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Tzvi Machlin @tzvi.bsky.social · 13/10/2026

We're one month out from the Kyushu basho so I figured I'd just give my pre-banzuke odds to illustrate how I'm feeling. November 2026 yusho odds: Onosato 35% Aonishiki 16% Kirishima 15% Fujinokawa 12% Atamifuji 12% The Field 10% #sumo

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Tzvi Machlin @tzvi.bsky.social · 26/09/2026

Didn’t see this coming. Onosato still has a hand on the Cup but Aonishiki now has a hand on the other side. The final bout of the day decides the tournament. Can’t wait. Day 15 September yusho odds: Onosato 80% Aonishiki 20% #sumo

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Tzvi Machlin @tzvi.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

Atamifuji's Ozeki dream is crumbling. One more loss and he starts over. Meanwhile, Onosato still has one hand on the cup but the grip slipped at the hands of Kirishima. Will he secure it today or will it come down to Day 15? Day 14 September yusho odds: Onosato 92% Aonishiki 6% The Field 2% #sumo

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Tzvi Machlin @tzvi.bsky.social · 24/09/2026

Onosato has one hand on the cup after handing Atamifuji his 4th loss and ending his hopes of promotion next basho. He could clinch the cup tonight with a win over Kirishima and losses by the 3 chasers. 2 wins in the last 3 and it's his. Day 13 September yusho odds: Onosato 95% The Field 5% #sumo

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Tzvi Machlin @tzvi.bsky.social · 23/09/2026

Losses by all three of the guys one off the pace lost while our Yokozuna won. We might have our first yusho since mid-2025 that isn't decided on the final day. Day 12 September yusho odds: Onosato 90% Atamifuji 5% Aonishiki 4% The Field 1% #sumo

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Tzvi Machlin @tzvi.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

Churanoumi gets pushed out of the ring and out of the contenders list. Onosato continues to surge, as do the two sekiwake. Kinbozan is partying like it's January 2025. Day 11 September yusho odds: Onosato 47% Atamifuji 27% Fujinokawa 16% Kinbozan 7% The Field 3% #sumo

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Tzvi Machlin @tzvi.bsky.social · 21/09/2026

And then there were five. Onosato continues to dominate but we’ve still got a few guys that are surging and hot on his heels. Day 10 September yusho odds: Onosato 45% Atamifuji 25% Fujinokawa 15% Churanoumi 6% Kinbozan 6% The Field 3% #sumo

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Tzvi Machlin @tzvi.bsky.social · 20/09/2026

Something worth mentioning as this Aki #sumo basho continues: Yokozuna Onosato AVERAGES over 12 wins per basho in September. September 2023: 12-3 at Juryo 14e September 2024: 13-2Y at S1w September 2025: 13-2Y at Y1e September 2026: ???? - currently 7-1

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Tzvi Machlin @tzvi.bsky.social · 20/09/2026

A surging Churanoumi drops Kirishima on the ground, out of the title race and out of Yokozuna contention. 9 are still in the hunt. Day 9 September yusho odds: Onosato 40% Atamifuji 20% Kotozakura 18% Fujinokawa 8% Toshinofuji 5% Asanoyama 2% Churanoumi 2% Kinbozan 2% Ura 2% The Field 1% #sumo

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Tzvi Machlin @tzvi.bsky.social · 19/09/2026

5 rikishi drop out of the lead last night leaving Onosato and Kotozakura(????) in charge. We've reached the midway point and there's still plenty of time for someone to rally from behind though. Day 8 September yusho odds: Onosato 30% Kotozakura 25% Kirishima 20% Atamifuji 18% The Field 7% #sumo

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Tzvi Machlin @tzvi.bsky.social · 18/09/2026

Sensational bouts between Kirishima-Yoshinofuji and Aonishiki-Fujinokawa. Two must-sees. The title field is starting to crystalize... Day 7 September yusho odds: Atamifuji 28% Onosato 25% Kotozakura 20% Kirishima 15% The Field 12% #sumo

