iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Alex Lundry @alexlundry.bsky.social · 16/07/2026

DC people PSA: the State Fair exhibit at the Renwick is excellent. They've got a life-size butter cow! (Among many other very cool, very creative things).

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Alex Lundry @alexlundry.bsky.social · 14/07/2026

E Pluribus Unsure - the latest Due Data looks at recent polling around America's 250th, and it reads less like a birthday card and more like a mid-life inventory: pollvault.ai/newsletters/...

pollvault.ai

E Pluribus Unsure

Nearly thirty polls. America turns 250 — proud, uneasy, and still working out who "we" are.

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Alex Lundry @alexlundry.bsky.social · 09/07/2026

I was keeping it subtle... ;)

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Alex Lundry @alexlundry.bsky.social · 17/06/2026

Pride and Precision - this week's Due Data looks at a dozen-plus surveys on where America actually stands on LGBTQ rights. You may have seen some bad Gallup numbers on same-sex marriage, but there are a couple issues with how they do it... pollvault.ai/newsletters/...

pollvault.ai

Pride and Precision

A dozen-plus surveys on where America actually stands on LGBTQ rights.

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Alex Lundry @alexlundry.bsky.social · 19/05/2026

This week's Due Data polling newsletter builds off the Trump China summit last week by looking at recent China polling: "Frenemy of the State " - 10 Polls that point to a Long March for Trump. pollvault.ai/newsletters/...

pollvault.ai

Frenemy of the State

*10 polls. Trump's Long March.*

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Alex Lundry @alexlundry.bsky.social · 15/05/2026

Just a bonkers stat from @dkthomp.bsky.social trends essay: Share of 12th graders who “ever go on dates” declined by 47% since the 1980s; the share who “visit friends weekly” has declined 22%; and the share who “go to monthly parties” is down 40% www.derekthompson.org/p/the-6-mega...

derekthompson.org

The Six Megatrends That Define 2026

Every week, I save dozens of screenshots of charts, essay passages, science and economics papers, and tweets.

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Alex Lundry @alexlundry.bsky.social · 14/05/2026

AI doesn't kill expertise. It hides the moment expertise is built. Junior people learn by being wrong in small, recoverable ways. If AI handles the small stuff, when does the wrongness happen? When do you build the instinct that something's off before you can say why?

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Alex Lundry @alexlundry.bsky.social · 14/05/2026

Best AI piece I've read recently: "The way we use [AI] matters more than whether we use [it]." Tool use: you know what the answer should look like, and the AI helps you get there faster. Cognitive outsourcing: you don't, and you ship whatever it gives you. ergosphere.blog/posts/the-ma...

ergosphere.blog

The machines are fine. I'm worried about us.

On AI agents, grunt work, and the part of science that isn't replaceable.

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Alex Lundry @alexlundry.bsky.social · 14/05/2026

This NYT op-ed on our electricity use and the grid has some extremely compelling and well done visualizations. Worth your time (gift link) www.nytimes.com/interactive/...

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Alex Lundry @alexlundry.bsky.social · 12/05/2026

Check out how Andy's Pizza, a local DC shop, is using AI - there just isn't enough conversation around what AI can do for small businesses like Andy's, so this is really worth a read: www.axios.com/local/washin...

axios.com

Your slice at Andy's Pizza is powered by AI

The fast-growing D.C. chain has built its own AI-powered operating system — while trying to preserve the human feel of a neighborhood slice shop.

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Alex Lundry @alexlundry.bsky.social · 11/05/2026

Yesterday's Due Data looked at 9 polls on motherhood, family, and the work of raising kids in 2026. The mothers doing the work are running on empty, and the policies they say would help are popular but not urgent enough to pass. pollvault.ai/newsletters/...

pollvault.ai

The Mom Squeeze

9 polls on motherhood, family, and the work of raising kids in 2026.

