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traviscosw.bsky.social @traviscosw.bsky.social · 24/09/2025

Rainfall estimates from HRRR model: Total precipitation is very spotty, if you are fortunate, you might get .1" of rain, though some isolated spots may get up to 1" per this model. Overall, it just doesn't look very promising

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traviscosw.bsky.social @traviscosw.bsky.social · 24/09/2025

Latest HRRR run for today is a bit underwhelming. A broken line of storms moves thru beginning around 11 am this morning. Most of whatever develops looks like it will be out of here by midafternoon. The bright side of this is that the weather should be cooler behind this front.

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traviscosw.bsky.social @traviscosw.bsky.social · 25/06/2025

Thunderstorms are popping up along an outflow boundary moving east to west. Some gusty winds and some lightning are the biggest threats with these storms. Polygon represents a Special Weather Statement for central Travis County. Winds to 40 mph are possible in that area.

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traviscosw.bsky.social @traviscosw.bsky.social · 14/06/2025

Storms in Pflugerville area have lost their steam. Outflow boundary just about out of the county now. Loss of daytime heating likely means storms are done for today

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traviscosw.bsky.social @traviscosw.bsky.social · 14/06/2025

Hail core gradually moving westward into Pflugerville proper. 1/2" to 3/4" hail possible in this area.

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traviscosw.bsky.social @traviscosw.bsky.social · 14/06/2025

Small thunderstorm has kicked up in the area north of Manor and east of Pflugerville. Lightning looks to be the biggest threat from this storm right now, but it might put out some hail and eventually gusty winds.

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traviscosw.bsky.social @traviscosw.bsky.social · 12/06/2025

New discussion on flooding potential in the "TX Triangle" Houston to San Antonio to Dallas area. www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/metwatch/met...

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traviscosw.bsky.social @traviscosw.bsky.social · 12/06/2025

Still not a lot has happened in our county, but now seeing some development in east Austin around 183 over to SH 130. Main concern will be rainfall rates due to slow moving cells that might lead to some flooding.

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traviscosw.bsky.social @traviscosw.bsky.social · 12/06/2025

Radar update: so far not much here in Travis County, but flash flood warnings just to our south. Some storms look to be entering the southern part of the county. Also expect more develop in the area over the next couple of hours.

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traviscosw.bsky.social @traviscosw.bsky.social · 12/06/2025

Early elements of rain showers and storms closing in on western parts of the county.

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traviscosw.bsky.social @traviscosw.bsky.social · 11/06/2025

Just off the presses, a new discussion from the Weather Prediction Center regarding possible heavy rainfall with flash flooding over Central Texas. www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/metwatch/met...

wpc.ncep.noaa.gov

WPC Met Watch

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traviscosw.bsky.social @traviscosw.bsky.social · 11/06/2025

FYI - Flood Watch has been issued that begins at 7 PM this evening and runs thru 7 PM on Thursday. Additional heavy rains are expected in our area which can lead to flooding.

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traviscosw.bsky.social @traviscosw.bsky.social · 11/06/2025

Flash flooding reminders from National Weather Service. Please follow guidance in the graphic and always remember: Turn Around, Don't Drown!

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traviscosw.bsky.social @traviscosw.bsky.social · 11/06/2025

Radar update: heaviest rainfall now in an arc from Kingsland down to Kyle. Moving north/northeast around 20 MPH. Great rainfall into the Lake Travis watershed!

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traviscosw.bsky.social @traviscosw.bsky.social · 11/06/2025

A mesoscale system that is centered just east of Kerrville is spinning up some heavy rains to its north and northeast. Area from Fredericksburg to Austin is likely going to see heavy rainfall and flooding over the next few hours. Remember: Turn Around, Don't Drown!

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traviscosw.bsky.social @traviscosw.bsky.social · 11/06/2025

Earlier than originally expected storms are a to begin marching into the county. Frequent lightning and heavy rain can be expected as these storms are moving slowly.

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traviscosw.bsky.social @traviscosw.bsky.social · 11/06/2025

Latest high resolution model shows overnight storms that will likely affect us early tomorrow morning. Hopefully this time they won't miss us.

