics.substack.com
Deadlock is Steam’s most wishlisted upcoming multiplayer game
Zooming in on our wishlist data for Deadlock, before looking at some benchmarks for Alinea estimates (our numbers vs. October’s publisher announcements).
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Rhys Elliott @superhys.bsky.social · 14/10/2025
So that Battlefield 6 is doing alright then... Over 6.5 million copies sold, as per Alinea estimates (56.7% via Steam, 23.7% via PS5, and 19.6% via Xbox). It's made over $350M in gross revenue so far. But can it keep up the momentum? Big data deep dive:
alineaanalytics.substack.com
Battlefield 6 is a smash-hit launch: 6.5m+ sold and counting
A BIG data deep dive into the triumphant return of the Battlefield franchise. But can EA keep up the momentum?
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Rhys Elliott @superhys.bsky.social · 03/10/2025
September's top games by downloads across Steam, PlayStation, and Xbox (Alinea estimates) Skate really exceeded expectations (keep in mind it's F2P, though). Full write-up in the new free Alinea Substack -- as well as my take on the Saudi EA buyout: alineaanalytics.substack.com/p/skate-lead...
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Rhys Elliott @superhys.bsky.social · 24/09/2025
Hades II has already sold 2M+ in early access, as per our estimates. Since its early-access launch in May 2024, it's generated almost $55M in revenue. But the floodgates will open when it hits 1.0 TOMORROW. Now that I've finished Silksong (Groal the Great🖕), I can't wait to get back into Hades.
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Rhys Elliott @superhys.bsky.social · 23/09/2025
Last week's top Steam games by copies sold for you! (Alinea Analytics estimates) It's indies and horror galore. CAN'T BLOODY WAIT for spooky season. More data and insights in the new free Alinea Insight Substack. Link: alineaanalytics.substack.com/p/dying-ligh...
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Alinea Analytics @alineaanalytics.bsky.social · 19/08/2025
We’re off to gamescom from today onwards, so here’s a shorter, early edition of the newsletter! Peak approaching 10M copies sold and more goodies (link in post below) 👇
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Giant Bomb @giantbomb.com · 08/08/2025
Grubb has got Rhys Elliot (@superhys.bsky.social) on today's show to end the week with Nintendo patents, Sony going multiplatform, and more to end the week. twitch.tv/giantbomb youtube.com/live/h_82IfH...
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Rhys Elliott @superhys.bsky.social · 07/08/2025
July's top games by downloads across PS, Xbox, and Steam for you! Lots of Game Pass games, but PEAK came out on top (again). Good shi' Full write-up on the Substack (free): alineaanalytics.substack.com/p/julys-most...
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Rhys Elliott @superhys.bsky.social · 05/08/2025
July was a fun month for copies sold on PlayStation. Two million-plus sellers, new launches, Forza (AGAIN), and more. Get the full analysis, and me ranting about the $100 GTA discourse, in the latest @alineaanalytics.bsky.social Substack newsletter: alineaanalytics.substack.com/p/ea-and-xbo...
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Alinea Analytics @alineaanalytics.bsky.social · 31/07/2025
Two in one week 👀👇
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Alinea Analytics @alineaanalytics.bsky.social · 29/07/2025
Another packed data and insights newsletter drop 🗞️🎮👇
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Rhys Elliott @superhys.bsky.social · 22/07/2025
And 2025's top PlayStation game by copies sold (so far) is ... Forza Horizon 5 with 3 million copies sold. Wild times. More numbers and good stuff in the new Substack:
alineaanalytics.substack.com
Forza Horizon 5 is now 2025’s top-selling new PS5 game, racing past copies sold for huge first-party PlayStation titles
Plus, updated Steam, PlayStation, and Xbox numbers for titles like Monster Hunter Wilds, Assassin's Creed Shadows, and Expedition 33. And a quick analysis of why Xbox is transitioning from console.
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Rhys Elliott @superhys.bsky.social · 17/07/2025
Just published a new edition of the newsletter on Substack, and it's a juicy one! Link below
alineaanalytics.substack.com
Steam, PlayStation, and Xbox’s most downloaded games (week 28): College Football 26 and Tony Hawk score
Plus, a look at Steam's top games by copies sold, a video of our appearance on the world's most popular PlayStation podcast, RimWorld's new DLC smashing it, and more.
