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Wolfgang Cramer

@cramer-bondeau.fr
14K followers 2.6K following 994 posts

#Climate & #biodiversity emeritus scientist, professor of global #ecology, #CNRS, MedECC, #IPCC, Acad. d'Agriculture de France. Occasional rail travel and bicycle geek. 🇩🇪 🇫🇷 🇬🇧 🇸🇪 🇳🇴 tinyurl.com/wcrame

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Wolfgang Cramer @cramer-bondeau.fr · 22/09/2026
Here is just a little note for those who might like to follow my travel through Norway by bike, you can do that here: fediscience.org/@wolfgangcra...
Bicycle at the sign for the veloroute Haugesund - Bergen
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Wolfgang Cramer @cramer-bondeau.fr · 06/09/2026
Genau der richtige Zeitpunkt um eine Landesregierung aus eiskalten Klimaleugnern zu wählen. pulse.climate.copernicus.eu
screenshot von copernicus webseite, mit der höchsten jemals beobachteten Wärmeanomalie des Planeten am 4.9
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Wolfgang Cramer @cramer-bondeau.fr · 04/08/2026
Und hier das ganze Gespräch mit @hahauenstein.bsky.social Hanno Hauenstein in seinem Blog "Nullpunkt" www.youtube.com/watch?v=iTvD... Vielen Dank für die Einladung!
screenshot from interview
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Wolfgang Cramer @cramer-bondeau.fr · 03/08/2026
For the global average, July 31 this year was 0.01°C less hot than the previous record (from 2024), still more than 0.7°C hotter than the average for that day during the period 1991-2020. pulse.climate.copernicus.eu Nothing to see here, please move on.
graph of daily global mean temperatures up to July 31, 2026
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Wolfgang Cramer @cramer-bondeau.fr · 28/07/2026
Le GIEC, en 1991 : « Des stratégies de protection contre les incendies fondées sur les informations relatives aux risques d'incendie devraient être élaborées et intégrées dans les futures politiques de gestion et de planification, dans le cadre de scénarios de changement climatique. »
Cover of the IPCC First Assessment Report (WG3)Inside cover of the IPCC First Asssessment Report (WG3)Text from page 89 of the IPCC First Assessment Report (WG3)
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Wolfgang Cramer @cramer-bondeau.fr · 28/07/2026
D'autres experts du GIEC s’étaient penchés sur les implications pour les forêts, dans un rapport onusien également publié il y a 36 ans : « De nombreux auteurs affirment que des changements dans la fréquence et la répartition saisonnière des feux de forêt sont probables ...
Cover of IPCC First Assessment Report (WG2)Dated inside cover of IPCC First Assessment Report (WG2)Text from page 3-19 of IPCC First Assessment Report (WG2)Text from page 3-20 of IPCC First Assessment Report (WG2)
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Wolfgang Cramer @cramer-bondeau.fr · 28/07/2026
En 1990, il y a 36 ans, mes collègues du GIEC ont publié : « Le changement climatique pourrait entraîner une augmentation de la fréquence des phénomènes météorologiques extrêmes ... L'assèchement de certaines régions pourrait entraîner une augmentation de la fréquence des incendies. … »
cover of the First IPCC Report (WG1)dated front pages of the First IPCC Report (WG1)page 297 of the First IPCC Report (WG1)bottom of page 297 of the First IPCC Report (WG1)
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Wolfgang Cramer @cramer-bondeau.fr · 16/07/2026
This graph of burnt areas in the EU 2021-2025 will be interesting to study once the 2026 data have been included civil-protection-humanitarian-aid.ec.europa.eu/what/civil-p...
burnt area in the EU 2021-2025
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Wolfgang Cramer @cramer-bondeau.fr · 13/07/2026
Excess deaths during the recent and continuing European heatwave have been highest in France www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-m...
screenshot from EuroMOMO website, taken July 13, 2026
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Wolfgang Cramer @cramer-bondeau.fr · 12/07/2026
...il est vraiment difficile de gérer ces systèmes de production d'électricité instables et intermittents... www.lemonde.fr/planete/live...
