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Vince Gomez

@vincegomez.com
105 followers 92 following 121 posts

Writing on monetary systems, public finance, and why the gap between official economic narratives and lived reality keeps growing. Tracking where political choices get dressed up as natural constraints. 🌐 vincegomez.com

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Vince Gomez @vincegomez.com · 09/09/2026
Six weeks separate Andy Burnham's pledge to rewire the state from his declaration that he leads "a government grounded in fiscal responsibility". The captain changed; the course did not. #UKPolitics #UKEconomy #PublicFinance vincegomez.com/articles/changing-ca…
vincegomez.com
Changing Captain or Changing Course?
Andy Burnham walked into Downing Street on 20 July promising to rewire the state. Six weeks later, at his first Prime Minister's Questions, he described what he now leads as "a government grounded in fiscal responsibility".¹ 
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Vince Gomez @vincegomez.com · 04/09/2026
“Take economic planning away from the Treasury. They know nothing about it.” Aneurin Bevan, 1951. Seventy-five years later, this has aged remarkably well.
Image: A longer quotation from Aneurin Bevan’s resignation speech, 23 April 1951. Bevan criticises Treasury economic planning, saying officials mistake moving “pieces of paper” for moving people, describes it as “whistle-blowing” planning, and complains that there are too many economists advising the Treasury, with “the added misfortune of having an economist in the Chancellor of the Exchequer himself.”
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Vince Gomez @vincegomez.com · 06/08/2026
Tapping the nation's credit card while the bailiffs are at the door" says Mel Stride. www.telegraph.co.uk/business/202... Name the bailiff. Also, the £3 trillion is the pensions, insurance funds and Premium Bonds the rest of us hold. Be careful what you wish for. vincegomez.com/articles/if-...
vincegomez.com
If We "Paid Off" the National Debt, There Would Be No Money Left
Politicians of all parties have spent decades telling the British public that the national debt is a burden on future generations, a reckless legacy we are imposing on our children and grandchildren. ...
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Vince Gomez @vincegomez.com · 04/08/2026
vincegomez.com/articles/the-country…
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Vince Gomez @vincegomez.com · 04/08/2026
Three centuries of records point the same way: the binding constraint was never the debt ratio, it was labour, materials and political will. Post-war Britain had less of the first two than we do — and built anyway. #UKEconomy
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Vince Gomez @vincegomez.com · 04/08/2026
In 1946 Britain's debt stood near 250% of GDP. Bread was still rationed. Within two years the government had opened the NHS and launched the largest house building programme in its history. Today, at just under 95%, ministers say that we cannot afford to do anything close to this. Why?
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Vince Gomez @vincegomez.com · 31/07/2026
At the end you get the dials. Change government spending, the tax rate, how much households spend out of their pay — and the model updates. Best on a laptop or desktop. vincegomez.com/data/models/...
vincegomez.com
SIM - Government Money (SFC demo)
Model SIM (from Godley & Lavoie's textbook) is the smallest complete money model: three sectors — households, firms and the government — and a single kind of money that the government issues. There ar...
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Vince Gomez @vincegomez.com · 31/07/2026
And where the model cannot settle a question, it says so and points at someone who can: Berkeley, Ryan-Collins, Tye, Voldsgaard & Wilson, who traced the actual UK machinery.
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Vince Gomez @vincegomez.com · 31/07/2026
That last part is where people dig in, so the page argues with you rather than at you. "But my employer deducts tax before the government spends anything." "But tax receipts land in a real government account." Both answered — including what is true in them.
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Vince Gomez @vincegomez.com · 31/07/2026
The whole thing hangs on one number: the total money in the economy. Four transactions happen. Only two move it. Government spending creates money. Tax destroys it. Wages and shopping move the same pounds around and create nothing at all.
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Vince Gomez @vincegomez.com · 31/07/2026
It is model SIM, from Godley & Lavoie's Monetary Economics: the simplest complete stock-flow-consistent model there is. Every figure on the page is computed from the ledgers. Nothing is claimed that the tables do not show.
