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War on the Rocks

@warontherocks.bsky.social
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Experience. Conflict. Commentary. Join our community: warontherocks.com/membership

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War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 8h
Don’t just keep up. Get ahead. Become a War on the Rocks member and join thousands of professionals who already have. warontherocks.com/membership/
warontherocks.com
Membership
War On The Rocks Platinum An All-Access Pass to War on the Rocks What Our Members Are Saying “I’ve been a member since 2016. War on the Rocks is a melting
000
War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 8h
Human-in-the-loop poses risks, as the human may stop properly checking. But targeting systems themselves can be built to keep commanders asking hard questions. warontherocks.com/2026/10/the-...
warontherocks.com
The AI-Assisted Strategic Own Goal in the Kill Chain
For eighty years, the Western alliance has anchored its strength in moral legitimacy, shared values, and the resulting credibility to shape international
031
War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 9h
Iran spent decades building missiles under sanctions. Now it needs far more from abroad, far faster, including items on export control lists. warontherocks.com/iran-faces-s...
warontherocks.com
Iran Faces Severe Challenges to Rebuild Missile and Drone Production
With the significant Israeli and U.S. military attacks against Iran in 2025 and early 2026, analysts have discussed and debated Iran’s ability to
031
War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 10h
With high first-year attrition and hulls behind schedule, the big shipyards would rather pay for a welder someone else trained. So who trains the new ones? warontherocks.com/2026/10/cogs...
warontherocks.com
The Navy's Missing Welders Are Stocking Shelves
The U.S. Navy's May 2026 shipbuilding plan, signed by Acting Secretary of the Navy Hung Cao, uses the word “innovative” eight times. The plan applies that
022
War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 11h
Everyone worries about ChatGPT and Claude when it comes to bio-risk. The AI tools actually powering virus engineering are specialized models most people have never heard of. warontherocks.com/how-to-defen...
warontherocks.com
How to Defend Against AI-Designed Viruses
Anthropic recently disclosed five cases in which users hid their countries while asking Claude for help enhancing pathogens or toxins. This added fuel to
021
War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 11h
Eritrea once fought alongside Ethiopia against the Tigray People's Liberation Front. Now it appears to be supporting the group. What changed? (Members Only) Listen here: warontherocks.com/episode/warc...
020
War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 12h
Get exclusive insights from Michael Kofman on The Russia Contingency, Ankit Panda on Thinking the Unthinkable, and Afshon Ostovar on The Iran Reckoning: only for War on the Rocks members. Join today. warontherocks.com/membership/
warontherocks.com
Membership
War On The Rocks Platinum An All-Access Pass to War on the Rocks What Our Members Are Saying “I’ve been a member since 2016. War on the Rocks is a melting
000
War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 13h
During World War I, the answer to the machine gun was more artillery. . Today the answer to drones is more drones to clear a path for armor. warontherocks.com/achieving-br...
warontherocks.com
Achieving Breakthrough: Maneuver Warfare in the Face of Robotic Mass
In 1914, European armies entered a war with forces designed to move. Within months, they were digging themselves into the earth. Ffires from newly
031
War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 13h
If you’re working where defense meets innovation, @Cogs0fWar is for you. Follow our dedicated vertical on defense technology and industrial base issues for cutting-edge analysis. warontherocks.com/category/ver...
warontherocks.com
Cogs of War
Our dedicated vertical on defense tech & industry, brought to you by an epic partnership between War on the Rocks & Booz Allen Hamilton. National security is inextricably linked to technological prowess, talent, and industrial capacity. We aim to leverage deep expertise and thought leadership to foster the most substantive, impactful conversation possible.
010
War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 14h
The Army's best digital fires chains have come from heavily supported experiments. How can brigades heading into combat get that kind of help? warontherocks.com/the-last-mil...
warontherocks.com
The Last Mile of Pentagon Reform Runs Through the Brigade
A kill chain measured in seconds cannot depend on processes measured in weeks or months. The Pentagon recognizes that drone proliferation and AI-enabled
021
War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 14h
Triumphal arches have always told a story. Who's the hero and who's the enemy in this one? warontherocks.com/fornication-...
warontherocks.com
Fornication in America: Trump’s Arch, Rome’s Emperors, and the Meaning of Victory
In 79 A.D., Gaius Plinius Secundus, known today as Pliny the Elder, was the supreme commander of the Roman imperial fleet, permanently stationed at
021
War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 15h
Readers trust War on the Rocks because our authors know the subject firsthand. Bring your expertise to the conversation. warontherocks.com/submissions/
warontherocks.com
Editorial Guidelines for Pitching and Submitting
Want to write for War on the Rocks? Start here.