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Tzvi Machlin @tzvi.bsky.social · 17/09/2026

Welp, Aonishiki loses to Gonoyama and is probably heading kyujo soon. Kotozakura loses which gives us a 9-way tie at the top. Chaos in the rankings and it's only day 6! Day 6 September yusho odds: Onosato 24% Atamifuji 24% Kirishima 24% Kotozakura 15% The Field 13% #sumo

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Tzvi Machlin @tzvi.bsky.social · 16/09/2026

Aonishiki beats Hakunofuji but the gyoji pointed the wrong way and nobody noticed. Bad break. Meanwhile, Kotozakura is now the sole leader after 4 days. Didn't see that coming... Day 5 September yusho odds: Aonishiki 20% Onosato 18% Atamifuji 18% Kirishima 18% Kotozakura 18% The Field 8% #sumo

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Tzvi Machlin @tzvi.bsky.social · 15/09/2026

Me and my big mouth. Atamifuji and Kirishima both suffer their maiden losses of the tournament. But keep an eye on Kotozakura, who seems to have his mobility back. Day 4 September yusho odds: Aonishiki 27% Onosato 25% Atamifuji 15% Kirishima 15% Kotozakura 10% The Field 8% #sumo

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Tzvi Machlin @tzvi.bsky.social · 15/09/2026

Atamifuji manhandles Churanoumi and has me agreeing with Hiro Morita: He looks like an Ozeki. 12+ wins seems doable, but can he add an Emperor's Cup to this incredible year he's had? Day 3 September yusho odds: Aonishiki 25% Atamifuji 23% Kirishima 20% Onosato 20% The Field 12% #sumo

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Tzvi Machlin @tzvi.bsky.social · 13/09/2026

On Day 1, all 6 of the Yokozuna, Ozeki and Sekiwake got wins. Surprisingly, Onosato looked the shakiest and even got called out for it by the NHK announcer. But a win's a win. Day 2 September yusho odds: Aonishiki 25% Kirishima 20% Atamifuji 20% Onosato 18% The Field 17% #sumo

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Tzvi Machlin @tzvi.bsky.social · 12/09/2026

It's finally here! The Aki basho! I'd call it the Fall Classic but it doesn't feel Fall outside yet... September 2026 yusho odds: Aonishiki 25% Onosato 20% Kirishima 20% Atamifuji 20% The Field 15% Previewing the September basho on the New To #Sumo podcast: youtu.be/fp-KzmDun5k?...

youtu.be

September 2026 Basho PREVIEW | Injuries, Yokozuna Runs & a New-Look Sanyaku | New to Sumo Podcast

YouTube video by New to Sumo Podcast

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Tzvi Machlin @tzvi.bsky.social · 22/08/2026

Not finalized since the official banzuke isn't even out yet, but this is kinda where I'm leaning right now for sumo odds in September. September 2026 yusho odds: Onosato 25% Kirishima 25% Aonishiki 25% Atamifuji 15% The Field 10% #sumo

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Tzvi Machlin @tzvi.bsky.social · 29/07/2026

Wrapped up the July #sumo tournament on the New To Sumo podcast. Recapping July and briefly previewing September: youtu.be/s8DXlZ3XpqQ?...

youtu.be

July 2026 Basho RECAP | Epic Final Day Betwen Kirishima, Atamifuji & Aonishiki | New to Sumo Podcast

YouTube video by New to Sumo Podcast

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Tzvi Machlin @tzvi.bsky.social · 25/07/2026

Championship Sunday. If Aonishiki beats Atamifuji, the title is his. If Atamifuji wins, it sets up a playoff. Kirishima can be part of that playoff if he beats Kotozakura. Who takes the Cup? Day 15 July yusho odds: Aonishiki 40% Atamifuji 30% Kirishima 30% #sumo #sumospoilers

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Tzvi Machlin @tzvi.bsky.social · 25/07/2026

