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Tom Duerr @tomduerrpa.bsky.social · 06/06/2025

Thanks so much to everyone who came out to support Alex Rose at his campaign launch for County Council At-Large tonight! Two months left to help get Alex the 5,000 signatures he needs to get on the ballot - let’s get to work!

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Tom Duerr @tomduerrpa.bsky.social · 20/05/2025

Bethel Park 8-2 is ready for Primary Election Day! As you can see, we have a ‘few’ folks running for judge. Make sure and head out and vote for some tomorrow and make your voice heard!

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Tom Duerr @tomduerrpa.bsky.social · 11/05/2025

The 2025 Allegheny County Court of Common Pleas Race - in yard sign form.

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Tom Duerr @tomduerrpa.bsky.social · 10/05/2025

Folks interested in chipping in to help Aaron in this race can do so here: secure.actblue.com/donate/adams...

secure.actblue.com

I just gave to Aaron Adams!

Show your support with a contribution.

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Tom Duerr @tomduerrpa.bsky.social · 10/05/2025

Thank you so much to everyone who came out tonight to support Aaron Adams in his race for County Council District 9. In what is one of the most competitive seats in the County, I know Aaron is up to the task of working to keep this critical swing seat blue this November.

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Tom Duerr @tomduerrpa.bsky.social · 26/03/2025

I mean absolutely insane. Congrats to State Senator Elect Malone, his whole campaign team and everyone at the PA SDCC. What a win.

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Reposted by Tom Duerr

Chris Potter @cpotterpgh.bsky.social · 26/03/2025

Dems said the win "secures the House majority for Pennsylvania Democrats so that they can stand up to Trump’s mayhem in Washington” www.wesa.fm/politics-gov...

wesa.fm

Goughnour wins state special election in Mon Valley, cementing Democratic control of state House

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Reposted by Tom Duerr

Chris Potter @cpotterpgh.bsky.social · 26/03/2025

OPE! And no sooner did i type that in then I see AP has called it for Goughnour. Dems hold the House. Have fun in SD-36, suckers!

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Tom Duerr @tomduerrpa.bsky.social · 02/03/2025

Thank you so much to everyone who came out to the Bethel Park Democratic Committee’s annual “Nothing But Blue Skies” fundraiser tonight. Special shout out to our two fantastic statewide judicial candidates Judge Brandon Neuman and Judge Stella Tsai for stoping to show their support!

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Tom Duerr @tomduerrpa.bsky.social · 24/02/2025

Looking forward to supporting her in her run for this very important seat, and urge all my friends in the North Hills who live in her district to do the same. You can learn more about Lissa and her race for County Council District 3 here: lissaforallegheny.com

lissaforallegheny.com

Lissa Geiger Shulman | For Allegheny County Council, District 3

| Lissa Geiger Shulman

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Tom Duerr @tomduerrpa.bsky.social · 24/02/2025

Lissa is a tremendous public servant and dedicated community leader who will make a fantastic County Councilmember, picking up from the great work Councilwoman Prizio has done in District 3 over her past two terms.

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Tom Duerr @tomduerrpa.bsky.social · 24/02/2025

Disappointed I couldn’t make it to Lissa’s campaign launch this weekend, but great to see so many come out to support her campaign kickoff.

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Tom Duerr @tomduerrpa.bsky.social · 24/01/2025

Looking forward to helping Kathleen keep seat blue and I hope my friends in District 1 will join me in doing so! You can learn more about Kathleen and her candidacy here: www.kathleenforcouncil.com

kathleenforcouncil.com

Kathleen Madonna-Emmerling for Allegheny County Council

Kathleen is a candidate for Allegheny County Council District 1.

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Tom Duerr @tomduerrpa.bsky.social · 24/01/2025

This is one of the most competitive seats in the county, and Kathleen has the drive and commitment to keep it in Democratic hands this year and continue the great work Councilman Betkowski has been doing there for the past three years.

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Tom Duerr @tomduerrpa.bsky.social · 24/01/2025

Great to up in Ohio Twp tonight for Kathleen Madonna-Emmerling’s campaign launch for Allegheny County Council, District 1.