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Alex Lundry @alexlundry.bsky.social · 06/05/2026

When the agents aren't confident about something — unclear pollster, weak data, possible duplicate — they flag it. A human reviews it. Everything else goes straight to users' feeds and inboxes. This is agents as infrastructure inside a real product. pollvault.ai

pollvault.ai

Poll Vault | AI-Powered Polling Data Tracking

Track public polling data from dozens of sources, updated daily. AI-generated summaries, email digests, and briefing memos.

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Alex Lundry @alexlundry.bsky.social · 06/05/2026

Agent 4 analyzes what's left: scores relevance, extracts methodology, identifies the pollster, generates summaries. Agent 5 checks for duplicates (the same poll reported by different outlets). Agent 6 decides which topics each poll belongs to and writes tailored summaries for each.

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Alex Lundry @alexlundry.bsky.social · 06/05/2026

Agent 1 searches dozens of sources (news, pollster sites, RSS feeds, Bluesky). Agent 2 fetches and reads the source material — PDFs, press releases, news articles — and follows links to find the original data. Agent 3 screens out noise (opinion pieces, old data, non-polls).

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Alex Lundry @alexlundry.bsky.social · 06/05/2026

Poll Vault runs a team of AI agents every morning. Not one model with a prompt — a pipeline of specialized agents, each with a specific job. Here's what they do:

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Alex Lundry @alexlundry.bsky.social · 04/05/2026

Plus: Ithaka S+R on 4,003 college faculty in restrictive states, the Mellman Group on Jewish voters and the Iran war, Minnesota on why 264 daycares closed, Harvard IOP on young Americans, and a charming deep cut on Arbor Day. → pollvault.ai/newsletters/...

pollvault.ai

Poll Vault's B-Sides

Nine polls. Nine unique populations. Welcome to the deep cuts.

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Alex Lundry @alexlundry.bsky.social · 04/05/2026

60% of French adults agree the country is undergoing "demographic replacement by non-European populations." Among Socialist Party voters: 64%. Among Macronistes: 37%. A far-right framing is now a majority view across the political spectrum. (IFOP)

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Alex Lundry @alexlundry.bsky.social · 04/05/2026

54% of rural bank CEOs across a 10-state ag region say their local economy is currently in a recession. Farm equipment sales: 32 consecutive months below growth-neutral. (Creighton Rural Mainstreet Index)

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Alex Lundry @alexlundry.bsky.social · 04/05/2026

60% of US pastors use AI personally a few times a month. 5% of churches have an AI policy. 64% of pastors say their church should. Adoption is running well ahead of governance. (Barna Group)

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Alex Lundry @alexlundry.bsky.social · 04/05/2026

New Due Data: a love letter to polling B-sides. Nine specialized-population polls from one week — the surveys that score 5–6 on our relevance scale. Too niche for cable, too useful to skip. A tour 🧵

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Alex Lundry @alexlundry.bsky.social · 01/05/2026

It includes a fantastic use of a radar chart.

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Alex Lundry @alexlundry.bsky.social · 01/05/2026

The Economist built an interactive model that estimates UK party-vote probabilities across 275,000 demographic combinations. A masterclass in making a cross-tab model legible: www.economist.com/interactive/...

economist.com

Can you build a British voter?

See how the electorate is changing

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Alex Lundry @alexlundry.bsky.social · 30/04/2026

And this chart hit a little TOO close to home:

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Alex Lundry @alexlundry.bsky.social · 30/04/2026

A lot of that time is coming out of TV leisure time:

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Alex Lundry @alexlundry.bsky.social · 30/04/2026

The generational differences are crazy: Millennial dads spend ~80 min/day on active childcare. Their Boomer dads spent ~30. Their Silent Gen grandfathers spent <15.

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Alex Lundry @alexlundry.bsky.social · 30/04/2026

This is an excellent and highly insightful data-driven look into how fatherhood has changed in the last two decades, aligning well with my own personal experience, and it's got brilliant charts as well: www.derekthompson.org/p/why-do-ric...

derekthompson.org

How American Dads Became the Parents Their Fathers Never Were

Compared to their parents, Millennial fathers have roughly tripled the amount of time they spend with kids. The new American dad is more present and more exhausted—but also, more satisfied with life.

