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OSINT Intuit™

@urikikaski.bsky.social
8.7K followers 3 following 9.7K posts

Clinical, unsparing, quietly damning OSINT analysis of geopolitical events. Providing timely context before the narrative war begins.

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OSINT Intuit™ @urikikaski.bsky.social · 23/05/2026
𝗧𝗿𝘂𝗺𝗽 𝘀𝗸𝗶𝗽𝗽𝗲𝗱 𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝘀𝗼𝗻'𝘀 𝘄𝗲𝗱𝗱𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝘁𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸𝗲𝗻𝗱, 𝗰𝗶𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗢𝗽𝗲𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 𝗘𝗽𝗶𝗰 𝗙𝘂𝗿𝘆 𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝗽𝗿𝗲𝘀𝘀𝘂𝗿𝗲 𝘁𝗼 𝘀𝘁𝗮𝘆 𝗮𝘁 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗪𝗵𝗶𝘁𝗲 𝗛𝗼𝘂𝘀𝗲. #OSINT #EpicFury
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OSINT Intuit™ @urikikaski.bsky.social · 23/05/2026
2026.05.23: "Ukraine has received information from various intelligence agencies about a Russian (Belarusian) attack from the North." - Zelensky. #Ukraine #OSINT
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OSINT Intuit™ @urikikaski.bsky.social · 21/05/2026
"Crimean Tourist Foot" It's a thing this summer... #OSINT #Ukraine
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OSINT Intuit™ @urikikaski.bsky.social · 21/05/2026
Take It Like a... Squealing Pig! With all of the badass talk you hear from Russian men, they sure know how to be subservient to the State. They would rather die running across an open field under controlled fires in broad daylight than emptying a clip into one of their goon commanders. #OSINT
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OSINT Intuit™ @urikikaski.bsky.social · 21/05/2026
🇷🇺⚰️ Interesting set of statistics from TG Alexander Kovalenko for the period of May 1-21, 2026: Territory Captured by Enemy = 24.8 km² Enemy Combat Actions Per km² Gained = 177 Combat Actions / km² Gained Enemy Irreversible Casualties Per km² Gained = 858 Katsaps / km² Gained OSINT #Ukraine
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OSINT Intuit™ @urikikaski.bsky.social · 21/05/2026
Results of an AFU Unmanned Systems Forces strike earlier this morning on the SNPZ Rosneft (СНПЗ Роснефть) refinery in Syzran, Samara Oblast, Mordor, approximately 1,000 km from Ukrainian-controlled territory. #OSINT #Ukraine
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OSINT Intuit™ @urikikaski.bsky.social · 20/05/2026
More reinforcements from a Russian Cripple Battalion are seen being herded towards the front. Think about what it would be like to live in such an F'ed-up place where a life is an expendable commodity. Add to that the dearth of indoor plumbing and self-demobilization is real. #OSINT #Ukraine
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OSINT Intuit™ @urikikaski.bsky.social · 20/05/2026
🇺🇦 𝗕𝗲𝗹𝗯𝗲𝗸 𝗔𝗶𝗿𝗳𝗶𝗲𝗹𝗱 𝗦𝘁𝗿𝗶𝗸𝗲 Ukrainian Forces struck Belbek airfield in occupied Crimea May 16-17, destroying: • Pantsyr-S2 • S-400 Radar • Orion UAV Control Station • Forpost UAV Control Station • S-400 Missile Data Link • Control Tower • Airfield Hangars #OSINT #Ukraine
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OSINT Intuit™ @urikikaski.bsky.social · 20/05/2026
🇷🇺🤡 𝗧𝗼𝗱𝗮𝘆'𝘀 𝗞𝗮𝘁𝘀𝗮𝗽 𝗗𝗮𝗿𝘄𝗶𝗻 𝗔𝘄𝗮𝗿𝗱 A Storm-Z specimen runs through a pile of his dead comrades and triggers another OZM-72 mine. The OZM-72 (ОЗМ-72) is a Soviet-era AP bouncing mine dubbed a "frog mine". Its offset location indicates it was triggered by a tripwire. #OSINT
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OSINT Intuit™ @urikikaski.bsky.social · 20/05/2026
🇧🇾🇷🇺 𝗩𝗶𝗹𝗻𝗶𝘂𝘀 𝗨𝗻𝗺𝗮𝗻𝗻𝗲𝗱 𝗗𝗮𝗻𝗴𝗲𝗿 𝗔𝗹𝗲𝗿𝘁 | 𝟮𝟬 𝗠𝗮𝘆 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟲 Lithuania activated its "unmanned danger" protocol this morning after radar detected a UAV-signature track originating from Belarusian airspace moving toward Vilnius.
