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Achim Zeileis @zeileis.org · 15/07/2026

⚽ Probabilistic forecasts for today's match at #FIFA2026 In Semifinal: #ENGARG #ENG #ARG Probability to advance: 58.2% vs. 41.8% 🥅 In normal time: Mean goals: 1.4-1.1 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 43.9% Draw 26.7% 🇦🇷 29.4% Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match in normal time:

Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match. The most likely outcome is 1-1 with a probability of 12.7%.

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Achim Zeileis @zeileis.org · 14/07/2026

⚽ Probabilistic forecasts for today's matches at #FIFA2026 In Semifinal: #FRAESP #FRA #ESP Probability to advance: 51.9% vs. 48.1% 🥅 In normal time: Mean goals: 1.2-1.2 🇫🇷 37.8% Draw 27.8% 🇪🇸 34.4% Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match in normal time:

Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match. The most likely outcome is 1-1 with a probability of 13.1%.

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Achim Zeileis @zeileis.org · 11/07/2026

⚽ Probabilistic forecasts for today's matches at #FIFA2026 In Quarterfinal: #ARGSUI #ARG #SUI Probability to advance: 65.2% vs. 34.8% 🥅 In normal time: Mean goals: 1.4-0.9 🇦🇷 49.7% Draw 27.2% 🇨🇭 23.0% Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match in normal time:

Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match. The most likely outcome is 1-0 with a probability of 14.5%.

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Achim Zeileis @zeileis.org · 11/07/2026

⚽ Probabilistic forecasts for today's matches at #FIFA2026 In Quarterfinal: #NORENG #NOR #ENG Probability to advance: 30.9% vs. 69.1% 🥅 In normal time: Mean goals: 0.9-1.7 🇳🇴 20.9% Draw 24.3% 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 54.8% Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match in normal time:

Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match. The most likely outcome is 0-1 with a probability of 12.5%.

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Achim Zeileis @zeileis.org · 10/07/2026

⚽ Probabilistic forecasts for today's matches at #FIFA2026 In Quarterfinal: #ESPBEL #ESP #BEL Probability to advance: 71.9% vs. 28.1% 🥅 In normal time: Mean goals: 1.6-0.8 🇪🇸 56.8% Draw 25.3% 🇧🇪 17.9% Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match in normal time:

Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match. The most likely outcome is 1-0 with a probability of 15.4%.

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Achim Zeileis @zeileis.org · 09/07/2026

⚽ Probabilistic forecasts for today's matches at #FIFA2026 In Quarterfinal: #FRAMAR #FRA #MAR Probability to advance: 72.1% vs. 27.9% 🥅 In normal time: Mean goals: 1.6-0.8 🇫🇷 57.3% Draw 24.6% 🇲🇦 18.1% Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match in normal time:

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Achim Zeileis @zeileis.org · 07/07/2026

⚽ Probabilistic forecasts for today's matches at #FIFA2026 In Round of 16: #SUICOL #SUI #COL Probability to advance: 54.4% vs. 45.6% 🥅 In normal time: Mean goals: 1.2-1.1 🇨🇭 39.6% Draw 28.4% 🇨🇴 32.0% Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match in normal time:

Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match. The most likely outcome is 1-1 with a probability of 13.2%.

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Achim Zeileis @zeileis.org · 07/07/2026

⚽ Probabilistic forecasts for today's matches at #FIFA2026 In Round of 16: #ARGEGY #ARG #EGY Probability to advance: 77.6% vs. 22.4% 🥅 In normal time: Mean goals: 1.8-0.7 🇦🇷 63.7% Draw 22.1% 🇪🇬 14.2% Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match in normal time:

Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match. The most likely outcome is 1-0 with a probability of 14.3%.

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Achim Zeileis @zeileis.org · 06/07/2026

⚽ Probabilistic forecasts for today's matches at #FIFA2026 In Round of 16: #USABEL #USA #BEL Probability to advance: 38.1% vs. 61.9% 🥅 In normal time: Mean goals: 0.9-1.3 🇺🇸 25.6% Draw 27.8% 🇧🇪 46.6% Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match in normal time:

Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match. The most likely outcome is 0-1 with a probability of 14%.

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Achim Zeileis @zeileis.org · 06/07/2026

⚽ Probabilistic forecasts for today's matches at #FIFA2026 In Round of 16: #PORESP #POR #ESP Probability to advance: 44.2% vs. 55.8% 🥅 In normal time: Mean goals: 1.0-1.2 🇵🇹 30.4% Draw 29.1% 🇪🇸 40.5% Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match in normal time:

Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match. The most likely outcome is 0-1 with a probability of 13.5%.