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Alex Lundry @alexlundry.bsky.social · 30/04/2026

Poll Vault's AI agents ran this morning and found 23 new polls across 10 topics, including: - a TX poll w/Talarico ahead + 10pp jump in voters rating the economy as worse than a year ago (46% Feb > 56% now) - a Ragnar Research poll with Trump underwater in districts he won in 2024 pollvault.ai

pollvault.ai

Poll Vault | AI-Powered Polling Data Tracking

Track public polling data from dozens of sources, updated daily. AI-generated summaries, email digests, and briefing memos.

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Alex Lundry @alexlundry.bsky.social · 29/04/2026

Synthetic respondents are like teen sex: everyone's talking about it but nobody's doing it, and anyone that is actually doing it, is probably doing it (very) badly.

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Alex Lundry @alexlundry.bsky.social · 29/04/2026

The feature I use most in my own product: the daily email digest. Every morning at 7am, new polls on my topics land in my inbox. Headline, key findings, source link. Takes 3 minutes to know what dropped overnight. I used to spend 45 minutes on that same scan and still miss things. pollvault.ai

pollvault.ai

Poll Vault | AI-Powered Polling Data Tracking

Track public polling data from dozens of sources, updated daily. AI-generated summaries, email digests, and briefing memos.

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Alex Lundry @alexlundry.bsky.social · 27/04/2026

Had it in my calendar to post about Due Data tday, but this incredibly kind post from Kevin serves as a much better alternative - thank you!

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Alex Lundry @alexlundry.bsky.social · 24/04/2026

Sure there's polling on Iran, Medicare and Trump approval, but you really go to Poll Vault for the Arbor Day polls, right? 😂

Americans Value Trees but Few Know When — or How — to Celebrate Arbor Day
High Point University Survey Research Center

Strong majorities value trees' environmental benefits: 57% of US adults and 65% of North Carolinians say they value improved air quality from trees 'very much,' with shade (57% US, 63% NC) and wildlif...

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Alex Lundry @alexlundry.bsky.social · 23/04/2026

Today's daily digest from Poll Vault, 9 new polls across 7 tracked topics, including a lot of new lows for Trump job approval:

screenshot of Poll Vault daily email digest, showing two polls in electoral politics.

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Alex Lundry @alexlundry.bsky.social · 23/04/2026

The beauty of multimedia online polling is that you can do stuff like this:

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Alex Lundry @alexlundry.bsky.social · 22/04/2026

Here’s some context for these new numbers generated from PollVault.AI

Support for impeaching Trump is running at 52%–55% across recent polls, with Lake Research Partners finding 52% of registered voters in favor and the current Verasight survey reaching 55% of U.S. adults — a narrow but consistent range that suggests the majority threshold is stable rather than an artifact of a single poll. Both readings arrive without the formal congressional investigations that preceded Nixon-era public opinion shifts, a parallel Lake Research Partners explicitly flags. Broader institutional anxiety reinforces the impeachment numbers: Marist found two-thirds of Americans say checks and balances are not working well, and Verasight's March survey found 67% oppose giving the president power to defy court rulings. Taken together, the polls describe a durable public mood rather than a spike, with independents and, to a lesser degree, Republican-leaning voters registering discontent across multiple measures simultaneously

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Alex Lundry @alexlundry.bsky.social · 22/04/2026

Pace of change in AI is insane - a panelist at the Miami Tech Summit: “what AI has gotten really good at in the last two weeks…”

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Alex Lundry @alexlundry.bsky.social · 22/04/2026

That used to be an hour of work. I'd still show up on the panel feeling like I was winging it. This morning: under 10 minutes, structured POV, sources I trusted. This is the workflow I wanted as a consultant for 20 years.