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War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 15h
Iran’s Hormuz offer loses value as ships get through, Beijing confronts questions about Xi’s health, North Korea launches a hypersonic as Xi visits Washington, and a cockpit attack revives jihadist fears not seen since 9/11. (Members Only) warontherocks.com/shows-of-str...
warontherocks.com
Shows of Strength and Signs of Strain
Welcome to The Adversarial. Every other week, we’ll provide you with expert analysis on America’s greatest challengers: China, Russia, Iran, North Korea,
021
War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 16h
The Air Force doesn’t decide when to fly into a hurricane. That call comes through a liaison office at the National Hurricane Center most people have never heard of. (Members Only) Listen here: warontherocks.com/episode/airm...
warontherocks.com
Flying With the Hurricane Hunters: Part 1
Patrick talks with two veterans of the Air Force's 53rd Weather Reconnaissance Squadron, better known as the Hurricane Hunters. Jon Talbot spent 27 years as...
001
War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 17h
Washington wants to squeeze Iran and is frustrated with Russia over Ukraine. Going after A7 under Iran and criminal authorities may be a way to do both without saying so. (Members Only) Listen here: warontherocks.com/episode/warc...
010
War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 17h
Your insider access to world-class national security content. Premium experience starts with War on the Rocks. warontherocks.com/membership/
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Membership
War On The Rocks Platinum An All-Access Pass to War on the Rocks What Our Members Are Saying “I’ve been a member since 2016. War on the Rocks is a melting
010
War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 18h
The idea that Tours was a clash of civilizations emerged centuries later, when Crusade-era writers needed a backstory for holy war. (Members Only) Listen here: warontherocks.com/episode/the-...
010
War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 19h
Everyone wants to know when the Iran war ends. That question assumes there's a switch somewhere that turns it off. (Members Only) Listen here: warontherocks.com/episode/the-...
101
War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 20h
New today for WOTR members: The Arab Gulf States Have Some Problems Targeting Russia to Squeeze Iran Flying With the Hurricane Hunters: Part 1 warontherocks.com/category/mem...
warontherocks.com
Members Archives
Join War on the Rocks and gain access to content trusted by policymakers, military leaders, and strategic thinkers worldwide.
011
War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 20h
Builders, policymakers, investors, and operators: this is your arena. Follow @Cogs0fWar to join the conversation on the future of defense innovation. warontherocks.com/cogs-of-war-...
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Cogs of War Newsletter Sign-Up
010
War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 20h
The Pentagon has spent years trying to speed up the kill chain. The brigades doing the fighting continue to wait on someone else for the money, approvals, and engineers to connect it all. warontherocks.com/the-last-mil...
warontherocks.com
The Last Mile of Pentagon Reform Runs Through the Brigade
A kill chain measured in seconds cannot depend on processes measured in weeks or months. The Pentagon recognizes that drone proliferation and AI-enabled
010
War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 21h
The closest the United States ever came to a real triumphal arch was in 1899. It was temporary. Plans to make it permanent went nowhere. warontherocks.com/fornication-...
warontherocks.com
Fornication in America: Trump’s Arch, Rome’s Emperors, and the Meaning of Victory
In 79 A.D., Gaius Plinius Secundus, known today as Pliny the Elder, was the supreme commander of the Roman imperial fleet, permanently stationed at
063
War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 22h
Today in War on the Rocks: Fornication in America: Trump’s Arch, Rome’s Emperors, and the Meaning of Victory The Last Mile of Pentagon Reform Runs Through the Brigade warontherocks.com/
warontherocks.com
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War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 23h
War on the Rocks membership gives you premium podcasts, newsletters, and analysis you won’t find anywhere else. Join today. warontherocks.com/membership/
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Membership
War On The Rocks Platinum An All-Access Pass to War on the Rocks What Our Members Are Saying “I’ve been a member since 2016. War on the Rocks is a melting
000
War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 23h
They were called the Donut Dollies. The donuts were a World War II thing. By Vietnam, the job was flying into firebases to run morale programs for troops who had nothing. (Members Only) Listen here: warontherocks.com/episode/unsp...