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Rhys Elliott @superhys.bsky.social · 10/07/2025
Just published a huge data-packed newsletter! Insights include: Forza Horizon 5 selling almost as many copies as Astro Bot on PS5 June's most downloaded games across Steam, PS, and Xbox Death Stranding's launch sales. And loads more! alineaanalytics.substack.com/p/junes-most...
alineaanalytics.substack.com
June’s most downloaded games, PlayStation sales data, and why it’s so hard to succeed in live services
It's cross-platform madness! Plus, Death Stranding 2’s launch, how PlayStation’s PC ports can benefit sales on PS5, and a look at Q2's game investments. Also, sports, sports and more sports.
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Rhys Elliott @superhys.bsky.social · 09/07/2025
June's top 10 PlayStation games by copies sold (estimates): 🥇EA FC 25: 905 K 🥈Death Stranding 2: 687 K 🥉Rematch: 569 K 4️⃣Nightreign: 558 K 5️⃣Forza Horizon 5: 555 K 6️⃣Grand Theft Auto V: 431 K 7️⃣Minecraft: 416 K 8️⃣Stellar Blade: 241 K 9️⃣Expedition 33: 240 K 🔟TLOU2: 150 K Full analysis with lotsa data:
alineaanalytics.com
FC 25, Death Stranding 2, and Rematch top June's PlayStation ranking, while Stellar Blade's PC launch led to sales on PS5
PlayStation’s June 2025 ranking by copies sold brings familiar faces, new contenders, and another strong showing for Xbox-published titles. Sports, action games, and new hits all found their target au...
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Rhys Elliott @superhys.bsky.social · 03/07/2025
Just published a new edition of our free Alinea Insight newsletter on Substack. Would love it if you checked it out and subbed 🫶 alineaanalytics.substack.com/p/junes-stea...
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Alinea Analytics @alineaanalytics.bsky.social · 01/07/2025
June 2025 – Top 10 New Releases on Steam 📊 June delivered one of the most balanced and interesting release lineups of the year. From high-profile PC debuts and major franchise entries to viral indie successes, the month had something for everyone. And the numbers reflect that. 👇
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Rhys Elliott @superhys.bsky.social · 25/06/2025
Last week was a WILD one for Steam copies sold! We've got new releases, a Chinese FMV dating sim nobody saw coming, indies galore, an eight-year-old Star Wars game, and TWO football games. Full analysis: alineaanalytics.substack.com/p/last-week-...
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Alinea Analytics @alineaanalytics.bsky.social · 19/06/2025
Our latest newsletter just dropped! 👀 @superhys.bsky.social covers a lot this time! Have a gander! alineaanalytics.substack.com/p/stellar-bl...
alineaanalytics.substack.com
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Rhys Elliott @superhys.bsky.social · 18/06/2025
Great week for copies sold on Steam last week. The top 10 has three new releases, discounted classics galore, and some neat indies. Also, play The Alters. It's rad Full analysis including a whole lotta data: alineaanalytics.com/blog/steam_w...
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Rhys Elliott @superhys.bsky.social · 16/06/2025
Three wild stats from our Stellar Blade Steam estimates: 56% of players are in China It's PlayStation's fast-selling Steam port yet. Best for last: There's 10 hentai games in the list of games that over 10% of Stellar Blade players have played Full blog: alineaanalytics.com/blog/stellar...
alineaanalytics.com
China helped Stellar Blade become PlayStation’s fastest-selling PC port yet, selling over a million on Steam
Stellar Blade, a Korean-made hack-and-slash title, finally launched on Steam on June 11, following over a year of PlayStation exclusivity. As we covered last week, Stellar Blade was the #5 Steam game ...
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Rhys Elliott @superhys.bsky.social · 12/06/2025
Deltarune, Dune, and Elden Ring Nightreign dominated our Steam charts last week! Indies, AA, AAA, and ports all smashing it. Love it. Dune and Stellar Blade hadn't even fully launched yet, but you can find launch data in the article. Also, play Deltarune alineaanalytics.com/blog/steam_w...
