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10F Consortium

@10fconsortium.bsky.social
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Independent foresight collective. 20+ practitioners from 15 countries mapping how global systems are being intentionally rewired. Open-source forecasts on trade, tech, climate, migration, finance. CC-BY licensed. 10fconsortium.org

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10F Consortium @10fconsortium.bsky.social · 15/08/2026
How do foundations, governance groups and civil society help others when many are under challenge themselves? @10fconsortium.bsky.social members Cheryl Chung and Jake Dunagan discuss supporting those upholding good governance in difficult times. 10fconsortium.substack.com/p/ep-4-chery...
10fconsortium.substack.com
Ep 4: Cheryl Chung and Dr Jake Dunagan
What the fracture costs the people doing the work.
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10F Consortium @10fconsortium.bsky.social · 31/07/2026
In case you couldn't join us yesterday, @vaughn.bsky.social @changeist.bsky.social and Bernice Ang joined Jake Dunagan and IFTF to talk about the experience of building @10fconsortium.bsky.social. www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pslu...
youtube.com
IFTF Foresight Talk: Building Open-Source Forecasts — The Foresight Work of the 10F Consortium
YouTube video by Institute for the Future (IFTF)
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10F Consortium @10fconsortium.bsky.social · 29/06/2026
Ep 3 of 10F One to One is out. @linasrivastava.bsky.social and Igor Schwarzmann on who's actually unprepared for the next decade, the diff between monoculture and shared moments, and why the courage to be specific might be the thing that's missing. 🎧 10fconsortium.substack.com/p/ep-3-lina-...
10fconsortium.substack.com
Ep 3: Lina Srivastava and Igor Schwarzmann
What it means to work in community when the systems holding community together are failing.
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10F Consortium @10fconsortium.bsky.social · 26/06/2026
Join us next month as we talk to @iftf.org about how we got here, what we did, and where we might go next. www.iftf.org/events/build...
iftf.org
IFTF - Building Open-Source Forecasts: The Transglobal, Transdisciplinary Foresight Work of the 10F Consortium
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10F Consortium @10fconsortium.bsky.social · 16/06/2026
The US govt's ban on use of Anthropic's Claude Fable model by foreign nationals is sparking other shifts, including France switching its intel agency to a European rival of Palantir. Our F10 forecast looked at this shifting soverignty landscape. giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/... 10fconsortium.org
giftarticle.ft.com
France’s spy agency replaces Palantir with local rival
Move is part of European drive to reduce dependence on US tech firms
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10F Consortium @10fconsortium.bsky.social · 16/06/2026
China signed up 26 institutions for cross-border digital yuan settlement. Not a bid to kill the dollar — a bid to make it optional in corridors it controls. www.reuters.com/world/asia-p... This is F09: money unbundled. 10fconsortium.org
reuters.com
China signs up 26 financial institutions to digital yuan cross-border payment platform
China's digital yuan operation centre signed direct participant agreements with 26 financial institutions in Shanghai ​on Tuesday, aiming to expand low-cost, efficient cross-border ‌payments and advan...
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Reposted by 10F Consortium
Lina Srivastava @linasrivastava.bsky.social · 03/06/2026
Migration policy all around the world is hardening against people. For @10fconsortium.bsky.social, @changeist.bsky.social and I wrote about navigating the deterioration. (Thanks to @svaroschi.bsky.social for her piece on tech-based resistance, which helped orient us.) substack.com/home/post/p-...
"nations are openly engineering population flows to maximise economic returns and to control for preferred identities, treating skills as strategic resources and detention as a profit center. Technology is accelerating explicit valuation, categorisation, and exploitation.

There is a new layer growing underneath this problem set. Since we developed this particular forecast, we’ve observed a deepening erosion of humanitarian norms through a new set of templates, one that allows nations to observe and copy migration design architectures."
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10F Consortium @10fconsortium.bsky.social · 26/05/2026
What good are left vs right framings anymore? Ideological positions are increasingly temporary skirmish formations, with odd alignments becoming more frequent. 10fconsortium.substack.com/p/the-wrong-...