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traviscosw.bsky.social @traviscosw.bsky.social · 10/06/2025

Line of thunderstorms moving towards us from the northwest will impact us later this morning. This is the first of several rounds of rain/storms we expect over the next few days. These storms should arrive 10-11 am time frame.

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traviscosw.bsky.social @traviscosw.bsky.social · 09/06/2025

Head's up for a pattern change for this week.

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traviscosw.bsky.social @traviscosw.bsky.social · 09/06/2025

Frontal boundary pushing thru the country right now. Was hoping it might trigger some showers but so far only seeing some activity in Bastrop County.

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traviscosw.bsky.social @traviscosw.bsky.social · 09/06/2025

Strongest storms are now east of I-35 and will be leaving the county soon. Areas east of I-35 should expect wind gusts up to 50 MPH and small hail. Occasional lightning will also be possible.

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traviscosw.bsky.social @traviscosw.bsky.social · 09/06/2025

Storms are moving rapidly through the county. Some Special Weather Statements are in place for winds 40-50 mph, penny size hail. Also expect some heavy rains and occasional lightning.

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traviscosw.bsky.social @traviscosw.bsky.social · 09/06/2025

Storms are about to enter the county. Currently not severe but will still pack some punch. Expect wind gusts to 40 mph, half dollar size hail and frequent lightning

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traviscosw.bsky.social @traviscosw.bsky.social · 09/06/2025

Keeping an eye on these storms sliding our way from north Texas. Previous model guidance had suggested they would fall apart before reaching us, but we may see some impacts from them during the early morning hours.

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traviscosw.bsky.social @traviscosw.bsky.social · 04/06/2025

Heat builds this weekend. Expect temperatures to rise to near the 100 degree mark. With humidity factored in, max heat index values rise into the 105 to 110 degree range for some areas. Heat Advisories could be needed. Practice heat safety and know symptoms of heat illness. #txwx

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traviscosw.bsky.social @traviscosw.bsky.social · 04/06/2025

Forecast for today per NWS San Antonio/Austin: An early morning rain and storm complex will continue to weaken as it moves south over the region. Otherwise, some storm redevelopment is possible in the afternoon for locations along/east of I-35.

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traviscosw.bsky.social @traviscosw.bsky.social · 04/06/2025

That line of storms has pretty much broken apart and does not seem a threat at this time unless there is some redevelopment. Front will continue to move thru the area and may produce some areas of showers.

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traviscosw.bsky.social @traviscosw.bsky.social · 04/06/2025

Radar view of storms now moving into the area. At the moment the strongest of these storms seems to be turning more to the south and away from our county. Still going to have to watch storms more to our north as they are still pretty strong.

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traviscosw.bsky.social @traviscosw.bsky.social · 04/06/2025

New discussion from Storm Prediction Center on threat for severe weather in our area. Watch not likely due to wind and hail threat being isolated. Still, potential exists for some storms to be severe and carry a significant threat.

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traviscosw.bsky.social @traviscosw.bsky.social · 04/06/2025

Discussion from Storm Prediction Center regarding severe potential in our area tonight.

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traviscosw.bsky.social @traviscosw.bsky.social · 03/06/2025

Day 1 outlook for possible thunderstorms and severe weather is out and most of the county now in a Level 1 (out of 5) risk for severe storms. We will have more on this in the morning but just be aware that chances for some thunderstorms this afternoon has increased.

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traviscosw.bsky.social @traviscosw.bsky.social · 01/06/2025

Here is a 2nd model that shows a different scenario for this afternoon. Models may starts to converge later in the day thus we will keep an eye on things and alert you as the day goes on.

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traviscosw.bsky.social @traviscosw.bsky.social · 01/06/2025

This one of the models which is maybe a little aggressive about what to expect this evening. This one seems to think storms will be more widespread than some of the other models (will post a 2nd model in just a second)

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traviscosw.bsky.social @traviscosw.bsky.social · 01/06/2025

Severe threat has increased for today. Probabilities for severe storms have increased so that we are now in a Level 1 of 5 threat for severe weather (Level 2 of 5 just to our north in Wilco). Storms are possible mainly after 4 pm. Large to very large hail and damaging wind gusts will be main threat.