041
War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
Stay sharp. Stay informed. War on the Rocks delivers the insights serious professionals rely on. Join now. warontherocks.com/membership/
warontherocks.com
Membership
War On The Rocks Platinum An All-Access Pass to War on the Rocks What Our Members Are Saying “I’ve been a member since 2016. War on the Rocks is a melting
010
War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
Drones have made ground maneuvers deadly. Reviving it may take a different kind of maneuver force. warontherocks.com/achieving-br...
warontherocks.com
Achieving Breakthrough: Maneuver Warfare in the Face of Robotic Mass
In 1914, European armies entered a war with forces designed to move. Within months, they were digging themselves into the earth. Ffires from newly
041
War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
Drones, defense AI, demining robots. Ukrainian commentators bet a country that sells things is harder to abandon than one that gets aid. (Members Only) warontherocks.com/certainty-is...
warontherocks.com
Certainty is a Luxury Ukrainians Must Create
Welcome to The Ukraine Compass, a weekly digest of Ukrainian commentary and analysis from across the political spectrum only for War on the Rocks members.
130
War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
Electronics assembly moves into a tunnel easily. Solid rocket motor production does not. Iran's missile program may need to put it there regardless. warontherocks.com/iran-faces-s...
warontherocks.com
Iran Faces Severe Challenges to Rebuild Missile and Drone Production
With the significant Israeli and U.S. military attacks against Iran in 2025 and early 2026, analysts have discussed and debated Iran’s ability to
020
War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
A fractured movement can't control its own escalation. That's what makes a new intifada more dangerous. (Members Only) warontherocks.com/2026/10/kind...
warontherocks.com
Kindling, Catalyst, and Containment: Will the West Bank Ignite?
As violence by Israeli settlers against Palestinians in the West Bank has escalated, often with the acquiescence or support of Israel’s military, and the
010
War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
Shipyard pay is finally competitive. Getting there still means months of training without a paycheck, which most low-wage workers can't afford. warontherocks.com/2026/10/cogs...
warontherocks.com
The Navy's Missing Welders Are Stocking Shelves
The U.S. Navy's May 2026 shipbuilding plan, signed by Acting Secretary of the Navy Hung Cao, uses the word “innovative” eight times. The plan applies that
020
War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
The main U.S. legal tool against dangerous pathogens is the Select Agent list. It only covers known threats. AI-modified viruses won’t necessarily be on it. warontherocks.com/how-to-defen...
warontherocks.com
How to Defend Against AI-Designed Viruses
Anthropic recently disclosed five cases in which users hid their countries while asking Claude for help enhancing pathogens or toxins. This added fuel to
130
War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
Military doctrine tells you what to do with an unlawful order. It goes silent when the order is lawful but the damage is to the constitutional system the military serves. warontherocks.com/the-discipli...
warontherocks.com
The Discipline of Refusal: Constitutional Concerns About Lawful Orders in the U.S. Military
Military doctrine gives officers a clear rule for manifestly unlawful orders: Refuse them. It offers no comparable rule when lawful action appears to
030
War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
AI is often compared to nuclear weapons. Does the analogy help us understand AI, or is it pushing policy in the wrong direction? warontherocks.com/2026/09/the-...
warontherocks.com
The Manhattan Project Mindset: How Nuclear Analogies Are Steering AI Policy Off Course
Analogies for artificial intelligence abound. In recent years, analysts have likened the development of AI to the advent of electricity, the Industrial
033
War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
Two decades ago, the Army designed fourteen systems that only had value as a complete set. Its eventual cancellation is a useful lesson for today's biggest acquisition bets. warontherocks.com/the-unhedgea...
warontherocks.com
The Unhedgeable Bet: What the Future Combat Systems Can Teach Us About Acquisition
The Pentagon describes Golden Dome for America as a “system of systems,” an integrated air and missile defense architecture that combines space-based
031
War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
Don’t just keep up. Get ahead. Become a War on the Rocks member and join thousands of professionals who already have. warontherocks.com/membership/
warontherocks.com
Membership
War On The Rocks Platinum An All-Access Pass to War on the Rocks What Our Members Are Saying “I’ve been a member since 2016. War on the Rocks is a melting
020
War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
American military power has long depended on being able to fly almost anywhere. Since 2022, the map of usable sky has been shrinking. warontherocks.com/how-closed-a...
warontherocks.com
How Closed Airspace Threatens U.S. Military Mobility Across Eurasia
For much of the modern aviation era, geography was something the global aviation industry learned to overcome. Simply put, unlike a railway, a pipeline,
040
War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
Human-in-the-loop poses risks, as the human may stop properly checking. But targeting systems themselves can be built to keep commanders asking hard questions. warontherocks.com/2026/10/the-...
warontherocks.com
The AI-Assisted Strategic Own Goal in the Kill Chain
For eighty years, the Western alliance has anchored its strength in moral legitimacy, shared values, and the resulting credibility to shape international
030
War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
“Losing the China Aerospace Studies Institute will mean losing foundational knowledge of America’s most dangerous adversary at a time when we can ill afford a lack of understanding.” warontherocks.com/2026/10/chin...
warontherocks.com
China is Watching Us. Is the U.S. Air Force Still Watching China?
