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Fantasy Football Trout

@trout-post.com
2.2K followers 286 following 130 posts

Building @solioanalytics

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Fantasy Football Trout @trout-post.com · 02/12/2025
FH14 - A New Frontier 😊 www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ftov...
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Fantasy Football Trout @trout-post.com · 18/08/2025
I thought my FPL ID this year was my worst ever, until.... 🤯🤯🤯
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Fantasy Football Trout @trout-post.com · 15/08/2025
GW1 🔒
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Fantasy Football Trout @trout-post.com · 01/02/2025
Hi there! Really sorry for missing this til now, I have been offline the last few weeks. Yes, I have done analysis on player correlations! Here are some very rough numbers you can use for mean correlations for assets in the same match.
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Fantasy Football Trout @trout-post.com · 11/12/2024
Sweaty gimp/Dell Inspiron lifestyle is in fact very fun 🥵🧑‍🍳
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Fantasy Football Trout @trout-post.com · 05/12/2024
Really enjoyed @anthony.football's
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Fantasy Football Trout @trout-post.com · 02/12/2024
Since my WC, my rank has improved twentyfold. Am I ranked higher than you? Am I better than you? Now you know why
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Fantasy Football Trout @trout-post.com · 02/12/2024
In GW9, all Elite 64 members owned Haaland. I WCd into a team without him. I did this not because of any analytics/optimisation insight, but bc City's years of corrupt organisational ethics were bound to result in Haaland kicking the ball with the wrong part of his foot, sometimes even his ankle
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Fantasy Football Trout @trout-post.com · 26/11/2024
Agreed But also, maybe "not real" does not imply "not useful" 🧐
Scatter plot demonstrating no correlation between first-half vs second-half points minus EV outcomes in the 2021/22 season
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Fantasy Football Trout @trout-post.com · 23/11/2024
GW12 Interesting decision made this week on Lewis -> Digne or roll. The immediate points are worth slightly less than the FT, but this is clearly the best opportunity I'll get to remove Lewis before GW17 and he could continue to plummet in value over the next several GWs. (VC is accidental)
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Fantasy Football Trout @trout-post.com · 22/11/2024
🐟🤓🤨👨‍🚀🐜
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Fantasy Football Trout @trout-post.com · 20/11/2024
Oof
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Fantasy Football Trout @trout-post.com · 17/11/2024
Introduce yourself with four records
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Fantasy Football Trout @trout-post.com · 17/11/2024
@anthony.football's is well worth the anticipation 👑
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Fantasy Football Trout @trout-post.com · 17/11/2024
Maybe not for Review specifically, but for linear solver sickos I highly recommend setting an ITB constraint which only activates after the first future transfer in the plan 🤓 You can do something like the following, where `transfer_made_yet` is binary, `y` is a binary aux variable and `m` is large
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Fantasy Football Trout @trout-post.com · 16/11/2024
Post a picture you took to bring some zen to the skyline.
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Fantasy Football Trout @trout-post.com · 16/11/2024
For anyone interested, here are some results from a study I did a few years ago Each dot represents projected pts yielded from 50 play-throughs of randomised versions of @fplreview.com's 20/21 data, with a decay rate (α) and FT value (β) selected using Bayesian optimisation (8 GW horizon)
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Fantasy Football Trout @trout-post.com · 15/11/2024
🌚
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Fantasy Football Trout @trout-post.com · 15/11/2024
I love drifting off to the slow cascade of solver output 🥱 In fact, I seldom sleep without it The algorithmic lullaby calms my soul. With every passing moment the only certainty is progress towards the global optimal. By the time I wake the duality gap will be zero, but not before I close my eyes
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Fantasy Football Trout @trout-post.com · 15/11/2024
Becoming increasingly convinced that this is the next bitcoin
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Fantasy Football Trout @trout-post.com · 15/11/2024
In general, across recent seasons, you can buy just over 0.3 points per GW for £1m, on average. Therefore, +0.1 budget in GW1 tends to be worth around 1.2 points over the whole season. Currently (before GW12), the value of £1m is relatively high, at about 0.35 points (have a zoomed-out picture too)
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Fantasy Football Trout @trout-post.com · 15/11/2024
- Purchase power hit its highest before GW2 of 22-23, when both Haaland and Salah were essential, and the game lacked budget enablers - This fell to an all-time low in the final GW of 22-23, when managers could afford near-optimal teams with normal budgets (@anthony.football's teams for reference)
A bad FPL team containing Salah and HaalandA bad FPL team containing Salah and some other guys
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Fantasy Football Trout @trout-post.com · 15/11/2024
FPL inflation: How has value for money changed across recent seasons? This plot tracks how many additional points you can buy each GW with an a £1m higher budget, since the start of 2021-22 📈
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Fantasy Football Trout @trout-post.com · 15/11/2024
Sorry to disappoint 😞 He is back in the green now! Maybe it's part of his cycle? Just takes a few years to settle in at new clubs 🤔
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Fantasy Football Trout @trout-post.com · 15/11/2024
Enjoy it, you only get to be described as "fresh-faced" once. Give it a couple of years, you'll be grizzled and fame-hardended.
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Fantasy Football Trout @trout-post.com · 13/11/2024
FPL FACT of the day The kits are off-center. They are not in the middle of their stupid little cards. Why are they not in the middle
A screenshot of an FPL team
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