iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Andrew Gross @ahgmem.bsky.social · 31/08/2026

A climate crisis walked into a bar. The bartender had to break the Y-axis just to reach the top shelf.

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Andrew Gross @ahgmem.bsky.social · 20/07/2025

They played at Barrington Hall, Berkeley, 1979-1980 when I was living there.

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Andrew Gross @ahgmem.bsky.social · 01/07/2025

What action is possible? "Degrowth" if that's politically possible (it's not) leading to the death of hundreds of millions because of lack of food or medical care? An overnight change from fossil energy to renewables - not physically possible. And in the general population there is little fear.

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Andrew Gross @ahgmem.bsky.social · 15/06/2025

2018? One of the hottest summers in England?

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Andrew Gross @ahgmem.bsky.social · 13/06/2025

I'll guess 1975. If I remember correctly, Britain had massive power shortages after the 1973-1974 OPEC oil embargo.

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Andrew Gross @ahgmem.bsky.social · 05/04/2025

Thanks for the detailed reply. I certainly see a die-off starting very soon here in the US (look at the steep drop in life expectancy in Russia after the fall of the Soviet Union), but I think it will be a slow process until it's not - maybe 20 years or so.

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Andrew Gross @ahgmem.bsky.social · 05/04/2025

Okay. We will find out soon enough, although I don't think I'll be one of the unlucky survivors.

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Andrew Gross @ahgmem.bsky.social · 05/04/2025

What is your reasoning? The only way I see that happening is with nuclear war.

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Andrew Gross @ahgmem.bsky.social · 31/03/2025

No idea of the month! But I remember James Hansen saying that in 1979 Jules Carney estimated 3°C with a doubling of CO2. Also, that it probably wouldn't have been until the late 1970s that the climate alarmists would even think of a 5°C sensitivity because of aerosol unmasking.

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Andrew Gross @ahgmem.bsky.social · 28/03/2025

Yes I am very happy I'm now retired. Now trying my best not to fall into depression from the political insanity.

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Andrew Gross @ahgmem.bsky.social · 02/02/2025

Twenty years from now? At the rate we're going, I'd say more like twenty days!

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Andrew Gross @ahgmem.bsky.social · 31/01/2025

Couldn't have said it better. Unfortunately, I think it'll be an agonizing death.

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Andrew Gross @ahgmem.bsky.social · 31/01/2025

Daily data fix! 29 Jan had a global mean surface temp of 0.74°C above pre-industrial. With the offset o 0.97°C, 29 Jan 2025 was 1.71°C above pre-industrial.

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Andrew Gross @ahgmem.bsky.social · 30/01/2025

Through Jan 28, Jan 2025 is 1.75°C above pre-industrial from the ERA5 dataset.

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Andrew Gross @ahgmem.bsky.social · 30/01/2025

Daily data fix! 28 Jan had a mean surface air temp of 0.78°C above the 1991-2020 average. With the offset of 0.97°C, 28 Jan 2025 was 1.75°C above pre-industrial.

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Andrew Gross @ahgmem.bsky.social · 29/01/2025

Daily data fix! 27 Jan global mean surface temp was 0.79°C above the 1991-2020 average. With the offset 0f 27 Jan of 0.96°, 27 Jan 2025 is 1.75°C above pre-industrial.

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Andrew Gross @ahgmem.bsky.social · 28/01/2025

Daily data fix! 26 Jan had a mean global surface air temp 0.83°C above the 1991-2020 average. With the offset of 0.96°C, 26 Jan 2025 was 1.79°C above pre-industrial.

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Andrew Gross @ahgmem.bsky.social · 27/01/2025

Thanks again. I didn't see the search feature, only the Antarctic view. Then I had to look up the longitude of the glacier. Much easier this way.

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Andrew Gross @ahgmem.bsky.social · 27/01/2025

Thanks! I didn't know of this NASA Worldview site.

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Andrew Gross @ahgmem.bsky.social · 27/01/2025

This decoupling is quite apparent. Here are the sea surface temp anomalies from 1940 to present, with 2023, 2024, and 2025 highlighted.

