iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Waldemar Ingdahl @waldemaringdahl.bsky.social · 08/10/2026

April could be the likely election window, as it would be late enough for pension eligibility, but early enough to limit Vannacci’s organisational build-up. Or could the timetable pull those incentives apart?

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Waldemar Ingdahl @waldemaringdahl.bsky.social · 08/10/2026

Nu finns @futures-studies.bsky.social Verksamhetsrapport 2025. Jag medverkar i en intervju och har gjort två forskarintervjuer – om forskning, forskningskommunikation och hur kunskap blir användbar för samhälle och beslutsfattare. www.iffs.se/publikatione...

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Waldemar Ingdahl @waldemaringdahl.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

Jag ska be att få sjunga en komposition utav mig själv som jag brukar sjunga på Metropolittan i Nev York. 🇸🇪 youtu.be/Eraq2Tbc-s4?...

youtu.be

Pensionat Paradiset (1937) - klipp ur filmen (720p)

YouTube video by NjutafilmsStudioS

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Waldemar Ingdahl @waldemaringdahl.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

Con el permiso de la distinguida concurrencia, voy a cantarles una composición de mi propia inspiración, que suelo interpretar en el Metropolitan de Nueva York. 🇲🇽 suno.com/s/nQaPCOynta...

suno.com

Un mexicano de verdad

Listen and make your own on Suno.

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Waldemar Ingdahl @waldemaringdahl.bsky.social · 05/10/2026

Lower transaction costs can decentralise activity at one layer, while network effects and economies of scale concentrate control at another. What I underestimated in 2015 was that removing an intermediary may simply shift intermediation to another layer.

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Waldemar Ingdahl @waldemaringdahl.bsky.social · 05/10/2026

So perhaps the puzzle isn't whether technology decentralises. It is why decentralisation occurs at one layer while control concentrates at another. What determines which way it goes?

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Waldemar Ingdahl @waldemaringdahl.bsky.social · 05/10/2026

The weaker prediction was about intermediaries. I expected software, cooperatives and federations to replace corporations in many intermediary roles. Instead, capabilities spread while platforms, cloud and compute created powerful new intermediaries.

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Waldemar Ingdahl @waldemaringdahl.bsky.social · 05/10/2026

At Anticipating 2040, I explored 3D printing, blockchain and AI — and saw both distributed production and AI-run “mega-factories” as possible futures. medium.com/@waldemaring...

medium.com

The force of the many: The future of Blockchain, 3D printing and other decentralized technologies

How can we use “the force of the many” in the best way?

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Waldemar Ingdahl @waldemaringdahl.bsky.social · 05/10/2026

The institutional starting point was market anarchism: markets need not mean capitalism, and production need not take today's corporate forms. The question was what other forms technological change might make viable. transpolitica.org/tag/market-a...

transpolitica.org

Market anarchism – Transpolitica

Posts about Market anarchism written by David Wood

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Waldemar Ingdahl @waldemaringdahl.bsky.social · 05/10/2026

Why did technologies that distributed productive capabilities so widely fail to distribute control to the same extent? I’ve been revisiting two arguments I made about decentralisation in 2015. Eleven years later, the gap between capability and control looks much more interesting.

Editorial illustration of Audrey Tang, Glen Weyl, Cory Doctorow, Kevin Carson, Vitalik Buterin and Vili Lehdonvirta above a networked landscape contrasting distributed communities with concentrated digital infrastructure. The image represents decentralisation, platform governance, protocol design, digital commons and concentrated technological power.

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Waldemar Ingdahl @waldemaringdahl.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

Billigt engagemang ber läsaren visa vem den är. Dyrt engagemang ber läsaren visa vad den kan bedöma

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Waldemar Ingdahl @waldemaringdahl.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

Exactly. Proximity can be evidence of ecosystem conditions: talent, infrastructure, and capital. But it isn't the ecosystem itself. That distinction is what I was getting at.