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OSINT Intuit™ @urikikaski.bsky.social · 20/05/2026
🇷🇺⚰️ 𝗥𝘂𝘀𝘀𝗶𝗮'𝘀 𝗠𝗮𝘆 𝗕𝗶𝗹𝗹... 𝗦𝗼 𝗙𝗮𝗿 AFU Unmanned Systems Forces (SBS) confirmed 6,000 irreversible Russians demobilized for the period of May 1-19. Confirmed UAV katsap losses across all SOU unmanned systems units during the same period were 19,203.
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OSINT Intuit™ @urikikaski.bsky.social · 19/05/2026
Moscovia, the minor frontier swamp settlement of the Kievan Rus, earlier today. #OSINT #Ukraine
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OSINT Intuit™ @urikikaski.bsky.social · 19/05/2026
🇱🇻🇱🇹🇪🇪 𝗨𝗣𝗗𝗔𝗧𝗘 | 𝗥𝗨𝗦𝗦𝗜𝗔𝗡 𝗕𝗔𝗟𝗧𝗜𝗖 𝗦𝗧𝗔𝗧𝗘𝗦 𝗗𝗥𝗢𝗡𝗘 𝗜𝗣𝘀𝗢 The SVR false provocation about Ukraine launching drones from Latvia is now running through Russian proxy Telegram channels in real time.
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OSINT Intuit™ @urikikaski.bsky.social · 19/05/2026
🇪🇪 𝗘𝗦𝗧𝗢𝗡𝗜𝗔 | 𝗙𝗜𝗥𝗦𝗧 𝗦𝗛𝗢𝗧𝗗𝗢𝗪𝗡 BLUF: This morning Latvia warned Estonia a Ukrainian drone was inbound. Estonian radar confirmed the track. A Romanian F-16 on NATO Baltic Air Policing shot it down over Lake Võrtsjärv. Ukraine's Defense Minister called Pevkur and apologized.
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OSINT Intuit™ @urikikaski.bsky.social · 19/05/2026
🇷🇺🇱🇻 𝗨𝗣𝗗𝗔𝗧𝗘 | 𝗧𝗛𝗘 𝗟𝗔𝗧𝗩𝗜𝗔𝗡 𝗛𝗘𝗗𝗚𝗘 𝗔𝗡𝗗 𝗧𝗛𝗘 𝗔𝗥𝗧𝗜𝗖𝗟𝗘 𝟱 𝗣𝗥𝗢𝗕𝗟𝗘𝗠 19 May 2026 BLUF: Russia's Foreign Intelligence Service (SVR) has formally claimed Ukraine is preparing strikes on Russian rear areas from Latvian territory.
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OSINT Intuit™ @urikikaski.bsky.social · 19/05/2026
🇺🇦🫡 The sound of freedom, Ukrainian-style, over Kstovo, Nizhny Novgorod Oblast, Modor. #OSINT #Unkraine
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OSINT Intuit™ @urikikaski.bsky.social · 19/05/2026
🇺🇸🇮🇱⚔️🇮🇷 𝗧𝗛𝗘 𝗙𝗢𝗥 𝗜𝗥𝗔𝗡 𝗖𝗟𝗢𝗖𝗞 𝗪𝗔𝗦 𝗧𝗜𝗖𝗞𝗜𝗡𝗚 BLUF: The stacked indicators over recent weeks pointed correctly. A planned strike on Iran was scheduled for today, 19 May. Ref: x.com/UKikaski/statu...
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OSINT Intuit™ @urikikaski.bsky.social · 18/05/2026
🇺🇸🇮🇱⚔️🇮🇷 𝗧𝗛𝗘 𝗖𝗟𝗢𝗖𝗞 𝗜𝗦 𝗧𝗜𝗖𝗞𝗜𝗡𝗚 BLUF: Stacked indicators point to a high probability of kinetic resumption against Iran within the week. Trump spoke with Netanyahu for 30 minutes on Sunday and a senior staff meeting on Iran is scheduled for Tuesday.
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OSINT Intuit™ @urikikaski.bsky.social · 18/05/2026
🇺🇦 𝗡𝗢 𝗦𝗔𝗙𝗘 𝗛𝗔𝗥𝗕𝗢𝗥 I wonder who the new commander of the Caspian Coast Guard will be. AFU deep-strike UAV forces struck a Russian Coast Guard Project 10410 Svetlyak-class patrol boat in the Caspian Sea. The reticle is from an FP-2 variant without aerial rockets. #OSINT #Ukraine
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OSINT Intuit™ @urikikaski.bsky.social · 18/05/2026
Model specimen from Russia's 13th Combined "Toiletless Steppes" Consanguineous Siblings Spetsnaz Battalion just before getting a drone to the face. Note his brother, literally, at arms, resting on the roadside, after a long day of capturing Berlin.
