Reposted by Tobita Chowmatthew cunningham-cook @matthewccook5.bsky.social · 02/10/2026If you’re not morgenthaupilled you’re not paying attention 121
Tobita Chow @tobitac.bsky.social · 02/10/2026Henry Morgenthau, Bretton Woods 1944: "Economic aggression can have no other offspring than war. It is as dangerous as it is futile. We know now that economic conflict must develop when nations endeavor separately to deal with economic ills which are international in scope." 152
Tobita Chow @tobitac.bsky.social · 02/10/2026Trump is maintaining a superficial calm with China but fundamental tensions are continuing to grow under the surface, as is a sense of desperation among US natsec elites "Unless there is a real break within the Democratic Party... we can expect conflict to take off" @jwdwerner.bsky.social 021
Reposted by Tobita ChowKarthik Sankaran @rajakorman.bsky.social · 29/09/2026The US view on weaponized interdependence. 1324
Tobita Chow @tobitac.bsky.social · 09/09/2026Kyle Chan on China and “AGI”: Chinese firms talk about it but in significantly different terms and it is not a focus of Beijing’s AI strategy www.highcapacity.org/p/does-china... 0156
Reposted by Tobita ChowIlias Alami @iliasalami.bsky.social · 27/08/2026Very excited to be delivering the 2026 Antipode RGS-IBG Lecture next week, “Imperial State Capitalism and the Long Arc of History”! 0201
Reposted by Tobita Chowmatthew cunningham-cook @matthewccook5.bsky.social · 27/08/2026on the surface military tensions are lower than a long time, no US carriers in the pacific, THAAD out of SK + pullback on joint exercises, RFA defunded, Taiwan arms sale frozen--beneath the surface, however... 121
Tobita Chow @tobitac.bsky.social · 27/08/2026I don't subscribe to doomerism about this at all but on the other hand I'm concerned that the superficial sense of stability since last October, combined with the constant barrage of more pressing Trump outrages, has encouraged a sense of complacency about US-China 110
Tobita Chow @tobitac.bsky.social · 27/08/2026It wouldn't take a full blown war for things to start getting very ugly, and under the surface of Trump's bromance with Xi the conditions for volatile reescalation in US-China conflict are festering asamnews.com/2026/08/26/r... 130
Reposted by Tobita ChowJake Werner @jwdwerner.bsky.social · 13/08/2026I’m delighted to have contributed a chapter with Sandy Shan in this landmark book on the future of progressive foreign policy. In our chapter, Sandy and I lay out our vision for how the US–China relationship could be reshaped, making great power peace an engine for progressive global reform. 094
Tobita Chow @tobitac.bsky.social · 22/08/2026Maybe forcing other countries into an economic bloc against China is a bad and unworkable idea 1288
Reposted by Tobita ChowAndres A. Chavez @andral404.bsky.social · 09/07/2026Reported ICE sightings also in Rogers Park, Humboldt Park, Stone Park and Logan Square. 12420
Tobita Chow @tobitac.bsky.social · 06/07/2026Thank you for tagging me! I had heard that they were interested in my article but didn't know that this had actually happened 020
Tobita Chow @tobitac.bsky.social · 06/07/2026Originally at @transitionsec.bsky.social bsky.app/profile/tran... 033
Tobita Chow @tobitac.bsky.social · 06/07/2026Thanks @corrientecalida.com for picking up one of my articles and translating it into Spanish 161
Tobita Chow @tobitac.bsky.social · 24/06/2026Don't get too excited--I won't name names but some of the left congressional candidates this year reject the labor theory of value 131
Tobita Chow @tobitac.bsky.social · 18/06/2026It wouldn't be the same wage in every place regardless of local economic conditions; attempting to implement that kind of standard would not actually raise wages but just cut off a ton of the global south. Better would be something like the Anker methodology www.globallivingwage.org/about/anker-...globallivingwage.orgThe Anker Methodology for Estimating a Living Wage - Global Living Wage CoalitionThis methodology creates highly accurate, robust living wage estimates that are transparent, internationally comparable, and locally specific. 000
Tobita Chow @tobitac.bsky.social · 18/06/2026Again I think the right international economic / foreign policy agenda could relieve some tensions within the Dem base. And soothe anxieties among some sectors of capital (according to Grandin this is part of what FDR's "Good Neighbor" policy did for him in 36) 100
Tobita Chow @tobitac.bsky.social · 18/06/2026Alongside this is a growing sense including among normie Dems that they need to clean house on foreign policy. Decent chances of a 28 POTUS influenced by someone like Duss 110
Tobita Chow @tobitac.bsky.social · 18/06/2026On overall path, Trump and the uselessness of Dem leadership is creating ideal conditions for progressives in elections. My guess is this only intensifies after the midterms 110
Tobita Chow @tobitac.bsky.social · 18/06/2026You're right, Israel/Iran definitely having an impact in Dem primaries and I suspect this will continue into 28. Also fracturing Trump's base. But not super confident about how relevant it will be to general election outcome in 28. And leaves a lot of Qs open 110