screenshot de l'article dans le monde
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Wolfgang Cramer @cramer-bondeau.fr · 06/07/2026
The hypocrisy is well illustrated by this paper www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.... which recognizes that more and heavier cars produce more and more toxic tyre wear particles, and then shows that the EU is not even close to their "zero pollution objective" and rather moves in the opposite direction
screenshot from the paper
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Wolfgang Cramer @cramer-bondeau.fr · 30/06/2026
Just in case Europeans think that the air here is hotter than usual, do not forget that the sea surface of the entire planet is warmer than it has ever been in late June (since records began). pulse.climate.copernicus.eu
screenshot from copernicus, indicating 0.54°C temperature anomaly (relative to 1991-2020 average) on June 28, 2026
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Wolfgang Cramer @cramer-bondeau.fr · 29/06/2026
I have tried to address the root causes of the current heat wave, as well as ongoing adaptation efforts to such events, during my intervention with Al Jazeera on June 26, 2026 mediaview.aljazeera.com/video/LfXtWI...
screenshot from Al Jazeera News on June 26, 2026
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Wolfgang Cramer @cramer-bondeau.fr · 25/06/2026
A good conversation I had this week with Owen Jones from the UK, about the ongoing heatwave www.youtube.com/watch?v=ikvf... @owenjones.bsky.social
screenshot from the conversation with Owen Jones
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Wolfgang Cramer @cramer-bondeau.fr · 15/06/2026
Thank you Timothée, I think your commentary makes many excellent points, but I particularly want to emphasize this one: "What is considered ecologically sustainable from the sole perspective of climate change might not be when looked at from a multidimensional planetary boundary perspective."
There is a first general point worth making. The Global Justice Project functions with a single environmental constraint, having to do with greenhouse gases and global warming. The authors are perfectly aware of that, and they stress this very point in the conclusion of the report (pp. 128-129).[16] And yet, in terms of actual modelling, they don’t walk the talk. It’s always good to remember that carbon is only one colour of the Rubik’s cube. In addition to climate change, there are eight other planetary boundaries. What is considered ecologically sustainable from the sole perspective of climate change might not be when looked at from a multidimensional planetary boundary perspective. For example, from a climate-only lens, data centres are not particularly problematic if they run on low-carbon energies. And yet, they can be a problem if they require a lot of materials, artificialise land, consume large volumes of water, and degrade surrounding biodiversity. A scenario that decarbonises while quadrupling the size of the world economy may simply shift the pressure from one kind of overshoot to another, one that is perhaps not represented in the model.
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Wolfgang Cramer @cramer-bondeau.fr · 23/03/2026
Early-Bird registration: 2026 Conference Towards a just and habitable world: exploring the role of technology, Lausanne, Switzerland, 2–5 June 2026 pathways.futureearth.org/sustainabili...
conference web page illustration from Micha Huigen
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Wolfgang Cramer @cramer-bondeau.fr · 11/02/2026
The risk of a hothouse Earth trajectory www.cell.com/one-earth/fu... @williamripple.bsky.social
Tipping point threshold temperature estimates are shown with black dots; floating bars indicate lower and upper estimates. Note that the estimated tipping threshold of 1.2°C for low-latitude coral reefs has likely already been crossed.3 The dashed purple vertical line indicates 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels; a sustained global average temperature at this level is likely in the near future.2 Tipping point thresholds are adapted from Armstrong McKay et al.13 with updates from Lenton et al.3 Tipping impacts and timescales vary greatly. In some cases, effects on global temperatures may be uncertain or negligible (gray bars). Note that overlap can occur among feedbacks and/or tipping points, so their effects are not necessarily independent. See supplemental methods for further details, including data sources.
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Wolfgang Cramer @cramer-bondeau.fr · 27/01/2026
10 Lies Germans Were Told. 10 Lies You [US citizens] Are Being Told. This video from Melissa Dalton-Bradford is worth watching, for US citizens, Germans and everyone else on the planet. substack.com/@melissadalt... (thanks @alevermann.bsky.social for original share)
opening screen from the video
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Wolfgang Cramer @cramer-bondeau.fr · 24/01/2026
Clouds forming in the upper Drôme valley.
View from some place below the Col de Rousset
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Wolfgang Cramer @cramer-bondeau.fr · 11/01/2026
Just a view of Glandasse (Haut Diois, France) today.
