Nathaniel Rakich @baseballot.bsky.social · 17/09/2026The best thing to do is to blend the insights from the race ratings with a polls- and fundamentals-based big picture. Smart people from both camps already do this—e.g., Nate Silver with his Deluxe model. 181 0
Nathaniel Rakich @baseballot.bsky.social · 17/09/2026And in their written analysis, race raters readily acknowledge a blue wave could hit. Inside Elections also has a specific “Outlook” section where it’s clear they believe Democrats are favored to flip the House. 290 0
Nathaniel Rakich @baseballot.bsky.social · 17/09/2026Personally, I’m comfortable predicting a blue wave at this point. But history shows the raters will eventually come around—they have good track records—so I’m not sweating it too much. 1152 0