Kirishima will get a freebie win from kyujo Yokozuna Hoshoryu that keeps him in the title race heading into Day 15. #sumo

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Tzvi Machlin @tzvi.bsky.social · 24/07/2026

5 contenders remain. Aonishiki beats Kirishima, Shishi and Takerufuji lose and Atamifuji beats Hoshoryu to set up a wild finish. Losses by Kotoeiho and Takayasu knock them out. Day 14 July yusho odds: Kirishima 25% Aonishiki 23% Atamifuji 22% Takerufuji 20% Shishi 10% #sumo #sumospoilers

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Tzvi Machlin @tzvi.bsky.social · 23/07/2026

Predicting #sumo leaderboard opponents for the final few days. Day 13 (set): Kirishima vs. Aonishiki - Kirishima Takerufuji vs. Onosato - Takerufuji Shishi vs. Kotozakura - Kotozakura Day 14: Kirishima vs. Shishi - Kirishima Takerufuji vs. Aonishiki - Takerufuji (1/2)

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Tzvi Machlin @tzvi.bsky.social · 23/07/2026

Aonishiki loses to Kotoshoho and gives us a 4-way tie for first. Curiously, the JSA gave two contenders over to the struggling Yokozuna, both of whom could go kyujo today. Day 13 July 2026 yusho odds: Kirishima 36% Takerufuji 25% Shishi 15% Atamifuji 10% Aonishiki 9% Kotoeiho 5% #sumo

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Tzvi Machlin @tzvi.bsky.social · 22/07/2026

Shishi and Kotoeiho deliver the bout of the basho and Shishi comes out on top. Meanwhile, Aonishiki beats Gonoyama (with a hairpull?) and hits 10 wins, securing a return to Ozeki. Day 12 July 2026 yusho odds: Kirishima 33% Takerufuji 18% Aonishiki 16% Shishi 14% Kotoeiho 13% The Field 6% #sumo

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Tzvi Machlin @tzvi.bsky.social · 21/07/2026

Aonishiki beats both Yokozuna on 1 leg while Kotoeiho continues to dominate the rank-and-file. I see a yusho in Kotoeiho's future if Kirishima stumbles. Day 11 July 2026 yusho odds: Kirishima 28% Kotoeiho 27% Takerufuji 13% Shishi 11% Aonishiki 11% The Field 10% #sumo

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Tzvi Machlin @tzvi.bsky.social · 20/07/2026

Chaos at the top leave two low Maegashira and a severely injured Aonishiki atop the leaderboard. We’ve got a WILD week ahead. Day 10 July 2026 yusho odds: Kirishima 25% Kotoeiho 25% Hoshoryu 15% Shishi 12% Takerufuji 12% Hakunofuji 11% The Field 10%

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Tzvi Machlin @tzvi.bsky.social · 19/07/2026

Kotoeiho and Shishi are looking great but Aonishiki still has me very worried with a surging Onosato today. Kirishima's gauntlet run starts soon. Day 9 July 2026 yusho odds: Kirishima 33% Hoshoryu 22% Kotoeiho 16% Takerufuji 10% Hakunofuji 10% Onosato 4% Shishi 3% The Field 2% #sumo

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Tzvi Machlin @tzvi.bsky.social · 18/07/2026

Shishi loses and we now have a 7-way tie for first at the midway mark. Aonishiki is in the mix but that ankle injury looks like a ticking time bomb. Day 8 July 2026 yusho odds: Kirishima 30% Hoshoryu 16% Kotoeiho 15% Takerufuji 12% Atamifuji 12% Aonishiki 8% The Field 7% #sumo

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Tzvi Machlin @tzvi.bsky.social · 17/07/2026

Shishi is now sole leader and might steal a title à la Kotoshoho last July. Hoshoryu gets tripped up and gets his 2nd loss. So much for that first Yokozuna yusho. Day 7 July 2026 yusho odds: Kirishima 28% Hakunofuji 16% Hoshoryu 14% Daieisho 12% Shishi 10% Kotoeiho 10% The Field 10% #sumo

