iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Brian Alonzo @wxprobrian.bsky.social · 09/10/2026

MAJOR HURRICANE: As of 7:20am, Hurricane Isaias has stregthened into a major category 3 storm with sustained winds of 120 mph. Back on Tuesday, I told you this was a possibility and here it is. Landfall expected to occur later tonight.

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Brian Alonzo @wxprobrian.bsky.social · 07/10/2026

ISAIAS: Formed this morning. No significant changes to the forecast. It is still expected to intensify to a hurricane in the next 24 hours. Texas is on the sinking side of this tropical system and only impact will be slightly higher temperatures.

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Brian Alonzo @wxprobrian.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

TRACKING THE TROPICS: Tropical Depression Nine has formed in the Gulf. This system will strengthen into this year's first hurricane of the season. It is not expected to impact Texas. It could potentially become a major category 3 hurricane prior to landfall.

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Brian Alonzo @wxprobrian.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

11AM (10-2-26): New Flood Advisory for Bexar county through 2pm. Rainfall estimates of 1-3" has fallen and more is expected.

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Brian Alonzo @wxprobrian.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

8:17AM (10-2-26): Flood Advisory for Bexar county through 11am. Doppler radar estimates of 1-2" has fallen. More rainfall is possible over this area.

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Brian Alonzo @wxprobrian.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

1:27PM (10-1-26): Flash Flood Warning issued for Bexar county until 7pm. Up to 2.5" has fallen in parts of the county and an additional 1-3" is possible.

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Brian Alonzo @wxprobrian.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

FLOOD ADVISORY (10-1-26): NWS has issued a Flood Advisory for Bexar county through 3pm. Rainfall rates of 1-2" per hour with a brief spike to 3" an hour is possible.

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Brian Alonzo @wxprobrian.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

10:22AM (10-1-26): Moderate to heavy rainfall is moving into Bexar county. Some of this rain could lead to isolated flash flooding. Stay weather aware the rest of this morning and afternoon.

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Brian Alonzo @wxprobrian.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

FLOOD WATCH: Was just issued for South Central Texas. This does include the San Antonio area. This goes into effect starting Wednesday evening through Friday evening. Widespread 2-4" with isolated over 8" possible.

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Brian Alonzo @wxprobrian.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

FLASH FLOODING LIKELY LATER THIS WEEK: Within the past hour the Weather Prediction Center has upgraded our flash flood threat to a Moderate Risk (4 out of 5). This does include the San Antonio area. The biggest day of concern will be on Thursday.

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Brian Alonzo @wxprobrian.bsky.social · 21/09/2026

9:51PM (9-20-26): A few showers have developed along the I-35 corridor with the collision of two outflow boundaries. Lightning could be possible if the storms continue to intensify.

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Brian Alonzo @wxprobrian.bsky.social · 21/09/2026

8:28PM (9-20-26): There are storms in the Hill Country that are slowly moving southeast. I'm going to be watching two outflow boundaries that could potentially ignite new thunderstorm activity in the San Antonio area within the hour. It's a wait and see situation.

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Brian Alonzo @wxprobrian.bsky.social · 18/09/2026

2:09PM (9-18-26): Scattered showers and storms continue across San Antonio. Another area of storms is moving in from the southwest. Storms are not severe but brief locally heavy rain possible.

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Brian Alonzo @wxprobrian.bsky.social · 18/09/2026

9:39AM (9-18-26): Showers in SW Bexar Bexar county have intensified into thunderstorms. Expect locally heavy rain and some gusty winds. These storms are moving northwest.

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Brian Alonzo @wxprobrian.bsky.social · 17/09/2026

DROUGHT UPDATE: Today's update showed the drought expanding across Texas including South Texas. The Climate Prediction Center came out with their seasonal outlook and say that the drought will improve and/or go away. This is because El Niño is expected to bring more precipitation to Texas.

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Brian Alonzo @wxprobrian.bsky.social · 14/09/2026

NEAR RECORD HEAT THIS WEEK: We'll be near, tie, or break some records the next few days. This could potentially be the final week we see triple digits this year. Next week, I see a pattern shift where rain chances will be increasing. Woo-hoo!!!

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Brian Alonzo @wxprobrian.bsky.social · 01/09/2026

EDOUARD MAKES LANDFALL: Near Johnson Bayou, Louisiana at 2:20pm with sustained winds estimated at 60 mph.