On Oct. 1, 2026, Beijing celebrated the 77th anniversary of the founding of the People’s Republic of China and the beginning of the end for the U.S. Air
0112
War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
When a unit comes home from deployment, protections kick in. When a cyber operator finishes a months-long surge, nothing does. warontherocks.com/cyber-operat...
warontherocks.com
Cyber Operators Are Deployed in Place. The Pentagon Should Treat Them That Way
A cyber operator can spend a shift tracking an adversary halfway around the world, walk to the parking lot, and be home in time for dinner. There is no
040
War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 09/10/2026
Iran spent decades building missiles under sanctions. Now it needs far more from abroad, far faster, including items on export control lists. warontherocks.com/iran-faces-s...
warontherocks.com
Iran Faces Severe Challenges to Rebuild Missile and Drone Production
With the significant Israeli and U.S. military attacks against Iran in 2025 and early 2026, analysts have discussed and debated Iran’s ability to
042
War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
Get exclusive insights from Michael Kofman on The Russia Contingency, Ankit Panda on Thinking the Unthinkable, and Afshon Ostovar on The Iran Reckoning: only for War on the Rocks members. Join today. warontherocks.com/membership/
warontherocks.com
Membership
War On The Rocks Platinum An All-Access Pass to War on the Rocks What Our Members Are Saying “I’ve been a member since 2016. War on the Rocks is a melting
031
War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
With high first-year attrition and hulls behind schedule, the big shipyards would rather pay for a welder someone else trained. So who trains the new ones? warontherocks.com/2026/10/cogs...
warontherocks.com
The Navy's Missing Welders Are Stocking Shelves
The U.S. Navy's May 2026 shipbuilding plan, signed by Acting Secretary of the Navy Hung Cao, uses the word “innovative” eight times. The plan applies that
020
War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
If you’re working where defense meets innovation, @Cogs0fWar is for you. Follow our dedicated vertical on defense technology and industrial base issues for cutting-edge analysis. warontherocks.com/category/ver...
warontherocks.com
Cogs of War
Our dedicated vertical on defense tech & industry, brought to you by an epic partnership between War on the Rocks & Booz Allen Hamilton. National security is inextricably linked to technological prowess, talent, and industrial capacity. We aim to leverage deep expertise and thought leadership to foster the most substantive, impactful conversation possible.
010
War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
Everyone worries about ChatGPT and Claude when it comes to bio-risk. The AI tools actually powering virus engineering are specialized models most people have never heard of. warontherocks.com/how-to-defen...
warontherocks.com
How to Defend Against AI-Designed Viruses
Anthropic recently disclosed five cases in which users hid their countries while asking Claude for help enhancing pathogens or toxins. This added fuel to
131
War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
Eritrea once fought alongside Ethiopia against the Tigray People's Liberation Front. Now it appears to be supporting the group. What changed? (Members Only) Listen here: warontherocks.com/episode/warc...
010
War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
Readers trust War on the Rocks because our authors know the subject firsthand. Bring your expertise to the conversation. warontherocks.com/submissions/
warontherocks.com
Editorial Guidelines for Pitching and Submitting
Want to write for War on the Rocks? Start here.
000
War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
During World War I, the answer to the machine gun was more artillery. Today, the answer to drones is more drones to clear a path for armor. warontherocks.com/achieving-br...
warontherocks.com
Achieving Breakthrough: Maneuver Warfare in the Face of Robotic Mass
In 1914, European armies entered a war with forces designed to move. Within months, they were digging themselves into the earth. Ffires from newly
0101
War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
A fractured movement can't control its own escalation. That's what makes a new intifada more dangerous. (Members Only) warontherocks.com/2026/10/kind...
warontherocks.com
Kindling, Catalyst, and Containment: Will the West Bank Ignite?
As violence by Israeli settlers against Palestinians in the West Bank has escalated, often with the acquiescence or support of Israel’s military, and the
010
War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 08/10/2026
We have rejected four articles just today for AI writing. Please write in your own (human) voice.
0232