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Thierry Mayer

@thierry-mayer.bsky.social
111 followers 23 following 6 posts
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Reposted by Thierry Mayer
Kevin Hjortshøj O’Rourke @kevinhorourke.eurosky.social · 16/01/2026
So much for the argument that the trade “deal” agreed with Trump provided certainty for the EU. Nothing will provide certainty with him in charge. Perhaps the European Parliament that still has to ratify the “deal” will take a stand and show that the EU is no pushover? www.cnbc.com/2026/01/16/t...
cnbc.com
Trump floats new tariffs in push to acquire Greenland
The comments show Trump considering applying his aggressive tariff strategies to his efforts to acquire Greenland.
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Reposted by Thierry Mayer
Kevin Hjortshøj O’Rourke @kevinhorourke.eurosky.social · 21/11/2025
Worth reposting in light of the US essentially giving Moscow its full backing
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Reposted by Thierry Mayer
VoxEU @ CEPR @voxeu.org · 13/11/2025
@ckhead.bsky.social & @thierry-mayer.bsky.social‬ argue that the recent estimate of an equivalent 45% tariff in intra-EU costs is likely too high & vastly overstates the barriers which could be lowered due to Commission policy decisions. cepr.org/voxeu/column... #EconSky
Graph of the evolution of EU15 integration in four datasets. All 4 datasets agree that the impact of borders has gone down over time.

A recent paper which has gathered significant attention estimates a 45% tariff equivalent of intra-EU border costs. This column argues that this estimate is likely too high and depends on the particular dataset used and specific estimation choices. Therefore, it also vastly overstates the barriers that are akin to tariffs and could be lowered as a result of European Commission policy decisions. Instead, it argues that there are more urgent reforms with larger potential benefits, such as boosting EU innovation capacity and R&D spending.
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Thierry Mayer @thierry-mayer.bsky.social · 21/08/2025
policy.trade.ec.europa.eu/news/joint-s... 15 for 0 seems to be the new modo of DG trade. Maybe Europe got a great security deal in exchange for that… but somehow I doubt it
policy.trade.ec.europa.eu
Joint Statement on a United States-European Union framework on an agreement on reciprocal, fair and balanced trade
The United States and the European Union are pleased to announce that they have agreed on a Framework on an Agreement on Reciprocal, Fair, and Balanced Trade ('Framework Agreement').
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Thierry Mayer @thierry-mayer.bsky.social · 08/08/2025
Very sad when the US trade representative uses the European Commission comments as validation www.nytimes.com/2025/08/07/o...
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Reposted by Thierry Mayer
Kiel Institut @kiel.institute · 24/07/2025
Read more about how the EU could negotiate more effectively in our latest Kiel Policy Brief by @julianhi.nz, @ckhead.bsky.social, Isabelle Méjean, @emanuelornelas.bsky.social & @schularick.bsky.social
ifw-kiel.de
An Alliance for Open Trade: How to Counter Trump’s Tariffs | Kiel Institute
Trump’s renewed tariffs on traditional allies—including the EU, Canada, Mexico, and Brazil—signal a return to aggressive protectionism, openly disregarding WTO rules and threatening the stability of t...
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Reposted by Thierry Mayer
Centre for Economic Policy Research @cepr.org · 01/07/2025
After 60 years of tariff-free trade in the auto industry, it seems clear that North America will now have large tariffs. @ckhead.bsky.social @thierry-mayer.bsky.social @vvicard.bsky.social & P Wibaux report on how big an impact the tariffs will have on the industry. cepr.org/publications... #EconSky
Graph of the exposure of the major car makers to US tariffs.
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Reposted by Thierry Mayer
Keith Head @ckhead.bsky.social · 18/06/2025
If you have 10 minutes to read about trade policy, read the chapter on 7 questions by Andres and Arnaud. If you 20 minutes, also read my chapter (with Thierry, Pauline, and Vincent) on Auto tariffs. @cepr.org
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Reposted by Thierry Mayer
John Nilsson-Wright @jnilssonwright.bsky.social · 07/03/2025
If you haven’t see this yet, watch and circulate widely. An uncompromisingly clear and truthful explanation of the historical moment the world faces and what Europe needs to do. youtu.be/wmDVrV7QRrU?...
youtu.be
Claude Malhuret, Senator of the French Republic, speaks the truth about what is happening in the US
YouTube video by Gregory Mullins
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Thierry Mayer @thierry-mayer.bsky.social · 04/03/2025
Our estimates are for 25% tariffs on Canadian and Mexican-made cars, and + 10 pp for European-made cars (with and without retaliation). The latter was probably optimistic, but it was the figure circulated by the US administration at some point. Will redo simulations when they settle on a number!
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