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OSINT Intuit™ @urikikaski.bsky.social · 18/05/2026
🇺🇦 💪 𝗨𝗞𝗥𝗔𝗜𝗡𝗘 | 𝗜𝗡𝗗𝗜𝗚𝗘𝗡𝗢𝗨𝗦 𝗚𝗨𝗜𝗗𝗘𝗗 𝗔𝗘𝗥𝗜𝗔𝗟 𝗕𝗢𝗠𝗕 Ukraine has announced the successful development and combat readiness of its first indigenous guided aerial bomb (unofficially referred to as the “Ukrainian KAB”).
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OSINT Intuit™ @urikikaski.bsky.social · 17/05/2026
⚠️🇸🇦 𝗦𝗔𝗨𝗗𝗜 𝗔𝗥𝗔𝗕𝗜𝗔 | 𝗗𝗥𝗢𝗡𝗘 𝗜𝗡𝗖𝗨𝗥𝗦𝗜𝗢𝗡 Saudi Arabia intercepted three drones entering from Iraqi airspace on Sunday. It appears the IRGC is directing its proxies to attack Gulf neighbors.
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OSINT Intuit™ @urikikaski.bsky.social · 17/05/2026
🇺🇦💪 𝗧𝗛𝗘 𝗪𝗔𝗥 𝗜𝗦 𝗥𝗘𝗧𝗨𝗥𝗡𝗜𝗡𝗚 𝗧𝗢 𝗜𝗧𝗦 𝗛𝗢𝗠𝗘 𝗣𝗢𝗥𝗧 President Zelensky: "Today, Ukraine's Defense Forces, our Security Service of Ukraine, and our intelligence carried out a very large-scale operation against the Moscow region.
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OSINT Intuit™ @urikikaski.bsky.social · 17/05/2026
⚠️🇨🇺🇷🇺🇮🇷 𝗖𝗨𝗕𝗔 | 𝗢𝗣𝗘𝗡 𝗡𝗢𝗧𝗜𝗖𝗘 𝗢𝗙 𝗧𝗛𝗘 𝗧𝗛𝗥𝗘𝗔𝗧 𝟵𝟬-𝗠𝗜𝗟𝗘𝗦 𝗢𝗙𝗙𝗦𝗛𝗢𝗥𝗘
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OSINT Intuit™ @urikikaski.bsky.social · 17/05/2026
🇺🇦🚀🎯 𝗠𝗔𝗚𝗬𝗔𝗥'𝗦 𝗕𝗜𝗥𝗗𝗦 | 𝗦𝗨𝗣𝗣𝗥𝗘𝗦𝗦, 𝗧𝗛𝗘𝗡 𝗦𝗧𝗥𝗜𝗞𝗘 BLUF: AFU drone doctrine continues to evolve.
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OSINT Intuit™ @urikikaski.bsky.social · 17/05/2026
🇮🇱💥🔥 𝗕𝗘𝗜𝗧 𝗦𝗛𝗘𝗠𝗘𝗦𝗛 | 𝗪𝗛𝗔𝗧 𝗧𝗢𝗠𝗘𝗥 𝗔𝗡𝗗 𝗧𝗛𝗘 𝗜𝗦𝗥𝗔𝗘𝗟𝗜 𝗚𝗢𝗩𝗘𝗥𝗡𝗠𝗘𝗡𝗧 𝗔𝗥𝗘 𝗡𝗢𝗧 𝗦𝗔𝗬𝗜𝗡𝗚 On 1 March, an Iranian ballistic missile struck the Ramat Lehi residential neighborhood in Beit Shemesh.
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OSINT Intuit™ @urikikaski.bsky.social · 16/05/2026
Occupied Crimea tonight... #OSINT #Ukraine
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OSINT Intuit™ @urikikaski.bsky.social · 16/05/2026
🇹🇼 𝗧𝗔𝗜𝗪𝗔𝗡 | 𝗪𝗛𝗔𝗧 𝗫𝗜 𝗚𝗢𝗧 𝗜𝗡 𝗕𝗘𝗜𝗝𝗜𝗡𝗚 Taiwan is a self-governing democracy of 24 million people sitting 160 kilometers off the coast of mainland China. Beijing claims it as sovereign territory and has never renounced the use of force to take it.