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Brian Alonzo @wxprobrian.bsky.social · 01/09/2026

7PM TROPICAL UPDATE: Tropical Depression Five has strengthened into Tropical Storm Edouard. The forecast track has not changed.

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Brian Alonzo @wxprobrian.bsky.social · 31/08/2026

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE: Tropical disturbance in the Gulf is gathering strength with sustained winds of 35 mph. It is expected to intensify into Tropical Storm Edouard later today.

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Brian Alonzo @wxprobrian.bsky.social · 31/08/2026

SUNDAY PM TROPICAL UPDATE: NHC has increased the potential for tropical development to 70%. Hurricane Hunters are scheduled to investigate this disturbance Monday morning. All interests along the Upper Texas coast need to monitor this situation.

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Brian Alonzo @wxprobrian.bsky.social · 30/08/2026

TRACKING THE TROPICS(8-30-26): Hurricane Ctr. has flagged an area for tropical development. This disturbance could be a tropical depression or tropical storm prior to making landfall on Tuesday near Houston. This could move over Central TX and could increase rain chances for SA area later this week.

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Brian Alonzo @wxprobrian.bsky.social · 29/08/2026

10:59PM: Storms have exited Bexar county. One of the causes of widespread power outages was the high wind gusts. San Antonio Int'l reported 52 mph wind gusts. Kelly Airfield reported a 59 mph wind gust.

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Brian Alonzo @wxprobrian.bsky.social · 29/08/2026

9:30PM: Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Bexar county until 10:15pm. Storms moving southwest at 30 mph. 60 mph wind gusts possible and nickle size hail possible. Storm damage reported at Heroes Stadium.

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Brian Alonzo @wxprobrian.bsky.social · 29/08/2026

8:51PM: Flood Advisory for Bexar, Comal and Guadalupe counties until 11:45pm. Between 1-2" has fallen and more is expected.

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Brian Alonzo @wxprobrian.bsky.social · 29/08/2026

8:07PM (8-28-26): Tracking storms moving into Bexar county Expect gusty winds, locally heavy rainfall. This will affect Friday Night Football. If you're at game be prepared to seek shelter from rain and lightning.

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Brian Alonzo @wxprobrian.bsky.social · 28/08/2026

7:26PM: As expected, more storms have developed in Bexar county due to multiple outflow boundaries colliding. Some storms are producing locally heavy rain and some high wind gusts.

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Brian Alonzo @wxprobrian.bsky.social · 28/08/2026

6:03PM: We're not done with the rain in San Antonio just yet. There is an outflow boundary about to move into northern Bexar county. This could bring some gusty winds and spark off new storms. There are storms around Blanco that are moving in our direction too.

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Brian Alonzo @wxprobrian.bsky.social · 27/08/2026

4:15PM: Severe Thunderstorm Warning for northern parts of Bexar county until 4:45pm. Storms moving southwest at 5 mph. Penny size hail and wind gusts up to 60 mph possible.

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Brian Alonzo @wxprobrian.bsky.social · 27/08/2026

STORMS THIS AFTERNOON: There is the chance for storms today. An isolated storm or two could become severe. There is another chance for storms tomorrow. Also, wanted to mention there is also a partial lunar eclipse going on tonight, some clouds may hinder viewing.

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Brian Alonzo @wxprobrian.bsky.social · 25/08/2026

INCREASING RAIN CHANCES: On Thursday, a weak boundary is expected to kick off showers and few storms. Severe not expected but gusts could get up to 45 mph near those storms. Don't focus on coverage of the storms, it might be a little less than what is depicted here. Nevertheless, it's a chance. 😀

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Brian Alonzo @wxprobrian.bsky.social · 19/08/2026

DANGEROUS HEAT: NWS has issued a Heat Advisory for the San Antonio from Thursday, August 20th all the way through Sunday, August 23rd. High temps 102°+ with heat index values up to 110°. Stay cool, hydrated, and take frequent breaks if working outdoors.

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Brian Alonzo @wxprobrian.bsky.social · 01/08/2026

8-1-26 5:26PM: Storms have developed in Southern Bexar county. Isolated storms will still be possible over the next few hours but coverage will be limited. Stronger storms will remain west of San Antonio.

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Brian Alonzo @wxprobrian.bsky.social · 01/08/2026

8-1-26 3:07PM: Showers and storms are rapidly developing in the Hill Country. They are moving south along the cold front. Stay weather aware if you will be outdoors the next few hours and have a place to seek shelter if a storm approaches your location.

