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Atlantic Council @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social · 8h
“The departure of US troops represents an opportunity to turn the page on the United States’ complicated history in Iraq, but it should not lead to an end of American engagement with Iraq,” write Victoria Taylor and Alina L. Romanowski. Read more ⤵️
atlanticcouncil.org
US troops are leaving Iraq, but the US should stay
The end of Operation Inherent Resolve should not be the end of Washington's engagement with this important country in a region vital to US interests.
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Atlantic Council @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social · 12h
“Today, there are dead rats all around.” War historian Margaret MacMillan’s recent New York Times essay underscores the urgency of addressing the issues increasing strife around the world, writes Fred Kempe in #InflectionPoints.
atlanticcouncil.org
Don’t ignore the ‘dead rats’ of global disorder
A war historian’s recent essay underscores the urgency of addressing the issues increasing strife around the world today.
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Atlantic Council @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
FAST THINKING: President Trump announced a security deal with Denmark and Greenland on Friday. Atlantic Council experts unpack what we know and what to expect from the deal:
atlanticcouncil.org
What the Greenland deal means for the transatlantic alliance
Our experts unpack what we know and what to expect from the announced security deal involving the US, Denmark, and Greenland.
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Atlantic Council @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
The stalemate in the Strait of Hormuz calls for a new approach. “A Gulf maritime cooperative mechanism could offer the Trump administration an off-ramp from the Hormuz crisis and open space for other channels of deconfliction,” writes Alia Brahimi
atlanticcouncil.org
Could the GCC and Iran collaborate to solve the Strait of Hormuz crisis?
A Gulf-led maritime cooperation could break the Hormuz stalemate by offering Iran an off-ramp while preventing unilateral control.
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Atlantic Council @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
Canada and the US are parties to one of the world’s largest free trade agreements. Madeline Chalecki unpacks how US trade policy is increasingly exposing the limits of such deals:
atlanticcouncil.org
Friends with few trade benefits
Free trade agreements were supposed to protect US trading partners. But new tariffs are putting that promise to the test.
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Atlantic Council @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social · 03/09/2026
CIA Director John Ratcliffe’s recent unannounced visit to Moscow has raised speculation about Russian plans to escalate attacks. Read the latest analysis from Atlantic Council experts on where and how Russian President Vladimir Putin might escalate next:
atlanticcouncil.org
Where and how Putin could expand his war in Europe beyond Ukraine
The CIA director’s recent unannounced visit to Moscow has raised speculation about Russian plans to escalate attacks.
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Atlantic Council @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social · 02/09/2026
#UkraineAlert – “As efforts to revive the faltering peace process continue, it is important for Western policymakers to avoid being misled by Kremlin claims about Russia’s readiness for a diplomatic solution,” writes Kateryna Odarchenko. Read more ⤵️
atlanticcouncil.org
For Putin, the ‘root cause' of the war is the existence of independent Ukraine
Moscow claims to be ready for peace once the "root causes" of the Russia-Ukraine War are addressed, but Putin's demands confirm that he believes the "root cause" of the war is the existence of an independent Ukraine, writes Kateryna Odarchenko.
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Atlantic Council @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social · 02/09/2026
Russia’s new AI law puts domestic models under state control. Moscow now wants to sell the same model abroad. But buying Russian AI likely trades one dependence for another, writes Eto Buziashvili.
atlanticcouncil.org
Russia wants to sell ‘sovereign AI' abroad. Here's what it's really selling.
Russia's new AI law puts domestic models under state control. Moscow now wants to sell the same model abroad.
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Atlantic Council @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social · 20/08/2026
For South Korea, the US announcement to scale back drills raises questions about deterrence against North Korea and Seoul’s confidence in Washington. Three experts examine the diplomatic, military, and political fallout of the decision. Read more ⤵️
atlanticcouncil.org
The view from South Korea on Trump scaling back joint military exercises
Seoul-based Atlantic Council experts weigh in on how US president's decision to cut short military training is being viewed by the US ally.
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Atlantic Council @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social · 11/08/2026
Mali's information space is now dominated by livestreaming “videomen” pushing misinformation. The West needs to respond by funding fact-based creators, writes Tom Bonsundy-O'Bryan:
atlanticcouncil.org
How to push back against Mali's propagandists? Help factual creators go viral.
Mali's information space is now dominated by livestreaming “videomen” pushing misinformation. The West needs to respond by funding fact-based creators.
