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Nathan Goldwag @goldwagnathan.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

First sign that Paxton's advertising blitz is having an impact, though I'd wait for a better pollster to be too concerned.

Polling USA@usapolling.bsky.social

Texas - Senate Polling: 🔵 Talarico: 48% 🔴 Paxton: 48% Stratus Intelligence / Sept 24, 2026 (Republican Commissioner)

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JD @mathewson.us · 28/09/2026

Not really? That’s a partisan poll from a group that hasn’t any prior polling. An R poll that’s net zero is pretty much in line with prior polling averages, and the absence of prior work means there’s no trend line. I’m not convinced of blue Texas either but this doesn’t move the priors.

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