iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Niko @wniko.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

I guess MSFT could be a candidate too

Niko @wniko.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

Amazon corporate/engineering & Meta? Two companies who would lean heavily into agentic coding but don't have a frontier-ish model themselves

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Niko @wniko.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

Easy, just upgrade your whole logistics workflows to not require clipboards Did someone say blockchain I think I heard someone say blockchain

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Niko @wniko.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

"most newly found vulnerabilities are similar to existing ones but it takes a long time to adjust the patterns of the existing ones to new software" (but agents don't get tired/frustrated) ..."find a secret stored in a remote server" is a known pattern (CTF games)"

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Niko @wniko.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

I don't think a complete elimination of the anthromorphising language makes sense, but I think it can be reasonably suppressed when explicitly framed as "[pattern matching] software doing [pattern matching things] based on [explicitly learned patterns]"

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Niko @wniko.bsky.social · 23/09/2026

Runza sandwiches, Nebraska + immediate vicinity. Sorry, but they are very good.

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Niko @wniko.bsky.social · 23/09/2026

just like the human brain!

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Niko @wniko.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

I guess it's a bit of a technicality given that the GPUs are presumably paid for & on the books, but - are these actually physically warehoused by Microsoft & co, or are these future production/delivery contracts?

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Niko @wniko.bsky.social · 19/09/2026

"disaster" is a bit of a stretch? If OAI& co keep discovering new emergent behavior (huggingface), I don't think we can expect the general public to understand where exactly the models pull data from

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Niko @wniko.bsky.social · 17/09/2026

There were 2 zero days in the first Artifactory sandbox escape, and the agents found another zero day after OpenAI discovered & patched the first round. Without 0days, config was fine / not negligent?Prior to the incident, "agents find 0days in non-target systems" would have been an odd assumption.

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Niko @wniko.bsky.social · 17/09/2026

The improvised message board, the 'self sacrifice' to help other agents, the beginning of attempts to hide their chain of thoughts (all from the METR report), the hijacked wiki - all of these were not prompted, entirely unpredictable, and any comparison to metasploit/fuzzing seems inappropriate

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Niko @wniko.bsky.social · 17/09/2026

> bad context from other models But that's not really what happened here, right? The models fed themselves *good* context - helpful towards achieving their objective - and collaborated, both within and outside of their system prompt spec.

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Niko @wniko.bsky.social · 16/09/2026

No fuzzer or metasploit have ever executed, without human oversight/interactions, attacks of the length & complexity demonstrated in the HF & related incidents. Wether it's in the corpus or harness is an implementation detail, it's the outcome that's worrying.

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Niko @wniko.bsky.social · 06/08/2026

but but orbital datacenters!

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Niko @wniko.bsky.social · 06/08/2026

Though you gotta wonder how hard it would have been to feed grok a Live-Stream of Wikipedia edits as ~trustworthy updates, to at least prevent Grokipedia from becoming stale & thus breaking user's trust

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Niko @wniko.bsky.social · 06/08/2026

Only "13 power users" that do most of the human edits and just a handful of sites that actually get traffic (Musk, Obama) would probably explain the lack of investment?

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Niko @wniko.bsky.social · 30/05/2026

My Amazon packages end up at my neighbor's all the time, too

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Niko @wniko.bsky.social · 30/05/2026

Finally, someone is disrupting Amazon Same Day Delivery

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Niko @wniko.bsky.social · 25/04/2026

I believe the $4.80 is per chip, so it would be 1/8th that.

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Niko @wniko.bsky.social · 15/04/2026

What are you doing about it

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Niko @wniko.bsky.social · 09/04/2026

I'm not sure how you get to > It also didn’t actually escape anything as the model was running on a different system. The SuT is a remote system that the model connected/ssh'd into, and it broke out of that...? seems like good practice to separate, given SuT intentionally had vulns.

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Niko @wniko.bsky.social · 01/04/2026

I'd assume it wouldn't be the dev but rather the CI/CD pipeline. Possibly with the intent of having the full, unminified/commented source code available at the exact state when built, to aid with production issues?

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Niko @wniko.bsky.social · 01/04/2026

Misconfigured IAM Policy in S3 is near the top of every list of "most common S3 problems". Embarrassing, yes, but can absolutely happen by accident?