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Atlantic Council @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social · 27/07/2026
Turkeyʼs multifaceted approach to diversifying its gas supplies away from Russia, including by buying from the US and Azerbaijan, may finally be paying off. İlker Sezer explores the benefits of this new strategy:
atlanticcouncil.org
Turning to Azerbaijani gas and US LNG, Turkey seeks to break its reliance on Russian energy
Turkey’s efforts to diversify its gas away from Russia, including purchases from the US and Azerbaijan, may finally be paying off.
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Atlantic Council @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social · 10/07/2026
“What Trump should not overlook now that he’s back in Washington is that Europe and Ukraine represent his greatest remaining chance at a foreign-policy legacy,” writes Frederick Kempe in #InflectionPoints. Read more ⤵️
atlanticcouncil.org
Trump should seize upon his NATO-Ukraine moment
Europe and Ukraine represent the US president’s greatest remaining chance at a foreign-policy legacy.
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Atlantic Council @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social · 28/05/2026
Erecting a comprehensive missile defense shield over the entire United States would make nuclear war more likely, not less, writes Ankit Panda in an issue brief. Protecting select zones, he argues, is less de-stabilizing and more credible and cost effective.
atlanticcouncil.org
For homeland missile defense, think Golden Zones, not a Golden Dome
While the second Trump administration's instincts on Golden Dome correctly diagnose a more dangerous nuclear environment facing the country, a sized-up, almost-exquisite comprehensive defensive system is the wrong prescription.
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Atlantic Council @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social · 24/05/2026
The recent killing of ISIS second-in-command, Abu-Bilal al-Minuki, came shortly after the release of the White House’s new Counterterrorism Strategy. Members of the Atlantic Council Counterterrorism Project break down the document and offer recommendations:
atlanticcouncil.org
The future of US counterterrorism: An expert assessment of the 2026 White House strategy
Members of the Atlantic Council Counterterrorism Project dig into the Trump administration's new US Counterterrorism Strategy.
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Atlantic Council @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social · 23/05/2026
The Trump administration has made a dizzying array of force posture decisions this month, raising doubts about the United States’ deeper commitment to the NATO alliance, write Daniel Fried and Torrey Taussig. Read more ⤵️
atlanticcouncil.org
Washington's latest force posture moves have Europeans feeling whiplash
The announcement on sending US troops to Poland didn't stop Washington's other force posture decisions from generating concern among NATO allies.
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Atlantic Council @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social · 12/05/2026
President Trump’s upcoming face-to-face meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping is “essential for managing tensions,” writes Melanie Hart. “But the visit is unlikely to produce a true reset.”
atlanticcouncil.org
Five outcomes that would make Trump's trip to China a success
Though surprises are always possible, the meetings in Beijing will likely be defined by a narrow set of deliverables.
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Elisabeth Braw @elisabethbraw.bsky.social · 23/04/2026
The shadow fleet: there's good news and bad news. - Baltic Sea countries are inspecting, boarding and detaining more shadow vessels. - But shadow vessels are becoming more brazen. www.atlanticcouncil.org/in-depth-res... The latest @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social Maritime Threats report. No paywall.
atlanticcouncil.org
The shadow fleet is undermining the maritime order more brazenly than ever
The shadow fleet—a collection of vessels transporting sanctioned cargo outside the official shipping system—has grown to encompass more than a thousand oil tankers globally.
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Mark N.V. Temnycky @mtemnycky.bsky.social · 23/04/2026
In my latest @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social article, I preview Shakhtar Donetsk’s semi-final matches in the UEFA Conference League, arguing how this Ukrainian football club can provide Ukrainian soldiers and fans with a reason to cheer amid an ongoing war www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/ukrain...
atlanticcouncil.org
Shakhtar Donetsk gives Ukraine’s war-weary football fans reason to cheer
Ukrainian football club Shakhtar Donetsk will face English team Crystal Palace next week in the first leg of their UEFA Conference League semifinal knowing that a win could provide a much-needed moral...
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Haydée Dijkstal @dijkstal.bsky.social · 16/04/2026
Co-authored this piece with @brittgronemeyer.bsky.social in the @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social ‘Discourses’ on how the IRI’s role in providing to Russia Shahed-style drones used in attacks on civilians could lead to accessory liability for individuals in Iran. www.atlanticcouncil.org/dispatches/t...
atlanticcouncil.org
The Islamic Republic of Iran should be held accountable for aiding Russia's crimes against Ukraine
To deter the proliferation of Iranian drones, global courts and governments should pursue accountability for violating international law in supporting Russia's actions in Ukraine.
