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Thord Are Iversen @thelookout.bsky.social · 28/08/2026

The King is dead, long live the King! HM King Haakon VIII, HRH Crown Princess Ingrid Alexandra, and the Government after today's extraordinary Council of State. Photo: Lise Åserud / NTB

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Thord Are Iversen @thelookout.bsky.social · 28/08/2026

HM King Harald passed away at 0635 local today. An extraordinary Council of State, with the new King and the Government, will be held shortly, and afterwards we will know what name and Royal Motto the new King takes.

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Thord Are Iversen @thelookout.bsky.social · 27/08/2026

My thoughts and prayers to HM King Harald, and the rest of the Royal Family, all now with him at Oslo University Hospital. To HM The King: Thank you for your service, your dedication, and the way you have performed your duties.

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David @puca.bsky.social · 24/08/2026

I'm not sure how much confidence we can place on this, but it's perhaps worth showing in the context of this story - the NOTAMS to the northwest and northeast are still in effect, as is the Kura NOTAM. However the NOTAMs east from Plesetsk have been withdrawn.

Map showing NOTAMs fanning out from Plesetsk/White Sea, Russia, with an inset showing NOTAM over Kura test range in Russia's far east.

Map from yesterday showing NOTAMs fanning out from Plesetsk/White Sea, Russia, with an inset showing NOTAM over Kura test range in Russia's far east. Circled are two NOTAMs going east from Plesetsk which are not replicated in todays map.

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The Barents Observer @thebarentsobserver.com · 24/08/2026

Russia's Defence Ministry confirms that a rocket carrying "military satellites" was launched from Plesetsk at 5.40 a.m. local time on Monday, August 24. The launch comes one day after drone alerts all over the Arkhangelsk region. More background here:

thebarentsobserver.com

Rocket booster for Russia's Starlink equivalent set to splash down in the Barents Sea

A Soyuz-2.1b rocket is expected to launch from the Plesetsk Cosmodrome within the next few days, carrying another batch of Rassvet satellites into orbit.

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Thord Are Iversen @thelookout.bsky.social · 23/08/2026

Burevestnik test season update: The chartered support ships are currently sailing out to test positions for the first time and support aircraft, at least one Be-976 and a Mainstay, have been at Rogachevo for some time. Actual flight test(s?) are likely over the coming weeks.

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spectre crouton @spectrecrouton.bsky.social · 09/08/2026

RF Navy Northern Fleet Yantar-class special-purpose auxiliary vessel Yantar departed port on 4 August and remains underway through 8 August - previous 2026 underway periods: 21-28 March (8 days); 25 June-2 July (8 days); 7-10 July (4 days) - not broadcasting AIS

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spectre crouton @spectrecrouton.bsky.social · 24/07/2026

Future RF Navy Severodvinsk-class nuclear-powered cruise missile submarine Perm departed Severodvinsk during the morning hours of 23 July and remains underway through today - continuation of sea trials in the White Sea - previous 2026 underway periods: 4-31 May; 7-15 June

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spectre crouton @spectrecrouton.bsky.social · 24/07/2026

RF Navy Northern Fleet Severodvinsk-class nuclear-powered cruise missile submarine departed port on 21 July and remains underway through today - possibly related: bsky.app/profile/thel... - this is second Northern Fleet Severodvinsk-class sub to depart port in past week bsky.app/profile/spec...

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Thord Are Iversen @thelookout.bsky.social · 23/07/2026

Two PRIP/NAVWARNs for Northern Fleet missile firings, between the 28th and 2nd, have been published today. While Navy Day formally is on Sunday the 26th, this might be for a parade replacement exercise, similar to last year. Not shown; Two artillery PRIPs for the 28th.

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Thord Are Iversen @thelookout.bsky.social · 06/07/2026

HNoMS Fritjof Nansen and NoCGV Hopen are in New York for the 250th anniversary and the International Naval Review. Photos: Forsvaret

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Thord Are Iversen @thelookout.bsky.social · 19/06/2026

This is a very good read, on a speech held by the Royal Navy and Royal Norwegian Navy Commodores that are co-leading the Maritime Capability Coalition for Ukraine.

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David @puca.bsky.social · 14/06/2026

NOTAMs I've been able to spot for this launch, so far.

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Thord Are Iversen @thelookout.bsky.social · 13/06/2026

We have only had one ship visit so far (Teriberka), the floating pier hasn't been deployed yet, and there seems to be no personnel at Pankovo over the winter, so it will take time before they are ready for actual tests. But, the season is underway.

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Thord Are Iversen @thelookout.bsky.social · 09/06/2026

This submarine rescue exercise likely happened on the 5th, on the northern side of Motovskiy Bay. Sentinel-2 caught Georgiy Tvitov, along with a number of smaller ships.