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Waldemar Ingdahl @waldemaringdahl.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

Isn't the interesting part of “Pentagon influencer” precisely the institutional role? If Schlichter was serving as an HQE and participating in the Senior Service College Task Force, where is the boundary between influencer, outside adviser and government actor?

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Waldemar Ingdahl @waldemaringdahl.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

A map of AI companies is not the same thing as a map of an AI ecosystem. Proximity and valuation show concentration. Ecosystems depend on the links between capital, talent, research, infrastructure, customers and institutions.

Infographic comparing a geographic cluster of AI companies with a functioning AI ecosystem. The left panel shows concentrated AI companies on a city map; the right shows interconnected relationships between companies, capital, talent, research, compute, customers, suppliers and institutions.

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Waldemar Ingdahl @waldemaringdahl.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

Maybe this points to a distinction between defeating an organisation and defeating its political function? Parties can disappear while networks, constituencies and parts of their agenda migrate elsewhere.

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Waldemar Ingdahl @waldemaringdahl.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

Om regeringsalternativet kräver fyra partier är kanske problemet större än dåliga förberedelser. Man kan knappast börja lära sig samarbeta först när valet redan är vunnet.

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Waldemar Ingdahl @waldemaringdahl.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

Maybe the convergence is the more interesting point: multilateralism is not disappearing, but becoming more modular. The question is then less UN or no UN, and more which functions still require universal institutions, and which migrate to smaller coalitions.

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Waldemar Ingdahl @waldemaringdahl.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

Probably V. C has much deeper financial reserves for another campaign.

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Waldemar Ingdahl @waldemaringdahl.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

Perhaps the central bottleneck in AI policy isn't AI itself. It's governance capacity: the ability to understand, coordinate, procure, regulate and adapt across institutions as the technology diffuses.

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Waldemar Ingdahl @waldemaringdahl.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

The debate therefore shouldn't stop at regulation. The harder question is whether public institutions have the capacity to govern technologies that evolve faster than procurement cycles, legislation and organisational adaptation.

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Waldemar Ingdahl @waldemaringdahl.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

AI is making that dilemma more acute. By the time governments understand how AI reshapes labour markets, healthcare, education or defence, those systems may already depend on infrastructures they neither own nor control.

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Waldemar Ingdahl @waldemaringdahl.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

The Collingridge dilemma says that emerging technologies are easiest to steer when we understand them least—and hardest to steer once their impacts become clear.

Diagram illustrating the Collingridge dilemma. As a technology moves from ideation to widespread diffusion, predictability increases while the ability to control or shape its development decreases. The figure highlights the narrow window where governance interventions are most effective.

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Waldemar Ingdahl @waldemaringdahl.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

Your third point may be the more interesting one. If initiatives can set agendas, mobilise supporters and establish issue ownership, wins and losses tell us relatively little about political influence. Institutional effect and electoral outcome are not necessarily the same thing.

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Waldemar Ingdahl @waldemaringdahl.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

The interesting question isn’t whether collective media resistance can work. It clearly can when news organisations still control something scarce. The harder question is what they still control. Access and production matter. But distribution, visibility and, increasingly, synthesis sit elsewhere.

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Waldemar Ingdahl @waldemaringdahl.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

Ideologikonferensen är nästan den minst intressanta delen. Väljarna kunde rädda L nationellt samtidigt som partiet förlorade kraftigt lokalt. Lokala mandat är också organisatorisk kapacitet: partistöd, personal, kandidater och närvaro. Tappar man den kan nedgången bli självförstärkande.

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Waldemar Ingdahl @waldemaringdahl.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

The UN’s problem is bigger than Trump. Over decades, its expected responsibilities expanded far beyond the instruments it actually controls. That works while major powers cooperate. When they stop, the gap between responsibility and capacity becomes impossible to hide.

