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Reposted by Ukraine Control Map

danspiun.bsky.social @danspiun.bsky.social · 23/06/2026

Vovchansk, mid June. Look at this, another🇷🇺hybrid bridging vehicle burnt by 🇺🇦57th Motorised Bde and 9th Recce Batt at 50.295148, 36.939199. Likely a folded out TMM-3 bridging section on some kind of truck, driven from up-top. @uacontrolmap.bsky.social @geoconfirmed.org youtube.com/watch?v=5Bwy...

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Ukraine Control Map @uacontrolmap.bsky.social · 03/05/2026

As demonstrated, that armament is... on paper only. Got to love that Russian CIWS...

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Ukraine Control Map @uacontrolmap.bsky.social · 20/04/2026

Good news, our data gathering should now pick these up! Huuzah! Thanks for this

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Reposted by Ukraine Control Map

Ikoma @amateurgeolocator.bsky.social · 14/04/2026

Another Russian pipeline assault in Sumy. They made it at least as far as the forested tract North of Nova Sich before being eliminated by 71st. 0:05 6-7 infantry present ~51.110758,34.917210 0:08 0:25 shelling 51.110747,34.918976 @uacontrolmap.bsky.social @geoconfirmed.org t.me/immitis71/1741

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Ukraine Control Map @uacontrolmap.bsky.social · 05/01/2026

It does have an impact but this specific thing isn't something to worry about. If they were churning out everything from their own small arms upwards, then yes it'd have more of an effect but for something small like drone and missiledrone production it's fine.

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Ukraine Control Map @uacontrolmap.bsky.social · 28/12/2025

53/ "Molon labe" - Come and take them - remains the reality facing anyone who believes Ukrainian land can be seized without consequence.

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Ukraine Control Map @uacontrolmap.bsky.social · 28/12/2025

52/ Ukraine has shown again it can endure territorial loss without losing the war. Even in 2025, Russia paid staggering human costs for gains that amounted to less than one percent of Ukrainian land. Terrain can be retaken and lives cannot.

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Ukraine Control Map @uacontrolmap.bsky.social · 28/12/2025

51/ We don't expect the diplomatic yap to achieve anything that is "good" for Ukraine, and we don't expect Russia to go for a diplomatic option unless it cripples Ukraine and tears it apart for easy pickings in future - Zelenskyy would be better off putting his efforts into bolstering his country.

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Ukraine Control Map @uacontrolmap.bsky.social · 28/12/2025

50/ In summary, we won't say "There's plenty of war left" for 2026 this time We can both see the critical weaknesses in both sides from a lack of manpower that isn't getting fixed on the Ukrainian side to the huge casualties and economic woes on the Russian side which also isn't getting fixed

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Ukraine Control Map @uacontrolmap.bsky.social · 28/12/2025

49/ Ukraine will likewise get struck by vast amounts of Russian long range strikes, which was going to happen anyway - but at least this time Ukraine can strike back.

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Ukraine Control Map @uacontrolmap.bsky.social · 28/12/2025

48/ On a strategic strike capability, Ukrainian forces now have far better capabilities via long range drones and targeting for striking deep inside Russia, causing billions of dollars of damage to the Russian war effort. This is expected to grow in 2026 raising the cost on Russia

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Ukraine Control Map @uacontrolmap.bsky.social · 28/12/2025

47/ The Western posture along with the lack of recruitment from many Ukrainians cripples Ukraine's ability to regain significant territory and emboldens Putin, but it can very much continue to deny Russia success.

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Ukraine Control Map @uacontrolmap.bsky.social · 28/12/2025

46/ In summary - Entering 2026, the conflict remains attritional for both sides. US military assistance isn't expected to grow, and European policy remains fragmented but with some extremely bright areas, such as funding being announced for a further two years and increased production.

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Ukraine Control Map @uacontrolmap.bsky.social · 28/12/2025

45/ Ukrainian commanders pretending the situation is under control when it's blatantly not, Russians pretending to have captured an area like Kupyansk when they blatantly hadn't - and were quickly shown otherwise.

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Ukraine Control Map @uacontrolmap.bsky.social · 28/12/2025

44/ One key aspect that's tied both sides together in getting worse is the amount of misinformation - not to deceive the enemy, but to cover their own arse and in the process really cripping their own war effort.

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Ukraine Control Map @uacontrolmap.bsky.social · 28/12/2025

43/ Ukraine on the other hand has focused on it's Corps system, which still isn't working effectively with units often out of place and makes you wonder why they did it at all. Many Ukrainian TDF Brigades were reorganised and have linearised the battalions to 1st to 6th battalion

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Ukraine Control Map @uacontrolmap.bsky.social · 28/12/2025

42/ Both sides have shaken up their orders of battles. Russia for example, has upgraded numerous Brigades to Division level, and also upped at least two Naval Infantry Brigades to Division size.