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Achim Zeileis @zeileis.org · 05/07/2026

⚽ Probabilistic forecasts for today's matches at #FIFA2026 In Round of 16: #MEXENG #MEX #ENG Probability to advance: 25.8% vs. 74.2% 🥅 In normal time: Mean goals: 0.8-1.7 🇲🇽 16.7% Draw 23.4% 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 59.9% Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match in normal time:

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Achim Zeileis @zeileis.org · 05/07/2026

⚽ Probabilistic forecasts for today's matches at #FIFA2026 In Round of 16: #BRANOR #BRA #NOR Probability to advance: 57.7% vs. 42.3% 🥅 In normal time: Mean goals: 1.4-1.1 🇧🇷 43.2% Draw 27.2% 🇳🇴 29.6% Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match in normal time:

Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match. The most likely outcome is 1-1 with a probability of 12.8%.

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Achim Zeileis @zeileis.org · 04/07/2026

⚽ Probabilistic forecasts for today's matches at #FIFA2026 In Round of 16: #PARFRA #PAR #FRA Probability to advance: 19.6% vs. 80.4% 🥅 In normal time: Mean goals: 0.7-2.0 🇵🇾 12.3% Draw 20.5% 🇫🇷 67.2% Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match in normal time:

Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match. The most likely outcome is 0-1 with a probability of 13.9%.

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Achim Zeileis @zeileis.org · 04/07/2026

⚽ Probabilistic forecasts for today's matches at #FIFA2026 In Round of 16: #CANMAR #CAN #MAR Probability to advance: 40.6% vs. 59.4% 🥅 In normal time: Mean goals: 1.0-1.4 🇨🇦 28.2% Draw 27.0% 🇲🇦 44.8% Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match in normal time:

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Achim Zeileis @zeileis.org · 03/07/2026

⚽ Probabilistic forecasts for today's matches at #FIFA2026 In Round of 32: #COLGHA #COL #GHA Probability to advance: 71.2% vs. 28.8% 🥅 In normal time: Mean goals: 1.5-0.7 🇨🇴 55.8% Draw 26.0% 🇬🇭 18.2% Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match in normal time:

Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match. The most likely outcome is 1-0 with a probability of 15.9%.

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Achim Zeileis @zeileis.org · 03/07/2026

⚽ Probabilistic forecasts for today's matches at #FIFA2026 In Round of 32: #ARGCPV #ARG #CPV Probability to advance: 79.8% vs. 20.2% 🥅 In normal time: Mean goals: 1.9-0.7 🇦🇷 66.3% Draw 21.1% 🇨🇻 12.6% Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match in normal time:

Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match. The most likely outcome is 1-0 with a probability of 14.4%.

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Achim Zeileis @zeileis.org · 03/07/2026

⚽ Probabilistic forecasts for today's matches at #FIFA2026 In Round of 32: #AUSEGY #AUS #EGY Probability to advance: 55.0% vs. 45.0% 🥅 In normal time: Mean goals: 1.2-1.0 🇦🇺 40.0% Draw 28.8% 🇪🇬 31.2% Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match in normal time:

Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match. The most likely outcome is 1-1 with a probability of 13.3%.

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Achim Zeileis @zeileis.org · 02/07/2026

⚽ Probabilistic forecasts for today's matches at #FIFA2026 In Round of 32: #SUIALG #SUI #ALG Probability to advance: 67.8% vs. 32.2% 🥅 In normal time: Mean goals: 1.4-0.8 🇨🇭 52.2% Draw 27.0% 🇩🇿 20.8% Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match in normal time:

Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match. The most likely outcome is 1-0 with a probability of 15.5%.

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Achim Zeileis @zeileis.org · 02/07/2026

⚽ Probabilistic forecasts for today's matches at #FIFA2026 In Round of 32: #PORCRO #POR #CRO Probability to advance: 71.1% vs. 28.9% 🥅 In normal time: Mean goals: 1.7-0.8 🇵🇹 56.6% Draw 24.3% 🇭🇷 19.0% Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match in normal time:

Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match. The most likely outcome is 1-0 with a probability of 13.5%.

