iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

By their definition these aren't PREs since they aren't wholly supplying the moisture as it's physically impossible due to terrain. That's probably why they focused on Atlantic storms.

Yeah tx forecasters for decades keyed in on these recurving pacific storms causing flood events, but not always. Bosarts work was a lightbulb moment for me as we could explain what was happening and why some events didn't materialize with nearly identical satellite presentations.

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I researched these events, presented at a couple confs, but never had time to formally publish. There's a training video hidden on the FWD YouTube channel but I don't have the link anymore. Long story short the synoptic dynamics occur frequently, but the Gulf has to be "open" for low level moisture.

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Never heard of it or her but I exist in my own bubble...

Ted Ryan @wxmanted.bsky.social · 26/09/2026

The cynical side of me thinks they have some kind of weather insurance and got out of a money losing jam.

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Ted Ryan @wxmanted.bsky.social · 19/09/2026

Bowl eligible? Such optimism.

Ted Ryan @wxmanted.bsky.social · 19/09/2026

A year's worth of kitchen scraps combined with leaves and brown paper waste from Amazon boxes went in the tumbler and yielded a few gallons of rich compost. Now it goes back to the vegetable garden for the next cycle.

Eric Thompson @ericjthompson81.bsky.social · 14/09/2026

Reposted by Ted Ryan

May this meme never die. #Skol

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Ted Ryan @wxmanted.bsky.social · 12/09/2026

Well not sure the offense is capable of scoring 14 points at this point

Ted Ryan @wxmanted.bsky.social · 05/09/2026

Sounds like there's a lot of room for a human to say when to use it and when to trash it

Ted Ryan @wxmanted.bsky.social · 03/09/2026

Just paid $6 a pound cause it's my tradition damnit!

Ted Ryan @wxmanted.bsky.social · 30/08/2026

I think the article has an error. It's supposed to be wet bulb globe temperature. They had it right in the beginning but seemed to omit 'globe' later on.

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Ted Ryan @wxmanted.bsky.social · 23/08/2026

I am willing to bet there is a touch fall already occurring where these decisions are made

Ted Ryan @wxmanted.bsky.social · 12/08/2026

But I was told you needed a good hurricane to do that

Ted Ryan @wxmanted.bsky.social · 01/08/2026

Daytime high of 74, cloudy and a northerly breeze. There's no weather better for an August mow.

Ted Ryan @wxmanted.bsky.social · 18/07/2026

Figured you had some real numbers. Seems like this will kick the can through winter. We will see what el nino can do...

Ted Ryan @wxmanted.bsky.social · 18/07/2026

This is exactly what was needed to alleviate the Corpus Christi water emergency. Unfortunately the root of the problem is that the local politicians promised industry more water than climatology can provide.

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Ted Ryan @wxmanted.bsky.social · 22/05/2026

The rats appreciate your sacrifice

Ted Ryan @wxmanted.bsky.social · 14/05/2026

New (to me) snake. Eastern coachwhip. 3+ feet and fastest snake I've ever seen. Stumbled on a second equally big one a few yards away. Mating shenanigans I am sure.

Ted Ryan @wxmanted.bsky.social · 01/05/2026

It's been a year since I retired. 2 surprising findings: I was worried I would be bored without work, and most certainly have not been. I also thought I would pick up weather related activities on the side, and that desire just hasn't shown up.

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Ted Ryan @wxmanted.bsky.social · 28/04/2026

I heard you couldn't get hail coverage at 1% deductible there anymore. If that's true then the prospect of a "free" roof has got to make a dent in that business.

Ted Ryan @wxmanted.bsky.social · 09/04/2026

Everything is performative BS with these people just to get a headline. And the media and the market keeps playing along.

Ted Ryan @wxmanted.bsky.social · 02/04/2026

Tried and true method for laying out a clear, logical argument: Intro with a thesis statement. Topic sentences followed by well-researched supporting arguments. Cite your sources. Conclusion summarizing the points you just made.

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Ted Ryan @wxmanted.bsky.social · 01/04/2026

It's spring. It gets hot. (Am I doing this right?)

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Ted Ryan @wxmanted.bsky.social · 21/03/2026

2 days with lows in the teens and 2 days with highs in the 90s in the same week must have the plants confused.

Ted Ryan @wxmanted.bsky.social · 13/02/2026

Sadly the only memories involved are the 1998 central American smoke plume that invaded south Texas for a month and the 2005 north Texas wildfire season. Those were my formative years I guess.

Ted Ryan @wxmanted.bsky.social · 12/02/2026

Living amongst national forests has its benefits. Unfortunately in early spring prescribed burns can turn a nice day into a smokey apocalypse. Visibility down to 1 to 2 miles from a burn 30 miles away.

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Ted Ryan @wxmanted.bsky.social · 09/02/2026

Don't much care about the Superbowl but it's an excuse to smoke some ribs.

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Ted Ryan @wxmanted.bsky.social · 26/01/2026

My low last night was -11 F. Of all sites that report their data in real time, that was the coldest in Arkansas. Snow pack and river valley cold air drainage is some serious business.

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Ted Ryan @wxmanted.bsky.social · 22/01/2026

Just cut down the tall grass on our hill in preparation for some sledding activities this weekend.

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Ted Ryan @wxmanted.bsky.social · 22/01/2026

Often I have to ask is the model really forecasting it (does it have the microphysics) or is this just postprocessing algorithms to make some best guesses for pretty maps? I suspect this is a case of the latter since it's so bad but I don't know enough about the ecm.

Ted Ryan @wxmanted.bsky.social · 15/12/2025

A few inches of snow and Central Park certainly didn't disappoint yesterday.

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Ted Ryan @wxmanted.bsky.social · 15/11/2025

Great win Ags. Don't ever do that again, my heart can't handle it.

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Ted Ryan @wxmanted.bsky.social · 06/11/2025

Wow had no idea the numbers were that low. That's insane.

Ted Ryan @wxmanted.bsky.social · 28/10/2025

You have a way with words. The Robert Frost of our time.

Ted Ryan @wxmanted.bsky.social · 15/10/2025

It's a good day when a tree felling goes according to plan. This was my biggest and trickiest one yet.

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Ted Ryan @wxmanted.bsky.social · 28/09/2025

Dominated in all stats except penalties and final score......those may be correlated.

Robert Reich @rbreich.bsky.social · 24/09/2025

Reposted by Ted Ryan

The richest man on earth owns X. The second richest man on earth is about to be a major owner of TikTok. The third richest man owns Facebook, Instagram, and WhatsApp. The fourth richest man owns The Washington Post. See the problem here?

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Ted Ryan @wxmanted.bsky.social · 06/09/2025

Weather groupies just mad next week's hurricane entertainment got rug pulled.

Ted Ryan @wxmanted.bsky.social · 22/08/2025

Getting one next week and I hope I can get one below $5...

Ted Ryan @wxmanted.bsky.social · 19/08/2025

My favorite weather is the summertime surprise sunshine downpour. This one came with a rainbow just a few feet away. (No pot of gold was found.)

Ted Ryan @wxmanted.bsky.social · 11/08/2025

No they are not. Good luck!