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Tzvi Machlin @tzvi.bsky.social · 16/07/2026

Kirishima falls to Hiradoumi and his Yokozuna bid ends there. Wakanosho and Shishi remain unbeaten but I’m still skeptical. Aonishiki got hurt and will start losing. Day 6 July 2026 yusho odds: Hoshoryu 25% Kirishima 25% Wakanosho 15% Aonishiki 15% Atamifuji 10% The Field 10% #sumo

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Tzvi Machlin @tzvi.bsky.social · 15/07/2026

It’s the Revenge of the Komusubi as Yoshinofuji and Oho both upset Aonishiki and Kotoshoho. Onosato gets his third loss and will surely bow out soon. Day 5 July 2026 yusho odds: Kirishima 30% Hoshoryu 20% Aonishiki 18% Kotozakura 12% Atamifuji 10% Kotoshoho 6% The Field 4% #sumo

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Tzvi Machlin @tzvi.bsky.social · 14/07/2026

Fujinokawa claims yet another Yokozuna scalp, making four in the last 3 basho. Is he that good or are our Yokozuna just that vulnerable? Our sekiwake and Kirishima stay unbeaten. Day 4 July 2026 yusho odds: Kirishima 28% Aonishiki 20% Hoshoryu 15% Atamifuji 15% Kotoshoho 12% The Field 10% #sumo

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Tzvi Machlin @tzvi.bsky.social · 13/07/2026

Onosato falls to Fujinokawa and the odds of him going kyujo soar. The rest of the san'yaku are doing their jobs. Hoshoryu, Aonishiki and Kotozakura all look healthy! Day 3 July 2026 yusho odds: Kirishima 25% Hoshoryu 22% Aonishiki 18% Atamifuji 12% Yoshinofuji 10% Kotozakura 10% The Field 3% #sumo

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Tzvi Machlin @tzvi.bsky.social · 12/07/2026

A damn good first day of action to the July basho. 7 of our 9 san'yaku won and cleaned up against the rank-and-file. Onosato though... I'm seeing kyujo in his future. Day 2 July 2026 yusho odds: Kirishima 22% Yoshinofuji 20% Hoshoryu 20% Aonishiki 16% Atamifuji 11% The Field 11% #sumo

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Tzvi Machlin @tzvi.bsky.social · 10/07/2026

Previewing the July basho on the New To Sumo podcast. youtu.be/x81Agg_g4IQ?... July 2026 yusho odds: Kirishima 20% Yoshinofuji 15% Hoshoryu 15% Onosato 15% Aonishiki 15% Atamifuji 10% The Field 10% #sumo

youtu.be

July 2026 Basho PREVIEW | Wide Open Yusho Race & Injury Questions | New to Sumo Podcast

YouTube video by New to Sumo Podcast

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Tzvi Machlin @tzvi.bsky.social · 23/05/2026

Called it. Kirishima goes down on Day 15 and now things get interesting. We could get an outright winner, a san'yaku playoff or a 5-6 man playoff. Stay up late for this one! Day 15 May yusho odds: Kirishima 47% Wakatakakage 43% Yoshinofuji 5% Fujiryoga 3% Hakunofuji 1% Kotoeiho <1% Ura <1% #sumo

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Tzvi Machlin @tzvi.bsky.social · 22/05/2026

Day 13 was by far the best day of the basho. This one will go down to the wire. We now get a 7-man Makushita playoff too! I predict Hakunofuji upsets Kirishima on Day 14 to give us pure chaos on Day 15! Day 14 May yusho odds: Kirishima 55% Wakatakakage 25% Yoshinofuji 15% Kotoeiho 5% #sumo

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Tzvi Machlin @tzvi.bsky.social · 21/05/2026