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Brian Alonzo @wxprobrian.bsky.social · 31/07/2026

STRONG STORMS POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY (8-1-26): A weak cold front is expected to arrive in the afternoon from the north. This front will bring a chance for strong storms that could contain locally heavy rain, wind gusts to 50-55 mph, frequent lightning and small hail. 1/3

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Brian Alonzo @wxprobrian.bsky.social · 24/07/2026

BERTHA NO MORE: As of 10pm, The National Hurricane Center has issued their last advisory on Bertha. It's now considered the remnants of Bertha. There are some showers and isolated storms on the radar. I expect some of that to move into San Antonio shortly. No severe weather expected.

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Brian Alonzo @wxprobrian.bsky.social · 23/07/2026

BERTHA: Has made landfall near the Texas/Louisiana border. The heavy rain and storms will be moving onshore shortly along the coast. In San Antonio, we have a chance for showers and isolated storms after 11pm this evening. Bertha will quickly weaken over the next 8-10 hours.

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Brian Alonzo @wxprobrian.bsky.social · 23/07/2026

TRIPLE DIGITS: Many cities reached the triple digits today including San Antonio. This is our first triple digit day in 2026. Tomorrow, we have another chance. Next week, more 100 degree days are likely for the San Antonio area.

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Brian Alonzo @wxprobrian.bsky.social · 22/07/2026

BERTHA WED. AM UPDATE 7-22-26: Nat'l Hurricane Ctr. has modified the forecast track to be in better alignment with numerous models that are now showing this will be heading toward South Texas.

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Brian Alonzo @wxprobrian.bsky.social · 22/07/2026

THURSDAY (7-23-26): NWS has extended the Heat Advisory through Thursday evening. Something else to note, smoke north of us will be moving south due in part thanks to Tropical Storm Bertha. There is also some Saharan dust out there but very minimal levels. Skies will be a little bit hazy tomorrow.

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Brian Alonzo @wxprobrian.bsky.social · 21/07/2026

HEAT ADVISORY: Has been issued for most of South Central Texas for tomorrow from 12-8pm as we'll see dangerous heat across our area. Stay cool, hydrated, and take frequent breaks if working outdoors.

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Brian Alonzo @wxprobrian.bsky.social · 21/07/2026

THE NEXT FEW DAYS: Tomorrow we're going to make a run at our first triple digit day in San Antonio. Heat indices will be near 107°. Heat indices will remain in the triple digits through next week. Just note that Thursday and Friday mornings will be in the low 80s so we're not cooling off at night.

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Brian Alonzo @wxprobrian.bsky.social · 21/07/2026

BERTHA: Earlier this evening the Nat'l Hurricane Center upgraded TD Two to Tropical Storm Bertha. The forecast track remains unchanged. As it gets close to Texas it will weaken significantly and become an area of low pressure, if that. Still bears monitoring so check back often for updates.

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Brian Alonzo @wxprobrian.bsky.social · 19/07/2026

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE GULF (7-19-26): Nat'l Hurricane Ctr. just issued it's first advisory on TD #2 in the NE Gulf. In the coming days it is expected to strengthen into a Tropical Storm. It will get the name Bertha. It is expected to move west toward Texas. 1/2

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Brian Alonzo @wxprobrian.bsky.social · 16/07/2026

10:07PM: Tornado Warning for western parts of Bexar county until 10:30pm. Storm located over Government Canyon, moving north at 20 mph.

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Brian Alonzo @wxprobrian.bsky.social · 16/07/2026

STORM SURVEY: NWS just sent out the preliminary storm survey for this morning's tornado:

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Brian Alonzo @wxprobrian.bsky.social · 16/07/2026

6:27PM: NWS has canceled the Tornado Warning for parts of Bexar, Guadalupe, and Wilson counties.

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Brian Alonzo @wxprobrian.bsky.social · 16/07/2026

6:13PM: New Tornado Warning for Bexar, Guadalupe, and Wilson counties until 7pm. Storm near Calaveras Lake moving north at 15 mph.

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Brian Alonzo @wxprobrian.bsky.social · 15/07/2026

5:40PM: Tornado Warning for SE Bexar county until 6:15pm. Storm located over Elmendorf, moving NE at 10 mph.

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Brian Alonzo @wxprobrian.bsky.social · 15/07/2026

4:07PM: TORNADO WARNING for SE Bexar county. Storm located near Calaveras Lake moving NE at 15 mph. Trained spotter may have seen a brief touchdown.

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