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Tom Duerr @tomduerrpa.bsky.social · 22/01/2025

Feeling especially proud to be a Lamb 2022 campaign alum today.

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Tom Duerr @tomduerrpa.bsky.social · 20/01/2025

This is just….devastating news. My thoughts are with the Gergely family and the entire PA State House delegation, especially those in Allegheny County, during this incredibly difficult time.

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Tom Duerr @tomduerrpa.bsky.social · 16/01/2025

As always, thanks to the wonderful folks at Split Ticket for all their hard work putting together their yearly WAR Model.

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Tom Duerr @tomduerrpa.bsky.social · 16/01/2025

This past year, I had the privilege of getting to work on two congressional races here in SWPA, both in PA14 & PA17. Very proud of the performance of both campaigns, with the Dziados campaign over-performing by 4 points, and team Deluzio over-performing by 1.8 points.

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Tom Duerr @tomduerrpa.bsky.social · 11/01/2025

LJudicial races matter, now more than ever - so let’s show up for all seven of our great candidates this November.

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Tom Duerr @tomduerrpa.bsky.social · 11/01/2025

Keeping Judges Donohue, Wecht, Dougherty, Dubow & Wojcik, along with electing Brandon and Stella, is critical to combating the pending far right wing Trump administration as well as the continued attacks from the PA GOP on our freedoms here in the Commonwealth.

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Tom Duerr @tomduerrpa.bsky.social · 11/01/2025

This afternoon, the @padems.bsky.social met and unanimously voted to endorse a “Yes” vote on all our fantastic Judges running for retention this year, as well as Judge Brandon Neuman for the open Superior Court seat & Judge Stella Tsai for the open Commonwealth Court seat.

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Tom Duerr @tomduerrpa.bsky.social · 19/12/2024

The race that surprised me the most this year was State Rep Mandy Steele’s race - where she outperformed ‘significantly’ in the AK Valley compared to her Dem ticket mates. Very, very impressive performance from the first time incumbent in a difficult district.

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Tom Duerr @tomduerrpa.bsky.social · 19/12/2024

District 11 (Klein - D) President: D+56 Median: D+54 District 12 (Palmosina - D) President: D+24 Median: D+24 2025 Race Initial Rating: Solid D District 13 (Bonorati - D) President: D+56 Median: D+55

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Tom Duerr @tomduerrpa.bsky.social · 19/12/2024

District 8 (Naccarati-Chapkis - D) President: D+16 Median: D+16 2025 Race Initial Rating: Solid D District 9 (Bob Macey - D) President: R+1 Median: D+3 2025 Race Initial Rating: Toss Up District 10 (Walton - D) President: D+76

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Tom Duerr @tomduerrpa.bsky.social · 19/12/2024

District 4 (Catena - D) President: R+1 Median: Even 2025 Race Initial Rating: Toss Up District 5 (Grzybek - D) President: D+20 Median: D+15 District 6 (Palmiere - D) President: D+2 Median: D+4 District 7 (Futules - D) President: D+22 Median: D+22

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Tom Duerr @tomduerrpa.bsky.social · 19/12/2024

County Council District Margins District 1 (Betkowski - D) President: D+4 Median: D+3 2025 Race Initial Rating: Lean D District 2 (Filiaggi - R) President: D+2 Median: R+3 District 3 (Prizio - D) President: D+4 Median: D+3 2025 Race Initial Rating: Lean D

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Tom Duerr @tomduerrpa.bsky.social · 19/12/2024

Best GOP Performances vs. Median District Margin 1. Jason Ortitay (HD46): 14 point overperformance 2. Natalie Mihalek (HD40): 12 points 3. Andrew Kuzma (HD39): 7 points 4. James Hayes (PA CD12): 6 points

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Tom Duerr @tomduerrpa.bsky.social · 19/12/2024