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traviscosw.bsky.social @traviscosw.bsky.social · 30/05/2025

Radar update: leading edge of storms has pushed well east of I-35 now, will soon be exiting the county. Still some heavy rain falling with a flood advisory in effect. Weather advisory for possible 50 MPH winds and 1/2" hail continues too. Should be winding down soon.

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traviscosw.bsky.social @traviscosw.bsky.social · 30/05/2025

New Special Weather Statement issued that covers the rest of the county and parts further east. Winds to 50 MPH and 1/2" hail possible in these storms. Hopefully we can avoid any further damage.

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traviscosw.bsky.social @traviscosw.bsky.social · 30/05/2025

Storms approaching 360/West Lake Hills/Oak Hill areas and western parts of Austin. Noisy, windy (50 MPH possible) and 1/2" hail possible in these storms. If not inside it would be best to do so.

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traviscosw.bsky.social @traviscosw.bsky.social · 30/05/2025

New Flood Advisory for most of the county has been issued. Expect minor flooding in low-lying and poor drainage areas as well as dangerous flows over low-lying roadways. Turn Around, Don't Drown!

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traviscosw.bsky.social @traviscosw.bsky.social · 30/05/2025

Radar update: storms now moving into the county. Not severe, but very close. Winds to 50 MPH and 1/2" hail is possible. Frequent lightning is also occurring with these storms as they move in. If you are outside it is time to move indoors!

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traviscosw.bsky.social @traviscosw.bsky.social · 30/05/2025

New Special Weather Statement that includes pretty much all of the county (as well as others along I-35). Hail to 1/2" and 50 MPH winds possible. Weakened limbs from the other day could be of particular concern as they could fail with further stress.

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traviscosw.bsky.social @traviscosw.bsky.social · 30/05/2025

Radar update: storms continue moving to the southeast now into eastern parts of Burnet and Blanco counties. Special weather statement has been issues for the far western and northern parts of Travis county for 1/2" hail and 50 MPH winds. Not severe, but likely packing some punch.

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traviscosw.bsky.social @traviscosw.bsky.social · 30/05/2025

A Special Weather Statement has been issued that includes far west and north parts of the county. Storms may produce 1/2" hail and winds to 50 MPH. Frequent lightning is also possible with these storms.

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traviscosw.bsky.social @traviscosw.bsky.social · 30/05/2025

Line of storms continues to approach from the northwest and west. None of these storms are currently severe warned which is good after Wednesday's storm. They will continue to move southeast and enter the county within the next hour.

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traviscosw.bsky.social @traviscosw.bsky.social · 29/05/2025

A Special Weather Statement has been issued that includes the western part of the county. This replaces the severe thunderstorm warning. Storm in that area has weakened but may still produce some gusty winds and half inch hail.

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traviscosw.bsky.social @traviscosw.bsky.social · 29/05/2025

Storm moving towards western Travis County is still severe warned, but it looks like it is starting to fizzle. Winds are diminishing, not seeing hail indications on it anymore, and fewer lightning bolts detected. Be cautious though, supercells can regenerate rapidly.

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traviscosw.bsky.social @traviscosw.bsky.social · 29/05/2025

Radar view of new storm that is severe warned. On its current path it will clip western and southwestern parts of the county. Persons in these areas should prepare now for this storm.

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traviscosw.bsky.social @traviscosw.bsky.social · 29/05/2025

New Severe Thunderstorm Warning that includes far western parts of Travis including the Lakeway area. Expect winds to 60 MPH and tennis ball sized hail with this storm.

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traviscosw.bsky.social @traviscosw.bsky.social · 29/05/2025

One storm now to the east, but another lurking off to the northwest. Uncertain if it will make it here, but will need to keep an eye on it.

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traviscosw.bsky.social @traviscosw.bsky.social · 29/05/2025

A Flood Advisory has been issued that includes areas of Travis County. Small streams and creeks could be flooding as well as water over some roadways. Avoid driving through water on the roads!

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traviscosw.bsky.social @traviscosw.bsky.social · 29/05/2025

Radar update: storm is now completely east of I-35. It has weakened some but supercell thunderstorms can restrengthen quickly. Hail core over Garfield along Hwy 71 E. Will soon enter Bastrop County. Again. persons in the path of this storm need to shelter!

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