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Atlantic Council @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social · 03/04/2026
Iran-backed Iraqi militias have escalated attacks across Iraq in recent months, hitting US, Iraqi, and civilian targets, adding to growing instability, writes Victoria Taylor. Read more:
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Iran-backed militias are destroying Iraq. Baghdad must take them on.
Iraq cannot continue like this, with drones and rockets menacing the country, and militias assassinating and kidnapping activists and journalists.
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Atlantic Council @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social · 30/03/2026
Iran is operating a “toll booth” in the Strait of Hormuz. But how are Tehran and oil buyers actually settling their payments? Drawing on new GeoEconomics Center research, Alisha Chhangani unpacks the policy levers Iran is pulling:
atlanticcouncil.org
Inside Tehran's toll booth
Iran is using formal, semi‑formal, and informal channels, as well as entirely new systems, to avoid US sanctions and sell oil to China.
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No Suma Cero @nosumacero.bsky.social · 27/03/2026
Venezuela's surveillance state did not fall with Maduro. The system is still running under Delcy Rodríguez. A joint research between @conexionsegura.bsky.social and the @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social's Democracy + Tech Initiative documents the repressive infrastructure. dfrlab.org/2026/03/26/w...
dfrlab.org
Watch the Watchers: Surveillance technologies for political control in Venezuela
Despite changes in leadership, Venezuela's extensive surveillance infrastructure remains fully operational.
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Atlantic Council @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social · 04/03/2026
To succeed in overthrowing the Iranian regime, an uprising would likely require a unifying leader, an effective organization, and the support of whatever remains of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, writes Alan Pino.
atlanticcouncil.org
Trump wants Iranians to ‘take back their country' from the regime. Can they?
To succeed in overthrowing the Iranian regime, an uprising would likely require a unifying leader, an effective organization, and the support of whatever remains of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps.
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Atlantic Council @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social · 03/03/2026
The United States “must heed the lessons of history and avoid conflating the temporary satisfaction of decapitation strikes with a coherent strategy that will weaken cartels,” writes Charlotte Bertrand.
atlanticcouncil.org
Decapitation strikes are not enough to take on Mexico’s cartels. Here’s what else the US should do.
Strikes on cartels should be combined with greater efforts to disrupt supply and reduce substance use disorder in the United States.
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Atlantic Council @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social · 03/03/2026
Iran’s decision to target the UAE, Qatar, Oman, Saudi Arabia, and other countries in the Gulf will have far-reaching consequences, writes Allison Minor. Read more:
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The Gulf that emerges from the Iran war will be very different
Iran’s decision to target the UAE, Qatar, Oman, Saudi Arabia, and other countries in the Gulf will have far-reaching consequences.
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Atlantic Council @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social · 02/03/2026
Worried about how the Iran conflict could impact oil prices? “Now is not the time to hyperventilate over oil,” says the Atlantic Council’s Landon Derentz. The United States, he writes, should first focus on ensuring Iran does not emerge from the conflict “with a viable nuclear weapons program.”
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Don't worry about the Iran conflict's impact on oil prices—yet
Markets can tolerate a spike. What they cannot tolerate is prolonged uncertainty over trade flows through the Strait of Hormuz.
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Atlantic Council @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social · 01/03/2026
FAST THINKING: Iran’s supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, was killed in a US-Israeli bombing campaign on Saturday. Atlantic Council experts assess the significance of the development for Iran and the broader region:
atlanticcouncil.org
Iran's supreme leader is dead. Here's what it means.
Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, the supreme leader of Iran, was killed in a US-Israeli bombing campaign on Feb. 28.
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Atlantic Council @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social · 28/02/2026
FAST THINKING: On Saturday morning, President Trump announced a “massive and ongoing” attack on Iran. With the goals, duration, and outcome of this emerging war still unclear, our experts make sense of the conflict’s early hours:
atlanticcouncil.org
What Trump’s ‘Epic Fury’ means for Iran and the Middle East
Operation Epic Fury has begun. On Feb. 28, US President Donald Trump announced a “massive and ongoing” attack on Iran.
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Atlantic Council @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social · 20/02/2026
#UkraineAlert – As Russia’s war against Ukraine enters its fifth year, Moscow is increasingly relying on African recruits to prevent its battlefield losses from destabilizing the country, writes Katherine Spencer.
atlanticcouncil.org
As Russian battlefield losses mount, Putin is turning to Africa for soldiers
Russia's growing reliance on African recruits to continue the war in Ukraine is a powerful symbol of an invasion that has gone horribly wrong for Kremlin dictator Vladimir Putin, writes Katherine Spencer.