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Vince Gomez @vincegomez.com · 31/07/2026
So I built a guided walkthrough where you watch one get built from nothing. Nine steps, three balance sheets, one transaction at a time. No sign-up, no maths past adding up, about five minutes. vincegomez.com/data/models/...
vincegomez.com
SIM - Government Money (SFC demo)
Model SIM (from Godley & Lavoie's textbook) is the smallest complete money model: three sectors — households, firms and the government — and a single kind of money that the government issues. There ar...
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Vince Gomez @vincegomez.com · 31/07/2026
A Godley table is not complicated. Every pound in an economy is owned by somebody and owed by somebody else — your bank balance is your asset and the bank's liability. A Godley table writes down both sides, for every sector of an economy at once.
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Vince Gomez @vincegomez.com · 31/07/2026
Wynne Godley argued in 1992 that a currency union without a shared budget would end badly, and warned years ahead that US growth was resting on private borrowing that could not last. His main tool was a table. Here is what one is, and who he was: vincegomez.com/data/?tab=go...
vincegomez.com
Data Library
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Vince Gomez @vincegomez.com · 22/07/2026
Source: Financial Times — www.ft.com/content/9df22dc2-069a-42… Full analysis: vincegomez.com/reality-check/58/view
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Vince Gomez @vincegomez.com · 22/07/2026
The flawed claim: exploit a fiscal rule and "you will be punished", capped by "markets are watching... you have been warned". Gilt yields track Bank Rate and inflation expectations, not an external solvency verdict. Sentiment isn't a veto over democratic choice.
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Vince Gomez @vincegomez.com · 22/07/2026
The FT's "Six foolish mistakes for the UK's new chancellor to avoid", out today, earns a Grade E: FAIL It rightly unmasks Carney's defence bank as borrowing in fancy dress, then builds its whole case on markets "punishing" a currency issuer that cannot be forced to default. #UKEconomy
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Reposted by Vince Gomez
Mark E Thomas FB99% FBPE @mrmarkethomas.bsky.social · 20/07/2026
"The naïve belief in the power of unregulated markets has been tested to destruction. Markets are not the best way of allocating resources; unless they are tightly managed, they allocate more to the richest and less to everyone else." Can We Trust Markets? 99-percent.org/can-we-trust...
99-percent.org
Can We Trust Markets? - 99%
Why the world’s largest and most important market is not safe for widows and orphans The claim that markets are the best and most trustworthy way to allocate resources rests […]
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Vince Gomez @vincegomez.com · 17/07/2026
Source: IMF — www.imf.org/en/news/arti... Full analysis: vincegomez.com/reality-chec...
imf.org
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Vince Gomez @vincegomez.com · 17/07/2026
The flaw sits in "debt stabilisation" framed as an appropriate necessity for a currency the Treasury issues at will. Add "policy stability that anchors confidence" — market-confidence mood-setting with no mechanism attached — and "difficult choices" that dress up allocation as scarcity.
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Vince Gomez @vincegomez.com · 17/07/2026
You can have any PM you want, just make sure you don't change the economics... The IMF's 2026 Article IV summary, out yesterday, earns a Grade D AMBER: solid on the mechanics, muddled (meddling?) in the politics.
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Vince Gomez @vincegomez.com · 13/07/2026
vincegomez.com/articles/the...
vincegomez.com
There Is An Alternative
Britain has lived inside the neoliberal story for half a century. A framework called Market Humanism offers a way out and, for a country stuck in stagnation, a way forward.
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Vince Gomez @vincegomez.com · 13/07/2026
Market Humanism argues markets are tools built to serve people, not ends in themselves. The takeaway: a stagnant economy isn't proof that policy has run out of options, but that it stopped looking for them. #UKEconomy #UKPolitics
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Vince Gomez @vincegomez.com · 13/07/2026
For over 40 years Britain has told itself one economic story: markets know best, the state must shrink, and there is no alternative. That story has delivered stagnation. The claim that no other framework exists was always political, never economic.