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Ukraine Control Map @uacontrolmap.bsky.social · 28/12/2025

41/ Russian advances remain incremental and very casualty-intensive, indicating that Ukraine's defenses, while heavily strained, are still functioning at the moment but this is not guaranteed in future.

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Ukraine Control Map @uacontrolmap.bsky.social · 28/12/2025

40/ The key thing to focus on is getting those manpower numbers up and ensuring the personnel are trained. Without fixing this (and we truly do not expect them to fix it, after having harped on about it for a long time), the front-line will continue to erode.

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Ukraine Control Map @uacontrolmap.bsky.social · 28/12/2025

39/ Fractures in the military have appeared but not on the same levels as Russia - and anti corruption methods in Ukraine are beginning to work with many high profile cases coming to light.

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Ukraine Control Map @uacontrolmap.bsky.social · 28/12/2025

38/ Ukrainian issues this year are pretty much the same as last year - a huge manpower deficit, and huge AWOL numbers from training centers. And as we've always said, if Ukrainians aren't willing to fight, then they'll become Russian and they'll like that even less.

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Ukraine Control Map @uacontrolmap.bsky.social · 28/12/2025

37/ Around 100,000 KIA is our estimate for the year alone bringing us to around 300k total KIA for the war, and who knows how many hundreds of thousands of wounded. Fractures in the military continue, with high levels of 'accidents', corruption and fratricide amongst their own troops.

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Ukraine Control Map @uacontrolmap.bsky.social · 28/12/2025

36/ Russian issues this year that have cropped up continue to be the high casualty rate, and low training quality resulting in said higher losses.

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Ukraine Control Map @uacontrolmap.bsky.social · 28/12/2025

35/ EU funding via loan was also agreed for two more years, which takes some pressure off and allows longer term planning. It does seem that some in Ukraine are finally realising this is an existential war though, and acting accordingly.

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Ukraine Control Map @uacontrolmap.bsky.social · 28/12/2025

34/ Huge increase and usage of interceptor drones, large improvements to their air force with Western aircraft finally arriving in decent number, and - this is key - an accurate and very dangerous weapon in the form of better FP-1 and FP-2 drones allowing for strikes deep inside Russia.

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Ukraine Control Map @uacontrolmap.bsky.social · 28/12/2025

33/ Improvements for Ukraine seen this year are better built defences, huge focus on drone combat with the introduction of the Unmanned Systems Forces which produce huge casualties, proven on camera.

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Ukraine Control Map @uacontrolmap.bsky.social · 28/12/2025

32/ They've also simply accepted that they can't do complicated manouvers or achieve significant breakthroughs, and thus have become better at enduring and absorbing losses, and grinding forward under drone-saturated conditions.

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Ukraine Control Map @uacontrolmap.bsky.social · 28/12/2025

31/ Manpower management has allowed Russia to maintain their force levels through recruitment via coercion and lucrative contracts, resulting in a normalization of high attrition as the cost of advance.

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Ukraine Control Map @uacontrolmap.bsky.social · 28/12/2025

30/ Improvements for Russia seen this year include Russia forces have dramatically improved their kill chain for missile strikes, and as keeping up a strong VKS sortie rate, and have also dramatically increased their drone usage. Their production continues mostly unhindered

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Ukraine Control Map @uacontrolmap.bsky.social · 28/12/2025

29/ We also saw a rarity for the occupied territories at the end of August, where resistance members managed to set fire to dry grass near a 35th Combined Arms Army headquarters, which led to the fire spreading and killing 18 officers in the post, one of the most successful resistance activities

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Ukraine Control Map @uacontrolmap.bsky.social · 28/12/2025

28/ The US rolled out the red carpet for Vladimir Putin in Alaska in August 2025, firmly cementing US presidential (if not government wide) policy against Ukraine.

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Ukraine Control Map @uacontrolmap.bsky.social · 28/12/2025

27/ At the start of August, Ukraine began their refinery campaign in earnest with new drones and lessons learned from previous strikes, with barely a night going by without a strike on oil or power infrastructure.

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Ukraine Control Map @uacontrolmap.bsky.social · 28/12/2025

26/ Other key events included: On June 1st, the SBU conducts Operation Pavutýna/ Spiderweb, where prepositioned drones from containers were released near numerous military airfields, to conduct drone strikes on the strategic bomber fleet. This destroyed at least 4 Tu-22M3 and 7 Tu-95MS

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Ukraine Control Map @uacontrolmap.bsky.social · 28/12/2025

25/ Numerous attempts by Russian in western Zaporizhia this year resulted in numerous losses near Mala Tokmachka and Robotyne, but resulted in failure. The only small change here is Kamianske fell to Russian hands, and fighting moved to Stepnohirsk.

