Lucy D’Agostino McGowan @lucystats.bsky.social · 10hProud member of team “waste more time”, we have mugs! 020
Lucy D’Agostino McGowan @lucystats.bsky.social · 05/10/2026See more details here: regressiontothemeangirls.com/posts/06-the... And listen here: open.spotify.com/episode/7mcX... 151
Lucy D’Agostino McGowan @lucystats.bsky.social · 28/09/2026like this, I think? But (if I understand the gist!) yes, I keep seeing this in my classes where when I try to break things under most reasonable conditions I have trouble 😆, most recently in linear regression, prior to that, complete case analyses when only missing covariates 🙈 000
Lucy D’Agostino McGowan @lucystats.bsky.social · 21/09/2026Also featuring tidy data brass knuckles…in case of emergency 🤣 171
Lucy D’Agostino McGowan @lucystats.bsky.social · 21/09/2026🎙️ Today on Regression to the Mean Girls @sarahlotspeich.bsky.social & I chat with @hadley.nz about an over-engineered solution to purchase some beautiful art! 2163
Lucy D’Agostino McGowan @lucystats.bsky.social · 07/08/2026Thank you to everyone who came & for all the great discussion after! You can find: 🎞️ my slides here: www.lucymcgowan.com/talk/asa_joi... 📄 our article here: arxiv.org/abs/2512.07739 061
Lucy D’Agostino McGowan @lucystats.bsky.social · 18/05/2026We love our grads!! 👩🎓Congratulations! We can’t wait to hear about all of the exciting things you do next! #wfugrad @sarahlotspeich.bsky.social 030
Lucy D’Agostino McGowan @lucystats.bsky.social · 12/05/2026I have LOVED getting to know so many brilliant folks at the Workshop on Applied Statistics in Agriculture & Natural Resources! Thank you so much for the invitation! My talk today was about the “causal gap” 🎞️ Slides here: www.lucymcgowan.com/talk/keynote... 050
Lucy D’Agostino McGowan @lucystats.bsky.social · 16/11/2025Saw Jen Tullock’s amazing show and was so enamored throughout that I snapped not a single photo, but got to chat after for a bit with the brilliant @hamburgerwaiter.bsky.social …we did discuss elevator pitches 👀😅 060
Lucy D’Agostino McGowan @lucystats.bsky.social · 21/10/2025So proud of @ashleymullan.bsky.social -- featured on the cover of @significancemag.bsky.social! Check out her beautiful interrupted time series plot 😍 1101
Lucy D’Agostino McGowan @lucystats.bsky.social · 14/10/2025I am SO enjoying celebrating International Day of Women in Statistics & Data Science by attending #IDWSDS2025 My first talk of the day: The Art of Data Refinement: Severance Analyses 🎞️ Slides: lucymcgowan.github.io/mdr-talk/ (All made in Quarto ♥️) Here is a sneak peak: 091
Lucy D’Agostino McGowan @lucystats.bsky.social · 23/08/2025My extremely talented baby sister was featured in this @redbull.com documentary that was released today! watch the whole thing here 👇 www.soundsofredbull.com/scoring-chal... listen to more of Teesa’s music: open.spotify.com/artist/2CttZ... www.teesadagostino.com 1210
Lucy D’Agostino McGowan @lucystats.bsky.social · 10/08/2025Excited for @davisvaughan.bsky.social & my talk tomorrow in which we will demo a shiny app we ✨ vibe coded ✨ up today, if you're at #user2025 stop by Gross at 10:30a tomorrow. Sneak peak 👇 1294
Lucy D’Agostino McGowan @lucystats.bsky.social · 08/08/2025The #JSM2025 roasts getting a reprise at @hadley.nz’s #user2025 keynote 😂 0223
Lucy D’Agostino McGowan @lucystats.bsky.social · 06/08/2025Huge congratulations to two of my favorite colleagues @sarahlotspeich.bsky.social & Staci Hepler on their SUCH well deserved CWS awards at #JSM2025 👏 👏 1184
Lucy D’Agostino McGowan @lucystats.bsky.social · 08/07/2025Excuse the terrible annotation from my phone (😂) but I think I would have expected the categorical to look more like this: 1111
Lucy D’Agostino McGowan @lucystats.bsky.social · 26/06/2025And here is what happens with mean imputation, the slope is the same: 000
Lucy D’Agostino McGowan @lucystats.bsky.social · 26/06/2025Maybe a visual will help, here is what is happening with complete case. Even though X is missing NOT at random, we still recover the correct E[Y|X] when just using the observed Xs because the missingness is not related to Y. 200
Lucy D’Agostino McGowan @lucystats.bsky.social · 26/06/2025Maybe a simple simulation would help? Here I have Y which has a linear relationship with X such that the true effect is 2. X is missing not at random such that when X > 0 it is missing. I get 2 when I fit the model with just the observed Xs after listwise deletion and after mean imputation 110
Lucy D’Agostino McGowan @lucystats.bsky.social · 25/06/2025I’m not even sure about the power! I’ve had trouble coming up with a good sim where it noticeably helps, here’s a quick one I just did (on my phone so there are probably bugs 😂) but complete case also has smaller standard errors! 220
Lucy D’Agostino McGowan @lucystats.bsky.social · 21/05/2025I am so excited about the slate of amazing tutorials we will have at useR this year! It’s included in your registration, check them out! 2182
Lucy D’Agostino McGowan @lucystats.bsky.social · 19/05/2025🎓 🤰 2024 graduation ➡️ 👶 2025 graduation 1361