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OSINT Intuit™ @urikikaski.bsky.social · 16/05/2026
🇷🇺💥 𝗔𝗭𝗢𝗧 | 𝗦𝗧𝗥𝗜𝗞𝗘 𝗦𝗜𝗫 BLUF: Ukrainian drones struck Nevinnomyssky Azot in Nevinnomyssk, Stavropol Krai overnight on 15-16 May. This is at least the sixth confirmed attack on the facility since the full-scale invasion began.
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OSINT Intuit™ @urikikaski.bsky.social · 16/05/2026
🇵🇸⚰️ 𝗔𝗻𝗼𝘁𝗵𝗲𝗿 𝗢𝗻𝗲 𝗕𝗶𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗗𝘂𝘀𝘁 The IDF has confirmed the assassination of Izz al-Din al-Haddad adding that only two senior Hamas commanders who were in Gaza during the October 7 massacres are still living. #OSINT #Israel #Hamas
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OSINT Intuit™ @urikikaski.bsky.social · 16/05/2026
𝗕𝗘𝗟𝗔𝗥𝗨𝗦 𝗣𝗥𝗘𝗣𝗔𝗥𝗜𝗡𝗚 𝗙𝗢𝗥 𝗪𝗔𝗥 | 𝗣𝗨𝗧𝗜𝗡'𝗦 𝗪𝗔𝗥 𝗜𝗦 𝗡𝗢𝗧 𝗚𝗢𝗜𝗡𝗚 𝗧𝗢 𝗣𝗟𝗔𝗡 From the first day of the full-scale invasion, Lukashenko provided Russia with everything short of Belarusian soldiers. A short list includes:
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OSINT Intuit™ @urikikaski.bsky.social · 15/05/2026
Story of a Russian BE-200 jet-powered amphibious aircraft in four parts... Source: AFU | AviVector #OSINT #Ukraine
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OSINT Intuit™ @urikikaski.bsky.social · 15/05/2026
Oil rain from the refinery strike in Ryazan. The smoldering building was most likely hit by a Pantsir SAM. #OSINT #Ukraine
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OSINT Intuit™ @urikikaski.bsky.social · 15/05/2026
I wonder who the new Commander of the Caspian Flotilla will be. If the video of the strike on the Kaspiysk naval base is confirmed, the air defense response was impotent at best. #OSINT #Ukraine
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OSINT Intuit™ @urikikaski.bsky.social · 15/05/2026
Ukrainian unmanned systems forces conducted a strike earlier today on the Ryazan Oil Refining Company (АО "РНПК") in Ryazan, Russia, which is about 180 km southeast of Moscow. Location of Fire: 54.551368, 39.767503 #OSINT #Ukraine
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OSINT Intuit™ @urikikaski.bsky.social · 15/05/2026
🇷🇺💥🔥𝗗𝗮𝘆 𝗼𝗳 𝗟𝗼𝘀𝘀𝗲𝘀 (День Втрат) | 𝟭𝟱 𝗠𝗮𝘆 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟲 BLUF: Ukraine's Unmanned Systems Forces conducted coordinated deep strikes over the last 24 hours, hitting high-value Russian military assets across multiple theaters simultaneously. 1/6
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OSINT Intuit™ @urikikaski.bsky.social · 15/05/2026
The death toll from the Russian Kh-101 cruise missile strike on a residential building in Kyiv yesterday rose to 24, including three children, and 48 were injured. President Zelensky visited the site today to pay his respects. 1/3
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OSINT Intuit™ @urikikaski.bsky.social · 15/05/2026
Grozny, Chechnya, is currently under air strike alert. Carpet Plan was initiated for the region. Cue the Kadyrovite TikTokers... #OSINT #
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OSINT Intuit™ @urikikaski.bsky.social · 14/05/2026
🇺🇦 𝗧𝗲𝗿𝗿𝗼𝗿 𝗜𝘀 𝗡𝗼𝘁 𝗪𝗶𝗻𝗻𝗶𝗻𝗴 CNN is running a piece today on Russia's battlefield position in Ukraine. Russia is running out of steam. edition.cnn.com/2026... The analytical community has been tracking this picture for months. 1/4
edition.cnn.com
Russia’s winning streak in Ukraine is over | CNN
Last month, Ukraine managed to liberate more land than Russia seized – the first time Moscow suffered a net loss of territory since Ukraine’s 2024 Kursk incursion.
