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Alex Hill

@alexlizhill.com
880 followers 349 following 283 posts

Former logician. Aspiring health economist. Research fellow @lshtm-gheco.bsky.social. Thinking about philosophy, public health, econ, stats, feminism, & lots of other things! alexlizhill.com

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Alex Hill @alexlizhill.com · 14/04/2026
My super smart quantum physicist boyfriend is doing a reddit AMA this afternoon. Check it out if you're curious about medical applications of quantum technologies. www.reddit.com/r/IAmA/s/Je9...
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Alex Hill @alexlizhill.com · 06/10/2025
In my blonde era
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Alex Hill @alexlizhill.com · 26/09/2025
This is the picture my four year old brought home for me today. Me: lovely honey, who's it a picture of? Her: that's me in the pink dress, and that's a dead guy *spotting my horrified look* Her: don't worry, he was bad
 Child's drawing of two stick figures - a girl in pink dress with brown hair, and a man all in black with no arms or legs and a sad face
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Alex Hill @alexlizhill.com · 15/04/2025
I know of one account! From a feminist called Finn Mackay (who calls it 'sex dysphoria' for reasons they outline in their book). As someone who has body dsymorphia it sounds quite closely related, phenomenologically. Book is Female Masculinities and the Gender Wars: The Politics of Sex.
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Alex Hill @alexlizhill.com · 13/03/2025
As great as IVF is, the process of retrieving eggs still feels v inefficient: you have to incubate the eggs inside yourself, inject hormones for a fortnight and hope that the oocytes mature at a similar rate. Maturing them in vitro would be a huge improvement. worksinprogress.co/issue/fertil...
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Alex Hill @alexlizhill.com · 13/03/2025
I was gifted this mug that I feel sure is offensive to women but I can't quite figure out why, or indeed, what it means at all. Are the economists the ones supplying the curves? Very confusing.
Mug with a picture of a graph that resembles a woman dressed like a stripper, with words: economists do it with models because there's no shortage of demand for the curves that the supply.
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Alex Hill @alexlizhill.com · 07/03/2025
Looking at the Mary Wollstonecraft memorial but shaking my head so everyone knows I disapprove of the naked lady.
Silver statue of a tiny naked woman on top of what looks like a mound of shaving foam. Inscription reads: for Mary Wollstonecraft.
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Alex Hill @alexlizhill.com · 06/03/2025
Daughter chose Mog the forgetful cat, an absolute classic, and I made this pretty epic tail:
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Alex Hill @alexlizhill.com · 06/03/2025
The first time I read The More Loving One by W.H. Auden, I imagined it must be a sort of metaphor or allegory about loving a person, and struggled to understand it. When I read it as straight-forwardly about relating to nature and the whole indifferent universe, I get a lot more out of it.
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Alex Hill @alexlizhill.com · 14/02/2025
Honestly I know this dismantling of science and reason is depressing/alarming, but it's also just sort of comically absurd?
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Alex Hill @alexlizhill.com · 14/02/2025
The "woke grant" database is predictably idiotic, includes papers about diversity in beetles, cis-regulatory gene pathways, and brain trauma. US gov characterises the included grants as advancing "neo-Marxist class warfare propaganda". www.astralcodexten.com/p/only-about...
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Alex Hill @alexlizhill.com · 11/02/2025
Nausea and vomiting of pregnancy is incredibly prevalent and I think the true health burden is poorly understood - 70% of women have NVP, half of those cases are moderate to severe, and sufferers have quality of life scores comparable to PPD, cancer & heart attack patients. doi.org/10.1111/j.14...
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Alex Hill @alexlizhill.com · 11/02/2025
I am so excited for the results of this ongoing trial for a novel treatment of hyperemesis gravidarum (severe pregnancy sickness) 👀 GDF15 has been identified as the major determinant of HG and this is the first trial of a GFD15-blocker in pregnant women: www.isrctn.com/ISRCTN76681798
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Alex Hill @alexlizhill.com · 17/01/2025
London is trending the same way!
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Alex Hill @alexlizhill.com · 20/12/2024
This is such an important point when communicating health research: average effects aren't super predictive at the individual level unless variance is also small. And the standard error is often confused for the population variance.
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Alex Hill @alexlizhill.com · 20/12/2024
Mother and Child at Breaking Point (1970), by Maureen Scott
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Alex Hill @alexlizhill.com · 19/12/2024
Alfie's mum is such a lesbian icon fr
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Alex Hill @alexlizhill.com · 16/12/2024
Meme with person choosing between 2 buttons that read:
1. AI is going to replace my job as an elite intellectual
2. AI is garbage technology that produces nothing of value
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Alex Hill @alexlizhill.com · 16/12/2024
Trying to imagine the conversation when they decided to erect this plaque for Mary Wollstonecraft: What was she famous for again? Well, she founded modern feminism, and she also wrote a book about visiting Sweden...
Plaque reading: Mary Wollstonecraft, 1759-1797, philosopher, human rights pioneer, travel writer, educationalist
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Alex Hill @alexlizhill.com · 07/12/2024
Hyperbolic discounting strikes again. People who commit crimes are relatively myopic, so longer sentences won't be much of a deterrent.
