Ash Oro @ashoro.co.uk · 22/04/20268/10 This is the dangerous zone. Not full war. Not real peace. But ambiguous control of access — where both sides can claim they’re acting defensively. That’s where miscalculation happens. A ship boarded or prevented from sailing (as has already happened) could be the powder keg. 180
Ash Oro @ashoro.co.uk · 22/04/20269/10 The deeper shift here isn’t about posturing or headlines. It’s about control of physical flow of goods. Who can move energy, goods, and ships — and under what conditions. That’s what markets are actually pricing. 3121
Dellwak Schwotte @dellwak.bsky.social · 22/04/2026According to German news this morning, the US have said they are extending the cease fire. But they don't say for how long. It will be 2 weeks I suppose. 110
Ash Oro @ashoro.co.uk · 22/04/202610/10 So if you’re trying to understand what’s happening: Ignore the word “ceasefire” for a moment. Watch the ships. Watch the insurance. Watch the flows. That’s where the truth is. And it is more complicated than ever right now. #Hormuz #Shipping #EnergySecurity #Geopolitics 2257
Tony McGuire 🏴 🟧 🇺🇦 🇬🇱 @tonymagoo2.bsky.social · 22/04/2026@meidastouch.com @adammockler.com 010