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OSINT Intuit™ @urikikaski.bsky.social · 14/05/2026
TG DroneBomber's evening map showing Ukrainian strike drones targeting Russia. t.me/dronbomber #OSINT #Ukraine
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OSINT Intuit™ @urikikaski.bsky.social · 14/05/2026
Hostile targets Identified in the Pskov region of Russia. There is a high probability the Leningrad (St. Petersburg) region of Russia is under threat of a drone strike. #OSINT #Ukraine
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OSINT Intuit™ @urikikaski.bsky.social · 14/05/2026
Moscow is currently under an air strike alert. Carpet plan is in effect. #OSINT #Ukrain
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OSINT Intuit™ @urikikaski.bsky.social · 14/05/2026
🇺🇦 𝗦𝘁𝗿𝗶𝗸𝗲 𝗼𝗻 𝗥𝗙 𝟰𝟭𝘀𝘁 𝗖𝗼𝗺𝗯𝗶𝗻𝗲𝗱 𝗔𝗿𝗺𝘀 𝗔𝗿𝗺𝘆 𝗖𝗼𝗺𝗺𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝗣𝗼𝘀𝘁 Ukrainian missile strike on a factory complex in occupied Donetsk used as the command post for RF's 41st Combined Arms Army, Central Military District with >30 killed, multiple wounded. #OSINT
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OSINT Intuit™ @urikikaski.bsky.social · 14/05/2026
"I have instructed the Ukrainian AFU and special services to propose possible scenarios for our response to th current Russian attack. Overall, in the waves of massive attacks on May 13 and 14, the Russians used 1,567 drones and 56 missiles of various types. Our drone interception rate was 94%. 1/2
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OSINT Intuit™ @urikikaski.bsky.social · 14/05/2026
Map of the ongoing large-scale Russian air strike campaign against Ukraine, which has continued almost uninterrupted since the expiration of the Kremlin’s unilateral ceasefire. Russia has launched >1,000 aerial weapons of various types thus far. Image: TG @StrategicaviationT #OSINT #Ukraine
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OSINT Intuit™ @urikikaski.bsky.social · 14/05/2026
🇺🇸🪖 𝗪𝗲 𝗛𝗮𝘃𝗲 𝗟𝗲𝗮𝗿𝗻𝗲𝗱 𝗩𝗲𝗿𝘆 𝗟𝗶𝘁𝘁𝗹𝗲 𝗶𝗻 𝟰 𝗬𝗲𝗮𝗿𝘀 Video of U.S. infantry training in Morocco. Positives: • USV | RCV integration with infantry demonstrates ongoing doctrinal experimentation 1/10
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OSINT Intuit™ @urikikaski.bsky.social · 14/05/2026
𝗥𝗘𝗦𝗨𝗟𝗧𝗦 𝗢𝗙 𝗠𝗔𝗬 𝟭𝟯 - 𝟭𝟰 𝗥𝗨𝗦𝗦𝗜𝗔𝗡 𝗔𝗜𝗥 𝗦𝗧𝗥𝗜𝗞𝗘 𝗢𝗡 𝗨𝗞𝗥𝗔𝗜𝗡𝗘 Strikes are still underway. Russia launched 56 missiles and 675 drones at Ukraine overnight. Air defense forces neutralized 693 targets as follows: 1/3
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OSINT Intuit™ @urikikaski.bsky.social · 14/05/2026
BLUF: Overnight May 13 - 14: Results of a Russian ballistic missile strike on a residential building in Kyiv. There are reports of persons trapped under the rubble. #OSINT #PutinIsAWarCriminal
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OSINT Intuit™ @urikikaski.bsky.social · 13/05/2026
⚠️𝗔𝗜𝗥 𝗥𝗔𝗜𝗗 𝗔𝗟𝗘𝗥𝗧 | 𝗨𝗣𝗗𝗔𝗧𝗘 Kremenchuck in the Poltava Oblast is under heavy attack from Iskander and Kinzhal ballistic missiles, possibly up to two Iskander-K cruise missiles, and 50 or more Shahed drones. Map: TG Monitor War #OSINT #Ukraine
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OSINT Intuit™ @urikikaski.bsky.social · 13/05/2026
⚠️𝗔𝗜𝗥 𝗥𝗔𝗜𝗗 𝗔𝗟𝗘𝗥𝗧 | 𝗨𝗣𝗗𝗔𝗧𝗘 If there are launches from the strategic bombers currently heading to the Caspian Sea box, expect arrivals in Ukrainian controlled-territory starting around 04:45 to 05:15 local (01:45 to 02:15 UTC). #OSINT #Ukraine
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