And then there were 3... days to go. Kirishima and Kotoeiho co-lead and fight for the sole lead tonight. Meanwhile, is that URA I'm seeing one off the pace??? Day 13 May yusho odds: Kirishima 50% Wakatakakage 22% Kotoeiho 20% Yoshinofuji 5% Tobizaru 2% Ura URA% (He's No. 1) #sumo

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Tzvi Machlin @tzvi.bsky.social · 21/05/2026

M10e Asanoyama and O1e Kotozakura both go kyujo on Day 12. As it relates to the title race, Kotoeiho gets a freebie over a guy he's never beaten and retains a share of the lead; Kirishima now gets one less mandatory fight and will probably battle Kotoeiho AND Tobizaru on Days 13-14. #sumo

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Tzvi Machlin @tzvi.bsky.social · 20/05/2026

The leaderboard gets cut in half after losses by Wakatakakage, Gonoyama and Fujiryoga, but we still have at least 9 guys in contention with four days to go. Day 12 May yusho odds: Kirishima 45% Wakatakakage 20% Kotoeiho 15% Yoshinofuji 8% Tobizaru 7% Gonoyama 3% The Field 2% #sumo

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Tzvi Machlin @tzvi.bsky.social · 19/05/2026

Shodai the Lord of Chaos lives up to his name and slaps down Kirishima. We have a SIX-way tie for first and 4 more off by 1 with 5 days left. 6 contenders are M10 or worse... Day 11 May yusho odds: Kirishima 40% Wakatakakage 30% Gonoyama 10% Kotoeiho 10% Fujiryoga 5% Tobizaru 3% The Field 2% #sumo

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Tzvi Machlin @tzvi.bsky.social · 18/05/2026

And just like that Kirishima is back as sole leader after crushing Wakamotoharu out (and suffering a bloody bump on the forehead for the effort). Things are VERY tight. Day 10 May yusho odds: Kirishima 55% Wakatakakage 25% Kotoshoho 6% Fujiryoga 5% Gonoyama 5% Kotoeiho 3% The Field 1% #sumo

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Tzvi Machlin @tzvi.bsky.social · 18/05/2026

After a week of living on the edge, Gonoyama pushes Kirishima over it and gives us a tight race. I’m not having fun with what I’m seeing. Day 9 May yusho odds: Kirishima 49% Wakatakakage 33% Tobizaru 10% The Field 8% #sumo

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Tzvi Machlin @tzvi.bsky.social · 16/05/2026

If there's ever been a less convincing 7-0 start from a prohibitive yusho favorite I haven't seen it, but Kirishima is getting it done. Tobizaru could be making a run here... Day 8 May yusho odds: Kirishima 65% Wakatakakage 24% Kotoeiho 7% Tobizaru 3% The Field 1% #sumo

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Tzvi Machlin @tzvi.bsky.social · 15/05/2026

Kirishima pulls victory from the jaws of defeat vs Oho and is now our sole unbeaten thanks to some Ura magic over Kotoeiho. The other contenders are emerging though. 5 are within 1, another 7 within 2. Day 7 May yusho odds: Kirishima 63% Wakatakakage 20% Fujiryoga 9% Kotoeiho 6% The Field 2% #sumo

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Tzvi Machlin @tzvi.bsky.social · 14/05/2026

A first-ever 5-0 start for Kirishima bodes well but more dominance would be nice. Kotoeiho (not to be confused with Kotoshoho) is also dominating the lower maegashira right now. Another six guys are 4-1. Sheesh. Day 6 May yusho odds: Kirishima 58% Wakatakakage 20% KotoEIHO 15% The Field 7% #sumo

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Tzvi Machlin @tzvi.bsky.social · 13/05/2026

Another day, another san'yaku pulls out. This time it's Takayasu, ending his longest streak without an absence in years. Kotoshoho looks superb and might copy what bro did in July. Opportunity knocks. Day 5 May yusho odds: Kirishima 56% Wakatakakage 26% Kotoshoho 10% The Field 8% #sumo

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