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Milan Varda

@vardamilan.bsky.social
25 followers 39 following 16 posts

Researcher and PhD student at www.fpn.bg.ac.rs Researcher at geo-power.eu project Researcher at mindproject.ac.rs project Reseach focused on ontological security, Russia, Wargaming

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Reposted by Milan Varda
Victor Asal @victorasal.bsky.social · 14/01/2026
Victor Asal From Pentagon to Classroom: RAND’s Hedgemony as a Pedagogical Tool in Graduate IR and Security Studies @jpseeditors.bsky.social @filipejdus.bsky.social Krivokapić Popović @markodkovacevic.bsky.social @vardamilan.bsky.social Aleksandra Rajković www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1...
tandfonline.com
From Pentagon to Classroom: RAND’s Hedgemony as a Pedagogical Tool in Graduate IR and Security Studies
Since its founding, most of the games for which the RAND Corporation has been known were either strictly confidential or too complex to be used in a university setting. In 2020, RAND transformed a ...
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Reposted by Milan Varda
GEO-POWER-EU @geopower-eu.bsky.social · 28/05/2025
📢On May 26–27, the GEO-POWER-EU consortium held two productive days in Belgrade. Here’s what happened 🧵 1/ A public conference was co-organized with @reunir.bsky.social on the EU’s role in the Western Balkans and Eastern Partnership. Full summary here: 🔗 shorturl.at/uBaHO
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Reposted by Milan Varda
GEO-POWER-EU @geopower-eu.bsky.social · 01/06/2025
📉Trump’s trade war may hit the Western Balkans hard—not through direct tariffs, but via EU🇪🇺 slowdown. Branimir Jovanović (#GEOPOWEREU researcher & economist at WIIW) explains why this could be a black swan moment—and what governments must do now🔗 bit.ly/43HFREY
*Featured image source: Kosovo Online (screenshot/illustration).
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Reposted by Milan Varda
Tatarigami @tatarigami.bsky.social · 01/06/2025
Such a major blow to Russia’s strategic bomber fleet could have been avoided if Moscow had chosen to engage in peace talks, rather than escalating the war and undermining diplomatic efforts initiated by Kyiv, Washington, and Brussels.
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Milan Varda @vardamilan.bsky.social · 01/06/2025
Sure, Russia will certainly escalate, likely on civilian targets and infrastructure. Potentially using fancy weapons to boost national pride and sense of greatness
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Milan Varda @vardamilan.bsky.social · 01/06/2025
If the numbers are true this may be over 30% of Russian strategic bomber fleet. Most of them are out of production, with Tu-160 having very limited serial production, making the losses practically irreplacable
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Reposted by Milan Varda
Journal of Regional Security @jrnlregsec.bsky.social · 24/11/2024
Journal of Regional Security (former Western Balkans Security Observer) is an open access peer-reviewed journal specializing in the field of regional security studies. Established in 2006 by Belgrade Centre for Security Policy, since 2012 has been co-published with UB - Faculty of Political Science.
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Milan Varda @vardamilan.bsky.social · 22/11/2024
Engaging in brinkmanship and making red lines all the time makes threats not credible. The change of nuclear doctrine and this strike are likewise not credible. If Russia did not escalate to nuclear exchange after Kursk, it is entirely unconvincing that it would now.
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Milan Varda @vardamilan.bsky.social · 21/11/2024
Treaty is done, but this shows that Russia has been striving toward strike capability against Europeean capitals for a very long time
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Milan Varda @vardamilan.bsky.social · 21/11/2024
This was certainly not ICBM range in this launch. Only without significant load is it at low end of the ICBM range. This is precisely the issue, as something officially called ICBM by Russia is actually an MRBM in disguise
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Reposted by Milan Varda
Filip Ejdus @filipejdus.bsky.social · 18/11/2024
Great sessions of Horizons wargame adjudicated by its creator David Banks (KCL) and Milan Varda (FPN) as a warm up to the Belgrade Security Conference! Si vis pacem…
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Milan Varda @vardamilan.bsky.social · 21/11/2024
It does seem form the video that two of them fell very near each other, while others were very far. Might just be inaccurate MIRV. But having MRV would be truly outdated, and potentially telling about the quality (maybe even reliability) of other Russian delivery systems
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Milan Varda @vardamilan.bsky.social · 21/11/2024
Yep, just changing the laod changes the ranges. Tested TBM with extra load could easily become MRBM, just like this ICBM with lower load. Seems that they really want that ground launched strike ability towards Europe
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Milan Varda @vardamilan.bsky.social · 21/11/2024
It was ICBM range but seemingly with munimal load. I agree that cassification is insignificant now (though I agree that it is IRBM or even MRBM in disguise), but it sure confirms US worries on the system's range violating the INF treaty
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Milan Varda @vardamilan.bsky.social · 21/11/2024
Conaidering the demonstrated operational range of the missile in the strike against Ukraine, it seems that the missile, while capable of icbm range at minimal load, is actually an mrbm in disguise of the icbm
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Milan Varda @vardamilan.bsky.social · 21/11/2024
The testing of Rubezh has brought alarms in Washington and that led to Donald Trump ultimately withdrawing from the INF treaty
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Milan Varda @vardamilan.bsky.social · 21/11/2024
The reason for this was simple. Intermediate range missiles were escalatory as they shortened the time of reaction. As such, the parties have agreed to bring an end to this type of systems and thus stopped the nuclear arming of Europe
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Milan Varda @vardamilan.bsky.social · 21/11/2024
According to the now defunct INF treaty, US and Russia have agreed that there would be no ground launched missiles with a range of over 500 and below 5500 kilometers
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Milan Varda @vardamilan.bsky.social · 21/11/2024
With full load, its range is almost certainly lower, with some tests showing roughly 2000 kilometer range
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Milan Varda @vardamilan.bsky.social · 21/11/2024
This missile has a femonstrated range of over 5500 kilometers, but with a very limited load
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Milan Varda @vardamilan.bsky.social · 21/11/2024
It seems that Russia has launched an ICBM, likely RS-26 Rubezh into Ukraine. Here is a brief thread on it
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Milan Varda @vardamilan.bsky.social · 21/11/2024
It could easily be the infamous RS-26 Rubezh, a missile of potential icbm range, but more like irbm or mrbm at full load
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