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Valuations

@valuations.bsky.social
960 followers 189 following 319 posts

Get it now, I’m not into reminiscing.

PostsRepliesMedia
Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 20/06/2026
I love markets because a shady character will post an old chart from an investment bank talking their book and not one person will ask what % of GDP was attributable to deficit spending during the railroad buildout. Instead they say “we’re so early” and “still 10x to go.”
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Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 18/06/2026
I want to like $META here. I think customer service agents will continue to drive revenue growth and they’ll care about FCF eventually. But I also think they’ll raise capex guide again in July and even with a huge revenue beat the market won’t like it.
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Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 16/06/2026
Crazy that the CEO of the most overvalued company in the history of markets is also the CEO of the second most overvalued company in the history of markets and at the same time.
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Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 26/03/2026
What's the best Euro names to get long for a ceasefire rip? Consumer discretionary? Hermes almost buyable but would like to see it ~30x or lower.
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Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 23/03/2026
Open to counter arguments but as long as things de-escalate from here (looks likely) why would we sell off again? I wanted better prices in a lot of names, but I think the bottom is in.
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Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 18/03/2026
I sort of did this w/ Claude and it’s been hugely beneficial ytd. I set parameters so strict on stock selection it literally just says no to all of my half baked ideas.
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Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 18/03/2026
Incredible how he has fumbled the bag so badly with tariffs and Iran. Deflationary growth w/ AI supercycle handed to him on a platter and he was like no, let’s redo the 1970s instead.
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Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 09/03/2026
This market looks ready to puke at the open but can’t quite bring myself to press shorts. Not sure what I’m waiting for.
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Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 08/03/2026
Feels like 99% chance of a Sunday night or Monday morning Truth Social post that will try to jawbone markets higher. Also feels like that will be the most obvious dead cat bounce in history and an insta-fade.
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Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 07/03/2026
This is a Rorschach test for your personal views about Elon Musk.
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Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 26/02/2026
Nice beats from $FA. +9% premarket but very illiquid. Announced a buyback worth ~6% of the float. Turns out labor market is just flat, not quite reflecting the doomsday scenario making the rounds.
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Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 23/02/2026
$DE is trading at a higher sales multiple than half of SaaS with 30% gross margins and 5% projected revenue growth for FY26 😭
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Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 08/02/2026
Anyone else noticing the IG algo suddenly feeling closer to Xitter? Maybe my own engagement shifting but suddenly getting served a bunch of unhinged conspiracy vids. Feels like the “Facebook files” was only yesterday and already full circle.
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Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 06/02/2026
Closed all my puts yesterday and covered most single name shorts. Hoping to see vol come down so I can put them back in place. 1H sees a big fiscal stimmy from OBBB taxes breaks, but going into 2H unhedged is crazy.
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Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 05/02/2026
Ok I know I’m officially having too much fun this week because I just bought a $MSTR flier.
media.tenor.com
a man in a yellow suit is carrying a black box
ALT: a man in a yellow suit is carrying a black box
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Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 05/02/2026
Seems like a low bar for $AMZN tonight. Just don’t guide capex above estimates and it’s green. Retail probably humming.
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Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 04/02/2026
Oh god… I think I’m a SaaS bull.
media.tenor.com
a man in a black jacket is asking who am i .
ALT: a man in a black jacket is asking who am i .
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Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 01/02/2026
This makes me want to bottom fish software but then I spend an hour reading about the specific products and still have no idea what most of them even do.
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Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 31/01/2026
🎵Hello darkness my old friend🎵
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Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 31/01/2026
"Dan Ives is an analyst - and a whole lot more." Based on his fit he's also lead singer in a Smash Mouth cover band, and was formerly the Executive VP of Investor Relations at SNCR where he was charged with securities fraud and settled. www.sec.gov/files/litiga... "Should You Trust Him?"
sec.gov
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Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 30/01/2026
NGL. the chance to short Tesla, SpaceX and MechaHitler all under one wrapper sounds like a dream come true.
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Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 29/01/2026
20 years from now, I’d be surprised if there’s still one Tesla on the road. They’ll be like the vintage Volkswagen beetles that only eccentrics and collectors own.
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Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 29/01/2026
There were so many “I’m writing in Mitt Romney” finance guys in 2024 who made false equivalencies about how bad both candidates were and I’m more disillusioned by them than the MAGA cult. Fulton county raided and these assholes couldn’t tell who was the worse candidate after Jan 6th?
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Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 28/01/2026
MAGA thinks Democrats opened borders and set up sanctuary cities, to inflate votes, so they send an untrained clown force to LARP Call of Duty, who then kill two US citizens and shit on the constitution so badly a blue wave in midterms nearly guaranteed? That about cover it?