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Alex Hill @alexlizhill.com · 07/12/2024
And this is the global prevalence; in some countries the difference is even more stark. In China, almost 50% of men smoke, vs only 2% of women!
Bar chart from Statista, showing sex disaggregated smoking in China per year between 2000-2020. 49.4% of men and 1.7% of women smoke in 2020.
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Alex Hill @alexlizhill.com · 05/12/2024
Such an important question. Incredible to see this photo of women in Cairo. My daughter's Egyptian grandmother describes going out in Cairo wearing a miniskirt in the 60s. It's hard to imagine for anyone who has spent time there recently.
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Alex Hill @alexlizhill.com · 03/12/2024
I enjoyed this 80000 hours podcast on belief formation and gullibility. It's a nuanced conversation but striking that the best way to change someone's mind is, in fact, to present a good argument.
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Alex Hill @alexlizhill.com · 03/12/2024
Everyone should read this Goldin & Katz paper. They use timings of pill legalisation across states as a natural experiment, show it caused greater investment of women in higher education & later age at first marriage. 2 consequential trends for fertility. www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/abs/10.1...
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Alex Hill @alexlizhill.com · 28/11/2024
Defining sex as "a multidimensional biological construct based on anatomy, physiology, genetics, and hormones" as the NIH does seems much more sensible. And still perfectly "sex-realist". orwh.od.nih.gov/sex-gender
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Alex Hill @alexlizhill.com · 28/11/2024
XX/XY mosaicism provides a reductio ad absurdum of the "chromosomal truther" position popular with gender-criticals imo. Either people with XX and XY chromosomes are of indeterminate sex (which gcs don't want to admit possible) or their sex is determined by non-chromosomal characteristics.
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Alex Hill @alexlizhill.com · 28/11/2024
It's striking to me that even though economics is generally very male dominated, health economics as a subfield is not. Looking at the proceedings of the American Economics Assocation, about half of papers in health, education and labor economics have female authors vs only 14% of finance papers!
Bar chart showing women as a share of all authors, by paper's research field, 2011-20.

Macroeconomics, monetary, & finance	13.68%
Econometrics	13.96%
Public	18.87%
Microeconomics	20.61%
Industrial organization	22.58%
Energy, environment, & urban	24.55%
Economics profession & education	27.35%
International	28.65%
Labor	42.89%
Health & education	46.26%
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Alex Hill @alexlizhill.com · 27/11/2024
Something like that. The experimental design is a 2x2 table showing fake numbers that show e.g. change in crime rates in cities that did or did not implement gun control. You have to compare ratios to work out the policy effect. Both numeracy and political congruence influence correctness.
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Alex Hill @alexlizhill.com · 26/11/2024
Bernoulli got kinda screwed over here
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Alex Hill @alexlizhill.com · 26/11/2024
Explaining why I haven't done the reading for this week's tutorial:
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Alex Hill @alexlizhill.com · 24/11/2024
This is a great essay. “Have I actually learned something? Or have I learned a new party trick or way of showing that I’m an intellectual?"
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Alex Hill @alexlizhill.com · 24/11/2024
There were lots of Russians in my PhD department and they told me that this is the standard exam format in Russia. Have to say, the Russian students were the best mathematicians in the department!
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Alex Hill @alexlizhill.com · 20/11/2024
I just learnt that the Ottoman empire had several female leaders. Kosem Sultan served as head of the empire for 9 years(!) before being assassinated. She was a slave turned concubine who gained power when the Sultan died and his heir, her son, was still underage. en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sultana...
Kösem Sultan was the most trusted advisor of Sultan Ahmed I. Historians credit her with persuading him to spare the life of his younger half-brother, Mustafa, thus putting an end to the centuries-old practice of fratricide in the Ottoman Empire. After Ahmed died in 1617, she was instrumental in the enthronement of Mustafa I and become regent during the minority of her son, Murad IV, in 1623-1632 and her grandson, Mehmed IV, in 1648–1651. As valide sultan and regent of the two sultans, Kösem wielded unparalleled political power and influenced the empire's foreign and domestic policies.
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Alex Hill @alexlizhill.com · 19/11/2024
I think there's something to this, from Paul Bloom: "[B]lindly stifling every flicker of boredom with enjoyable but empty distractions precludes deeper engagement with the messages boredom sends us about meaning, values and goals."
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Alex Hill @alexlizhill.com · 19/11/2024
The Oneida Community was a communist, Darwinist, utopian social experiment started in 1848 by the preacher John Noyes. Property was communal, and so was sex!
Intentional communities were founded across the US, probably the most famous being the Oneida Community. Oneida was started in 1848 by a preacher called John Humphrey Noyes. Communism and Darwinism were major influences on their philosophy, as well as the Christian perfectionist doctrine that humans can live free from sin. Property was communal, and so was sex; Noyes probably coined the term “free love”.
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Alex Hill @alexlizhill.com · 18/11/2024
If I could give my younger self one piece of advice it would be to freeze eggs. In the UK, if you meet eligibility criteria you can do it for free by becoming an egg donor. www.londoneggbank.com/egg-freezing...