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Andrew Gross @ahgmem.bsky.social · 27/01/2025

Jan 24 and 25 were the same at 0.84°C above the 1991-2020 average. What is very worrying and surprising to many, is why the global mean surface air temp is staying so high while the global mean sea surface temp has come down substantially since the peak of the El Niño ~ 1 year ago. 1/

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Andrew Gross @ahgmem.bsky.social · 27/01/2025

Daily data fix! 25 Jan had a global mean surface air temp of 0.84°C above the 1991-2020 average. With the offset for 25 Jan of +0.96°C, 25 Jan 2025 is 1.80°C above pre-industrial.

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Andrew Gross @ahgmem.bsky.social · 27/01/2025

It is hard to write these words, but I agree.

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Andrew Gross @ahgmem.bsky.social · 26/01/2025

This works for me: Settings➡️Content and Media➡️Thread preferences➡️Newest replies first

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Andrew Gross @ahgmem.bsky.social · 26/01/2025

Very late 1950's to before 1965 because of the "recently discovered radiation belts" - Van Allen belts.

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Andrew Gross @ahgmem.bsky.social · 26/01/2025

I also don't know what to do. For me, and probably quite a few others, I have multiple chronic medical conditions and am completely dependent on industrial civilization for my survival. If/when that breaks down, it's the end for me. Frankly, I'm terrified.

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Andrew Gross @ahgmem.bsky.social · 26/01/2025

Thanks, TUS. With the climate crisis worsening, and the insane political situation here in the US (and other places), I'm really worried. I think things will go tits-up really soon, and really fast. I hope I'm wrong.

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Andrew Gross @ahgmem.bsky.social · 26/01/2025

I'm beginning to think that industrial civilization no longer has 20 years left. If the Limits to Growth BAU2 model is correct, we are at peak, if not just past peak, especially with the political insanity. The Limits to Growth is unable to model political instability. 1/

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Andrew Gross @ahgmem.bsky.social · 26/01/2025

From the great www.karstenhaustein.com/climate site, we should see a drop in global mean surface air temp over the next week. I hope this forecast holds up.

karstenhaustein.com

GFS 2m temperature anomaly

Temperature anomaly maps

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Andrew Gross @ahgmem.bsky.social · 26/01/2025

Daily data fix! 24 Jan had a global mean surface air temp of 0.84°C above the 1991-2020 average. With the offset of 0.96°C, 24 Jan 2025 was 1.80°C above pre-industrial. Jan 2025 is now 1.75°C above pre-industrial. We are going in the wrong direction folks!

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Andrew Gross @ahgmem.bsky.social · 25/01/2025

You're very welcome. This data comes from a European consortium, pulse.climate.copernicus.eu , but of course they need US data from our weather stations and satellites. Given the military need for weather data, I don't believe that our weather data will be affected. Other NOAA services, Idk.

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Andrew Gross @ahgmem.bsky.social · 25/01/2025

Daily data fix! 23 Jan had a global mean surface air temp 0.79°C above the 1991-2020 average. With the offset of 0.96°C, 23 Jan 2025 was 1.75°C above pre-industrial. So far Jan 2025 is 1.74°C over pre-industrial.

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Andrew Gross @ahgmem.bsky.social · 24/01/2025

Daily data fix! 22 Jan global mean surface air temp was 0.77°C above the 1991-2020 average. With the offset of 0.96°C, 22 Jan 2025 was 1.73°C above pre-industrial. Although the forecast for the next week is for temps to drop, Jan. will be >1.70°C above pre-industrial.

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Andrew Gross @ahgmem.bsky.social · 23/01/2025

Thank you so much for the explanation!

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Andrew Gross @ahgmem.bsky.social · 23/01/2025

I phrased my question incorrectly. What I meant to say was that in late December, 2023 had the highest sea surface temperatures of all years in the data set. This is from the Copernicus site, where I could easily highlight the years.

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Andrew Gross @ahgmem.bsky.social · 23/01/2025

Btw, I copied the link you had in your chart, but it redirected me to the link that I have in the chart I posted.

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Andrew Gross @ahgmem.bsky.social · 23/01/2025

I was looking at the global sea surface temperatures from the climatereanalyzer.org The most global data I found was from 60°S to 60°N. If I'm reading the chart correctly, 2023 had the highest temperatures ever recorded in the data set. Where is the error? Thanks.

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