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Thord Are Iversen @thelookout.bsky.social · 06/06/2026

Sentinel-2 caught the Kirov-class cruiser Admiral Nakhimov again earlier today, in Dvina Bay. Here, Nakhimov has just put the wheel over, while kicking up a decent rooster tail, indicating high speed.

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Thord Are Iversen @thelookout.bsky.social · 06/06/2026

OTD 1944, HNoMS Svenner, one of 10 Royal Norwegian Navy ships tanking part in Operation Neptune, was sunk off Sword beach, with 33 of her crew being killed.

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spectre crouton @spectrecrouton.bsky.social · 04/06/2026

As a reminder - two RF Navy Northern Fleet fast attack submarines remain deployed since mid-April: - Akula-class nuclear-powered sub (since 15 April [50 days] bsky.app/profile/spec... - Severodvinsk-class nuclear-powered cruise missile sub (since 20 April [45 days]) bsky.app/profile/spec...

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Thord Are Iversen @thelookout.bsky.social · 03/06/2026

The Pankovo / Burevestnik season has begun. This AIS contact in the bay is Teriberka (IMO: 9081291), an old regular on the Novaya Zemliya supply runs, including both to Pankovo and Severny.

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Thord Are Iversen @thelookout.bsky.social · 03/06/2026

Parliament adds 6.15 Bn NOK to the Government's proposal on the revised Defense Pledge, including more money for training/exercises, long range SAM's moved forward, and a "drone initiative". Importantly, a unanimous Parliament is still behind the plan. www.vg.no/nyheter/i/pB...

vg.no

Nytt forsvarsforlik på Stortinget: – En historisk dag

Alle de ni partiene på Stortinget har til slutt blitt enige om den reviderte langtidsplanen for Forsvaret, trappet opp med 6,15 milliarder.

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Thord Are Iversen @thelookout.bsky.social · 03/06/2026

According to VG, all nine parties in the Norwegian Parliament have now agreed on a revised Defense Pledge, pending internal party approvals. Seems a revised air defense plan and more money for exercises will be added to the Government's proposal. www.vg.no/nyheter/i/pB...

vg.no

Opplysninger til VG: Politisk enighet om nytt forsvarsforlik

Mer penger til øvelser i Forsvaret og en oppdatert plan for luftvern, skal være deler av et nytt forsvarsforlik på Stortinget, ifølge VGs opplysninger.

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Thord Are Iversen @thelookout.bsky.social · 02/06/2026

There seems to have been a change of policy on such measures, both in the Baltic- and Northern Fleets. This could be an attempt to apply lessons from the war more broadly, or it might say something about their threat perceptions.

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Thord Are Iversen @thelookout.bsky.social · 01/06/2026

The Norwegian environmental organization Bellona is close to bankruptcy. Bellona did a lot of great work on the Soviet nuclear waste legacy, including being the first to publish photos if the infamous Andreeva Bay in 1995, and was declared undesirable by Russia in 2023. www.nrk.no/norge/okonom...

nrk.no

Økonomisk krise i Bellona

Miljøstiftelsen Bellona er i økonomisk krise, og alle ansatte har fått permitteringsvarsel.

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spectre crouton @spectrecrouton.bsky.social · 01/06/2026

There are two RF Navy Vishnya-class intelligence collection ships currently underway in the Baltic Sea; both may be preparing to monitor NATO Exercise BALTOPS (4-19 June) - Viktor Leonov bsky.app/profile/spec... - Vasiliy Tatishchev bsky.app/profile/spec...

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Thord Are Iversen @thelookout.bsky.social · 01/06/2026

Sentinel-2 caught the Kirov-class cruiser Admiral Nakhimov doing a decent speed in the central White Sea earlier today. No other ships in the vicinity. Nakhimov departed Severodvinsk yesterday afternoon.

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Thord Are Iversen @thelookout.bsky.social · 01/06/2026

Looks like this year's Novaya Zemliya season is about to begin.

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spectre crouton @spectrecrouton.bsky.social · 31/05/2026

[1/5] RF Navy deployment stats: ships deployed at least one day in 2026 + total days deployed through 31 May 2026

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Thord Are Iversen @thelookout.bsky.social · 27/05/2026

Norway and France will sign a bilateral defense agreement today. Included is Norway joining the new French nuclear initiative, though the self-imposed restriction on no nuclear weapons on Norwegian soil in peacetime will remain in force. www.nrk.no/nyheter/norg...

nrk.no

Norge og Frankrike inngår forsvarsavtale

Landene forplikter seg til å stille opp for hverandre militært om det skulle bli behov. Sammen med ni andre europeiske land vil Norge bli en del av en prosess for hvordan franske atomvåpen kan bidra t...

