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And lastly I speculate about the future and general ability of computational research to aid in such democratisation and scientific efforts. What are its limits? Ethical propblems?

Further I generally systematize and map simulation approaches to their characteristic domains of validity and specific application areas in studying radical democratisation proposal

More concretely I conceptualise one specific possible model architecture to study an alternative political economy in which citizen-assembly-like deliberation plays a central role in societal decision-making

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Specifically, I map exisiting simulation methods to existing challenges in niche democratisation efforts such as citizen assemblies and democratic firms to generate a better understanding of how computational simulation may aid social, political and economic innovation. Hope you enjoy!✍️

🌳It is a research perspective piece intending to conceive the potential for applying computational simulation methods and artificial intelligence to investigate new and alternative democratic paradigms of political economy.

Yannick Oswald @yloswald.bsky.social · 06/03/2025

Crazy that in this whole tumult around Zelensky and Trump, the Americans, Trump and his friends, also just swept under the rug that Russia already allied with North Korea and North Korea literally has troops fighting alongside Russia against Ukrainians. But sure *Zelensky* gambles with WW3.

Georg Zachmann @gzachmann.bsky.social · 01/03/2025

Reposted by Yannick Oswald

One scenario the EU must be prepared for now is the U.S. lifting sanctions on Russia. Key principles for the EU: - make sure to stay united - not return to dangerous dependencies - not deliberately support the Russian war economy Not changing anything might not be the right answer

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Reposted by Yannick Oswald

I am reading and learning about models of opinion and cultural change and diffusion. Particularly with relevance to agent-based models or network models. The main classes I have identified so far are as follows. Anything I am missing?

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Has the Dawn of Everything by Graeber and Wengrow be misintepreted by a lot of people? They actually argue themselves that hierarchical and egalitarian societies are around since complex social life emerged, not that all hunterer gatheres were egalitarian. research-portal.uu.nl/ws/portalfil...

research-portal.uu.nl

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21 % für die AfD sind 21 % zu viel.

Yannick Oswald @yloswald.bsky.social · 20/02/2025

Please share if possible with your networks. Thanks a lot!

Yannick Oswald @yloswald.bsky.social · 20/02/2025

Exciting News 📣🫵 Wolfram Barfuss and I are organising a special track at the Social Simulation Conference 2025 in Delft. On "Artificially Intelligent Agents in Social Agent-based Models" The call is out now. ssc2025.tbm.tudelft.nl/important-da... Looking forward to exciting contributions.✍️

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Yannick Oswald @yloswald.bsky.social · 19/02/2025

In the bigger picture, for me, this is about complex system prediction, as evidenced by our discussion on its contribution to areas such as urban scaling theory.

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Yannick Oswald @yloswald.bsky.social · 19/02/2025

👉Happy to have contributed a tiny bit to the writing of this new article: Understanding Pedestrian Dynamics using Machine Learning with Real-Time Urban Sensors journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

journals.sagepub.com

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Yannick Oswald @yloswald.bsky.social · 15/11/2024

Reposted by Yannick Oswald

Periodic reminder that the smallest nations of Earth, including many island states, emit only a fraction of industrialized nations. Here is a comparison between the 50 least emitting nations and what super low fruit hanging policies in Germany could have saved (under the now defunct government).

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Yannick Oswald @yloswald.bsky.social · 13/02/2025

By the way if you have interesting studies about CAs or other bottom-up democratisation efforts to share I would be quite interested. I am interested in supporting findings as well as critical findings.

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Yannick Oswald @yloswald.bsky.social · 13/02/2025

Citizen assemblies (CA) are often thought to decrease polarization on sensitive issues. However there is a surprising amount of literature showing other effects. E.g. this experimental study found students became *more* ideological through a modelled CA. www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

tandfonline.com

Creating Better Citizens? Effects of a Model Citizens' Assembly on Student Political Attitudes and Behavior

Perceiving political engagement to be dangerously low among American citizens, many political science professors in recent years have attempted to promote engagement and “healthier” political atti...

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Reposted by Yannick Oswald

Fernando Rosas @frosas.bsky.social · 30/01/2025

Really sad to see 😔

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Yannick Oswald @yloswald.bsky.social · 31/01/2025

Not sure I agree with everything and the generic distinction between maps and equations and how it relates to the discussion. (An equation can certainly be used to express a map e.g. y = ax + b). But this is nevertheless the only piece that in my view made a proper conceptual advance on that front.

Yannick Oswald @yloswald.bsky.social · 31/01/2025

I honestly kinda wish I had written it 🙃, I thought sooo much about equilibrium myself in my free time and always found the standard critique of "economics is too mechanical and unsystemic" a bit underwhelming. But this one is quite good.

Yannick Oswald @yloswald.bsky.social · 31/01/2025

This piece by Marco Pangallo is one of my favorite recent articles. It discusses the concept of equilibrium in economics recognizing that it actually has a lot do with systemic complexity thinking but still adding a justified critique. papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....

papers.ssrn.com

Equations vs. maps: complexity, equilibrium, disequilibrium

A key theme of complexity economics is non-equilibrium/disequilibrium dynamics. However, it is often not clear what this precisely means, leading to confusion a

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Yannick Oswald @yloswald.bsky.social · 20/01/2025

Economic democratisation is the most important topic and fight of the 21st century. Otherwise, the rapid and indeed fascinating advances in AI and digital tech will centralise all gains in the hands of a few.

Yannick Oswald @yloswald.bsky.social · 20/01/2025

Definitely one of the biggest mistakes. Next to autocratic capitalists and capitalist autocrats controlling basically the entire economy and sending us to climate and inequality hell.