10fconsortium.substack.com
The Wrong Map
What happens when the old political models fall apart
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10F Consortium @10fconsortium.bsky.social · 05/05/2026
What does sovereignty mean, anyway? 10fconsortium.substack.com/p/sorting-fo...
10fconsortium.substack.com
Sorting for Sovereignty
One word. Three layers. Three different stories.
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10F Consortium @10fconsortium.bsky.social · 28/04/2026
Did somebody say one game to many games?
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10F Consortium @10fconsortium.bsky.social · 26/04/2026
#strategicopacity www.theguardian.com/politics/202...
theguardian.com
Voters contend with ‘dodgy’ data in party leaflets for English local elections
Exclusive: Investigation into campaigning materials for local polls in May challenges tactical voting claims
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10F Consortium @10fconsortium.bsky.social · 22/04/2026
E2 of our 10F One to One podcast between practitioners just landed, feat. veteran sustainability strategist JD D'Cruz and @changeist.bsky.social talking about what's lost and gained during the present transition. Listen here or on Spotify or Apple Podcasts. 10fconsortium.substack.com/p/ep-2-jd-dc...
10fconsortium.substack.com
Ep 2: JD D'Cruz and Scott Smith
Listen now | What it costs to let go of the frameworks you helped build
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10F Consortium @10fconsortium.bsky.social · 20/04/2026
Most organisations make their assumptions explicit only under pressure. By then it's too late. New From → To: 90+ Singapore practitioners used the 10F forecasts to interrogate theirs. Plus a podcast, a signal, and work from the network. 10fconsortium.substack.com/p/closing-th...
10fconsortium.substack.com
Closing the Assumption Gap
Asking which of your premises just stopped being true
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Lina Srivastava @linasrivastava.bsky.social · 13/04/2026
Earlier this year, I co-wrote this forecast on the international downward spiral of global migration with the @10fconsortium.bsky.social. Dilley is the heir of a corrupted system and also potentially only the tip of the iceberg. www.10fconsortium.org/forecast-ind...
10fconsortium.org
F07: From Selective Migration to People as Asset Class — 10F Consortium
Migration systems shift from implicit selectivity to explicit human asset classification via algorithmic scoring that stratifies mobility by economic value rather than rights. 
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10F Consortium @10fconsortium.bsky.social · 29/03/2026
The information environment isn’t becoming more legible. It’s fragmenting into tiers — and the tier most organisations, governments, and communities depend on is the one degrading fastest. 10fconsortium.substack.com/p/operating-...
10fconsortium.substack.com
Operating in Statistical Darkness
From Agreed Transparency to Engineered Opacity
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10F Consortium @10fconsortium.bsky.social · 27/03/2026
This weekend we’re writing about how information opacity challenges democracies. Subscribe to receive it in your inbox on Sunday. 10fconsortium.substack.com
10fconsortium.substack.com
From → To | Substack
Independent foresight on the fragmentation of global systems. Built for practitioners, released open-access. Click to read 10F Consortium, a Substack with hundreds of subscribers.
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10F Consortium @10fconsortium.bsky.social · 22/03/2026
You can also find our more about our new 10F Local Convening Kit, which allows anyone to pull a few forecasts, and run workshops with their team or organisation independently. Read the issue and download the Kit.
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10F Consortium @10fconsortium.bsky.social · 22/03/2026
Latest issue of From → To just dropped. This week, we look at howturmoil in the global economy is accelerating a shift toward alternative forms and pathways for money. 10fconsortium.substack.com/p/from-soft-...
10fconsortium.substack.com
From Soft Power to Hard Bargaining
F09: From Dollar Dominance to Money Unbundled
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10F Consortium @10fconsortium.bsky.social · 18/03/2026
The download counter keeps turning on our 10F Forecasts released last month. Let us know how the Forecasts are landing, which are close to your world, and how you are using them. www.linkedin.com/posts/10f-co...
linkedin.com
Our 10F Forecasts and AREAS Framework have been out in the world for just over one month. Thousands of downloads later, we’re curious how they’re landing. If you’ve read some or all, downloaded… | ...