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Thord Are Iversen @thelookout.bsky.social · 22/05/2026

The mod Kirov-class cruiser Admiral Nakhimov was moved to the Sevmash deperm pier last week, and was still there yesterday, though then turned around. This was her first movement of the year and does indicate that a resumption of the sea trials could be around the corner.

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spectre crouton @spectrecrouton.bsky.social · 19/05/2026

RF Navy Northern Fleet Severodvinsk-class nuclear-powered cruise missile submarine departed port on 15 May and remains underway through today

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spectre crouton @spectrecrouton.bsky.social · 19/05/2026

RF Navy Northern Fleet Dolgorukiy-class nuclear-powered ballistic missile submarine departed port on 16 May and remains underway through today - previous underway period: 9-17 February

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David @puca.bsky.social · 19/05/2026

A quick attempt at visualising a selection of Russian NOTAMs associated with this over the coming week. Note these can be removed & others added in their place etc. very quickly, e.g. I'd expect additions for Kura. Thanks to @thelookout.bsky.social for making sense of what was/is happening.

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Thord Are Iversen @thelookout.bsky.social · 13/05/2026

It looks busy, but: Those for SS-N-23 from the Barents to Kura have been issued again, for the 15th to 20th. Those from the Barents into Chiza have also been reissued for next week. New today indicating Yars from Plesetsk to Kura, 14th to 20th.

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spectre crouton @spectrecrouton.bsky.social · 12/05/2026

RF Navy Northern Fleet Dolgorukiy-class nuclear-powered ballistic missile submarine (possibly Knyaz Pozharskiy) departed port on 5 May and remains underway through today - same submarine recently conducted 50-day strategic deterrence patrol (7 March-25 April) bsky.app/profile/spec...

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David @puca.bsky.social · 12/05/2026

Simplest explanation is someone forgot, or didn't see the point: but anyway, somewhat curiously, the SFC-UNL NOTAMs still in place over the Dombarovskiy launch site, the stage drop zone & Kura. (Generally observe that the Russians pull NOTAMs pretty quick when they're done.)

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David @puca.bsky.social · 10/05/2026

Another Cobra Ball up today, but it looks like they are stretching the potential launch window for this thing. Launch, stage sep zones re-issued for tomorrow/11th - Kura end has a new one extending out to the 14th.

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spectre crouton @spectrecrouton.bsky.social · 07/05/2026

RF Navy Baltic Fleet Alpinist-class intelligence collection ship Zhigulevsk departed Baltiysk during the early afternoon hours on 28 April and remains underway through today (7 May) - previous underway: 14 February-5 March 2026

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Thord Are Iversen @thelookout.bsky.social · 05/05/2026

Alliance Fairfax, the US flagged ship that departed PG yesterday, is an example of the IMO under appreciated role of allies in US strategic sealift. The ship is operated by Farrell Lines, a subsidiary of Danish Maersk, and owned by Norwegian Höegh Autoliners.

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David @puca.bsky.social · 01/05/2026

Dombarovsky ---🚀----> Kura

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Thord Are Iversen @thelookout.bsky.social · 02/05/2026

From Norwegian CHOD Gen Eirik Kristoffersen's Facebook page: "SACEUR received a briefing at the Norwegian Shipowners' Association, DNK (war risk insurance) and Norma Cyber on cooperation in the total defense context" Gen Alexus Grynkewich made a 3 day visit to Norway this week

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Thord Are Iversen @thelookout.bsky.social · 14/04/2026

CENTCOM blockade update. Looking at the reporting around it, most of it zoomed in on Hormuz, there seems to be a lack of understanding as to what the Americans actually have declared. My impression is that this operation is a by-the-book affair too.

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Thord Are Iversen @thelookout.bsky.social · 14/04/2026

Still can't find any Notice to Mariners, NAVWARN or similar on the US blockade of Iran. Has anyone seen anything? Instructions do have to be published, but perhaps they aren't ready yet. Another thing: When looking at traffic, I would recommend zooming out from Hormuz

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Thord Are Iversen @thelookout.bsky.social · 12/04/2026

CENTCOM clears up some of the uncertainty from Trump's earlier post: A blockade of Iran will go into effect at 1400z tomorrow.

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Thord Are Iversen @thelookout.bsky.social · 11/04/2026

Think this settles the question of whether there actually are real mines in Hormuz, though the quantity remains unknown in public. "as part of a broader mission to ensure the strait is fully clear of sea mines previously laid by Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps"

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Thord Are Iversen @thelookout.bsky.social · 10/04/2026

Will be interesting to see where PM-82 is going.

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