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Waldemar Ingdahl @waldemaringdahl.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

The deeper echo may be institutional rather than literary. Möller’s distinction between a system that continues to function procedurally and one that can actually deliver seems increasingly important. Institutions can remain busy while their effective capacity to act is eroding.

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Waldemar Ingdahl @waldemaringdahl.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

“Follow the attention” also points to a further step: follow what attention makes institutionally actionable. Interest groups need not win the argument to matter. Shifting which problems appear urgent, legitimate or governable can change agendas, funding and eventually institutional capacity.

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Waldemar Ingdahl @waldemaringdahl.bsky.social · 24/09/2026

Olika redaktionella miljöer ställer olika frågor. När samma problemformulering dominerar överallt blir även bra journalistik lätt smal. Ideologisk pluralism är därför också en metod för bättre analys.

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Waldemar Ingdahl @waldemaringdahl.bsky.social · 24/09/2026

Sitter med några PM om forskningspolitik och slås av hur ofta ”förenkling” egentligen betyder att ansvaret flyttar. Färre centrala regler eller myndigheter kan minska administrationen på ett ställe men samtidigt kräva mer omdöme och kapacitet på andra. Det är ofta där reformen faktiskt avgörs.

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Waldemar Ingdahl @waldemaringdahl.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

This sounds like a strong case for layered review rather than replacement. AI for exhaustive consistency checks, and experts for errors that require understanding what the argument or equation is supposed to do. The value lies partly in their different failure modes.

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Waldemar Ingdahl @waldemaringdahl.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

Då är omställning inte bara en fråga om individens lärande, utan också om arbetsgivarens förmåga att värdera överförbar kompetens. Om urvalet bygger på välkända branschsignaler så sorteras just de ovanliga kombinationer bort som kan behövas i en dynamisk värld.

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Waldemar Ingdahl @waldemaringdahl.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

Kanske, men det är just den överföringen jag inte tycker är given. Människor kan uppfatta mRNA mot cancer som ett lovande undantag utan att ändra syn på covidvaccinen eller de institutioner som förknippas med dem. Klinisk framgång och bredare teknikförtroende är två olika utfall.

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Waldemar Ingdahl @waldemaringdahl.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

Det skapar ett märkligt glapp: för att få jobbet behöver du erfarenheten. För att få erfarenheten behöver någon först ge dig jobbet. Det är ett stort problem när allt fler förväntas ställa om mitt i arbetslivet.

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Waldemar Ingdahl @waldemaringdahl.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

Det märks när arbetsgivare vill ha erfarenhet från just den egna branschen. Du kan kunna jobbet och ha rätt utbildning, men ändå sorteras bort eftersom du gjort ungefär samma sak någon annanstans.

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Waldemar Ingdahl @waldemaringdahl.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

Det svåra med omställning är inte alltid att lära sig något nytt. Det är att hitta en arbetsgivare som efterfrågar den nya kombinationen av gammal erfarenhet och ny kompetens.

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Waldemar Ingdahl @waldemaringdahl.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

Det blir också ett test av vad misstron egentligen gäller: mRNA som teknik eller vaccination som institution. En cancersjuk person kan acceptera ett mRNA-baserat cancervaccin utan att ompröva sin syn på covidvaccin. Det vore en annan risk–nytta-bedömning, inte nödvändigtvis återupprättat förtroende.

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Waldemar Ingdahl @waldemaringdahl.bsky.social · 21/09/2026

The deeper problem is the gap between the UN’s mandates and resources. The Secretary-General can streamline coordination, but member states create the mandates and preserve separate governing structures. If budgets shrink while commitments remain, that is capacity loss, not prioritization.

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Waldemar Ingdahl @waldemaringdahl.bsky.social · 21/09/2026

När värderingarna redovisas går det att se om forskare faktiskt är oense om empirin, om hur något bör mätas eller om vilka mål som är eftersträvansvärda. Annars riskerar normativa konflikter att framstå som rent tekniska.

