iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 4h

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 1, 2026: Russian milbloggers are expressing concerns that Ukraine’s Operation Vivaldi in the Lyman direction will hinder Russian attempts to assault Slovyansk from the east. Read the full report: isw.pub/UkrWar100126 (1/6)

311126

Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 5h

Iran Update, October 1, 2026: Houthi forces temporarily disrupted a section of the Yemeni government-aligned forces’ primary ground line of communication between Taiz City and Aden City on October 1 to isolate Yemeni government-aligned forces in Taiz City. Read more: isw.pub/IranUpdate10... (1/4)

1548

Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 9h

We are now accepting Internship applications for Spring 2027! ISW is looking for motivated and critical thinkers to join our team of national security and intelligence experts. Apply today: isw.pub/SpringInternships2027Bsky

0328

Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 14h

NEW: The European Court of Human Rights (ECHR) is hearing a case that highlights the longevity of Russia’s policies towards children in occupied Ukraine. (1/8) Read more: isw.pub/OccupationUp...

39737

Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

NEW: Defectors from Iranian-backed Iraqi militia Asaib Ahl al Haq have formed a new armed group with “significant” Iranian support, according to the Washington Post on September 30. (1/7) Read more: isw.pub/IranUpdate09...

17012

Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

NEW: Russia conducted a drone and missile strike against Ukraine, targeting energy infrastructure in Kyiv and marking the beginning of Russia’s strike campaign aimed at degrading Ukraine’s energy security and forcing Ukraine to capitulate. (1/8) Read more: isw.pub/UkrWar093026

613434

Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

NEW: South Korean Minister of Defense Kang Shin-chul stated on September 29 that North Korea planted an anti-personnel mine along the demilitarized zone (DMZ), which exploded and injured a South Korean soldier on September 21. (1/6) Read the full report: isw.pub/KoreanPenins...

38221

Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

NEW: The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) continues attempts to falsely assert control over settlements in the Lyman direction that Ukrainian forces liberated during Operation Vivaldi. (1/10) Read more: isw.pub/UkrWar092926

123361

Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

NEW: Houthi and Yemeni government-aligned forces have reportedly ordered general mobilizations to reinforce frontlines across Yemen, which may signal long-term Houthi intent to continue advances in Taiz Governorate and along the Red Sea coast. (1/4) Read more: isw.pub/IranUpdate09...

310132

Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

NEW: People’s Republic of China (PRC) Vice President Han Zheng promoted Xi Jinping's Global Governance, Development, Civilization, and Security initiatives during the PRC's 81st UN General Assembly (UNGA) address on September 26. (1/6) Read the full report: isw.pub/ChinaTaiwanU...

2508

Reposted by Institute for the Study of War

Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

NEW: Ukraine’s 3rd Army Corps publicized details on the third phase of Operation Vivaldi in the Lyman direction. (1/9) Read the full report: isw.pub/UkrWar092826

523945

Reposted by Institute for the Study of War

Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

NEW: Saudi and Yemeni government-aligned forces may be targeting senior Houthi and Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) missile and drone experts and military commanders. (1/10) Read the full report: isw.pub/IranUpdate09...

113628

Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

113628

Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

NEW: Ukraine’s 3rd Army Corps publicized details on the third phase of Operation Vivaldi in the Lyman direction. (1/9) Read the full report: isw.pub/UkrWar092826

523945

Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

NEW: A Kremlin-affiliated milblogger is embracing Putin’s new theory of victory that relies on expansive long-range combined ballistic missile and jet-powered drone strikes against Ukraine to force Ukraine to capitulate over Winter 2026-2027. (1/8) Read more: isw.pub/UkrWar092726

417148

Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

1/ Saudi and Yemeni government-aligned forces targeted Houthi forces positioned east of Taiz City on September 27, likely to disrupt the Houthis’ ability to sustain operations east of the city. Read the full report: isw.pub/IranUpdate09...

19925

Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

NEW: Ukrainian forces appear to be shifting their counteroffensive tactics toward systematically targeting Russian efforts to reinforce initial Russian infiltrations rather than focusing on clearing the infiltrators immediately in various sectors of the frontline Read more: isw.pub/UkrWar092626

829461

Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 26/09/2026

NEW: Houthi and Yemeni government-aligned forces continue to fight over contested high ground overlooking Houthi positions and ground lines of communication (GLOC) near the Bab al Mandeb Strait. (1/6) Read more: isw.pub/IranUpdate09...

111829

Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 26/09/2026

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 25, 2026: Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky stated on September 25 that US President Donald Trump has made a “final decision” to grant Ukraine licenses to produce unspecified types of Patriot air defense systems interceptor missiles.

215826

Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

NEW: Saudi Grand Mufti Saleh al Fawzan issued a statement on September 24 urging Yemeni government-aligned forces and Saudi soldiers stationed on the Saudi-Yemen border to protect Saudi territory and defeat the Houthis. Read the full report: isw.pub/IranUpdate09...

38516

Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

NEW: US President Donald Trump and Chinese Communist Party (CCP) General Secretary Xi Jinping held a summit in Washington, DC, from September 22 to 24. (1/3) Read the full report: isw.pub/ChinaTaiwanU...

15715

Reposted by Institute for the Study of War

Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 24/09/2026

NEW: The Kremlin continues to categorically deny Russia’s role in creating a humanitarian crisis in occupied Oleshky, instead blaming the Ukrainian government to deflect from Russia’s international legal responsibility. Read the full update: isw.pub/OccupationUpdate092426

215563

Reposted by Institute for the Study of War

Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

NEW: Yemeni government-aligned forces repelled a Houthi advance on September 23 that sought to sever the primary ground line of communication (GLOC) that connects Taiz City and Aden City. 🧵(1/6) Read more: isw.pub/IranUpdate09...

