Maggie Perry @maggieperry.bsky.social · 23/04/2025Gavin Pearce is retiring after only a 6-year tenure representing the seat, and Labor are fielding senator Anne Urquhart, who has stepped down mid-term to contest the seat. it's a big margin though, which will be hard to overturn. 18/26 🧵 110
Maggie Perry @maggieperry.bsky.social · 23/04/2025The real question is whether the Tasmanian 2022 result was a fluke or not - It bucked the trend in 2022 by swinging towards the Libs, despite a nationwide swing away. The lack of polling here has made this a hard question to answer, so we'll have to wait for May 3rd. 19/26 110
Maggie Perry @maggieperry.bsky.social · 23/04/2025🔴 BOOTHBY (SA) Over to SA! Here we have the southern Adelaide seat of Boothby, which voted Labor in 2022 for the first time since 1946. It's a marginal seat for Labor (3%), but a particularly popular state government will likely deliver this seat to Labor again. 20/26 🧵 120