Reposted by Tobita ChowJake Werner @jwdwerner.bsky.social · 10/06/2026On @ezraklein.bsky.social, @mattduss.bsky.social plants the flag: • Progressive FP’s precondition is to break with Biden personnel and their aim of reviving US hegemony • Its substance is solidarity: reform so different nationalities are not pitted against each other, so all workers enjoy security 1183
Tobita Chow @tobitac.bsky.social · 10/06/2026Technically we started 10 years ago before the official founding of JIG 110
Tobita Chow @tobitac.bsky.social · 10/06/2026Those are two radically different tasks, wage standards are enforced thru bureaucracy within the (bourgeois) state 100
Tobita Chow @tobitac.bsky.social · 10/06/2026It has to be mostly the same as for a progressive populist agenda that mainly focuses on domestic issues, not a lot will be won over thru foreign policy / international economic policy, but the right approach can resolve tensions b/n e.g. young cosmopolitans and labor 100
Tobita Chow @tobitac.bsky.social · 07/06/2026"The US now appears to control all the major power blocs in Venezuela.... Venezuela’s new acting President has become the local enforcer of the US National Security Strategy and the Trump Corollary." phenomenalworld.org/analysis/bol...phenomenalworld.orgBolivarian Twilight | Luis Bonilla-MolinaThe recolonization of Venezuela 030
Reposted by Tobita ChowJeremy Wallace @jeremywallace.bsky.social · 05/06/2026I'm thrilled to be writing GREEN GIANT for PublicAffairs. 1612818
Tobita Chow @tobitac.bsky.social · 05/06/2026"In April, Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar, chair of the House Foreign Affairs Subcommittee on the Western Hemisphere, called on Peru’s next government to “take back” the Chinese-controlled port and said Washington would help." 000
Tobita Chow @tobitac.bsky.social · 05/06/2026"Peru’s June presidential runoff is drawing attention in China, where analysts are watching whether the next government will reshape ties with Beijing and place new pressure on Chancay, a Chinese-operated megaport" chinaglobalsouth.com/2026/05/29/p...chinaglobalsouth.comChina Watches Peru Election for Impact on Chancay PortPeru’s June presidential runoff is drawing attention in China, where analysts are watching whether the next government will reshape ties with Beijing and place new pressure on Chancay, a Chinese-opera... 101
Tobita Chow @tobitac.bsky.social · 05/06/2026"Accelerated patrimonialism rather than developmental coordination seems the more likely outcome." 020
Tobita Chow @tobitac.bsky.social · 05/06/2026In the market's defense, Prabowo is a terrible person doing state capitalism very badly newleftreview.org/issues/ii157... 131
Tobita Chow @tobitac.bsky.social · 05/06/2026Some nasty capital flight from the economy of the world's 4th most populous country Prabowo: “The markets are not understanding me” 😬 140
Tobita Chow @tobitac.bsky.social · 05/06/2026"Reclaiming the working-class character of the 1989 movements casts recent Chinese history in a new light and reshapes our understanding of the country’s current conjuncture." phenomenalworld.org/analysis/the...phenomenalworld.orgThe State and Its Workers | Yueran ZhangChina’s class politics after 1989 053
Reposted by Tobita ChowBenjamin McKean @blmckean.bsky.social · 02/06/2026“Realizing a progressive hukou abolition would require immense political force to overcome resistance from privileged urbanites and capitalists addicted to super-exploited labor. That force cannot come from society, as social movements, and labor movements in particular, are anathema to the Party.” 0157
Reposted by Tobita ChowKelsey Atherton @atherton.bsky.social · 01/06/2026earnest answer: a full 15 years of treating the use of DJI/consumer drones as an intelligence threat while trying to spin up $$$$ secure supply chain alternatives for cheap quadcopters meant the US fully missed how low low cost and mass production allows for innovation and iteration at scale 131
Tobita Chow @tobitac.bsky.social · 02/06/2026As Eli noted elsewhere the motif of gazing at the communist horizon is here being applied to tourist consumption It's too perfect 020
Tobita Chow @tobitac.bsky.social · 01/06/2026This kind of makes sense but then again there is no shortage of intel from Ukraine. Shouldn’t they have at least recognized the problem during the Biden admin already? 110
Tobita Chow @tobitac.bsky.social · 01/06/2026I'm no military expert but it seems that both the US and Israel have recently been caught by surprise by drone warfare and how is that possible 161
Tobita Chow @tobitac.bsky.social · 01/06/2026Among other things Zhang's essay backs up Barker's brief comments on China in his essay in the same issue bsky.app/profile/tobi... 000
Tobita Chow @tobitac.bsky.social · 01/06/2026Yueran Zhang's essay on the trajectory of China's working class since 1989 is also fantastic phenomenalworld.org/analysis/the...phenomenalworld.orgThe State and Its Workers | Yueran ZhangChina’s class politics after 1989 110
Tobita Chow @tobitac.bsky.social · 01/06/2026On the other hand I think she greatly overstates the progress that China has made towards hegemony, which I think she defines too thinly 100
Tobita Chow @tobitac.bsky.social · 01/06/2026But this very much depends on the domestic politics in the target country aligning behind strong demands. This is also key to the prospects for workers and labor unions 100