Nathaniel Rakich @baseballot.bsky.social · 25/06/2025Polls often get criticized unfairly. But in #NYCmayor, they had an unambiguously bad night. Mamdani averaged 28.5% of 1st-place votes in the last 4 independent polls of the race. He currently has 43.5%. 210711
Nathaniel Rakich @baseballot.bsky.social · 25/06/2025Municipal primaries are perhaps the toughest type of race to poll. And this one had a lot of late movement and a weird electorate to boot. 2420
hanfinity 🚲 @hanfinity.bsky.social · 25/06/2025I bet their likely voter models were wrong as hell 030
