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Tobias Arbogast

@tobiasarbogast.bsky.social
109 followers 125 following 2 posts

Postdoc @FU Berlin. Working on political economy, central banking, money, macroeconomics

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Reposted by Tobias Arbogast
Stephan Gruber @stephangruber.bsky.social · 15/08/2026
I wrote this for @phenomenalworld.bsky.social on the politics of Peru's growth model in the wake of Fujimori's election. The "Peruvian Model" is praised for resilient macro stability amid political turmoil — but I focus on its downsides: how it blocks structural change and hollows out democracy.
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Reposted by Tobias Arbogast
Benjamin Braun @benbraun.social · 01/07/2025
🚨New article🚨 The consensus is that contestation pushed central banks to talk 𝘮𝘰𝘳𝘦 about inequality & climate. Our theory: At first, CBs seek to ward off politicization by talking 𝘭𝘦𝘴𝘴 about controversial topics. We tested this 𝐬𝐭𝐫𝐚𝐭𝐞𝐠𝐢𝐜 𝐬𝐢𝐥𝐞𝐧𝐜𝐞 𝐡𝐲𝐩𝐨𝐭𝐡𝐞𝐬𝐢𝐬.🧵 onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
Screenshot of the title page of linked article:
"Noisy Politics, Quiet Technocrats: Strategic Silence by Central Banks"
By Benjamin Braun and Maximilian Düsterhöft
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Tobias Arbogast @tobiasarbogast.bsky.social · 27/01/2025
My 2 cents on ECB withdrawing from gov bond markets (paywalled 😔). CB withdrawing usually = more market power over a key policy area in democracy and more anonymity of creditors. Public debt is a always also an asset but we still largely don't know whose. www.sueddeutsche.de/wirtschaft/e...
sueddeutsche.de
EZB beendet Ankauf von Staatsanleihen: Was bedeutet das für den Anleihemarkt?
Die EZB hat zum Jahreswechsel den Ankauf von Staatsanleihen gestoppt. Andere Käufer müssen die Lücke füllen, während große Anlagegesellschaften skeptischer auf den wachsenden Berg an Staatsschulden in...
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