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Vince Gomez @vincegomez.com · 08/07/2026
Source: OBR — assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/me… Full analysis: vincegomez.com/articles/resources/s…
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Vince Gomez @vincegomez.com · 08/07/2026
Take the claim that "it is almost certain that future governments would have to take action" on debt. For a sterling issuer that's a choice, NOT solvency. The 300% projection by 2076 is a policy outcome, dressed up as a market verdict via "investor appetite for bonds." #MonetaryIlliteracy
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Vince Gomez @vincegomez.com · 08/07/2026
Grade E — FAIL. The OBR's Fiscal Risks and Sustainability 2026, out yesterday, is sharp on the real constraints — ageing, labour supply, productivity — then quietly recasts debt-to-GDP and gilt yields as laws of nature rather than the policy conventions they are. #UKEconomy
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Vince Gomez @vincegomez.com · 25/06/2026
No time for the full essay I wrote this week? In 1996 the Nobel laureate William Vickrey took apart the myths behind austerity in eight pages: the household budget, the bond-market fear, the burden on grandchildren. Here are his fifteen fallacies into a summary you can read in a few minutes.
vincegomez.com
Fifteen fatal fallacies of financial fundamentalism: A disquisition on demand-side economics
Much of the conventional economic wisdom prevailing in financial circles, largely subscribed to as a basis for governmental policy, and widely accepted by the media and the public, is based on incom- ...
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Vince Gomez @vincegomez.com · 25/06/2026
Source: www.cityam.com/andy-burnham-will-be… Full analysis: vincegomez.com/reality-check/46/view
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Vince Gomez @vincegomez.com · 25/06/2026
The line "borrowing more may no longer be an option" is stated as operational fact, as if a sterling issuer could simply run out of its own currency. And inflation is pinned on "pay inflation" in services, with profit margins and supply-side drivers left unexamined. #UKEconomy #MonetaryIlliteracy
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Vince Gomez @vincegomez.com · 25/06/2026
Grade F: A piece in CityAM this week — "Andy Burnham will be 'in hock' to the bond markets whether he likes it or not" — earns a FAIL, roughly 16/100. The central muddle: treating bond-market sentiment as a force of nature binding a currency issuer, rather than a set of institutional choices.
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Vince Gomez @vincegomez.com · 23/06/2026
We will soon have a new chancellor, one the bond markets will tolerate. 30yrs ago a Nobel laureate showed that fear is empty, then died 3 days after winning and was quietly ignored. Meet William Vickrey, the most interesting Nobel laureate you've never heard of.
vincegomez.com
The Fallacies That Outlived Their Refutation
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Vince Gomez @vincegomez.com · 22/06/2026
Source: The Guardian — www.theguardian.com/politics/2026/j… Full analysis: vincegomez.com/reality-check/41/view
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Vince Gomez @vincegomez.com · 22/06/2026
The flaw: warning Burnham to show "bond markets they mean business" by trimming the triple lock, with any extra costs "found from somewhere." A distributional choice dressed as a credibility test, and spending treated as a fixed pot. Spare capacity goes unexamined. #MonetaryIlliteracy
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Vince Gomez @vincegomez.com · 22/06/2026
Grade F: Hard Fail. A piece in yesterday's Guardian on Andy Burnham's tax plans earns a score of 18/100, built on the idea that a sovereign currency issuer must "make ends meet" like a household before the bond markets grant it permission to govern. #UKEconomy
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Reposted by Vince Gomez
Mark E Thomas FB99% FBPE @mrmarkethomas.bsky.social · 17/06/2026
Here's another way to alert your MP. actionnetwork.org/letters/ask-...
actionnetwork.org
Ask your MP to future-proof our democracy
What Trump's administration is doing to dismantle US democracy could happen here. We must future-proof our constitution to prevent that. I've just asked my MP to attend a parliamentary briefing on wh...