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Niko @wniko.bsky.social · 29/03/2026

Steering wheels and padels will be an optional safety upgrade

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Niko @wniko.bsky.social · 21/03/2026

I don't think we are (or will ever) see the 10x productivity gains promised, but 5-10% seems plausible for the November models already, so 3x, 5x+ price hike could still work for agentic coding? I don't think ~"companies wouldn't be willing to pay the true cost" is that certain!

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Niko @wniko.bsky.social · 21/03/2026

Napkin math, a senior SWE roughly costs the employer ~$1000/day (incl. benefits & overhead). The $200/month "Pro" subscrpition equals $10/work-day, so the break-even point for the coding models is at a 1% productivity increase.

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Niko @wniko.bsky.social · 21/03/2026

But the 10b also include training - i.e. R&D, which would normally become a smaller total fraction of the cost once a company matures, right? And then there's presumably also efficiency gains w/ better models, chip architecture, purpose-built DCs to drive costs down.

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Niko @wniko.bsky.social · 20/03/2026

One thing I am slightly confused about is that, early on, you mention that Anthropic spends 10b in compute to make 5b. That's a 2x factor. 2x doesn't seem like a completely impossible price increase for a subscription?

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Niko @wniko.bsky.social · 16/02/2026

Meanwhile, Waymos driving around everywhere in here Houston now, seems they are close to a launch. Actually quite excited about that one.

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Niko @wniko.bsky.social · 10/02/2026

Maybe the internal projections were even worse, and he managed to limit the decline to only 40%? :D

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Niko @wniko.bsky.social · 10/02/2026

I don't think that's entirely his fault though, the aging lineup and tweets of the CEO aren't exactly his fault. Even Jordan Belfort couldn't sell a Tesla in Europe these days.

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Niko @wniko.bsky.social · 12/01/2026

It looks like the memecoin was created by a previous owner who hasn't been involved with r/buttcoin for a decade. Who still held Twittter's @buttcoin and buttcoinfoundation.org. The r/buttcoin mods don't seem to particularly care wether that person got hacked or actually started a meme coin.

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Niko @wniko.bsky.social · 10/01/2026

I vaguely remember Elon's first actions as CEO included canceling practically all vendor contracts ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

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Niko @wniko.bsky.social · 03/01/2026

> “The car is to Tesla what the book was to Amazon,” Adam Jonas, an analyst with Morgan Stanley, said this summer. “Tesla used cars as a laboratory to get good at other things.” I tend to give people the benefit of a doubt, esp. when it comes to single quotes w/ little context, but what the f

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Niko @wniko.bsky.social · 03/01/2026

Also, for anyone smart enough to care, there is an implied "Elon and xAI refuse to accept responsibility" here, in the space of just 4 letters.

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Niko @wniko.bsky.social · 16/12/2025

I got an email "resubscribe to starlink before Dec 24th and get a full month free", so they are at least somewhat concerned about the sub numbers...

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Niko @wniko.bsky.social · 16/12/2025

Ugh did I miss waterbeds? How were they

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Niko @wniko.bsky.social · 15/12/2025

I vaguely remember ecosia advertising themselves as a "green alternative" to Google, at a time where G was running on 100% renewables; yet they sourced search results from Bing which was running on fossil. Ecosia has always been a bit off.

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Niko @wniko.bsky.social · 15/12/2025

Two now. He said "three weeks" one week ago.

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Niko @wniko.bsky.social · 13/12/2025

Robots! Taxis! Pickleball! Anything but their core business model

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Niko @wniko.bsky.social · 13/12/2025

> It was a true engineering collaboration" [...] "Tesla's design group and our R&D team spent more than a year trading data, refining geometry, and stress-testing prototypes." I'm sure investors are happy that this is what the R&D + Design team are putting resources in

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Niko @wniko.bsky.social · 12/12/2025

If fewer people are building cars within Tesla, then more people can focus on building Optimus or self driving chips. That's where the real money is! This is great! (/s)

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Niko @wniko.bsky.social · 11/12/2025

TBC not saying this is a good idea, I don't think it is, I was just curious what kind of arguments the bullish people are hanging on to.

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Niko @wniko.bsky.social · 11/12/2025

(although we'd still be talking about absolutely giant, heavy radiators of course, that you'd need to lift) Radiation shielding is anoter thing that doesn't seem to be that required anymore, apparently the ISS runs off-the-shelf HP servers these days.

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