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64% against Trump’s $5,000 dividend in online poll. Next Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) reading on Sept. 25 will measure impact on vibes of Trump’s $5,000 promise.

Republicans not OK with $4 gas. Republican Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) down -16% since Trump attacked Iran. Independent vibes down -6%. Democrats down -4%.

Republicans’ Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) down -11% since July and down -19% since Trump attacked Iran in February and sent gasoline prices higher.

Only if “handled with care”. Continuing controversy lends credibility to Trump economist Hassett’s charge that “ICS … worthless”.

President averts, for now, maybe, “economic catastrophe … I did not want to be … Hoover”. No Hoover depression in sight, but Trump following Biden’s vibecession path.

Trump economist Hassett is right for wrong reason saying Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) is wrong. Claudia Sahm diagnoses what’s gone wrong with ICS.

Even Republicans’ consumer sentiment slipping. When will vibes hit bottom?

Good news, bad news day for the Donald Jr.’s prospects. Jobs up, gas price down. But, economic vibes still sinking. Bad inflation news coming next week.

Read only if you are a vibes nerd and/or use sentiment data in a model.

Bigliest jump in inflation in 5 years. Consumer vibes down another -11%.

Solution? “take one less trip to Starbucks, and … gas goes a little further”

Gas prices up +22% in 2 weeks. Will 2026 be like 1973, 1979-80, 1990 for US economy?

On the surface at least. Misery index hasn’t been this steady in 6 decades.

Vibes +6% over last 2 months, but still down -23% since January 2025. Too soon to call end to vibecession that started as soon as President Trump took office.

Consumer sentiment down -26% over past year. Worse than -25% to start Nixon’s 2nd term.

NO. Small vibes pop won’t be enough to turn around -27% fall in sentiment over 1 year. Past US military triumphs have not had much lasting effect on economic sentiment.

Index of Consumer Sentiment down -27% since January. Even Republican vibes wavering.

Not guilty of perjury. But, guilty of gaslighting his own popularity.

Chicago Fed nowcasts unemployment rate = 4.35%. Strengthens case for interest rate cut. Transmission of material in this news release is embargoed until 2:30 p.m. (ET) Monday, October 27, 2025.

No sign of Trump keeping election promise to “end inflation”, so vibes still depressed.

With no BLS data, look to Cleveland Fed for inflation, Chicago Fed for unemployment. Transmission of material in this release is embargoed until 8:30 am (ET) Wednesday, October 15, 2025.

Ghost of Republican Party past will bury Antoni over post making fun of McCain dying

Consumer vibes plunged in 2005 – like 2025. No recession in 2005. What about 2025?

BLS Commissioner Antoni will “Accentuate the positive. Eliminate the negative.” The Donald and I are old enough to remember that Bing recorded that hit in 1937.

Labor data says US economy still strong. Consumer vibes still low in recession zone.

Gasoline price spike could be last straw that breaks economic camel’s back.

Consumer vibes stop sliding thanks to TACO = Trump Always Chickens Out.

Miran (PhD, Harvard): economy “marching on ahead”. Scanlan (BA, WKU): “downturn”.

Topline economic numbers good in April, but falling economic vibes signal trouble

Bigliest consumer vibe dive on record. Even Republicans losing faith in Trumponomics.

Too soon to call recession, but at very least vibecession looms.

Wrong, Mr. Health Secretary. After 2 months, 2025 US cases > half in all of 2024.

Conference Board and UMichigan agree on vibe dive. But, too soon to call recession.

Post-election vibes honeymoon over. -9% consumer sentiment drop in February.

Trump inherits best misery index for new POTUS since Ike. But, economic vibes still low.

Bezos’ false hope for 2nd term: “he (Trump) is calmer than he was the first time”

Hinge moment in US economic history would not have occurred without Jimmy Carter.