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Vince Gomez @vincegomez.com · 17/06/2026
Source: The Conversation — theconversation.com/how-bond-market… Full analysis: vincegomez.com/reality-check/37/view
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Vince Gomez @vincegomez.com · 17/06/2026
The analogy that won't die wheeled out again — "the same principle that applies to ordinary household borrowing" — as if a currency issuer balanced its books like a mortgage holder. Meanwhile £2.9tn debt self-evidently alarming, with no word on who holds it or in which currency. #MonetaryIlliteracy
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Vince Gomez @vincegomez.com · 17/06/2026
Grade E: Fail — treat with strong scepticism. The Conversation ran a piece yesterday on bond markets as a "force in modern politics" that rests on one inverted premise: "those markets are what make it possible for governments to spend money." A sterling issuer spends first; the gilts come after.
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Vince Gomez @vincegomez.com · 09/06/2026
Britain has three watchdogs counting pounds and not one asking whether the economy can actually deliver the goods. #UKEconomy #PublicFinance vincegomez.com/articles/the-institu…
vincegomez.com
The Institution Britain Is Missing
We run three bodies to count the money and none to assess whether the economy can do the work.
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Vince Gomez @vincegomez.com · 08/06/2026
We do need to help voters understand these matters but the OECD is doing anything but that. Unsurprisingly scored an F in my model too: vincegomez.com/reality-chec...
vincegomez.com
Governments need to learn how to talk about debt — Reality Check
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Vince Gomez @vincegomez.com · 08/06/2026
Not surprised to hear that from the OECD. The best way to prevent meaningful change is to prevent meaningful and informed debate. It's not so straightforward as Dilnot pointed out : www.bbc.co.uk/aboutthebbc/...
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Vince Gomez @vincegomez.com · 08/06/2026
Source: Financial Times — www.ft.com/content/5aadaa04-c360-45… Full analysis: vincegomez.com/reality-check/33/view
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Vince Gomez @vincegomez.com · 08/06/2026
One thing I'd agree with: we do need to learn how to talk about debt. It's a shame this piece doesn't show how. Honest debt talk starts by dropping the household analogy and asking what really limits a currency issuer: e.g. workers, materials, capacity and inflation. Not a number on a spreadsheet.
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Vince Gomez @vincegomez.com · 08/06/2026
The flaw sits in the verdict that bond market pressure is a "democratically corrective force" — investor sentiment recast as a legitimate veto over fiscal choices. Pair that with Thatcher-style household analogies and inflation appearing only as a debt-reduction trick, and the frame collapses.
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Vince Gomez @vincegomez.com · 08/06/2026
Last week's FT, "Governments need to learn how to talk about debt," earns a Grade F — Fail - treat its claims with strong scepticism. Technically fluent, conceptually orthodox: it treats a currency issuer's books like a household budget and bond-market sentiment as a law of physics. #UKEconomy
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Vince Gomez @vincegomez.com · 08/06/2026
Indeed. The fixed rate system died in stages from 1971 until its ultimate collapse in 1973.
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Vince Gomez @vincegomez.com · 08/06/2026
I’m not sure I agree that it was up to Heath to end Breton Woods but I do agree that all post Bretton Woods participants faced inflation constraints.
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Vince Gomez @vincegomez.com · 08/06/2026
Indeed. During the IMF talks,the Treasury forecast a PSBR of £10.5bn vs an actual £8.5bn,an overestimate of ~20%. Healey, Callaghan and Benn are on record saying they suspected officials of inflating the numbers to force through cuts. He was right to be furious. The whole country should have been.
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The 99% Organisation @99organisation.bsky.social · 08/06/2026
The threats to UK democracy have never been clearer. And there are signs that our politicians may now be ready to take them seriously. sh1.sendinblue.com/3ga6vb62bglp...
Putin, Farage, Musk and Trump
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