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Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 28/01/2026
$SBUX comps.
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Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 28/01/2026
“…an early-stage, Hong Kong-based bioscience company with no revenue” We all know what $RGC is. There’s no reason this should be listed on a US exchange
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Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 27/01/2026
Debasement trade, de-dollarization, and sell US / buy EM takes are all going to age like milk.
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Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 27/01/2026
No ill will toward gold bugs, but they were right for the wrong reasons. Schiff et al were screaming about QE induced inflation a decade plus before it happened and it required a global catastrophe + supply chain shocks + absurd amounts of fiscal stimulus to make it happen.
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Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 25/01/2026
Interesting feedback loop w/ Trump 2.0 surrounded only by toadies and sycophants who feed his worst inclinations vs the John Kelly’s of his first term who reined him in. I used to think Trump had a nose for politically unpopular decisions. I’m not sure he’s even aware how badly they’re crashing now
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Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 24/01/2026
It’s time to stop pointing out all the hypocrisy in the Republican Party. They simply do not care and pointing it out will not make them care. Energy is better spent trying to make Democrats better. They’ve been extremely pathetic. There’s a leadership vacuum that got us here in need of repair.
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Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 24/01/2026
They’ve been told they have full immunity and nearly unlimited funds. Is it going to get better or worse?
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Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 24/01/2026
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Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 23/01/2026
Will try to get a $BAH Q3 update posted next week. TBH, I’m surprised by the reaction. -Funded backlog fell 10% -Civil revenue -28% -Big EPS beat driven by tax credits/ lower effective tax rate (creates a headwind in FY27)
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Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 22/01/2026
I don’t like talking shit without cause but there’s one lionized FinTwit account who’s considered a seasoned pro, always confidently giving advice out like he’s everyone’s dad and his returns are straight garbage.
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Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 21/01/2026
What are some names with durable moats or attractive set ups that are getting close to a decent buy price? Got my eye on: $AMZN $CMG $COF $CSU $FCN $7974 - $NTDOY $UMG
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Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 20/01/2026
Maybe just muscle memory but I feel like RUT and high short interest basket are going to get washed in Feb. high short basket massively outperforming ytd and still most well below the Oct peaks.
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Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 20/01/2026
Asking myself if buying $PYPL at a 10% FCF yield for Venmo alone is worth the risk.
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Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 16/01/2026
Biggest (long-term) risk to Mag 7 isn’t valuation, it’s the inevitable end point of rising populism borne out of wealth inequality is a president who runs on trust-busting the shit out of big tech. And tbh, they’d probably have my vote. YouTube and social media all need heavy regulation.
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Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 16/01/2026
AI marketing to create content for AI managed social media that harvest engagement from other AI accounts and collects data on AI platforms driven by AI algos to train the AI models to get better at marketing. And it will only cost us all of our clean water. Very cool.
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Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 16/01/2026
media.tenor.com
a man in a leather jacket is standing in front of a crowd of people .
ALT: a man in a leather jacket is standing in front of a crowd of people .
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Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 15/01/2026
He (and Miller) think they can pull off the full coup this time and realize it has to be midterms because polling is so bad. Any moderate R is going to jump ship. Digging himself deeper everyday. I almost hope he invokes it. Blue wave coming and then he’s a lame duck.
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Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 14/01/2026
I’ve never seen a name as hated by FinTwit as $ADBE that didn’t post a monster forward return. 13x FCF. I don’t make the rules.
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Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 14/01/2026
Everyday is a fresh hell of factor rotations and you guys are excited about more AI advancements?
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Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 12/01/2026
Sold calls against the last of my $META today. My guess is Meta Compute is mostly Zuck’s PTSD from Tim Apple stepping on his neck. Sounds expensive.
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Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 12/01/2026
Market dumps, Trump asks Bessent why, they throw Pulte under the bus and drop the inquiry. But the market has to dump.
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Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 12/01/2026
US deserves a lower multiple.
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Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 09/01/2026
Is there any immediate impact to earnings if tariffs get struck down? I hope they do, but should it really be moving prices?
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Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 08/01/2026
Masked federal agents present against the will of state representatives, harassing day care workers and shooting unarmed US citizens in the face is exactly the small government Reagan envisioned.
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Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 07/01/2026
Vol is probably too cheap.
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Valuations @valuations.bsky.social · 07/01/2026
Is 2026 the year AI efficiency boosts margins or leaves a large swath of the upper K unemployed? (Por que no los dos?)
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