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Alex Lundry @alexlundry.bsky.social · 22/04/2026

One framing note for your panel: the polls consistently show a gap between AI use and AI trust. Majorities are using these tools while simultaneously harboring deep concerns about their societal effects.

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Alex Lundry @alexlundry.bsky.social · 22/04/2026

4. Voters Want Guardrails — and Will Reward Candidates Who Support Them A Transparency Coalition poll finds 81% of likely voters support federal guardrails to protect consumers and children from AI harms, and 77% prefer a pro-safety candidate over one arguing regulation would cede ground to China.

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Alex Lundry @alexlundry.bsky.social · 22/04/2026

3. Neither Party Owns the AI Governance Debate NBC News polling finds just 20% of voters say Republicans handle AI better, 19% say Democrats do, and 33% say neither party would do a good job — the smallest partisan gap on any issue tested in the survey.

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Alex Lundry @alexlundry.bsky.social · 22/04/2026

2. A Generational Fault Line on AI as a Civic Information Tool Data for Progress: overall, 58% of likely voters say they are unlikely to use AI chatbots to learn about candidates or elections — but among voters under 45, that flips, with 55% saying they are likely to do so.

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Alex Lundry @alexlundry.bsky.social · 22/04/2026

1. Election Misinformation Is the Consensus Concern Marist/PBS/NPR finds 85% of Americans believe AI-generated political content is likely to spread election misinformation — and the numbers are nearly identical across party lines (81% of Republicans, 86% of Democrats, 88% of independents).

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Alex Lundry @alexlundry.bsky.social · 22/04/2026

Ask Poll Vault pulled 5 recent polls across multiple pollsters and came back with a panel-ready synthesis titled: AI & Democracy: What the Polls Show Four findings + a framing note. Every claim cited to a specific poll I could click through and verify.

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Alex Lundry @alexlundry.bsky.social · 22/04/2026

I opened my own product, Poll Vault, and typed: "I'm on a panel tomorrow about AI and democracy. Help me prep by putting together key findings from any relevant polls on the topic." Then I watched it work.

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Alex Lundry @alexlundry.bsky.social · 22/04/2026

In a few hours I'm on a panel at Miami Tech Summit called "Will democracy still be human as artificial intelligence rewires campaigns and our government?" Normally panel prep = an hour of Googling and half-remembered polls. This morning I tried something different. 🧵

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Alex Lundry @alexlundry.bsky.social · 21/04/2026

Here's what Poll Vault has to say about today's redistricting vote in Virginia:

$The most current data comes from Washington Post/Schar School polling conducted through early April, which shows the YES side holding a 52%–47% lead among likely voters — a narrow margin well within the poll's error range. Among the broader registered voter universe, YES leads more comfortably at 53%–44%, suggesting some softening as the electorate is filtered down to those most likely to actually cast ballots. The picture has shifted considerably since February, when a Roanoke College poll — conducted after the new congressional map was released — showed the amendment losing 52%–44%. That earlier poll found a notably fractured Democratic coalition, with only 71% of Democrats backing the measure and 27% opposed, while independents rejected it 56%–40%. The April Washington Post data suggests the YES side has since consolidated support, but independent opinion remains a watchpoint: independents now favor the amendment by 10 points, down sharply from the 20-point margin they gave Abigail Spanberger in last year's governor's race. Turnout is likely to be the deciding factor. Republicans show considerably more urgency to vote NO — 85% are committed to opposing the measure — compared to 77% of Democrats committed to voting YES. That 8-point enthusiasm gap cuts against a YES lead that is already thin. On the other side, early voting has tracked at D+19.6 points, which may provide a structural buffer for the amendment's supporters heading into the April 21 special election. On the underlying fairness question, the Washington Post poll finds that while 57% of Virginians broadly prefer districts that reflect the state's political makeup, 48% specifically call the proposed 10 Democratic-leaning district outcome unfair — a tension that helps explain why the topline YES number remains fragile despite a Democratic-leaning state.$

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