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Achim Zeileis @zeileis.org · 02/07/2026

⚽ Probabilistic forecasts for today's matches at #FIFA2026 In Round of 32: #ESPAUT #ESP #AUT Probability to advance: 77.6% vs. 22.4% 🥅 In normal time: Mean goals: 1.7-0.6 🇪🇸 62.9% Draw 23.6% 🇦🇹 13.5% Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match in normal time:

Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match. The most likely outcome is 1-0 with a probability of 16.8%.

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Achim Zeileis @zeileis.org · 01/07/2026

⚽ Probabilistic forecasts for today's matches at #FIFA2026 In Round of 32: #USABIH #USA #BIH Probability to advance: 69.3% vs. 30.7% 🥅 In normal time: Mean goals: 1.6-0.9 🇺🇸 54.7% Draw 24.9% 🇧🇦 20.4% Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match in normal time:

Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match. The most likely outcome is 1-0 with a probability of 13.4%.

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Achim Zeileis @zeileis.org · 01/07/2026

⚽ Probabilistic forecasts for today's matches at #FIFA2026 In Round of 32: #BELSEN #BEL #SEN Probability to advance: 58.2% vs. 41.8% 🥅 In normal time: Mean goals: 1.4-1.1 🇧🇪 43.8% Draw 26.8% 🇸🇳 29.4% Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match in normal time:

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Achim Zeileis @zeileis.org · 01/07/2026

⚽ Probabilistic forecasts for today's matches at #FIFA2026 In Round of 32: #ENGCOD #ENG #COD Probability to advance: 80.7% vs. 19.3% 🥅 In normal time: Mean goals: 1.8-0.6 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 66.9% Draw 21.5% 🇨🇩 11.6% Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match in normal time:

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Achim Zeileis @zeileis.org · 30/06/2026

⚽ Probabilistic forecasts for today's matches at #FIFA2026 In Round of 32: #MEXECU #MEX #ECU Probability to advance: 41.3% vs. 58.7% 🥅 In normal time: Mean goals: 1.0-1.3 🇲🇽 28.6% Draw 27.5% 🇪🇨 44.0% Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match in normal time:

Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match. The most likely outcome is 1-1 with a probability of 12.9%.

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Achim Zeileis @zeileis.org · 30/06/2026

⚽ Probabilistic forecasts for today's matches at #FIFA2026 In Round of 32: #FRASWE #FRA #SWE Probability to advance: 71.2% vs. 28.8% 🥅 In normal time: Mean goals: 1.5-0.7 🇫🇷 55.9% Draw 25.9% 🇸🇪 18.2% Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match in normal time:

Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match. The most likely outcome is 1-0 with a probability of 15.8%.

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Achim Zeileis @zeileis.org · 30/06/2026

⚽ Probabilistic forecasts for today's matches at #FIFA2026 In Round of 32: #CIVNOR #CIV #NOR Probability to advance: 32.4% vs. 67.6% 🥅 In normal time: Mean goals: 0.9-1.6 🇨🇮 21.6% Draw 25.5% 🇳🇴 52.9% Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match in normal time:

Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match. The most likely outcome is 0-1 with a probability of 13.4%.

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Achim Zeileis @zeileis.org · 29/06/2026

⚽ Probabilistic forecasts for today's matches at #FIFA2026 In Round of 32: #NEDMAR #NED #MAR Probability to advance: 66.5% vs. 33.5% 🥅 In normal time: Mean goals: 1.5-0.9 🇳🇱 51.4% Draw 26.3% 🇲🇦 22.2% Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match in normal time:

⚽ Probabilistic forecasts for today's matches at #FIFA2026 using our machine learning ensemble.

In Round of 32: #NEDMAR #NED #MAR
Probability to advance: 66.5% vs. 33.5%

🥅 In normal time:
Mean goals: 1.5-0.9
🇳🇱 51.4%
Draw 26.3%
🇲🇦 22.2%

Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match in normal time:

Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match. The most likely outcome is 1-0 with a probability of 14%.

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Achim Zeileis @zeileis.org · 29/06/2026

⚽ Probabilistic forecasts for today's matches at #FIFA2026 In Round of 32: #GERPAR #GER #PAR Probability to advance: 81.6% vs. 18.4% 🥅 In normal time: Mean goals: 2.0-0.7 🇩🇪 68.5% Draw 20.1% 🇵🇾 11.4% Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match in normal time:

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Achim Zeileis @zeileis.org · 29/06/2026

⚽ Probabilistic forecasts for today's matches at #FIFA2026 In Round of 32: #BRAJPN #BRA #JPN Probability to advance: 66.4% vs. 33.6% 🥅 In normal time: Mean goals: 1.6-1.0 🇧🇷 52.1% Draw 24.9% 🇯🇵 23.0% Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match in normal time:

Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match. The most likely outcome is 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%.