View of Glandasse, Haut Diois, France
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Wolfgang Cramer @cramer-bondeau.fr · 23/11/2025
Singing "Dies Irae" from Verdi's requiem, with Scientifiques en Rebellion @scientifiquesenrebellion.fr and the fantastic Orchestre de Nouveau Monde orchestredunouveaumonde.fr was a perfect way to take notion of government and private sector inaction during the 10 years since the Paris Agreement.
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Wolfgang Cramer @cramer-bondeau.fr · 15/11/2025
So someone at #SNCF seriously thinks that filling my screen with bullshit like this is going to help my journey tomorrow. How low can the appreciation for their own product (trains) go before it hits rock bottom?
cosmetics advertisement on SNCF website
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Wolfgang Cramer @cramer-bondeau.fr · 12/11/2025
New publication in Energy Research & Social Science (open access): The political ecology of oil and gas corporations: TotalEnergies and post-colonial exploitation to concentrate energy in industrial economies. www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
front page visual from the article
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Wolfgang Cramer @cramer-bondeau.fr · 11/11/2025
I recommended reading this book after having seen a near-final draft and I have now read it again. Fernando's account is a fantastic achievement and highly recommended reading for anyone who wants to understand why so many scientists now leave their labs and join the protests for a better future.
back cover of the book, with recommendations by several people
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Wolfgang Cramer @cramer-bondeau.fr · 09/10/2025
"1 million d’euros de la région AURA pour que 10 personnes aillent de Le Puy à Paris en avion…" mediascitoyens-diois.info/2025/10/1-mi...
Passagers reguliers du vol Le Puy - Paris
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Wolfgang Cramer @cramer-bondeau.fr · 07/10/2025
no further explanation needed
Foldable bicycle near the beach of the Baltic, Warnemünde, Germany
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Wolfgang Cramer @cramer-bondeau.fr · 24/09/2025
While we must all be concerned about the "Critically insufficient" rating of one country - we should not forget that the EU is currently rated, by the meticulous analysis of @climateactiontracker.org , as "insufficient" as well. Both policies and attitudes must change here as well.
screenshot from https://climateactiontracker.org/countries/eu/ on Sep 24, 2025
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Wolfgang Cramer @cramer-bondeau.fr · 01/09/2025
I think you completely misunderstand, Jon. SNCF is very friendly - just look at the e-mail I received here. They clearly want to resolve the real problems of my travel experience.
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Wolfgang Cramer @cramer-bondeau.fr · 30/08/2025
Récit en BD d'un projet contesté, qui séduit les industriels du fossile : répandre du soufre dans la stratosphère pour faire baisser la température. l.revue21.fr/9G Auteurs: @ysciama.bsky.social et Alban Marilleau
Page du BD "Les rêves fous d'un apprenti sorcier du climat"
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Wolfgang Cramer @cramer-bondeau.fr · 22/08/2025
Not that I was surprised to see the poor state of one of Germany's last glaciers today - but I did not know they were offering guided tours to it.
Schneeferner glacier, Zugspitze, Germany, Aug 22, 2025Sign inviting guided walks to a dying glacier on the Zugspitze
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Wolfgang Cramer @cramer-bondeau.fr · 22/07/2025
Loi Duplomb : Clarification des faits scientifiques, parfaitement accessible à tout ceux qui souhaite savoir, par Philippe Grandcolas (CNRS) et Pierre-Michel Perinaud sur FranceInter : www.radiofrance.fr/franceinter/...
screenshot de la page web de France Inter
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Wolfgang Cramer @cramer-bondeau.fr · 17/07/2025
Ceci est une pétition d'une importance exceptionnelle pour la santé publique, l'environnement et même la démocratie. Je vous invite tous à la signer : "Non à la Loi Duplomb — Pour la santé, la sécurité, l’intelligence collective" >118000 dèjà petitions.assemblee-nationale.fr/initiatives/...
logo du site des petitions
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Wolfgang Cramer @cramer-bondeau.fr · 11/07/2025
Some ecosystems face higher immediate risks from current warming than others, including virtually all coastal ecosystems, but also seagrass meadows, seaweeds and fish. 4/n
Risk assessment diagrams for open marine and coastal ecosystems in relation to observed and projected climate impacts on ecosystem structure, functioning and biodiversity. N is the total number of studies compiled, and n is the total number of studies taken into consideration in the bar.