210415

Reposted by Institute for the Study of War

Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

NEW: Several recent incidents in Europe, including drone incursions and acts of sabotage, are likely attributable to Russia, as Western officials increasingly warn of intensified Russian kinetic activity against Europe in the near future. 🧵(1/8) Read more: isw.pub/UkrWar092426

525091

Reposted by Institute for the Study of War

Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 16/09/2026

The Kremlin is conducting a coordinated series of kinetic campaigns targeting Europe, and NATO states must understand and forthrightly discuss both these ongoing Russian campaigns against Europe and the evolving near-term Russian conventional threat.  Read the full report: isw.pub/RussianEurop...

5334154

Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

525091

Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

210415

Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 24/09/2026

215563

Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 24/09/2026

Iran Update 092326: Iran’s deteriorating economy & difficulties exerting control of the strait may have contributed to its recent willingness to engage w/ the US. Iran’s renewed engagement w/ the US doesn't mean the regime softened its negotiating position. Read more: isw.pub/IranUpdate09... (1/5)

49418

Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 24/09/2026

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, Sept 23 2026: High-ranking Kremlin officials effectively rejected the US-Ukrainian-proposed limited energy ceasefire and continued reiterating Russia's unwillingness to engage in any meaningful peace negotiations. Read the report: isw.pub/UkrWar09232026 (1/5)

716340

Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 24/09/2026

MAP NOTICE: ISW is aware of intermittent issues affecting the loading, rendering, and performance of some of our ESRI StoryMaps and web maps. Some users may experience delays when accessing our public features. (1/2)

3480

Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 23/09/2026

0338

Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 23/09/2026

NEW: The Kremlin used the staged and manufactured 2026 State Duma elections in occupied Ukraine as a de facto referendum on Russian occupation, portraying participation in the election and support for United Russia as evidence of widespread acceptance of Russia’s illegal rule. (1/5)

49631

Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 23/09/2026

NEW: North Korean nuclear rhetoric is increasingly threatening escalation and retaliatory strikes if the United States crosses one of its “red lines.” (1/8) Read the full report: isw.pub/UkrWar092326

67719

Reposted by Institute for the Study of War

Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 23/09/2026

Iran Update 092226: The Houthis are trying to either secure control of Yemeni oil & gas resources or force Saudi Arabia to fund salaries of Houthi govt employees, either of which would solidify their political control in Yemen & weaken the Yemeni govt. Read the report: isw.pub/IranUpdate09... (1/7)

411827

Reposted by Institute for the Study of War

Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 23/09/2026

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, 092226: The RU MoD falsely claimed that RU forces have encircled Dobropillya — an intensification of the Kremlin’s cognitive warfare campaign alleging encirclements to falsely present UA defenses as collapsing. Read the report: isw.pub/UkrWar092226 (1/4)

1024755

Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 23/09/2026

1024755

Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 23/09/2026

411827

Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

NEW: Japan may be considering transitioning from diesel-electric submarines to nuclear submarines, which would significantly enhance their operating range, speed, and stealth. (1/6) Read the full report: isw.pub/ChinaTaiwanU...

313821

Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

NEW: US President Donald Trump reportedly decided to refrain from striking Houthi targets in Yemen “for the time being” on September 20. (1/9) Read the full report: isw.pub/IranUpdate09...

79116

Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

NEW: Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky emphasized Ukraine’s eagerness to establish an energy ceasefire with Russia and announced that he will meet US President Donald Trump on the sidelines of the UN General Assembly session. (1/6) Read the full report: isw.pub/UkrWar092126

214323

Reposted by Institute for the Study of War

Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 21/09/2026

1/ A full-scale Russian invasion of a NATO state is extremely unlikely while Russia remains fully committed to war against Ukraine. But full-scale invasion is not Putin's only option to conventionally escalate against a NATO state. Read the full scenario: isw.pub/NarvaScenari...

1225265

Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 21/09/2026

1225265

Reposted by Institute for the Study of War

Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 20/09/2026

NEW: The Russian MoD continues to greatly exaggerate the extent of advances across the frontline to construct a false narrative of battlefield progress. The unusual MoD statement comes amid State Duma elections and shortly before the convening of UNGA. 🧵(1/8) Read more: isw.pub/UkrWar091926

725763

Reposted by Institute for the Study of War

Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 21/09/2026

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment 092026: Ukraine conducted its largest combined missile & drone strike package on strategic targets in Moscow Oblast on the night of Sept 19-20, ahead of the last day of voting in the Russian State Duma elections. Read the report: isw.pub/UkrWar092026 (1/5)

430064

Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 21/09/2026

430064

Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 20/09/2026

NEW | There are multiple indications that fighting between the US & Iran & its partners may expand imminently. ISW-CTP will continue to monitor the regional situation & provide updates as events warrant. Read ISW-CTP's latest analysis about the Houthi-Saudi conflict: understandingwar.org... (1/6)

214857

Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 20/09/2026

725763

Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 19/09/2026

NEW | Houthis struck Aramco fuel depots near Riyadh International Airport, marking the first Houthi attack on the Saudi capital during the current conflict. The attack is part of the Houthis' campaign to maximize economic and political costs on Saudi Arabia to force the kingdom to acquiesce. 🧵(1/5)

317871

Institute for the Study of War @thestudyofwar.bsky.social · 19/09/2026

NEW: The Kremlin continues to deny that Russia will conduct mobilization after its September 18-20 State Duma elections, likely in an effort to dissuade Russian citizens from fleeing abroad. (1/8) Read the full report: isw.pub/UkrWar091826

826774