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Achim Zeileis @zeileis.org · 28/06/2026

⚽ Probabilistic forecasts for today's match at #FIFA2026 In Round of 32: #RSACAN #RSA #CAN Probability to advance: 23.5% vs. 76.5% 🥅 In normal time: Mean goals: 0.8-1.8 🇿🇦 15.2% Draw 22.2% 🇨🇦 62.6% Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match in normal time:

Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match. The most likely outcome is 0-1 with a probability of 13.6%.

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Achim Zeileis @zeileis.org · 27/06/2026

⚽ Probabilistic forecasts for today's matches at #FIFA2026 using our machine learning ensemble. In Group J: #JORARG #JOR #ARG 🥅 Mean goals: 0.7-2.3 🇯🇴 10.1% Draw 17.2% 🇦🇷 72.7% Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match:

Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match. The most likely outcome is 0-2 with a probability of 13.1%.

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Achim Zeileis @zeileis.org · 27/06/2026

⚽ Probabilistic forecasts for today's matches at #FIFA2026 using our machine learning ensemble. In Group J: #ALGAUT #ALG #AUT 🥅 Mean goals: 1.0-1.4 🇩🇿 27.2% Draw 27.2% 🇦🇹 45.6% Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match:

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Achim Zeileis @zeileis.org · 27/06/2026

⚽ Probabilistic forecasts for today's matches at #FIFA2026 using our machine learning ensemble. In Group K: #CODUZB #COD #UZB 🥅 Mean goals: 1.3-1.0 🇨🇩 41.2% Draw 28.1% 🇺🇿 30.7% Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match:

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Achim Zeileis @zeileis.org · 27/06/2026

⚽ Probabilistic forecasts for today's matches at #FIFA2026 using our machine learning ensemble. In Group K: #COLPOR #COL #POR 🥅 Mean goals: 0.9-1.4 🇨🇴 23.6% Draw 26.9% 🇵🇹 49.5% Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match:

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Achim Zeileis @zeileis.org · 27/06/2026

⚽ Probabilistic forecasts for today's matches at #FIFA2026 using our machine learning ensemble. In Group L: #CROGHA #CRO #GHA 🥅 Mean goals: 1.8-0.8 🇭🇷 61.3% Draw 23.0% 🇬🇭 15.7% Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match:

Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match. The most likely outcome is 1-0 with a probability of 14.2%.

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Achim Zeileis @zeileis.org · 27/06/2026

⚽ Probabilistic forecasts for today's matches at #FIFA2026 using our machine learning ensemble. In Group L: #PANENG #PAN #ENG 🥅 Mean goals: 0.7-2.3 🇵🇦 9.2% Draw 16.4% 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 74.4% Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match:

Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match. The most likely outcome is 0-2 with a probability of 13.3%.

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Achim Zeileis @zeileis.org · 26/06/2026

⚽ Probabilistic forecasts for today's matches at #FIFA2026 using our machine learning ensemble. In Group G: #EGYIRN #EGY #IRN 🥅 Mean goals: 1.2-1.0 🇪🇬 41.3% Draw 29.1% 🇮🇷 29.6% Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match:

Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match. The most likely outcome is 1-0 with a probability of 13.7%.

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Achim Zeileis @zeileis.org · 26/06/2026

⚽ Probabilistic forecasts for today's matches at #FIFA2026 using our machine learning ensemble. In Group G: #NZLBEL #NZL #BEL 🥅 Mean goals: 0.7-2.0 🇳🇿 13.3% Draw 20.5% 🇧🇪 66.2% Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match:

Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match. The most likely outcome is 0-1 with a probability of 13%.

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Achim Zeileis @zeileis.org · 26/06/2026

⚽ Probabilistic forecasts for today's matches at #FIFA2026 using our machine learning ensemble. In Group H: #CPVKSA #CPV #KSA 🥅 Mean goals: 1.2-1.2 🇨🇻 37.1% Draw 28.0% 🇸🇦 34.9% Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match:

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Achim Zeileis @zeileis.org · 26/06/2026

⚽ Probabilistic forecasts for today's matches at #FIFA2026 using our machine learning ensemble. In Group H: #URUESP #URU #ESP 🥅 Mean goals: 0.6-1.7 🇺🇾 13.2% Draw 22.9% 🇪🇸 63.9% Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match:

Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match. The most likely outcome is 0-1 with a probability of 16.3%.