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Ukraine Control Map @uacontrolmap.bsky.social · 28/12/2025

24/ The next few months were a retreat for Ukrainian forces who utterly failed to hold the rivers east of Hulyaipole, & just barely managed to sort out a defence west of Hulyaipole. This was Russians most significant success with very few casualties this year & highlighted a huge weakness in Ukraine

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Ukraine Control Map @uacontrolmap.bsky.social · 28/12/2025

23/ Over the course of the next year, Russian forces pushed Ukraine out of western Donetsk and entered Zaporizhia from the east, and also entered Dnipropetrovsk oblast.

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Ukraine Control Map @uacontrolmap.bsky.social · 28/12/2025

22/ At the start of the year, Russian forces had reached south of Pokrovsk, but were stopped, and were instead pushing towards west Donetsk, and continued Kurakhove and Velyka Novosilka, which was captured in January.

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Ukraine Control Map @uacontrolmap.bsky.social · 28/12/2025

21/ At Christmas, Ukraine withdrew from Myrnohrad as positions to the north were increasingly untenable and Russian forces finally moved in.

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Ukraine Control Map @uacontrolmap.bsky.social · 28/12/2025

20/ Ukraine didn't learn from the lying bit, and subsequently lost numerous positions inside Pokrovsk during Summer and Autumn which has resulted in the settlement being contested (though majority Russian) ever since.

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Ukraine Control Map @uacontrolmap.bsky.social · 28/12/2025

19/ East of Pokrovsk in the Dobropillya direction, Ukrainian lies regarding which positions they held resulted in a large breach of the defences that Russia poured into in early August, resulting in a large loss of land which took a few months to resolve.

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Ukraine Control Map @uacontrolmap.bsky.social · 28/12/2025

18/ Onto the main Russian effort at Pokrovsk now. Heavy fighting in this area continued through the year, with crippling manpower issues styming Ukraine, and Russian rotating in new units time and time again, including new Marine and Air Assault Divisions.

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Ukraine Control Map @uacontrolmap.bsky.social · 28/12/2025

17/ Heavy fighting continued at Chasiv Yar, and in Toretsk. Over the course of the year, Russian forces finally captured Toretsk and some villages surrounding it but heavy fighting goes on in the Kostyantynivka direction. It is one of the most recorded & geolocated areas in the entire war

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Ukraine Control Map @uacontrolmap.bsky.social · 28/12/2025

16/ One other notable event about this was the very well executed Ukrainian withdrawal from the Serebryanka forest area south west of Kreminna / north of Bilohorivka that had held for two years - as soon as it became untenable, Ukraine managed a withdrawal in good order.

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Ukraine Control Map @uacontrolmap.bsky.social · 28/12/2025

15/ In the Siversk direction, Ukrainian defences were gradually ground down over the year, resulting in Siversk being lost in early December. A grand total of just 12 kilometers taken in a straight line here over the course of the year.

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Ukraine Control Map @uacontrolmap.bsky.social · 28/12/2025

14/ Russian forces reached Lyman, and took Yampil before Ukrainian forces managed to stop them yet again, but simply don't have the manpower to conduct counterattacks.

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Ukraine Control Map @uacontrolmap.bsky.social · 28/12/2025

13/ At Lyman, heavy mechanized attacks continued at Torske and Zarichne, and infiltrations to the north allowed Russian forces to create a salient west of Terny. Ukrainian forces were unable to stop the salient, and eventually were pushed back here.

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Ukraine Control Map @uacontrolmap.bsky.social · 28/12/2025

12/ ...Ukraine was on the verge of regaining full control with remarkably low casualties for a city of its size, and Zelenskyy popped over for a selfie at the Kupyansk stele outside the city. It took until late December for Russia to finally acknowledge that they'd really fucked it.

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Ukraine Control Map @uacontrolmap.bsky.social · 28/12/2025

11/ Ukraine then demonstrated notable operational discipline, retaking multiple villages and re-entering the city without the usual fanfare. In an interesting episode, Gerasimov claimed Kupyansk had fallen to Putin himself, only for geolocation data to show the opposite...

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Ukraine Control Map @uacontrolmap.bsky.social · 28/12/2025

10/ At Kupyansk, Ukraine suffered a serious setback at first. Despite clear OSINT warnings, Ukrainian command assurances masked a growing problem as Russian infantry crossed the Oskil into villages north and eventually into Kupyansk itself. Only in autumn were these warnings realised & acted upon.

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