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Replies

Ash Oro @ashoro.co.uk · 17/08/2026

7/16 Masters may encounter Iranian hails directing them towards the northern route while US forces impose inspection, clearance and diversion requirements around Iranian ports. That is not freedom of navigation restored. It is navigation through overlapping coercive systems.

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Ash Oro @ashoro.co.uk · 17/08/2026

8/16 The naval picture is exposing the cost of an open-ended operation. USS George Washington is moving west to relieve USS Abraham Lincoln after Lincoln’s exceptionally long deployment. This is a rotation of exhausted capacity, not the arrival of spare capacity. #USNavy #NavalLogistics

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Ash Oro @ashoro.co.uk · 17/08/2026

9/16 Washington is the carrier normally forward-deployed in Japan. Moving it towards the Gulf leaves the Western Pacific without an announced carrier replacement. The US can sustain the Gulf force—but only by accepting less presence and more risk somewhere else.

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