Lucy D’Agostino McGowan @lucystats.bsky.social · 18/05/2025Happy Graduation Weekend from the @wakeforeststats.bsky.social faculty!! 1191
Lucy D’Agostino McGowan @lucystats.bsky.social · 17/05/2025Some of the causal crew (+ @sarahlotspeich.bsky.social & Staci!) congratulations! 🍾 060
Lucy D’Agostino McGowan @lucystats.bsky.social · 30/04/2025😏 @libbyheeren.bsky.social reminding me of the time grad student Lucy snuck a stats joke into Ron Gilbert’s Thimbleweed Park 140
Lucy D’Agostino McGowan @lucystats.bsky.social · 30/03/2025And our little kid sizes Pepper’s ghost for everyone’s personal hologram, courtesy of a plastic dessert cup and overhead transparency (s/o to Joshua Ellingson for the design!) 110
Lucy D’Agostino McGowan @lucystats.bsky.social · 30/03/2025I made these posters with figures from Disney patents to explain the science behind how the projection systems work 🤓 100
Lucy D’Agostino McGowan @lucystats.bsky.social · 30/03/2025Ok this was too fun, had some ghosts hanging out on our couch, made lenticular pictures, and made kid-sized Pepper’s ghost contraptions 🙈 the kids loved it and now I need to share with all of my nerd friends 🤗 120
Lucy D’Agostino McGowan @lucystats.bsky.social · 29/03/2025Throwing a Pepper’s Ghost themed party for K2 tomorrow, not sure who is more excited 🙈😅 272
Lucy D’Agostino McGowan @lucystats.bsky.social · 18/03/2025Coming in hot from your favorite severance-obsessed statistician (thank you, @benstiller.redhour.com)...another elevator ding analysis! Is that a B♮ we hear on the severed floor? A redemption arc coming for our girl Helena? mdr.lucymcgowan.com 1303
Lucy D’Agostino McGowan @lucystats.bsky.social · 13/03/2025Our grandparents survived the measles, what’s the big deal? h/t @kjhealy.co 3385
Lucy D’Agostino McGowan @lucystats.bsky.social · 14/02/2025Milchick's words average 1.34 syllables (95% CI: 1.33-1.34); everyone else is close behind (1.28, 95% CI: 1.28-1.28). While technically statistically significant, I do not think it is scientifically meaningful, perhaps Lumon needs a lesson in the difference. We will be taking this to the board. 160
Lucy D’Agostino McGowan @lucystats.bsky.social · 14/02/2025Ok, maybe the word cloud is not the best way to see this (although we are just doing the same analysis Lumon claims to!), let's instead compare the percentage of multisyllabic words Milchick uses compared to the rest of the characters. lucymcgowan.github.io/mdr-website/... 3/ 270
Lucy D’Agostino McGowan @lucystats.bsky.social · 14/02/2025I've taken the transcripts from the 14 episodes and extracted Milchick's dialogue to create this word cloud. Here's the thing, I don't think there are that many big words! We are assuming that on screen dialogue is representative of how he speaks off screen 2/ lucymcgowan.github.io/mdr-website/... 280
Lucy D’Agostino McGowan @lucystats.bsky.social · 14/02/2025I've got a bone to pick with Lumon over their performance review for our favorite [alleged] sesquipedalian, Milchick Supposedly he is using too many big words? And they've created a word cloud to prove it? Two can play that game! 1/ #Severance 4431
Lucy D’Agostino McGowan @lucystats.bsky.social · 07/02/2025An evening well spent timing this little music (written by my extremely talented baby sister!) behind my data viz 🎶 as we await episode four 🥂 #severance #ortbo 🎶 www.teesadagostino.com 📊 lucymcgowan.github.io/mdr-website/ 2140
Lucy D’Agostino McGowan @lucystats.bsky.social · 05/02/2025Ok this might be my favorite one so far, looking at who is speaking (and how many words they say) at each minute by episode. Check out S2E2, its all segmented because the outies never speak with each other! lucymcgowan.github.io/mdr-website/... #Severance 0163
Lucy D’Agostino McGowan @lucystats.bsky.social · 02/02/2025Trying to build a database of #Severance employee ids and hitting some snags 👀 pls vote below: 🙏 this is a great way to spend your time convalescing from the flu 😬 yikes 160
Lucy D’Agostino McGowan @lucystats.bsky.social · 01/02/2025Looking for your own Lumon badge? Look no further. lucymcgowan.github.io/mdr-website/... #Severance (s/o: @tangandhara.bsky.social) 1122
Lucy D’Agostino McGowan @lucystats.bsky.social · 01/02/2025Old report claims continuous treatment benefit of tamiflu with 3-4 day reduction if started in 12 hrs (way different than <1 day for 48 hrs) & relevant with rapid tests, but I can’t find a peer reviewed article — infectious disease #episky friends, do y’all know one? www.gilead.com/news/news-de.... 000
Lucy D’Agostino McGowan @lucystats.bsky.social · 01/02/2025little sentiment profiles for each #Severance episode the work is mysterious and important 💚🩵🩶 lucymcgowan.github.io/mdr-website/... 1112
Lucy D’Agostino McGowan @lucystats.bsky.social · 31/01/2025a bit more #Severance data please enjoy all analyses equally 👉 lucymcgowan.github.io/mdr-website/ and for my #rstats friends: 👉 lucymcgowan.github.io/mdr/ 2023846
Lucy D’Agostino McGowan @lucystats.bsky.social · 31/01/2025Happy #Severance night! Here’s a fun little analysis predicting when characters joined Lumon based on their badge employee codes 😏 0692