Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 20/06/2026I love markets because a shady character will post an old chart from an investment bank talking their book and not one person will ask what % of GDP was attributable to deficit spending during the railroad buildout. Instead they say “we’re so early” and “still 10x to go.” 5111
Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 18/06/2026I want to like $META here. I think customer service agents will continue to drive revenue growth and they’ll care about FCF eventually. But I also think they’ll raise capex guide again in July and even with a huge revenue beat the market won’t like it. 110
Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 16/06/2026Crazy that the CEO of the most overvalued company in the history of markets is also the CEO of the second most overvalued company in the history of markets and at the same time. 1142
Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 26/03/2026What's the best Euro names to get long for a ceasefire rip? Consumer discretionary? Hermes almost buyable but would like to see it ~30x or lower. 210
Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 23/03/2026Open to counter arguments but as long as things de-escalate from here (looks likely) why would we sell off again? I wanted better prices in a lot of names, but I think the bottom is in. 050
Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 18/03/2026I sort of did this w/ Claude and it’s been hugely beneficial ytd. I set parameters so strict on stock selection it literally just says no to all of my half baked ideas. 2110
Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 18/03/2026Incredible how he has fumbled the bag so badly with tariffs and Iran. Deflationary growth w/ AI supercycle handed to him on a platter and he was like no, let’s redo the 1970s instead. 170
Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 09/03/2026This market looks ready to puke at the open but can’t quite bring myself to press shorts. Not sure what I’m waiting for. 210
Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 08/03/2026Feels like 99% chance of a Sunday night or Monday morning Truth Social post that will try to jawbone markets higher. Also feels like that will be the most obvious dead cat bounce in history and an insta-fade. 090
Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 07/03/2026This is a Rorschach test for your personal views about Elon Musk. 420
Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 26/02/2026Nice beats from $FA. +9% premarket but very illiquid. Announced a buyback worth ~6% of the float. Turns out labor market is just flat, not quite reflecting the doomsday scenario making the rounds. 120
Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 23/02/2026$DE is trading at a higher sales multiple than half of SaaS with 30% gross margins and 5% projected revenue growth for FY26 😭 170
Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 08/02/2026Anyone else noticing the IG algo suddenly feeling closer to Xitter? Maybe my own engagement shifting but suddenly getting served a bunch of unhinged conspiracy vids. Feels like the “Facebook files” was only yesterday and already full circle. 250
Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 06/02/2026Closed all my puts yesterday and covered most single name shorts. Hoping to see vol come down so I can put them back in place. 1H sees a big fiscal stimmy from OBBB taxes breaks, but going into 2H unhedged is crazy. 081
Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 05/02/2026Ok I know I’m officially having too much fun this week because I just bought a $MSTR flier.media.tenor.coma man in a yellow suit is carrying a black boxALT: a man in a yellow suit is carrying a black box 210
Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 05/02/2026Seems like a low bar for $AMZN tonight. Just don’t guide capex above estimates and it’s green. Retail probably humming. 000
Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 04/02/2026Oh god… I think I’m a SaaS bull.media.tenor.coma man in a black jacket is asking who am i .ALT: a man in a black jacket is asking who am i . 080
Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 01/02/2026This makes me want to bottom fish software but then I spend an hour reading about the specific products and still have no idea what most of them even do. 340
Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 31/01/2026"Dan Ives is an analyst - and a whole lot more." Based on his fit he's also lead singer in a Smash Mouth cover band, and was formerly the Executive VP of Investor Relations at SNCR where he was charged with securities fraud and settled. www.sec.gov/files/litiga... "Should You Trust Him?"sec.gov 321
Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 30/01/2026NGL. the chance to short Tesla, SpaceX and MechaHitler all under one wrapper sounds like a dream come true. 051
Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 29/01/202620 years from now, I’d be surprised if there’s still one Tesla on the road. They’ll be like the vintage Volkswagen beetles that only eccentrics and collectors own. 4152
Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 29/01/2026There were so many “I’m writing in Mitt Romney” finance guys in 2024 who made false equivalencies about how bad both candidates were and I’m more disillusioned by them than the MAGA cult. Fulton county raided and these assholes couldn’t tell who was the worse candidate after Jan 6th? 090
Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 28/01/2026MAGA thinks Democrats opened borders and set up sanctuary cities, to inflate votes, so they send an untrained clown force to LARP Call of Duty, who then kill two US citizens and shit on the constitution so badly a blue wave in midterms nearly guaranteed? That about cover it? 130
Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 28/01/2026“…an early-stage, Hong Kong-based bioscience company with no revenue” We all know what $RGC is. There’s no reason this should be listed on a US exchange 141
Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 27/01/2026Debasement trade, de-dollarization, and sell US / buy EM takes are all going to age like milk. 140
Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 27/01/2026No ill will toward gold bugs, but they were right for the wrong reasons. Schiff et al were screaming about QE induced inflation a decade plus before it happened and it required a global catastrophe + supply chain shocks + absurd amounts of fiscal stimulus to make it happen. 2111
Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 25/01/2026Interesting feedback loop w/ Trump 2.0 surrounded only by toadies and sycophants who feed his worst inclinations vs the John Kelly’s of his first term who reined him in. I used to think Trump had a nose for politically unpopular decisions. I’m not sure he’s even aware how badly they’re crashing now 161
Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 24/01/2026It’s time to stop pointing out all the hypocrisy in the Republican Party. They simply do not care and pointing it out will not make them care. Energy is better spent trying to make Democrats better. They’ve been extremely pathetic. There’s a leadership vacuum that got us here in need of repair. 0152
Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 24/01/2026They’ve been told they have full immunity and nearly unlimited funds. Is it going to get better or worse? 120
Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 23/01/2026Will try to get a $BAH Q3 update posted next week. TBH, I’m surprised by the reaction. -Funded backlog fell 10% -Civil revenue -28% -Big EPS beat driven by tax credits/ lower effective tax rate (creates a headwind in FY27) 220
Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 22/01/2026I don’t like talking shit without cause but there’s one lionized FinTwit account who’s considered a seasoned pro, always confidently giving advice out like he’s everyone’s dad and his returns are straight garbage. 11261
Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 21/01/2026What are some names with durable moats or attractive set ups that are getting close to a decent buy price? Got my eye on: $AMZN $CMG $COF $CSU $FCN $7974 - $NTDOY $UMG 490
Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 20/01/2026Maybe just muscle memory but I feel like RUT and high short interest basket are going to get washed in Feb. high short basket massively outperforming ytd and still most well below the Oct peaks. 130
Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 20/01/2026Asking myself if buying $PYPL at a 10% FCF yield for Venmo alone is worth the risk. 191
Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 16/01/2026Biggest (long-term) risk to Mag 7 isn’t valuation, it’s the inevitable end point of rising populism borne out of wealth inequality is a president who runs on trust-busting the shit out of big tech. And tbh, they’d probably have my vote. YouTube and social media all need heavy regulation. 0100
Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 16/01/2026AI marketing to create content for AI managed social media that harvest engagement from other AI accounts and collects data on AI platforms driven by AI algos to train the AI models to get better at marketing. And it will only cost us all of our clean water. Very cool. 021
Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 16/01/2026media.tenor.coma man in a leather jacket is standing in front of a crowd of people .ALT: a man in a leather jacket is standing in front of a crowd of people . 090
Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 15/01/2026He (and Miller) think they can pull off the full coup this time and realize it has to be midterms because polling is so bad. Any moderate R is going to jump ship. Digging himself deeper everyday. I almost hope he invokes it. Blue wave coming and then he’s a lame duck. 230
Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 14/01/2026I’ve never seen a name as hated by FinTwit as $ADBE that didn’t post a monster forward return. 13x FCF. I don’t make the rules. 461
Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 14/01/2026Everyday is a fresh hell of factor rotations and you guys are excited about more AI advancements? 041
Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 12/01/2026Sold calls against the last of my $META today. My guess is Meta Compute is mostly Zuck’s PTSD from Tim Apple stepping on his neck. Sounds expensive. 140
Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 12/01/2026Market dumps, Trump asks Bessent why, they throw Pulte under the bus and drop the inquiry. But the market has to dump. 261
Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 09/01/2026Is there any immediate impact to earnings if tariffs get struck down? I hope they do, but should it really be moving prices? 020
Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 08/01/2026Masked federal agents present against the will of state representatives, harassing day care workers and shooting unarmed US citizens in the face is exactly the small government Reagan envisioned. 1120
Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 07/01/2026Is 2026 the year AI efficiency boosts margins or leaves a large swath of the upper K unemployed? (Por que no los dos?) 010