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Ash Oro @ashoro.co.uk · 17/08/2026

8/16 The naval picture is exposing the cost of an open-ended operation. USS George Washington is moving west to relieve USS Abraham Lincoln after Lincoln’s exceptionally long deployment. This is a rotation of exhausted capacity, not the arrival of spare capacity. #USNavy #NavalLogistics

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Ash Oro @ashoro.co.uk · 17/08/2026

9/16 Washington is the carrier normally forward-deployed in Japan. Moving it towards the Gulf leaves the Western Pacific without an announced carrier replacement. The US can sustain the Gulf force—but only by accepting less presence and more risk somewhere else.

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Ash Oro @ashoro.co.uk · 17/08/2026

10/16 Trump’s order to reduce US-South Korean exercises belongs in that context. It may be diplomacy towards Kim Jong Un. It may also reduce demands in a theatre losing its carrier. The reference to Seoul refusing to assist against Iran makes the connection difficult to ignore.

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