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Alex Hill @alexlizhill.com · 17/11/2024
Interesting observation: far from seeing the arc of humanity bending inevitably towards progress, for most of history people imagined the macrotrend, if there at all, was one of decline. (From Nick Bostrom's Deep Utopia)
To the extent that hypotheses of a macrotrend were entertained, they were usually based on a premise of deterioration. We have here the idea of a "fall": an exclusion from a garden of plenty or a secular decline from an earlier imputed "golden age".
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Alex Hill @alexlizhill.com · 17/11/2024
Very good question. I guess they just worked night shifts and slept during the day! www.bbc.com/news/uk-engl...
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Alex Hill @alexlizhill.com · 16/11/2024
I think this is common/normal! Look at these pouchy eye bags I've had since I was a kid 😆
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Alex Hill @alexlizhill.com · 16/11/2024
Before alarm clocks were readily available and as late as the 1950s, you could pay a "knocker-up" to come and bang on your bedroom window with a long stick.
Black and white photograph of a man with a long stick knocking on someone's windowA knocker-up or knocker-upper was a member of a profession[1] in the Netherlands, Britain, Ireland, and some other countries that started during, and lasted well into, the Industrial Revolution, when alarm clocks were neither cheap nor reliable. A knocker-up's job was to rouse sleeping people so they could get to work on time.[2][3] By the 1940s and 1950s, this profession had more or less entirely died out, although it still continued in some pockets of industrial England until the early 1970s.[4]
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Alex Hill @alexlizhill.com · 15/11/2024
This is wild - seasonal flu incidence is likely way higher than it might seem. Looking at antibody data suggests 40-50% of younger age groups are infected annually, and up to 20% of older groups!
But the case fatality risk for flu is not comparable to the infection fatality risk for COVID, because many flu infections will go unreported. A few years ago, we used antibody data to estimate how many people were actually infected with seasonal influenza each year. We estimated 40-50% of younger groups were infected annually, and 15-20% of older groups. Data from a very detailed study in South Africa has since found similarly high values, with at least 35% of participants having a PCR confirmed flu infection during the year. So if we’re calculating the risk that a seasonal flu infection is fatal, we need to compare total flu infections – potentially a third of the population – with annual deaths. Based on the above US values, this would suggest that roughly 0.02-0.05% of flu infections are fatal, i.e. ten times lower than for COVID.
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Alex Hill @alexlizhill.com · 15/11/2024
Utopia as envisioned in 1888: "If we could have devised an arrangement for providing everybody with music in their homes, perfect in quality, unlimited in quantity, suited to every mood, and beginning and ceasing at will, we should have considered the limit of human felicity already attained"
Excerpt from Looking Backward by Edward Bellamy.
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Alex Hill @alexlizhill.com · 14/11/2024
Breakfast in Bed by Mary Cassat. Oil on canvas.
Oil painting on canvas. A young white woman with brown hair lies in bed, with sleepy eyes half open. A chubby toddler with curly hair sits upright on the edge of the bed, her mother's arms around her. There is a cup of tea or coffee on the bedside table, and the child has some kind of food in their fist.
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Alex Hill @alexlizhill.com · 14/11/2024
Yeah the US looks like it's plausibly getting worse. Work in the UK is extremely safe though, probably close to as good as you can get.
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Alex Hill @alexlizhill.com · 14/11/2024
Trump's pick for US ambassador to Israel thinks that "there is no such thing as a Palestinian... There's no such thing as an occupation." He has expressed a desire to buy a "holiday house" in a West Bank settlement.
Excerpt from Mike Huckabee's wikipedia page:
Huckabee is a strong supporter of Israel, opposing Palestinian statehood and rejecting Palestinian identity. Huckabee has also condoned West Bank settlements which are illegal under international law. Newspaper headline reading "Mike Huckabee says he wants home in West Bank"
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Alex Hill @alexlizhill.com · 14/11/2024
Even in the last 20 years, work has been getting much safer. Rates of fatal workplace injuries have more than halved in lots of countries.
Graph of fatal occupational injury rates, 2000 to 2022, from Our World In Data. Shows downward trends in Mexico, Turkey, Thailand, Russia, Argentina and Spain, a flat low trend in the UK and a low but slightly increasing trend in the US.
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Alex Hill @alexlizhill.com · 12/11/2024
Both Polymarket and Manifold are showing declining odds of Trump appointing RFK Jr to cabinet 🤞🙏
Screenshot from Polymarket showing a downward trend line and the text: Trump nominates RFK Jr to Cabinet?  29% chance Screenshot from Manifold markets, showing a downward trend and the words: If Trump wins, will RFK Jr be nominated to any cabinet/secretary position in 2025: 35% chance
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Alex Hill @alexlizhill.com · 12/11/2024
This is pretty cool. An attempt to visualize the relative power of different global entities over the last 4000 years: www.visualcapitalist.com/histomap/
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Alex Hill @alexlizhill.com · 12/11/2024
I did not know this: peace keeping forces really are effective.
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Alex Hill @alexlizhill.com · 12/11/2024
Adorably animated online tool for teaching about repeated games: ncase.me/trust/
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