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Atlantic Council @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social · 17/02/2026
📈 Media organizations are increasingly treating prediction markets as authoritative signals. Policymakers should treat them as dual-use infrastructures that require deliberate guardrails, writes Matthew Wein.
atlanticcouncil.org
Weaponizing the odds: Prediction markets as a new vector for foreign influence
As these markets proliferate, policymakers should treat them as dual-use infrastructures that require deliberate guardrails.
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Atlantic Council @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social · 10/02/2026
🔴 What will the world look like in 2036? We asked 447 geostrategists and foresight experts to share their insights. 🇨🇳 China leads economically 🪖 Russia’s war in Ukraine freezes 🚀 More countries go nuclear 🤖 AI surpasses human capabilities Explore the survey’s ten biggest findings:
atlanticcouncil.org
Welcome to 2036: What the world could look like in ten years, according to nearly 450 experts
We polled geostrategists and foresight practitioners on our most burning questions about the biggest drivers of change over the next decade.
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Atlantic Council @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social · 06/02/2026
The Trump administration’s seizures of “shadow fleet” vessels evading US sanctions raise several crucial legal and logistical questions, writes Stephanie Connor. Read more:
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When economic warfare meets gunboat diplomacy: What to know about the US seizures of shadow fleet tankers
The Trump administration's seizures of “shadow fleet” vessels evading US sanctions raises several crucial legal and logistical questions.
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Atlantic Council @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social · 03/02/2026
The tentatively planned resumption of US-Iran nuclear talks this week does not mean US military action is off the table, writes Nate Swanson. Read more in Dispatches:
atlanticcouncil.org
Seven things to know about the potential for resumed Iran nuclear negotiations
The tentatively planned resumption of US-Iran nuclear talks this week does not mean US military action is off the table.
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Atlantic Council @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social · 03/02/2026
By focusing on shared interests on counternarcotics and Venezuela, Tuesday’s Oval Office meeting between the US and Colombian presidents can put the two nations’ bilateral relations on a better path, writes Kevin Whitaker.
atlanticcouncil.org
To repair US-Colombia ties, Trump and Petro should focus on counternarcotics and Venezuela
By focusing on shared interests on counternarcotics and Venezuela, the US and Colombian presidents can put bilateral relations on a better path.
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Atlantic Council @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social · 28/01/2026
🎙️ Introducing Guide to the Global Economy podcast, from our GeoEconomics Center. In the premiere episode, Josh Lipsky and Charles Lichfield discuss: what happens when a central bank loses independence? 🎧 Watch or listen now 👇 YouTube: bit.ly/4r8vHqI
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Atlantic Council @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social · 28/01/2026
The India-EU free trade deal announced on Tuesday is “one of the most dramatic markers yet of how the global system is reorganizing itself in the time of Trump,” writes Frederick Kempe in #InflectionPointsToday. Read more:
atlanticcouncil.org
The ‘mother of all' trade deals in the time of Trump
On Tuesday, the European Union and India announced a free trade deal--an example of how the global system is reorganizing itself.
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Atlantic Council @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social · 28/01/2026
A new entity controlling TikTok in the US is being sold as a step toward addressing foreign influence and data security concerns, writes Kenton Thibaut. But China’s influence campaigns and access to data on Americans do not rely on TikTok.
atlanticcouncil.org
TikTok’s new ownership structure doesn’t solve security concerns for Americans
The deal does little to address the systemic challenges of information manipulation, foreign influence, and data exploitation on the platform.
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Atlantic Council @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social · 26/01/2026
Trump’s ‘shock therapy’ approach to Europe has “broken decades of strategic complacency and forced long-postponed decisions on defense, trade, and autonomy,” writes Frederick Kempe in #InflectionPoints.
atlanticcouncil.org
At Davos, Trump's ‘shock therapy' leaves Europe shaken but healthier
European leaders now recognize that the continent must fundamentally treat its chronic problems or further surrender global relevance.
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Atlantic Council @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social · 23/01/2026
Trump’s willingness to engage in brinkmanship with Europe over Greenland will have a lasting impact on how the continent’s leaders approach relations with Washington, write Jorn Fleck and James Batchik.
atlanticcouncil.org
Trump may move on from Greenland. Europe won’t.
Trump’s willingness to engage in brinkmanship with Europe over Greenland will have a lasting impact on how the continent’s leaders approach relations with Washington.
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Atlantic Council @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social · 12/01/2026
FAST THINKING: The Justice Department is undertaking a criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. Our chair of international economics Josh Lipsky explains how this could impact US and global markets:
atlanticcouncil.org
How will the Trump-Powell clash shake the global economy?