Our 10F Forecasts and AREAS Framework have been out in the world for just over one month. Thousands of downloads later, we’re curious how they’re landing. If you’ve read some or all, downloaded the...
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Be the Changeist @scoxsmith.bsky.social · 15/03/2026
This week's Substack newsletter written by Prof Ariella Helfgott covers 10F Consortium's F08: From Energy Hegemony to Power Plurality open.substack.com/pub/10fconso... It brings some much needed clarity to the global moment we are in right now. @eroston.bsky.social @tracyalloway.bsky.social
open.substack.com
Stuck Between Systems
From Energy Hegemony to Power Plurality
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10F Consortium @10fconsortium.bsky.social · 14/03/2026
In the next issue of From → To we dive into F08: From Energy Hegemony to Power Plurality. It feels timely. www.10fconsortium.org/forecast-ind...
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10F Consortium @10fconsortium.bsky.social · 11/03/2026
The war-driven energy crunch might not have the same impact if there was a global shift toward renewables, but we're stuck in between two regimes—petrostates and electrostates. This week's newsletter looks at the costs of straddling two systems. 10fteam.substack.com
10fteam.substack.com
From → To | Substack
Independent foresight on the fragmentation of global systems. Built for practitioners, released open-access. Click to read 10F Consortium, a Substack with hundreds of subscribers.
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10F Consortium @10fconsortium.bsky.social · 11/03/2026
The idea of a left-right spectrum is outdated, but media persists with it. in F02: From Poltical Spectrum to Ideological Fog, we analyze the shft from stable policy platforms to a shifting grab-bag of positions, and what that means. www.10fconsortium.org/forecast-ind... www.wsj.com/world/europe...
wsj.com
Europe’s Far Left Is Having Its Moment
Economic frustration and political polarization are fueling support for unashamedly left-wing parties, especially among the young.
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10F Consortium @10fconsortium.bsky.social · 08/03/2026
Europe’s move to decarbonize is fragmenting. www.ft.com/content/a6be... F05: From Collective Climate Ambition to Fragmented Adaptation www.10fconsortium.org/forecast-ind...
ft.com
Europe’s impotence extends to energy
The political momentum behind decarbonising the continent’s energy system has dissipated
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frdysk @frdysk.bsky.social · 07/03/2026
10fteam.substack.com/p/the-end-of... by @10fconsortium.bsky.social
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10F Consortium @10fconsortium.bsky.social · 08/03/2026
Switzerland is voting on whether to constitutionally protect physical cash. When tangibility becomes a feature, not a limitation — that’s an F09 signal.​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​ www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
bloomberg.com
Switzerland’s Voters Are About to Put Cash in the Constitution
The Swiss may be about to reaffirm their fondness for cash with a vote that would give the francs in their wallets a place in the constitution.
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Be the Changeist @scoxsmith.bsky.social · 01/03/2026
An explainer about the AREAS Framework and how we use it to map global transformations, avoiding the usual proscribed categories. From @linasrivastava.bsky.social and @10fconsortium.bsky.social Subscribe today for ongoing analysis and sensemaking. open.substack.com/pub/10fteam/...
open.substack.com
Introducing the AREAS Framework
Watching What They Do
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10F Consortium @10fconsortium.bsky.social · 04/03/2026
Kraken just became one of the first crypto firms to gain access to Fed payment infrastructure — the core rails that underpin dollar-denominated settlement. www.reuters.com/legal/govern... This is F09 — From Dollar Dominance to Money Unbundled — in real time. www.10fconsortium.org/forecast-ind...
10fconsortium.org
F09: From Dollar Dominance to Money Unbundled — 10F Consortium
Money is mutating—its three functions are unbundling into a profusion of rarely interoperable money things , of which the dollar is only one of many— requiring organisations to use and support a mult...
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10F Consortium @10fconsortium.bsky.social · 01/03/2026
Our latest From → To is out. This issue focuses on the AREAS Framework 10F developed as a lens to understand positional power in the current global transition. Like the forecasts, AREAS is open access. open.substack.com/pub/10fteam/...
open.substack.com
Introducing the AREAS Framework
Watching What They Do
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10F Consortium @10fconsortium.bsky.social · 24/02/2026
In the current global order, norm busting has become a feature, not a bug. www.10fconsortium.org/one-game-to-...