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Alinea Analytics @alineaanalytics.bsky.social · 08/06/2025
✨ Top Gainers on Steam Following Summer Game Fest (June 6–8) 🥇 Resident Evil Requiem (RE9) – A mainline Resident Evil announcement is always a momentum driver. 🥈 ILL – Team Clout’s body-horror made a major impact. 🥉 Chronicles: Medieval – An unannounced standout.
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Rhys Elliott @superhys.bsky.social · 06/06/2025
The Alinea Insight newsletter is already averaging over 5K reads after a week (based on the first two editions!) Thank you SO MUCH for your support so far! Subscribe here if you want the latest @alineaanalytics.bsky.social PC/console data and insights each week: alineaanalytics.substack.com
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Rhys Elliott @superhys.bsky.social · 05/06/2025
I know you're probably playing Mario Kart right now, but I just dropped a big data-drop newsletter. I'd LOVE you to read it, subscribe, and all that alineaanalytics.substack.com/p/xbox-games...
alineaanalytics.substack.com
Xbox games dominate PS5, Elden Ring Nightreign finds success, and an upcoming Chinese souls-like to watch
Forza’s HUGE PS5 success, May’s top Steam and PlayStation games, an upcoming roguelike nobody’s talking about (but should be?), and Helldivers 2’s big comeback.
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Rhys Elliott @superhys.bsky.social · 03/06/2025
May’s top 10 Steam games by copies sold analysis is here! Get a full deep dive on the @alineaanalytics.bsky.social blog: alineaanalytics.com/blog/steam_m...
alineaanalytics.com
May’s top Steam games by copies sold: Two new big launches, Helldivers 2’s return, and ongoing indie smash hits
It’s that time again. We already published our May data on Steam’s top new games by revenues, but now it’s time to look at the top-performing Steam games by copies sold.
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Alinea Analytics @alineaanalytics.bsky.social · 03/06/2025
DEEP DIVE 🧧 WUCHANG: Fallen Feathers - China’s next $100M+ breakout title? ✅ In the blog post, we break down WUCHANG, from estimated dev budget to forecasted global sales. How to model with confidence using Alinea Analytics data. 👉 Read the full deep dive here: alineaanalytics.com/blog/wuchang...
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Alinea Analytics @alineaanalytics.bsky.social · 02/06/2025
📢 Tomorrow, we’re dropping a data-driven deep dive into what could be the next $100M+ breakout title Here’s a hint: it’s targeting the now-mainstream Souls-like and Dark Fantasy TAM, an audience worth $100M+ per month and 30M+ monthly active users on Steam alone. Any guesses? Stay tuned. 👀
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Alinea Analytics @alineaanalytics.bsky.social · 01/06/2025
🎮 We just launched our FREE weekly newsletter, tailored for anyone keeping a pulse on game sales, trends and data. - Insights across Steam, PS & Xbox - Exclusive deep dives into current releases - And of course… Rhys signature spicy takes on the week's industry news 👉 alineaanalytics.substack.com
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Alinea Analytics @alineaanalytics.bsky.social · 01/06/2025
May 2025 – Top 10 New Releases on Steam 📊 Elden Ring: Nightreign drove the biggest numbers, while standout debuts like Fantasy Life i and DOOM: The Dark Ages ensured the month remained competitive across genres.
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Rhys Elliott @superhys.bsky.social · 27/05/2025
NEW NEWSLETTER. First edition includes: A peek at our pre-launch data for Elden Ring Nightreign. Spoiler: it's gonna be big. An update on copies sold for April's biggest games. Forza overtaking Assassin's Creed Shadows sales on PS5. A cameo from @michaelpachter.bsky.social Plz subscribe 🫶
alineaanalytics.substack.com
May’s biggest game isn't out yet; April was a HUGE month for games
Launch-to-date data on the games that dominated April, Elden Ring Nightreign’s imminent splash, and other JUICY data drops from Alinea Analytics.
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Rhys Elliott @superhys.bsky.social · 23/05/2025
12 million gamers have played Elden Ring for 100+ hours across Steam and PlayStation. Also, 10.9% of Elden Ring players on PS and 10.2% on Steam have unlocked every achievement vs 3.7% on Xbox. Git gud, Xbox gamers. More on @alineaanalytics.bsky.social's blog: alineaanalytics.com/blog/elden-r...
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