Some of the conclusions in this article seem wrong. Plugging the Curia % results into the Elections.NZ MMP seat calculator gives an even 61/61 split with TPM getting a 2 seat overhang.
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Coalition still in position to form government in new Taxpayers' Union Curia poll
rnz.co.nz
Coalition still in position to form government in new Taxpayers' Union Curia poll
National has gone up and the coalition is still in a position to form a government, but only by the slimmest margin, in a new Taxpayers' Union Curia poll on Friday.