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Wolfgang Cramer @cramer-bondeau.fr · 11/07/2025
Despite all efforts, there is an unavoidable bias in any such assessment, due to insufficient resources for monitoring and risk assessment in the South and East of the Med. Basin. 3/n
The geographic locations of the studies taken into consideration in the risk assessment (by country of the first author) and their study sites.
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Wolfgang Cramer @cramer-bondeau.fr · 11/07/2025
Our paper aims to cover all major coastal and open marine ecosystems in the Mediterranean Basin, as well as all major drivers of change. 2/n
Schematic illustration of (i) the different open marine and coastal ecosystems for which we assessed risk levels, and (ii) the main drivers taken into consideration in this assessment.
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Wolfgang Cramer @cramer-bondeau.fr · 11/07/2025
Just out: "Climate change risks on key open marine and coastal mediterranean ecosystems" rdcu.be/evGGx @jpgattuso.bsky.social www.medecc.org 1/n
title, authors and abstract of the paper

Climate change risks on key open marine and coastal mediterranean
ecosystems

Abed El Rahman Hassoun1, Meryem Mojtahid, Mohammad Merheb, Piero Lionello, Jean-Pierre Gattuso & Wolfgang Cramer
Mediterranean open marine and coastal ecosystems face multiple risks that impact their unique biodiversity, with climate change representing a major ongoing threat. While these ecosystems are also under pressure from non-climatic anthropogenic drivers (e.g., overfishing, pollution), this study primarily focuses on risks related to climate change. To assess these risks and evaluate their confidence levels, we adopt the scenario-based approach of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
Change (IPCC), relying on a review of literature projecting changes in Mediterranean Sea ecosystems.
The main drivers of environmental change are sea level rise, ocean warming and acidification. Similar to global conditions, all Mediterranean ecosystems face high risks under all climate scenarios, with coastal ecosystems being more strongly impacted than open marine ecosystems. For these coastal ecosystems, risk levels are expected to become very high already once global warming exceeds 0.8 °C with respect to the 1976–2005 period. A few Mediterranean ecosystems (e.g., coralligenous and rocky coasts) are relatively more resilient compared to others, probably because of their long evolutionary history and the presence of a variety of climatic and hydrological conditions. However, high-emission scenarios in specific sub-basins, in addition to acidification impacts, could reduce this resilience, decreasing both habitat extent and ecosystem function dramatically. Overall, due to the higher observed and projected rates of climate change in the Mediterranean, compared to global trends, for
variables such as seawater temperature and pH, marine ecosystems (particularly coastal) are projected to be under higher risks compared to the global ocean.
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Wolfgang Cramer @cramer-bondeau.fr · 11/07/2025
Yes, Roger, but the near-term risk is everywhere:
Figure from Technical Summary of IPCC AR6 WG2 showing human vulnerability around the globe
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Wolfgang Cramer @cramer-bondeau.fr · 29/06/2025
Même pas une goutte de pluie ici depuis trois semaines, et ça ne semble pas près de changer. www.romma.fr/station_clim... Mais le gouvernement est surtout préoccupé par l'accès illimité aux pesticides cancérigènes.
screenshot from romma website
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Wolfgang Cramer @cramer-bondeau.fr · 20/06/2025
En une image, l'engagement du gouvernement français à réduire les risques liés au changement climatique :
Amendement du gouvernement francais pour abandonner l'objectif de reduction claire et nette des emissions de GES
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Wolfgang Cramer @cramer-bondeau.fr · 05/06/2025
For interest of the train-bicycle bubble on bsky, here is my account of a recent trip to Germany, focusing on the complexity of travelling with your bicycle in trains mastoreader.io?url=https%3A...
bicycle in front of a TER train in the Drôme valley, France
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Wolfgang Cramer @cramer-bondeau.fr · 28/05/2025
"10 Questions with Professor Iain Colin Prentice" - as this is a moment where I look back at some things in my life, I came across this interview with my main mentor. I think it's worth to be read by aspiring scientists of today. research.reading.ac.uk/lemontree/10...