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Achim Zeileis @zeileis.org · 26/06/2026

⚽ Probabilistic forecasts for today's matches at #FIFA2026 using our machine learning ensemble. In Group I: #SENIRQ #SEN #IRQ 🥅 Mean goals: 2.1-0.7 🇸🇳 69.9% Draw 18.6% 🇮🇶 11.5% Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match:

Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match. The most likely outcome is 2-0 with a probability of 13%.

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Achim Zeileis @zeileis.org · 26/06/2026

⚽ Probabilistic forecasts for today's matches at #FIFA2026 using our machine learning ensemble. In Group I: #NORFRA #NOR #FRA 🥅 Mean goals: 0.9-1.6 🇳🇴 19.7% Draw 24.5% 🇫🇷 55.8% Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match:

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Achim Zeileis @zeileis.org · 26/06/2026

Especially if there are multiple matches, it is also convenient to use: fortune("Excel", showMatches = TRUE) which displays one random quote but also shows you the row numbers of the other quotes.

Screen shot of the R code:

set.seed(42)
fortune("Excel", showMatches = TRUE)

This yields the following output:

Matching row numbers: 59, 134, 198, 201, 219, 222, 228, 230, 314, 370

Let's not kid ourselves: the most widely used piece of software for statistics is Excel.
-- Brian D. Ripley ('Statistical Methods Need Software: A View of
Statistical Computing')
Opening lecture RSS 2002, Plymouth (September 2002)

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Achim Zeileis @zeileis.org · 25/06/2026

⚽ Probabilistic forecasts for today's matches at #FIFA2026 using our machine learning ensemble. In Group D: #PARAUS #PAR #AUS 🥅 Mean goals: 1.1-1.1 🇵🇾 35.4% Draw 28.9% 🇦🇺 35.8% Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match:

Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match. The most likely outcome is 1-1 with a probability of 13.4%.

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Achim Zeileis @zeileis.org · 25/06/2026

⚽ Probabilistic forecasts for today's matches at #FIFA2026 using our machine learning ensemble. In Group D: #USATUR #USA #TUR 🥅 Mean goals: 1.1-1.1 🇺🇸 35.9% Draw 29.2% 🇹🇷 34.9% Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match:

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Achim Zeileis @zeileis.org · 25/06/2026

⚽ Probabilistic forecasts for today's matches at #FIFA2026 using our machine learning ensemble. In Group F: #TUNNED #TUN #NED 🥅 Mean goals: 0.7-1.8 🇹🇳 14.5% Draw 22.6% 🇳🇱 62.9% Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match:

Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match. The most likely outcome is 0-1 with a probability of 14.7%.

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Achim Zeileis @zeileis.org · 25/06/2026

⚽ Probabilistic forecasts for today's matches at #FIFA2026 using our machine learning ensemble. In Group F: #JPNSWE #JPN #SWE 🥅 Mean goals: 1.2-1.2 🇯🇵 37.4% Draw 27.8% 🇸🇪 34.8% Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match:

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Achim Zeileis @zeileis.org · 25/06/2026

⚽ Probabilistic forecasts for today's matches at #FIFA2026 using our machine learning ensemble. In Group E: #CUWCIV #CUW #CIV 🥅 Mean goals: 0.8-1.7 🇨🇼 17.8% Draw 24.2% 🇨🇮 58.0% Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match:

Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match. The most likely outcome is 0-1 with a probability of 14.2%.

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Achim Zeileis @zeileis.org · 25/06/2026

⚽ Probabilistic forecasts for today's matches at #FIFA2026 using our machine learning ensemble. In Group E: #ECUGER #ECU #GER 🥅 Mean goals: 0.8-1.7 🇪🇨 16.9% Draw 23.5% 🇩🇪 59.6% Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match:

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Achim Zeileis @zeileis.org · 24/06/2026

⚽ Probabilistic forecasts for today's matches at #FIFA2026 using our machine learning ensemble. In Group A: #RSAKOR #RSA #KOR 🥅 Mean goals: 0.8-1.9 🇿🇦 14.7% Draw 21.8% 🇰🇷 63.5% Heatmap with probabilistic forecasts for the possible outcomes of the match:

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