Best Democratic Performances vs. Median District Margin 1. Anita Kulik (HD45): 11 point overperformance 2. Dan Miller (HD42): 9 points 3. Brandon Markosek (HD25): 9 points 4. Mandy Steele (HD33): 8 points 5. Arvind Venkat (HD30): 7 points 6. John Inglis (HD38): 5 points

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Tom Duerr @tomduerrpa.bsky.social · 19/12/2024

For Allegheny County Council Districts, it was much of the same in that there was very little movement. County Council Districts 5 & 7 moved two points toward the Dems. Districts 6, 9 and 10 all moved two points towards the GOP, and District 4 moved roughly three points right

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Tom Duerr @tomduerrpa.bsky.social · 19/12/2024

As for State Senate district margin changes, not a single district had any movement in presidential margin. As for turnout change, HD19 had a 3% decrease in overall turnout, and SD43 had a 2% decrease, but those were the only changes greater than 2% either way.

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Tom Duerr @tomduerrpa.bsky.social · 19/12/2024

Legislative district movements were very uneventful. HD19, 23, 24, 27, 29 & 45 all moved two points to the GOP in the presidential margin. HD20, 25, 30, 32, 34 & 42 all moved two points towards the Dems.

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Tom Duerr @tomduerrpa.bsky.social · 19/12/2024

Largest Decrease in Turnout from 2020: 1. PGH 2nd Ward: -9% 2. North Braddock: -7% 3. PGH 3rd Ward: -7% 4. PGH 17th Ward: -6% 5. PGH 30th Ward: -6% 6. Stowe: -5% 7. PGH 22nd Ward: -5% 8. PGH 23rd Ward: -5% 9. McKees Rocks: -5% 10. East Pittsburgh: -5%

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Tom Duerr @tomduerrpa.bsky.social · 19/12/2024

Largest Increase in Turnout from 2020: 1. PGH Ward 1: 4% 2. Frazer: 4% 3. PGH Ward 4: 3% 4. Blawnox: 3% 5. Pennsbury Village: 3% 6. West Homestead: 2% 7. Etna: 2% 8. Liberty: 2%

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Tom Duerr @tomduerrpa.bsky.social · 19/12/2024

Largest Shifts to GOP Presidential Margin: 1. PGH Ward 4: R+6 2. PGH Ward 9: R+6 3. Coraopolis: R+6 4. Emsworth: R+6 5. Frazer: R+6 6. Elizabeth Boro: R+6 7. Leetsdale: R+6

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Tom Duerr @tomduerrpa.bsky.social · 19/12/2024

Largest Shifts to Dem Presidential Margin (ties listed in descending order from largest turnout to smallest): 1. Pitcairn: D+10 2. Sewickley Hills: D+10 3. Wilmerding: D+8 4. Oakmont: D+6 5. Churchill: D+6 6. Aleppo: D+6 7. Kilbuck: D+5

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Tom Duerr @tomduerrpa.bsky.social · 19/12/2024

Firstly a few notes: I won’t be including Trafford, Haysville, Glenfield, McDonald, West Elizabeth or South Versailles in these due to their small size making margin comparisons a bit wonky. Secondly, all margins for legislative districts are ‘just’ for their Allegheny portions.

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Tom Duerr @tomduerrpa.bsky.social · 19/12/2024

Ok so I finally had time to delve into the 2024 Election Results in Allegheny County. And as many have mentioned, very little happened! But there were some noteworthy shifts here and there as well as some significant down ballot performances folks should take note of (Thread 🧵)

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Tom Duerr @tomduerrpa.bsky.social · 05/12/2024

This means a lot to me, and so many others here, who have been working tirelessly since 2016 to make progress in this once ruby red area. Despite the statewide outcome, I’m incredibly proud the Bethel Park Democratic Committee delivered Bethel Park for Kamala Harris, Bob Casey & Eugene DePasquale

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Tom Duerr @tomduerrpa.bsky.social · 05/12/2024

Diving into results now that Allegheny election certification is complete - in the smallest of silver linings this year, Bethel Park flipped from red to blue, marking the first time my hometown has voted for a Democrat for President since 1964.

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