The US Justice Department is undertaking a criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. Our chair of international economics explains how this could impact US and global markets.
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No Suma Cero @nosumacero.bsky.social · 08/01/2026
Delcy Rodríguez's role as Venezuela's acting president is an impossible balancing act: satisfy Trump's demands, maintain support from the Chavista coalition, and keep alliances with China, Cuba, Iran, and Russia. www.atlanticcouncil.org/dispatches/d... @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social
atlanticcouncil.org
Delcy Rodríguez’s untenable balancing act
Venezuela’s new acting president must choose between accommodating the Trump administration’s demands and preserving unity among the regime’s Chavista base.
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North American and Arctic Defence and Security Network @naadsn-rdsnaa.bsky.social · 09/01/2026
Canada's defense industrial base will struggle to deliver in its current state says Jason C. Moyer with the @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social www.atlanticcouncil.org/in-depth-res...
atlanticcouncil.org
How to equip Canada’s defense industrial base to meet NATO's Hague summit commitments
In 2025 Canada met NATO’s target of spending 2 percent of GDP on defense for the first time and committed to the new target of 5 percent by 2035, but its defense industrial base will struggle to deliv...
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Anna Wieslander @annwieanna.bsky.social · 09/01/2026
In my latest piece I argue that the survival of #NATO is at stake if the United States intervenes to seize #Greenland, and that such a development would be contrary to #US national interests. Read the article⬇️ @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social www.atlanticcouncil.org/dispatches/t...
atlanticcouncil.org
Trump’s quest for Greenland could be NATO’s darkest hour
If the United States intervenes to seize Greenland the future of NATO would be at stake. Such a development would be contrary to US national interests.
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American University School of International Service @ausis.bsky.social · 10/01/2026
In a new article for @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social, SIS scholar @yerevansaeed.bsky.social discusses Iraq’s political future, examining why transfers of power are critical to long-term stability. www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/menas…
atlanticcouncil.org
Iraq's pathway to stability relies on transfers of power
The key question is not whether Sudani is like al-Maliki but whether a second term would reduce competition and weaken institutions.
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Atlantic Council @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social · 09/01/2026
Venezuela’s new acting president, Delcy Rodríguez, must satisfy Washington’s demands while maintaining sufficient support among the Venezuelan elite to avoid a regime fracture, writes Iria Puyosa.
atlanticcouncil.org
Delcy Rodríguez's untenable balancing act
Venezuela's new acting president must choose between accommodating the Trump administration's demands and preserving unity among the regime's Chavista base.
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Atlantic Council @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social · 08/01/2026
If the United States intervenes to seize Greenland, the future of NATO would be at stake. Such a development would be contrary to US national interests, writes Anna Wieslander.
atlanticcouncil.org
Trump's quest for Greenland could be NATO's darkest hour
If the United States intervenes to seize Greenland the future of NATO would be at stake. Such a development would be contrary to US national interests.
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Atlantic Council @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social · 07/01/2026
Many US analysts view the ouster of Venezuelan strongman Nicolás Maduro as benefiting the US at China’s expense, but two big factors make this less of a win for Washington and less of a loss for Beijing, writes Melanie Hart.
atlanticcouncil.org
Why Maduro's removal could ultimately benefit China
Two important factors make the recent US operation in Venezuela less of a loss for China than many analysts realize.
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Atlantic Council @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social · 06/01/2026
In responding to recent rhetoric from the White House about “taking” Greenland, European leaders need to look beyond the legal infeasibility, writes Justina Budginaite-Froehly.
atlanticcouncil.org
Greenland is Europe's strategic blind spot--and its responsibility
If Europe wants to ensure that no one can do to Greenland what the United States did in Venezuela, then it must stop relying on rules alone.
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Atlantic Council @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social · 06/01/2026
“Ultimately, what’s needed in Venezuela is a partner government that allows for the freedom of its people, respects foreign investment, and that advances US and Venezuelan security and economic interests,” writes Jason Marczak.
atlanticcouncil.org
Now comes the hard part: What Trump should do next to secure Venezuela's democratic future
The United States is now forced to depend on the remnants of the Maduro regime for the next stage in the mission.
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Atlantic Council @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social · 18/12/2025
On Wednesday, the US Senate passed the National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA) for fiscal year 2026. The bill authorizes more than $900 billion in spending and covers all corners of the defense policy landscape. Below, Atlantic Council experts dig into the details. ⬇️
atlanticcouncil.org
Your expert guide to the 2026 National Defense Authorization Act
As the Senate sends the annual defense policy bill to the president's desk, Atlantic Council experts dig into the details.
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