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10F Consortium @10fconsortium.bsky.social · 23/02/2026
F08: From Energy Hegemony to Power Plurality traces the trajectories of the major energy blocs, including the US's petrostate entrechment. www.10fconsortium.org/forecast-ind... www.ft.com/content/4d25...
ft.com
America is becoming a petrostate
The Trump administration’s energy policy will make the country sicker and poorer
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10F Consortium @10fconsortium.bsky.social · 23/02/2026
This echoes our discussion in F10: From Technology Convergence to Strategic Solidarity: www.10fconsortium.org/forecast-ind... www.wsj.com/podcasts/wha...
10fconsortium.org
F10: From Technology Convergence to Sovereign Systems — 10F Consortium
Technology infrastructure is splintering into incompatible sovereign systems as nations pursue independence through different models, creating permanent fragmentation.
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10F Consortium @10fconsortium.bsky.social · 22/02/2026
The next issue of From→To is out. Read and subscribe. 🛋️ 10fteam.substack.com/p/putting-fo...
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Lina Srivastava @linasrivastava.bsky.social · 19/02/2026
I have more news to share: Last year, I joined the @10fconsortium.bsky.social, a collective of foresight practitioners and domain experts from 15 countries. We've just released a set of open-access forecasts mapping 10 global transformations. Learn more and download here: www.10fconsortium.org
10fconsortium.org
10F Consortium | Open-Source Foresight on Global Transformation
Ten open-source forecasts on the transformation of globalization (2025-2035). Independent, practitioner-led strategic foresight. CC-BY-4.0 license. Use it, adapt it.
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10F Consortium @10fconsortium.bsky.social · 16/02/2026
"It's not simply multipolarity replacing unipolarity. Powerful actors are intentionally dissolving the shared frameworks they once upheld — and the dissolution is spreading like contagion." www.10fconsortium.org/one-game-to-...
10fconsortium.org
One Game to Many Games — 10F Consortium
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10F Consortium @10fconsortium.bsky.social · 15/02/2026
Issue 1 of our Substack newsletter just went out. We start by introducing thesis, forecasts, and the AREAS framework. In coming weeks, we’ll explore the forecasts, the network, and our approach from different angles. Come through. open.substack.com/pub/10fteam/...
open.substack.com
From One Game to Many Games
Introducing 10F: Ten Forecasts for the Unravelling of Globalization
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10F Consortium @10fconsortium.bsky.social · 14/02/2026
The first issue of the 10F Substack comes out tomorrow. Add it to your Sunday reading. 10fteam.substack.com
10fteam.substack.com
From → To | Substack
Independent foresight on the fragmentation of global systems from 10F Consortium. Built for practitioners, released open-access. Click to read From → To, a Substack publication. Launched 6 months ago.
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Institute for the Future @iftf.org · 13/02/2026
Good foresight isn’t academic; it’s collective imagination—urgent optimism to navigate chaos today. IFTF’s Jake Dunagan joined 20+ experts from around the world to co-create forecasts that map current global fragmentation’s effects the next decade. www.10fconsortium.org @10fconsortium.bsky.social
10fconsortium.org
10F Consortium | Open-Source Foresight on Global Transformation
Ten open-source forecasts on the transformation of globalization (2025-2035). Independent, practitioner-led strategic foresight. CC-BY-4.0 license. Use it, adapt it.
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10F Consortium @10fconsortium.bsky.social · 13/02/2026
Tag yourself.
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10F Consortium @10fconsortium.bsky.social · 13/02/2026
10 Forecasts went live this morning CET. Early access emails in your inbox. Download at 10fconsortium.org
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10F Consortium @10fconsortium.bsky.social · 11/02/2026
The organizations built to navigate global complexity are still trying to reassemble the old order. We mapped the new one. Sign up to access the forecasts on February 13 at 10fconsortium.org
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10F Consortium @10fconsortium.bsky.social · 08/02/2026
The rules are changing faster than the frameworks we use to understand them. We've been mapping it. Find out on February 13.
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