Colin Prentice on a field trip to Greece
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Wolfgang Cramer @cramer-bondeau.fr · 01/05/2025
I don't know why, but simply receiving this very kind e-mail made me feel so much younger today.
screenshot from e-mail invitation Cosmetology Aging and Rejuvenation World Conference 2025
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Wolfgang Cramer @cramer-bondeau.fr · 28/04/2025
I am not a trainspotter, but here I was at the right time in the right place, with my bicycle, our train (Valence-Briançon) and that sky.
TER train near Solaure, Diois, France
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Wolfgang Cramer @cramer-bondeau.fr · 27/04/2025
The clouds were somewhat threatening this afternoon, but it was a nice ride (the scar from the 2022 Romeyer wildfire well visible).
Route de Chamaloc, near RomeyerRomeyer, Glandasse in the clouds
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Wolfgang Cramer @cramer-bondeau.fr · 21/04/2025
(one more quote) "The Gospel presents Joseph as a just man, hard-working and strong. But he also shows great tenderness, which is not a mark of the weak but of those who are genuinely strong, fully aware of reality and ready to love and serve in humility." (Pope Francois, Laudato Si')
242. At her side in the Holy Family of Nazareth, stands the figure of Saint Joseph. Through his work and generous presence, he cared for and defended Mary and Jesus, delivering them from the violence of the unjust by bringing them to Egypt. The Gospel presents Joseph as a just man, hard-working and strong. But he also shows great tenderness, which is not a mark of the weak but of those who are genuinely strong, fully aware of reality and ready to love and serve in humility. That is why he was proclaimed custodian of the universal Church. He too can teach us how to show care; he can inspire us to work with generosity and tenderness in protecting this world which God has entrusted to us.
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Wolfgang Cramer @cramer-bondeau.fr · 21/04/2025
If you want to know why US government members at the highest level now engage all resources into the annihilation of Pope Francis' work, no need to read further than the second paragraph of Laudato Si' - www.vatican.va/content/fran...
2. This sister [Mother Earth] now cries out to us because of the harm we have inflicted on her by our irresponsible use and abuse of the goods with which God has endowed her. We have come to see ourselves as her lords and masters, entitled to plunder her at will. The violence present in our hearts, wounded by sin, is also reflected in the symptoms of sickness evident in the soil, in the water, in the air and in all forms of life. This is why the earth herself, burdened and laid waste, is among the most abandoned and maltreated of our poor; she “groans in travail” (Rom 8:22). We have forgotten that we ourselves are dust of the earth (cf. Gen 2:7); our very bodies are made up of her elements, we breathe her air and we receive life and refreshment from her waters.
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Wolfgang Cramer @cramer-bondeau.fr · 13/04/2025
So far this year, global daily average temperatures have only scratched last year's levels but were certainly well above the 2023 records. pulse.climate.copernicus.eu
screenshot from https://pulse.climate.copernicus.eu/
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Wolfgang Cramer @cramer-bondeau.fr · 13/04/2025
Parfois, il est nécessaire de revenir sur les observations du réchauffement climatique. Lyon avait une température moyenne d'environ 8,5°C. Elle a dépassé 10°C depuis un certain temps, continue de grimper et ne reviendra pas en arrière pendant la vie de mes enfants. berkeleyearth.org/temperature-...
Temperature observations in Lyon, France
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Wolfgang Cramer @cramer-bondeau.fr · 13/04/2025
Aujourd'hui, très exceptionnellement, la publicité : pour les excellents fours solaires que mon ami Alain Paret fabrique dans la Drôme. alainparetebeniste.wixsite.com/fours-solaires #TransitionEcologique
Exposition des fours solaires à Die, 12 Avril 2025
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Wolfgang Cramer @cramer-bondeau.fr · 25/03/2025
F(r)iction du réel : Les cellules buissonnières Mediatheque de Die, 11 avril, 18:00 Conférence de Lise Barnéoud, journaliste scientifique, illustrée par Gaëtan Dorémus static.diois-tourisme.com/fiches/frict...
Affiche pour la conference
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