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Waldemar Ingdahl @waldemaringdahl.bsky.social · 21/09/2026

An IAEA for AI sounds reassuring. But nuclear materials and facilities can be identified and inspected. AI capabilities are distributed, privately controlled and constantly changing. The first question is not who supervises, but what could actually be verified.

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Waldemar Ingdahl @waldemaringdahl.bsky.social · 21/09/2026

Ett ovanligt röstningsmönster säger att något behöver förklaras. Inte vad förklaringen är. Socioekonomi, mobilisering, nätverk och gruppidentifikation är olika hypoteser. Det intressanta börjar när man försöker skilja dem åt.

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Waldemar Ingdahl @waldemaringdahl.bsky.social · 20/09/2026

The important shift may be that AI is no longer just producing political content. It is becoming an intermediary between voters and the information itself. That makes variation in answers a question about the structure of the information environment, not just accuracy.

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Waldemar Ingdahl @waldemaringdahl.bsky.social · 20/09/2026

Det intressanta är kanske inte om de ”avgjorde” valet, utan att röster på partier utanför riksdagen blev större än skillnaden mellan blocken.

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Waldemar Ingdahl @waldemaringdahl.bsky.social · 19/09/2026

En snabb genomgång visar också att ganska få ledamöter verkar använda X eller Bluesky aktivt. De som gör det finns främst kvar på X; aktiva Blueskykonton är undantag. Kontonärvaro säger därför ganska lite om huruvida den politiska kommunikationen faktiskt har flyttat från X.

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Waldemar Ingdahl @waldemaringdahl.bsky.social · 19/09/2026

För ett kommunikationsteam är frågan mindre varför man finns kvar på X och mer om man blivit för beroende av en enda plattform. X är fortfarande viktigt för journalister och etablerade följare. Bluesky, Mastodon och egna kanaler gör att man inte lägger alla ägg i samma korg.

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Waldemar Ingdahl @waldemaringdahl.bsky.social · 19/09/2026

✨ Diella’s address is calm, symbolic and genuinely new. Albania is testing AI inside government — with human responsibility still central. Fjalimi i Diellës është i qetë, simbolik dhe i ri. AI hyn në qeverisje, por përgjegjësia mbetet njerëzore. 🇦🇱 youtu.be/wWhrs0gJsps?...

youtu.be

Albania's AI minister makes first address to parliament | AFP

YouTube video by AFP News Agency

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Waldemar Ingdahl @waldemaringdahl.bsky.social · 19/09/2026

🤖 Albania’s AI minister Diella deserves a tribute. So I made her a cheerful folk march about technology, public service and trying something new. Shqipëria ka një ministre me AI — ndaj Diella meriton një këngë. Një marsh i gëzuar për teknologjinë dhe shërbimin publik. 🇦🇱 suno.com/s/K6shcLrBD2...

suno.com

Kush Mban Përgjegjësi

Listen and make your own on Suno.

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Waldemar Ingdahl @waldemaringdahl.bsky.social · 17/09/2026

I’ve reorganised my portfolio around the questions I keep returning to: policy and decision-making, research communication, AI and digital systems, technology and long-term risk. I’ve also added a short weekly newsletter for new analysis and published work. authory.com/WaldemarIngd...

authory.com

Waldemar Ingdahl's Portfolio

Find Waldemar Ingdahl's content all in one single place and follow all new content pieces via email, regardless where they are published.

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Waldemar Ingdahl @waldemaringdahl.bsky.social · 16/09/2026

Your point about options generation really stood out to me. The UN may still have considerable expertise and resources, but if it cannot turn them quickly into credible political options, that becomes an institutional capacity problem rather than simply a question of political commitment.

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Waldemar Ingdahl @waldemaringdahl.bsky.social · 16/09/2026

“Europe does not need more climate strategies. It needs delivery” gets to the heart of the problem. The next question is why the delivery gap persists: when priorities compete for the same money, political capital and administrative capacity, who actually has the mandate to choose?

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